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0917A股日评:美联储降息预期催化,科技股涨幅冲锋-20250918
Changjiang Securities· 2025-09-17 23:30
Core Insights - The A-share market experienced a slight increase, with stable market sentiment as expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut approach, leading to significant gains in the technology sector [2][5][8] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.37%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.16%, and the ChiNext Index surged by 1.95%, with a total market turnover of 2.40 trillion yuan and 2,504 stocks rising [2][8] Market Performance - The A-share market saw gains across major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.37%, Shenzhen Component Index up 1.16%, and ChiNext Index up 1.95% [8] - The market turnover reached 2.40 trillion yuan, with 2,504 stocks experiencing an increase [8][21] Sector Performance - In the A-share market on September 17, 2025, sectors such as Power and New Energy Equipment (+2.73%), Automotive (+2.02%), Home Appliances (+1.62%), and Coal (+1.61%) saw notable increases, while sectors like Agricultural Products (-1.00%), Social Services (-0.89%), and Commercial Trade (-0.74%) faced declines [8] - Concept stocks such as Stock Trading Software (+4.73%), Lithography Machines (+4.24%), and Robotics (+3.09%) led the gains, while sectors like Gold and Jewelry, Aquaculture, and Prepared Dishes lagged [8] Market Drivers - The slight increase in the A-share market is attributed to stable market sentiment and the approaching possibility of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, which may attract foreign capital to the A-share market [8] - The robotics sector remained active due to advancements related to Tesla's humanoid robot, while the automotive sector benefited from rising automotive parts [8] Future Outlook - The report maintains a bullish outlook on the Chinese stock market, emphasizing the importance of "liquidity" in 2025, with expectations for a bull market based on historical precedents from 1999, 2014, and 2019 [8] - Short-term focus areas include sectors with recent revenue growth and improving gross margins, such as fiberglass, cement, and medical services, as well as technology growth sectors like lithium batteries and military industry [8] Long-term Perspective - In the technology growth sector, continued optimism is noted for AI computing, innovative pharmaceuticals in Hong Kong, and military industries, with increased attention on relatively low-positioned AI applications and deep-sea technology [8] - In sectors benefiting from improved supply-demand dynamics, focus is on metals, transportation, chemicals, lithium batteries, photovoltaics, and pig farming [8]
反内卷,另一侧呢?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-17 14:37
Group 1 - The concept of "anti-involution" emphasizes governance against disorderly competition among enterprises and is seen as a crucial tool to reverse the ongoing decline in macro prices. Recent expectations of supply constraints have strengthened, but prices related to "anti-involution" have experienced a short-term spike followed by a decline. The future dynamics will depend on the demand side [2][3] - Historically, debt reduction has helped to improve the liquidity situation of local governments and urban investment enterprises to achieve "risk prevention." However, periods of debt reduction often correspond with weakened investment demand in infrastructure, which can hinder "stabilizing growth." This trend explains the divergence between government bond issuance and infrastructure investment this year [4][5] - Unlike in the past, the focus of fiscal spending is gradually shifting from "investment in objects" to "investment in people." Consequently, various types of social spending have accelerated this year, while infrastructure spending has significantly lagged. "Investment in people" is beneficial for long-term economic development, but its effect on short-term total demand expansion is relatively limited or delayed [6][8] Group 2 - Looking ahead, land transfer income is expected to continue to decline significantly, indicating that debt reduction pressures will persist. It is also necessary to "advance the issuance of part of next year's new local government debt limits and utilize debt reduction quotas early." The current pressure to achieve the annual economic growth target seems to be between last year and the year before, with the intensity of counter-cyclical policies likely falling in between [8]
研报掘金丨长江证券:维持亿纬锂能“买入”评级,动力电池盈利有望持续改善
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-09-17 09:44
格隆汇9月17日|长江证券研报指出,亿纬锂能(维权)上半年实现归母净利润16.05亿元,同比下降 24.90%;2025Q2归母净利润5.04亿元,同比下降52.96%。展望来看,公司动力电池盈利有望持续改 善,全年海外占比有望持续提升,进一步带来弹性。储能电池盈利取决于大客户占比,商务条件谈判, 以及库存管理,2026年随海外客户占比提升,有望进一步改善。预计公司2025、2026年归母净利润45、 78亿元,对应PE分别为34、19倍,维持"买入"评级。 ...
