Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Synchronize with the Market" [2] Core Viewpoints - In April 2025, the overall pig output of listed pig companies decreased month-on-month but increased year-on-year, with a total output of 16.69 million heads, representing a year-on-year increase of 37.25% and a month-on-month decrease of 5.27% [6] - The average selling price of commodity pigs in April was 14.95 yuan/kg, showing a slight month-on-month increase of 1.05% [6] - The report suggests that the supply of commodity pigs will be marginally relaxed in 2025, with expected average selling prices lower than last year, but quality pig companies are likely to maintain good profitability due to low costs and efficiency advantages [6] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector experienced a decline of 2.02% in the last month, but a growth of 5.13% over three months, and a decline of 6.81% over twelve months [4] Key Stock Analysis - For the key stock "Muyuan Foods," the estimated EPS for 2024 is 3.27 yuan with a PE ratio of 11.99, while for 2025 it is projected to be 2.64 yuan with a PE ratio of 14.87, and for 2026, it is expected to be 3.93 yuan with a PE ratio of 9.98, with a rating of "Increase Holding" [6] Sales Data - In April, the commodity pig output from listed companies was 13.73 million heads, a month-on-month decrease of 2.88%, while the cumulative output from January to April was 52.35 million heads, a year-on-year increase of 18.91% [6] - The sales volume of piglets in April was 2.31 million heads, a month-on-month decrease of 18.68%, but the cumulative sales from January to April showed a significant year-on-year increase of 241.77% for Muyuan Foods [6]

Group 1 - Shandong is the second largest wheat-producing province in China, with winter wheat planting area expected to stabilize at over 6 million acres by 2025, maturing by the end of May [1] - A seed observation meeting is being held at a new wheat variety trial base in Shandong, serving as a "barometer" for the promotion of new wheat varieties in the northern Huanghuaihai region [3] - More than 30 new wheat varieties are showcased, with farmers able to select and order seeds on-site, indicating a proactive approach to seed selection [4] Group 2 - The contribution rate of good varieties to grain yield increase in Shandong has reached 47%, with a good variety coverage rate of 98% across the province [8] - Agricultural research institutions and seed companies are accelerating the breeding of good varieties to meet market demands for new wheat performance [9] Group 3 - In Sichuan, over 9.3 million acres of winter wheat are maturing, with advanced machinery improving harvesting efficiency by 40% [12] - The introduction of unmanned planting machines in the Nanniwan area enhances planting efficiency, reducing the labor required for rice planting from 4-5 people to just 1 [16] Group 4 - In Hubei, a former mining area has been transformed into productive farmland, with 16,000 acres of previously abandoned land being revitalized through government support and ecological restoration efforts [21]

