（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯大北农7月30日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，2025年一季度公司实现归母净利润 1.34亿元，其中，饲料板块创利超1亿元；2025年半年度业绩请关注公司2025年半年度报告。公司始终 秉承合规经营的原则，严格遵守相关法律法规。 ...

Core Insights - The concentrated feed industry in China is experiencing a decline in production, with a projected output of 12.94 million tons in 2024, representing an 8.8% year-on-year decrease, primarily due to reduced demand from the livestock sector and rising raw material costs [1][11][19] - The average prices of concentrated feed are also on a downward trend, with specific prices for fattening pig feed at 5 CNY/kg (down 4.4%), layer chicken feed at 3.54 CNY/kg (down 4.4%), and broiler feed at 4.13 CNY/kg (down 5.5%) in the first half of 2025 [13][19] Industry Overview - Concentrated feed, also known as protein supplement feed, is a processed feed with moisture content below 12%, providing essential nutrients like proteins, minerals, and vitamins, and is characterized by high nutritional density and energy content [1][3] - The industry is currently in an adjustment phase, influenced by a decrease in livestock farming demand and increased raw material prices, leading to a shift towards mixed feed [1][11] Industry Policies - The Chinese government has introduced several policies to promote the development of the concentrated feed industry, including initiatives for healthy farming practices and the comprehensive utilization of agricultural by-products [5][6][22] - Key policies include the promotion of low-protein diets and support for the exploration and efficient use of new feed resources [6][22] Industry Chain - The concentrated feed industry chain consists of upstream raw materials (corn, sorghum, fish meal, etc.), midstream production processes, and downstream applications in livestock farming [7][11] Competitive Landscape - Large feed companies dominate the market due to their advantages in brand, scale, and technology, while small and medium enterprises face challenges in technology and market share [15][19] - Major players in the industry include New Hope Liuhe, Haida Group, and Beijing Dabeinong Technology Group [15][19] Development Trends - The industry is expected to see advancements in technology and product innovation, with a focus on personalized and high-end market demands [21] - There is a push for green development in response to stricter environmental regulations, encouraging companies to reduce pollution and improve resource efficiency [22] - The internationalization of the concentrated feed industry is accelerating, with opportunities for growth in export markets driven by initiatives like the Belt and Road [24]

截至7月29日收盘，猪肉概念下跌1.35%，位居概念板块跌幅榜前列，板块内，神农集团、牧原股份、 龙大美食等跌幅居前。 今日涨跌幅居前的概念板块 | 概念 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 概念 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | CRO概念 | 4.00 | 猪肉 | -1.35 | | 重组蛋白 | 2.90 | 养鸡 | -1.12 | | 创新药 | 2.79 | 草甘膦 | -1.10 | | 减肥药 | 2.76 | 粮食概念 | -1.00 | | F5G概念 | 2.43 | 芬太尼 | -0.88 | | 细胞免疫治疗 | 2.42 | PEEK材料 | -0.85 | | 仿制药一致性评价 | 2.30 | 预制菜 | -0.85 | | 共封装光学(CPO) | 2.23 | 生态农业 | -0.78 | | 特钢概念 | 2.08 | C2M概念 | -0.78 | | 先进封装 | 1.91 | 人造肉 | -0.76 | 资金面上看，今日猪肉概念板块获主力资金净流出7.65亿元，其中，28股获主力资金净流出，5股主力 资金净流出超3000万元， ...