研报掘金丨长江证券:维持三花智控“买入”评级,传统制冷、汽车两大板块均实现较好增长
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-09-17 09:37
Core Viewpoint - Changjiang Securities report indicates that Sanhua Intelligent Controls achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.11 billion yuan in the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year growth of 39.3% [1] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.21 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 39.2% [1] - The company's revenue from traditional refrigeration and automotive sectors showed good growth [1] - For the first half of 2025, the gross profit margin reached 28.12%, an increase of 0.66 percentage points year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, the single-quarter gross profit margin was 29.27%, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.44 percentage points [1] Business Development - The company has accumulated rich experience and expertise in the development and manufacturing of various motor products, successfully entering the bionic robot electromechanical actuator manufacturing field [1] - There is potential for significant performance growth in line with the development of the humanoid robot industry [1] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.9 billion yuan in 2025, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 38 times [1] - The short-term performance of the company is supported by rapid growth, and new businesses such as humanoid robots are anticipated to bring future incremental flexibility [1]
0916A股日评:泛科技内部轮动,机器人创新高-20250917
Changjiang Securities· 2025-09-16 23:30
丨证券研究报告丨 市场策略丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 0916 A 股日评:泛科技内部轮动,机器人创新 高 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 今日 A 股市场窄幅震荡,三大指数齐涨,科创 50、创业板指表现再度占优,市场量能保持高 位。今日综合、机械设备、计算机等板块领涨,农林牧渔、有色金属、银行板块回调。上证指 数上涨 0.04%,深证成指上涨 0.45%,创业板指上涨 0.68%,上证 50 下跌 0.50%,沪深 300 下跌 0.21%,科创 50 上涨 1.32%,中证 1000 上涨 0.92%,市场成交额约 2.37 万亿元。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 戴清 SAC:S0490524010002 SFC:BTR264 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 0916 2] A 股日评:泛科技内部轮动,机器人创新 高 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 今日 A 股市场窄幅震荡,三大指数齐涨,科创 50、创业板指表现再度占优,市场量能保持高 位。今日综合、机械设备、计算 ...
港股日评:指数分化,机器人概念领涨-20250916
Changjiang Securities· 2025-09-16 15:14
丨证券研究报告丨 市场策略丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 0916 港股日评:指数分化,机器人概念领涨 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 戴清 SAC:S0490524010002 SFC:BTR264 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025 年 9 月 16 日,港股市场大市成交额达到 2940.7 亿港元,南向资金净卖出 31.89 亿港元。 港股三大指数今日走势分化,恒指高开低走、全日震荡。近期汽车产业链政策密集落地,涵盖 账款支付规范、绿色转型、储能建设及行业稳增长等多方面,系统性提振市场对板块成长潜力 的预期,带动 Wind 香港电气设备及 Wind 香港汽车与零配件走强。此外,马斯克透露将评估 A5 芯片并召开人工智能、机器人及产能会议,提振机器人产业链预期,催化机械相关个股及指 数上行。 [Table_Title2] 0916 港股日评:指数分化,机器人概念领涨 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 港股市场方面,恒生指数回调 0.03%报 26438.51,恒生科技上涨 0.56%报 6077.66,恒 ...
股票行情快报:长江证券(000783)9月16日主力资金净买入2151.67万元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 13:11
证券之星消息,截至2025年9月16日收盘,长江证券(000783)报收于8.23元,下跌0.24%,换手率 1.52%,成交量84.13万手,成交额6.92亿元。 9月16日的资金流向数据方面,主力资金净流入2151.67万元,占总成交额3.11%,游资资金净流出 281.12万元,占总成交额0.41%,散户资金净流出1870.55万元,占总成交额2.7%。 近5日资金流向一览见下表: | 日期 | | | | | 收盘价 涨跌幅 主力净流入 主力净占比 游资净点比 散户净流入 散户净占比 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025-09-16 | 8.23 | -0.24% | 2151.67万 | 3.11% | -281.12万 | -0.41% | -1870.55万 | -2.70% | | 2025-09-15 | 8.25 | -1.32% | -4083.87万 | -6.63% | 2476.35万 | 4.02% | 1607.52万 | 2.61% | | 2025-09-12 | 8.3 ...