Group 1 - The China Livestock Breeding Index (930707) has shown a slight increase of 0.18% as of May 19, 2025, with notable gains in stocks such as Xiangjia Co., Ltd. (002982) up by 6.62% and Yike Foods (301116) up by 1.73% [1] - The recent outbreak of highly pathogenic avian influenza in Brazil has led to a suspension of poultry imports from Brazil by Mexico, impacting the poultry market [1] - A report from Guojin Securities indicates that the price of white feather chickens has rebounded due to previous price drops and improved consumer demand, while the supply of breeding chickens has significantly decreased year-on-year [1] Group 2 - The macroeconomic policy adjustments are expected to gradually boost consumer demand, leading to an increase in poultry product consumption and a higher proportion of high-end products [2] - The dairy industry is anticipated to stabilize and recover in the second half of 2025, with ongoing low prices for raw milk and an acceleration in industry capacity reduction [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the China Livestock Breeding Index account for 69.38% of the index, with companies like Haida Group (002311) and Muyuan Foods (002714) being the most significant contributors [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry, particularly recommending stocks like Muyuan, Wens, and New Hope due to their competitive cost structures and potential for excess returns in the pig farming sector [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights a 2% week-on-week decline in live pig prices, with a significant year-on-year increase of 37.9% in the output of 20 listed pig companies in April [2]. - The report indicates that the breeding stock of sows has increased, suggesting a potential for normal profitability in pig farming in 2025, despite entering a downward price cycle [2]. - The report emphasizes the historical low valuations of leading pig farming companies, suggesting that they are well-positioned for recovery [2]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Overview - The agricultural sector index increased by 0.05% in the week of May 12-16, 2025, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index [14]. - The agricultural sector ranks 7th among 31 sub-industries in terms of performance since the beginning of 2025, with a year-to-date increase of 3.54% [14]. 2. Industry Data 2.1 Primary Agricultural Products - Corn prices are reported at 2374.90 CNY/ton, showing a week-on-week increase of 0.48% but a year-on-year decrease of 1.63% [35]. - Soybean prices remain stable at 3927.89 CNY/ton, with a year-on-year decline of 10.48% [35]. 2.2 Livestock - The average weight of pigs at slaughter remains stable at 129.71 kg, which is higher than the same period in 2023 and 2024 [2]. - The report notes that the output of listed pig companies reached 69.18 million heads in the first four months of 2025, marking a 30.1% year-on-year increase [2]. 3. Company Performance - The report lists the output of major listed pig companies, with Muyuan leading at 30.77 million heads, followed by Wens and New Hope [2]. - The report suggests that the introduction of new products in the pet food sector is driving rapid growth for domestic companies like Zhongchong and Guobao [5]. 4. Global Agricultural Trends - The global corn stock-to-use ratio for 2025/26 is projected to be the lowest since the 2015/16 season, indicating tightening supply conditions [3]. - The report forecasts a decrease in the global soybean stock-to-use ratio, reflecting similar trends in the corn market [3].

Group 1 - The company’s controlling shareholder, New Hope Group, issued a non-public offering of exchangeable bonds amounting to 6.5 billion RMB on March 22, 2023, with a maturity of 3 years and the underlying stock being New Hope A-shares [1] - New Hope Group completed the early repurchase of part of the "23 Hope E1" bonds [1] Group 2 - On April 30, 2025, New Hope Group announced the repurchase implementation of "23 Hope E1," with the repurchase declaration period from May 6 to May 8, 2025 [2] - A total of 190,000 bonds were effectively declared for repurchase, amounting to a face value of 19 million RMB, which was fully paid on May 15, 2025 [2] - After the repurchase, the remaining face value of "23 Hope E1" bonds is 5.7555 billion RMB, and New Hope Group will continue to make payments as per the original agreement [2]

Group 1: Market Environment and Development Strategy - The future of the pig farming industry focuses on cost reduction through breeding and digitalization, transitioning from "raising good pigs" to "raising 'good' pigs" [1][2] - The feed business aims to find niche opportunities in the domestic market and expand in overseas markets, prioritizing volume to enhance efficiency [2][3] Group 2: Business Planning and Growth Drivers - The company plans to drive growth through a dual focus on pig farming and feed, leveraging three business units: feed, overseas operations, and pig farming [3][4] - The strategic goal for the feed industry is "steady growth," emphasizing scale and professional operations, while the overseas strategy aims for "breakthrough growth" [4][5] Group 3: Financial Performance and Goals - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 450 million yuan, a 123% increase year-on-year, marking its first profitable Q1 in three years [23] - The asset-liability ratio was 69.2% in Q1 2025, with plans to further reduce it through improved operations and potential equity financing [23][24] Group 4: Challenges and Risks - Prolonged drought conditions in regions like Shaanxi and Henan could impact crop yields and raw material supply, leading to increased prices [6][7] - The company faces pressure from increased pig supply due to a gradual recovery in the breeding stock, but expects demand to improve with macroeconomic policies [15][16] Group 5: Sustainability and Innovation - The company has made significant strides in sustainable development across various areas, including digitalization and ecological farming [6][7] - Investments in artificial intelligence are expected to enhance production management efficiency in both feed and pig farming operations [33][34]