| 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 今日换手率（%） | 主力资金流量（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300021 | 大禹节水 | -4.74 | 27.16 | -10318.95 | | 601952 | 苏垦农发 | -1.52 | 1.50 | -5685.83 | | 300189 | 神农种业 | -1.24 | 13.58 | -4563.41 | | 002385 | 大北农 | -1.18 | 2.72 | -4346.46 | | 600598 | 北大荒 | -0.47 | 1.20 | -3586.88 | | 600300 | 维维股份 | -0.28 | 4.59 | -3257.62 | | 600186 | 莲花控股 | -0.82 | 2.53 | -2311.25 | | 002419 | 天虹股份 | -1.21 | 1.57 | -2255.27 | | 600108 | 亚盛集团 | -1.31 | 1.85 | -2065.83 | | 300087 | 荃银高科 | -0.55 | 2.15 | -20 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The agricultural sector's public fund heavy holdings increased in Q2 2025, benefiting from US-China tariff disturbances and policy catalysts, with total market capitalization rising to 13,208 billion yuan, up 6.80% quarter-on-quarter [13][12] - The investment logic for the pig industry is improving marginally, with expectations for a price increase in H2 2025 driven by both fundamental and policy factors [23][5] - The pet sector is experiencing a rise in domestic brands, supported by consumption upgrades and tariff barriers, with the pet food market expected to exceed 60 billion yuan by 2025 [26][25] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The agricultural sector's public fund heavy holdings increased, with a total market capitalization of 13,208 billion yuan, representing 1.74% of the A-share market [13][12] - The pig price is expected to stabilize and rise due to ongoing capacity adjustments and supply pressures [4][16] Weekly Market Performance (July 21-25) - The agricultural index outperformed the market by 1.95 percentage points, with the agricultural index rising 3.62% [27][29] - Leading stocks included Shen Nong Group (+15.42%), Zhong Ji Health (+11.63%), and Bang Ji Technology (+11.41%) [32][27] Price Tracking (July 21-25) - The average price of live pigs was 14.15 yuan/kg, down 0.12% from the previous week, while the average price of piglets was 31.89 yuan/kg, also down 0.07% [35][38] - The price of soybean meal increased to 2,983 yuan/ton, up 1.86% week-on-week, driven by rising import costs [19][49] Key Recommendations - Recommended stocks in the pig sector include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff, and Juxing Agriculture [5][23] - In the feed sector, recommended stocks include Haida Group and New Hope [5][23] - For the pet sector, recommended stocks include Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Petty Co. [25][26]

Investment Rating - Investment rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The industry is experiencing a supply contraction due to overselling of live pigs since June, leading to a potential increase in pig prices in Q3 2025. The average selling price of live pigs in June 2025 was 14.28 yuan/kg, down 2.28% month-on-month and down 21.99% year-on-year [4][15] - The supply-demand dynamics are improving, with the gross white price difference strengthening month-on-month. As of July 17, 2025, the gross white price difference was 4.71 yuan/kg, an increase of 0.45 yuan/kg compared to June, although lower than the same period in 2024 [5][27] - The industry is entering a critical supply contraction phase, with expectations for the price center of live pigs to rise monthly [4][15] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - Since June, the overselling of live pigs has intensified, leading to a supply contraction. The average price of live pigs in June 2025 was 14.28 yuan/kg, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 2.28% and a year-on-year decrease of 21.99% [4][15] - The monitoring sample indicated a slaughter volume of 4.3168 million heads in June 2025, down 6.20% month-on-month but up 12.22% year-on-year [4][15] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The gross white price difference has improved, indicating a stronger supply-demand balance. The national frozen product storage rate was 16.85%, down 0.03 percentage points year-on-year [5][27] - The industry is currently in a supply contraction phase, with expectations for the price center of live pigs to rise gradually [4][15] Company Performance - As of July 10, 2025, 12 listed pig farming companies reported a total of 16.1481 million heads sold in June, a year-on-year increase of 45.98% [6][34] - The average selling prices for major listed pig companies decreased month-on-month, with specific companies reporting the following prices: Muyuan Foods at 14.08 yuan/kg, Wens Foodstuff Group at 14.39 yuan/kg, and New Hope Liuhe at 14.18 yuan/kg [7][41]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the investment logic for live pigs is marginally improving, supported by both fundamental and policy factors, with expectations of rising prices in the second half of 2025 [25] - The domestic pet consumption market remains stable, but trade tensions have put pressure on exports, with a notable decline in sales and export figures [20][29] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - Short-term supply increases have led to a decline in pig prices, but after market adjustments, prices may rise further [4][13] - As of July 18, the average price of live pigs was 14.19 yuan/kg, down 3.34% from the previous week [13][14] Weekly Market Performance - The agriculture index underperformed the market by 0.83 percentage points, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.69% [30][32] - The animal health sector showed the highest gains among sub-sectors [30] Price Tracking - The average price of live pigs decreased to 14.27 yuan/kg, while the price of piglets increased slightly to 31.96 yuan/kg [41] - The price of corn decreased to 2473 yuan/ton, while soybean meal prices rose to 2928 yuan/ton [15][56] Key News - As of the end of Q2 2025, the number of breeding sows was reported at 40.43 million, with overall meat production showing a slight increase [38] - The report indicates a stable trend in domestic pet food sales, with a total of 31.87 billion yuan in sales for June, down 7.98% year-on-year [20][23] Recommendations - Recommended stocks in the pig farming sector include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others, while in the feed sector, Hai Da Group and New Hope Liuhe are highlighted [25][29]

