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农林牧渔周观点:贸易博弈下重视板块投资机会,关注宠食国产品牌3月线上销售增长-20250414
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-04-14 08:45
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating that the agricultural sector is expected to outperform the overall market [2][5]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the strategic value of the agricultural sector under the backdrop of unexpected tariff policies and the "internal circulation + self-control" approach, highlighting investment opportunities across various sub-sectors [5][3]. - The report notes a significant increase in online sales of pet food, with March sales reaching 2.65 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23% and a month-on-month increase of 44% [3][5]. Summary by Relevant Sections Agricultural Sector Performance - The Shenwan Agricultural Index rose by 3.3%, while the CSI 300 Index fell by 2.9% during the week [3][4]. - Top five gainers included Shen Nong Technology (35.7%), Xin Sai Co. (32.2%), Jin He Biological (28.8%), Wanxiang De Nong (24.9%), and Bei Da Huang (19.7%) [4][12]. Livestock Farming - Swine prices are expected to fluctuate, with the average price for external three yuan pigs at 14.80 yuan/kg, a week-on-week increase of 1.4% [3][13]. - The report anticipates a potential decline in pig prices due to increased supply in the second quarter, suggesting a left-side investment opportunity in the sector [3][5]. Poultry Farming - The price of white chicken chicks continues to weaken, with the average price at 2.54 yuan/chick, a week-on-week decrease of 7.64% [3][5]. - The report highlights the importance of monitoring consumer demand, particularly in the restaurant and catering sectors, as a key factor affecting the poultry market [3][5]. Pet Food Industry - The report indicates that domestic brands are likely to gain market share as the cost-effectiveness of imported pet food declines [5][3]. - Key companies in the pet food sector, such as Guai Bao Pet and Zhong Chong Co., reported significant growth in sales, with Guai Bao Pet achieving a 47% year-on-year increase in March [3][5]. Seed Industry - The necessity for self-control in the seed industry is increasingly evident, with a push towards biological breeding and accelerated industrialization [5][3]. - The report recommends focusing on companies like Longping High-Tech and Dabeinong in the seed sector [5][3].
农林牧渔行业周报:受益第三批转基因初审通过,种植面积有望提升-20250413
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-04-13 14:41
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the potential for increased planting area due to the approval of the third batch of genetically modified crops, which includes 97 corn and 2 soybean varieties [5][15] - The report indicates that domestic companies focusing on high-yield genetically modified soybeans may benefit from reduced overseas supply due to trade tensions between China and the U.S. [6][17] - The report emphasizes the recovery potential in the pig farming sector, with rising prices supported by increased demand and reduced imports of meat [20][26] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The third batch of genetically modified crops has been approved, which is expected to increase the planting area significantly, with projections suggesting that the planting area for genetically modified corn may exceed 5 million acres by 2025 [5][15] - The approval of genetically modified crops aligns with national policies aimed at strengthening food security and promoting agricultural innovation [15][35] Weekly Viewpoint - The pig farming sector shows low valuation and recovery potential, with recommendations for companies such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs [26] - The pet food market is expected to grow significantly, driven by rising consumer spending and domestic brands gaining market share [29] Market Performance - The agriculture index outperformed the market by 6.38 percentage points, with significant gains in the planting sector [30][33] - Key stocks such as Western Animal Husbandry and Shennong Technology saw substantial increases in their share prices [34] Price Tracking - As of April 11, the average price of live pigs was 14.66 yuan/kg, reflecting a slight increase from the previous week [37] - The average price of beef also saw an increase, reaching 67.21 yuan/kg [43]
农林牧渔2025年第15周周报:3月第三方能繁增幅部分样本收窄,重视生猪板块预期差!