值得一提的是，伴随着生猪养殖业务逐步走向稳健发展状态，海外饲料业务有望成为新希望发力的下一 个增长点。 新希望财务总监史涵在本次业绩说明会上表示，公司看好海外饲料业务的发展，未来海外饲料业务将成 为其业务增长的"第三极"。公司从去年下半年开始通过一系列规划，计划未来3年至5年对海外有300万 从今年一季度来看，大部分A股生猪养殖领域公司的净利润实现盈利，同比显著提升。中关村物联网产 业联盟副秘书长袁帅认为，2025年，生猪养殖行业整体发展趋势呈现出积极态势。 "一方面，猪肉的市场需求有望保持稳定增长，另一方面，行业规模化、一体化进程的加速推进，将进 一步提升生猪养殖的效率和竞争力。与此同时，行业面临着猪价波动、饲料原材料价格上涨以及动物疫 病防控等因素带来的挑战。因此，生猪养殖企业还需要密切关注市场动态，加强风险管理，通过技术创 新和成本控制来应对市场变化，以实现可持续发展。"袁帅说道。 从新希望的经营状况来看，公司在一季度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润为4.45亿元，这是公司近三 年来首次一季度盈利。其中，饲料业务表现亮眼，生猪业务在成本改善和猪价相对稳定的情况下，也实 现了一定程度盈利。 新希望相关负责人 ...

Group 1 - The conference held in Chengdu's Xinjin District focused on promoting high-quality development of the private economy, attracting nearly 500 guests and industry experts [1] - Liu Yonghao, Chairman of New Hope Group, shared insights on the company's 43-year journey in agriculture, emphasizing the importance of modernizing agriculture and improving farmers' livelihoods [3] - Xinjin District released its first innovation list for 2025, covering six key areas including artificial intelligence and green food, aimed at addressing government and market needs [3] Group 2 - The conference included a signing ceremony for projects with a total investment exceeding 10 billion, involving 16 companies such as China Resources Beverage and Zhiki Food, injecting new vitality into the local economy [3] - Xinjin's private economy accounted for 66.3% of its GDP in 2024, ranking first in Chengdu, with a contribution of 94.4% to GDP and 75.6% to tax revenue [4] - The district plans to enhance market opportunities, eliminate hidden barriers, and promote efficient resource allocation to foster a fair competitive environment for market entities [4]

Group 1 - The controlling shareholder, New Hope Group, completed the early repurchase of part of the 2023 convertible bonds issued on March 22, 2023, with a total issuance size of 6.5 billion RMB [1][2] - The bonds, referred to as "23 Hope E1," have a maturity of 3 years and are backed by New Hope's A-share stock [1] - The repurchase announcement was made on April 30, 2025, with the repurchase period set from May 6 to May 8, 2025, during which 190,000 bonds were effectively repurchased [2] Group 2 - The total face value of the repurchased bonds amounted to 19 million RMB, which includes the principal and interest [2] - Following the repurchase, the remaining face value of the "23 Hope E1" bonds will be managed by New Hope Group, which will also apply for the cancellation of the corresponding trust registration with the China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation [2] - The company will continue to monitor the related matters of the controlling shareholder and fulfill its information disclosure obligations as required by law [2]

本公司控股股东新希望集团有限公司保证向本公司提供的信息内容真实、 准确、完整，没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容与信息披露义务人提供的信 息一致。 新希望六和股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）控股股东新希望 集团有限公司（以下简称"新希望集团"）于2023年3月22日面向专 业投资者非公开发行65亿元可交换公司债券（以下简称"本期可交 债"），债券简称"23希望E1"，债券代码"117205.SZ"，发行规 模65亿元人民币，本期可交债期限为3年，标的股票为新希望A股股 票。 新希望六和股份有限公司 关于控股股东完成非公开发行2023年可交换公司债券 （第一期）部分购回的公告 证券代码：000876 证券简称：新希望 公告编号：2025-50 债券代码：127015、127049 债券简称：希望转债、希望转2 董 事 会 二○二五年五月十七日 公司将持续关注控股股东新希望集团"23希望E1"的相关事宜， 并将根据相关法律法规及时履行信息披露义务。 特此公告。 新希望六和股份有限公司 公司于近日收到新希望集团的通知，新希望集团已完成提前购 回部分"23希望E1"的工作。 ...