Group 1 - The animal vaccine sector experienced a decline of 0.96%, ranking among the top losers in the concept sector, with companies like BioShares, Zhongmu, and Pulaike leading the declines [1][2] - Among the animal vaccine stocks, five companies saw price increases, with Luoniushan, Weilan Biology, and Dabeinong rising by 1.42%, 1.38%, and 0.73% respectively [1][2] - The animal vaccine sector faced a net outflow of 218 million yuan from main funds, with 12 stocks experiencing outflows, and six stocks seeing outflows exceeding 10 million yuan [2][3] Group 2 - The top net outflow stock was BioShares, with a net outflow of 128 million yuan, followed by Xianfeng Holdings, Jinhai Biological, and Zhongmu, with net outflows of 41.99 million yuan, 26.07 million yuan, and 25.32 million yuan respectively [2][3] - Conversely, the stocks with the highest net inflow included Dabeinong, Luoniushan, and Weilan Biology, attracting net inflows of 34.95 million yuan, 23.76 million yuan, and 13.06 million yuan respectively [2][3] - The detailed outflow data for the animal vaccine sector shows significant declines in stock prices, with BioShares down by 5.56% and a turnover rate of 11.26% [2][3]

Group 1 - The establishment of the Agricultural Biological Manufacturing - Feed Innovation Consortium aims to enhance collaboration among leading enterprises, universities, and research institutions to drive technological and industrial innovation in the feed industry [1] - The consortium will utilize synthetic biology technology to create microbial cell factories for producing high-quality, environmentally friendly, and nutritious biological feed products, promoting a resource-efficient and ecologically safe aquaculture production system [1] - The first working meeting of the consortium was attended by ten founding units, including Beijing Dabeinong Technology Group Co., Ltd., and various universities and research institutes, to discuss key tasks and division of responsibilities [1] Group 2 - The SynBioCon 2025 conference will be held from August 20-22 in Ningbo, Zhejiang, focusing on five key areas: AI + biological manufacturing, green chemicals and new materials, future food, future agriculture, and beauty raw materials [3] - The conference aims to explore the development trends of the biological manufacturing industry during the 14th Five-Year Plan and identify innovative technologies and products that will sustain the industry's vitality [3] - The event will facilitate the scaling of products and the transfer and transformation of scientific and technological achievements [3]

Group 1 - The company expects to turn a profit in the first half of 2025, with a projected net profit between 19 million and 25 million yuan, compared to a loss in the same period last year [1][2] - The seed business has shown significant growth, with rice seed sales increasing by over 100% and corn seed sales increasing by over 300% year-on-year [1] - The company has improved its feed business, with sales growth and reduced operating expenses due to enhanced management and efficiency [1] Group 2 - The company has reported a total of 3.8347 million pigs sold from its controlled and affiliated companies, representing a year-on-year increase of 34.64% [2] - Continuous improvements in production metrics and breeding capabilities have led to a decrease in pig farming costs, contributing to profitability in the pig farming segment [2]