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-04-13 12:23
Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [12] Core Views - The pig sector shows a narrowing increase in breeding sows, indicating a need to focus on the expectation gap in the pig market [1][3] - The poultry sector, particularly broilers, is experiencing low valuations and potential elasticity in prices due to supply and demand dynamics [19][21] - The planting sector emphasizes food security and the strategic importance of biological breeding, with a focus on self-sufficiency [23] - The pet sector is witnessing a rise in domestic brands and exports, indicating a robust growth trajectory [24][25] - The feed sector is recommended for investment due to its fundamental turning point and relatively low valuations [26] Summary by Sections Pig Sector - As of April 12, the average price of pigs in China is 14.70 CNY/kg, remaining stable week-on-week, with a profit of approximately 164 CNY per head for self-breeding farms [1][16] - The supply side shows a slight decrease in average weight of pigs slaughtered, while demand remains weak, leading to a potential seasonal decline in prices [2][17] - The sector is characterized by low valuations, with major companies like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs trading at historical lows [3][18] Poultry Sector - The broiler market faces uncertainties due to import restrictions and trade tensions, impacting supply [19][20] - Prices for broiler chicks have increased, with the average price for broiler chicks in Shandong at 3.25 CNY per chick [20] - Investment recommendations include Shengnong Development and Yisheng Livestock, with a focus on the potential for price recovery [20][21] Planting Sector - The report highlights the importance of food security, with significant imports of soybeans, corn, and wheat from the US [23] - The government is pushing for advancements in agricultural technology, particularly in biological breeding [23] - Recommended companies include Longping High-Tech and Dabeinong [23] Pet Sector - The domestic pet brand market is growing rapidly, with sales on Douyin reaching 818 million CNY in March, a year-on-year increase of 24.32% [24] - Exports of pet food are also increasing, with a total of 52,800 tons exported in the first two months of 2025, reflecting a 17.11% year-on-year growth [24][25] - Key companies to watch include Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co [25] Feed Sector - Hai Da Group is highlighted as a key investment opportunity due to improving market conditions in aquaculture feed [26] - The report notes a significant recovery in prices for various aquatic products, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [26][27]
圣农发展(002299):24年业绩逐季度改善,25Q1逆势再突破
CMS· 2025-04-13 06:32
证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 04 月 13 日 圣农发展(002299.SZ) 24 年业绩逐季度改善,25Q1 逆势再突破 消费品/农林牧渔 综合造肉成本持续下行&食品端发力共同驱动公司 2024 年业绩逐季度改善;成 本优化及 C 端高增助力公司 25Q1 逆势再突破,看好公司发展前景。 ❑ 风险提示:鸡价上涨不达预期;自然灾害风险;原料成本上涨风险;动物疫 病风险;食品安全风险。 财务数据与估值 | 会计年度 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 18487 | 18586 | 21524 | 24926 | 28867 | | 同比增长 | 10% | 1% | 16% | 16% | 16% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 759 | 802 | 1213 | 1516 | 1815 | | 同比增长 | 56% | 6% | 51% | 25% | 20% | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 664 | 724 | 1104 | 138 ...
圣农发展2024年财报:净利润增长9.03%,但营收增速放缓至0.53%
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-04-12 04:31
2025年4月12日,圣农发展(002299)发布了2024年年报。报告显示,公司实现营业总收入185.86亿 元,同比增长0.53%;归属净利润7.24亿元,同比增长9.03%;扣非净利润6.91亿元,同比增长3.58%。 尽管净利润有所增长,但营业收入的增速明显放缓,显示出公司在市场拓展和产品创新方面面临一定压 力。 此外,公司的主要产品——冻、鲜鸡肉及深加工产品的销售增速也有所放缓。2024年,鸡肉生食销售量 为140.27万吨,同比增长14.72%;深加工肉制品销售量为31.69万吨,同比增长6.32%。虽然销量有所增 长,但增速较往年有所下降,表明公司在产品创新和市场拓展方面仍需加强。 成本控制成效显著,但毛利率提升有限 报告期内,圣农发展在成本控制方面取得了显著成效。公司通过优化种源、精细化管理和数字化转型, 进一步降低了生产成本。特别是自研种鸡"圣泽901Plus"在料肉比等关键指标上的持续优化,为公司带 来了显著的成本优势。2024年,公司的综合造肉成本较2023年下降了约10%。 营收增速放缓,市场竞争加剧 然而,C端业务的增长面临一定挑战。尽管公司在零售渠道上加大了渗透力度,但面对零售行业 ...
机构风向标 | 圣农发展(002299)2024年四季度已披露持股减少机构超10家
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-12 01:21
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the disclosure of shareholding information for Shengnong Development (002299.SZ) as of April 11, 2025, highlighting significant institutional investor participation [1] - A total of 235 institutional investors hold shares in Shengnong Development, with a combined holding of 774 million shares, representing 62.24% of the total share capital [1] - The top ten institutional investors account for 57.12% of the total shares, with a decrease of 1.07 percentage points compared to the previous quarter [1] Group 2 - In the public fund sector, two funds increased their holdings, while eleven funds decreased their holdings, with a total decrease of 1.31% [2] - A total of 214 new public funds were disclosed this period, indicating active market participation [2] - For social security funds, there was an increase in holdings from one fund, the National Social Security Fund 102 Portfolio, with an increase of 0.41% [2] - Foreign investment sentiment showed an increase in holdings from one foreign fund, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, with an increase of 0.33% [2]
福建圣农发展股份有限公司2024年年度报告摘要
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-04-11 20:56
登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 证券代码:002299 证券简称:圣农发展 公告编号:2025-015 一、重要提示 本年度报告摘要来自年度报告全文,为全面了解本公司的经营成果、财务状况及未来发展规划,投资者 应当到证监会指定媒体仔细阅读年度报告全文。 所有董事均已出席了审议本报告的董事会会议。 非标准审计意见提示 □适用 √不适用 董事会审议的报告期利润分配预案或公积金转增股本预案 √适用 □不适用 是否以公积金转增股本 □是 √否 公司经本次董事会审议通过的利润分配预案为:以实施分配方案时股权登记日的总股本扣除公司回购专 户上已回购股份后的股份为基数,向全体股东每10股派发现金红利2元(含税),送红股0股(含税), 不以公积金转增股本。 董事会决议通过的本报告期优先股利润分配预案 □适用 √不适用 二、公司基本情况 1、公司简介 一、报告期内公司所处行业情况 公司属于白羽肉鸡生产及肉类食品深加工行业,公司是目前中国唯一拥有白羽鸡自研种鸡并实现对外批 量销售的企业,是中国最大的集祖代、父母代种鸡和商品代肉鸡养殖于一体的白羽肉鸡生产企业,是中 国最大的鸡肉食品深加工企业。 1. 行业概况 ( ...