长江证券(000783) - 公司关于召开2025年半年度网上业绩说明会的公告
2025-09-16 08:46
本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整,没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏。 证券代码:000783 证券简称:长江证券 公告编号:2025-056 长江证券股份有限公司 关于召开 2025 年半年度网上业绩说明会的公告 投资者问题征集二维码: 1 特此公告 长江证券股份有限公司董事会 长江证券股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")2025年半年度报告 已于2025年8月30日披露,为便于广大投资者进一步了解公司2025年 半年度业绩和经营情况,公司定于2025年9月19日(星期五) 15:00-17:00举办2025年半年度网上业绩说明会。本次业绩说明会将采 用网络远程的方式举行,投资者可登录全景网"投资者关系互动平台" (https://ir.p5w.net)参与本次半年度业绩说明会。 投资者可于2025年9月18日(星期四)17:00前,通过扫描以下二 维码提交相关问题。公司将在本次业绩说明会上对投资者普遍关注的 问题进行回答。 出席本次网上业绩说明会的人员有:公司董事长刘正斌,总裁刘 元瑞,独立董事史占中、余振、潘红波、张跃文,副总裁兼财务总监 陈水元,副总裁兼董事会秘书周纯。 敬请广 ...
连续4日获资金净流入,中证红利ETF(515080)今日三季度分红权益登记
与此同时,根据招商基金数据,截至9月12日,中证红利全收益指数相对万得全A指数40日收益差 为-12.25%,处于年内低位水平。招商基金表示,中证红利当前跑输Wind全A比较多,或可更多关注阶 段性布局机会。 对于当下高股息配置价值,长江证券最新分析表示,近三年保险公司持有股票与基金的规模占比在 12%~13%区间波动,这一数值仍有较大上升空间,此政策下保险或将每年至少为A股新增几千亿的长期 资金。波动率较低且分红较高的红利资产或迎来更多的增量资金流入。同时,随着近期市场降准降息预 期逐渐增强,无风险利率或持续下行,进一步加持了红利资产的投资价值。 (本文机构观点来自持牌证券机构,不构成任何投资建议,亦不代表平台观点,请投资人独立判断和决 策。) 9月16日,招商基金旗下中证红利ETF(515080)将迎来三季度分红权益登记。根据此前分红公告,本 季度该ETF每十份分红0.15元,分红比例0.95%。据了解,目前中证红利ETF采取季度评估分红的分红节 奏。 根据公告,这是中证红利ETF上市以来第14次分红,每十份累计分红金额3.65元。据招商基金,过去五 年(2020年-2024年),中证红利ETF年度分红比 ...
0915A股日评:低位崛起迎新势,指数分化量渐收-20250915
Changjiang Securities· 2025-09-15 13:46
Core Insights - The A-share market experienced slight fluctuations with a divergence among the three major indices, as funds shifted towards lower-priced sectors, accelerating market theme rotations [4][7][8] - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.26%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.63%, and the ChiNext Index increased by 1.51% [4][7] - The total market turnover reached 2.30 trillion yuan, with 1,913 stocks rising across the market [4][7] Market Performance - The performance of major indices on September 15, 2025, showed a mixed trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.26%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.63%, and the ChiNext Index up by 1.51% [4][7] - In terms of industry performance, sectors such as Power and New Energy Equipment (+2.22%), Agricultural Products (+1.70%), and Automotive (+1.60%) saw gains, while Telecommunications (-1.67%), Defense and Military (-0.98%), and Banking (-0.91%) faced declines [4][7] Market Drivers - The market's slight fluctuations were driven by funds moving towards lower-priced sectors, with significant activity in the electric vehicle and battery sectors following the release of a plan to promote V2G (Vehicle-to-Grid) applications [4][7] - The medical industry continued to see catalysts, with CRO (Contract Research Organization) stocks rising during the session [4][7] Future Outlook - The report maintains a bullish outlook on the Chinese stock market, emphasizing the importance of "liquidity" in 2025 and expecting a bullish trend based on historical bull market experiences from 1999, 2014, and 2019 [4][7] - Short-term focus should be on sectors with improving revenue growth and gross margins, such as fiberglass and cement, while also considering technology growth areas like lithium batteries and military [4][7] Long-term Perspective - In the technology growth sector, continued optimism is noted for AI computing, innovative pharmaceuticals in Hong Kong, and military applications, with an increased focus on relatively low-priced AI applications and deep-sea technology [4][7] - Attention should also be given to sectors benefiting from the "anti-involution" trend, including metals, transportation, chemicals, lithium batteries, photovoltaics, and pig farming [4][7]