圣农发展(002299) - 2024年年度审计报告
2025-04-11 12:04
审计报告 福建圣农发展股份有限公司 容诚审字[2025]361Z0105 号 容诚会计师事务所(特殊普通合伙) 中国·北京 目 录 | 序号 | 内 | 容 | 页码 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 审计报告 | | 1 - | 6 | | | 2 | 合并资产负债表 | | 1 | | | | 3 | 合并利润表 | | 2 | | | | 4 | 合并现金流量表 | | 3 | | | | 5 | 合并股东权益变动表 | | 4 | | | | 6 | 母公司资产负债表 | | 5 | | | | 7 | 母公司利润表 | | 6 | | | | 8 | 母公司现金流量表 | | 7 | | | | 9 | 母公司股东权益变动表 | | 8 | | | | 10 | 财务报表附注 | | 9 - | | 128 | 容诚会计师事务所(特殊普通合伙) 总所:北京市西城区阜成门外大街 号 幢 层 至 福建圣农发展股份有限公司全体股东: 一、审计意见 审 计 报 告 容诚审字[2025]361Z0105 号 我们审计了福建圣农发展股份有限公司( ...
圣农发展(002299) - 年度关联方资金占用专项审计报告
2025-04-11 12:04
非经营性资金占用及其他关联资金 往来情况专项说明 福建圣农发展股份有限公司 容诚专字[2025]361Z0140 号 容诚会计师事务所(特殊普通合伙) 中国·北京 容诚会计师事务所(特殊普通合伙) 总所:北京市西城区阜成门外大街 号 幢 层 至 关于福建圣农发展股份有限公司 非经营性资金占用及其他关联资金往来情况专项说明 容诚专字[2025]361Z0140 号 福建圣农发展股份有限公司全体股东: 我们接受委托,依据中国注册会计师审计准则审计了福建圣农发展股份有限 公司(以下简称圣农发展公司)2024 年 12 月 31 日的合并及母公司资产负债表, 2024 年度的合并及母公司利润表、合并及母公司现金流量表和合并及母公司股东 权益变动表以及财务报表附注,并于 2025 年 4 月 11 日出具了容诚审字 [2025]361Z0105 号的无保留意见审计报告。 根据中国证券监督管理委员会《上市公司监管指引第 8 号——上市公司资金 往来、对外担保的监管要求》的要求及深圳证券交易所《深圳证券交易所上市公司 自律监管指南第 1 号——业务办理》的规定,圣农发展公司管理层编制了后附的 福建圣农发展股份有限公司 20 ...
圣农发展(002299) - 内部控制审计报告
2025-04-11 12:04
内部控制审计报告 福建圣农发展股份有限公司 容诚审字[2025]361Z0104 号 容诚会计师事务所(特殊普通合伙) 中国·北京 容诚会计师事务所(特殊普通合伙) 总所:北京市西城区阜成门外大街 号 幢 层 至 内部控制审计报告 容诚审字[2025]361Z0104 号 福建圣农发展股份有限公司全体股东: 按照《企业内部控制审计指引》及中国注册会计师执业准则的相关要求,我 们审计了福建圣农发展股份有限公司(以下简称圣农发展公司)2024 年 12 月 31 日的财务报告内部控制的有效性。 一、企业对内部控制的责任 三、内部控制的固有局限性 内部控制具有固有局限性,存在不能防止和发现错报的可能性。此外,由于 情况的变化可能导致内部控制变得不恰当,或对控制政策和程序遵循的程度降低, 根据内部控制审计结果推测未来内部控制的有效性具有一定风险。 四、财务报告内部控制审计意见 我们认为,圣农发展公司于 2024 年 12 月 31 日按照《企业内部控制基本规范》 和相关规定在所有重大方面保持了有效的财务报告内部控制。 1 (此页无正文,为福建圣农发展股份有限公司容诚审字[2025]361Z0104 号 报告之签字盖章 ...