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研报掘金丨东兴证券:维持兴森科技“推荐”评级,AI驱动IC载板涨价潮持续
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-02-10 06:31
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the profitability of Xing Sen Technology's main business has significantly improved, with expectations to turn profitable by 2025 [1] - The AI-driven substrate market is experiencing high demand, and the company's scarce production capacity is becoming increasingly valuable [1] - Xing Sen Technology is one of the few domestic manufacturers with both BT and ABF substrate capabilities, making its production and technical capabilities particularly rare in the current market context [1] Group 2 - The demand for IC substrates is expected to continue rising due to explosive growth in AI chips, high-performance computing (HPC), and 5G communication sectors, leading the industry into a new growth phase [1] - The global IC substrate market is projected to reach USD 16.69 billion by 2025, increase to USD 18.44 billion by 2026, and eventually expand to USD 45.34 billion by 2035 [1] - The market is anticipated to grow at a robust compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.51% from 2026 to 2035 [1] Group 3 - The company is expected to benefit from the AI wave, with its PCB and semiconductor businesses continuing to perform well [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) projections for the company are estimated at CNY 0.08, CNY 0.25, and CNY 0.40 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] - The report maintains a "recommend" rating for the company [1]
兴森科技:2025年业绩预告点评:扭亏为盈,AI驱动IC载板涨价潮持续-20260209
Dongxing Securities· 2026-02-09 09:50
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, benefiting from the AI wave and the dual drive of PCB and semiconductor businesses [2][12]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 132 million and 140 million yuan in 2025, marking a significant turnaround from losses [3][4]. - The recovery in the company's main business profitability is attributed to industry recovery and stable revenue growth, with significant contributions from FCBGA packaging substrate and high-layer PCB businesses [4][5]. - The demand for IC substrates is driven by the explosion in AI server demand, leading to a price surge in packaging substrates, particularly for BT substrates and ABF substrates, with a supply-demand gap reaching 21% and prices increasing by 38% over the past year [5][6]. - The global IC substrate market is projected to grow from 16.69 billion USD in 2025 to 18.44 billion USD in 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.51% expected from 2026 to 2035 [6]. Financial Performance Summary - The company forecasts revenues of 6.86 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 17.96%, and net profits are expected to increase significantly in the following years [14]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.08 yuan, 0.25 yuan, and 0.40 yuan, respectively [12][14]. - The company’s net profit margin is expected to improve from 1.83% in 2025 to 6.39% in 2027, reflecting a recovery in profitability [15].
兴森科技(002436):公司2025年业绩预告点评:扭亏为盈,AI驱动IC载板涨价潮持续
Dongxing Securities· 2026-02-09 08:50
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, benefiting from the AI wave and the dual drive of PCB and semiconductor business growth [2][12]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 132 million and 140 million yuan in 2025, marking a significant turnaround from losses [3][4]. - The recovery in the company's main business profitability is attributed to industry recovery and stable revenue growth, with notable contributions from FCBGA packaging substrate and high-layer PCB businesses [4][5]. - The demand for IC substrates is driven by the explosion in AI server demand, leading to a price surge in packaging substrate products, particularly BT and ABF substrates, with a supply-demand gap reaching 21% and prices increasing by 38% over the past year [5][6]. - The global IC substrate market is projected to grow from 16.69 billion USD in 2025 to 18.44 billion USD in 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.51% expected from 2026 to 2035 [6]. Financial Performance Summary - The company forecasts revenues of 6.86 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 17.96%, and net profits are expected to increase significantly to 432.7 million yuan in 2026 [14][15]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.08 yuan in 2025, 0.25 yuan in 2026, and 0.40 yuan in 2027, reflecting a strong recovery trajectory [12][14]. - The net profit margin is expected to improve from 1.83% in 2025 to 4.84% in 2026, indicating enhanced profitability [15].
未知机构:长江TMT医药最新观点汇总0208电子1PCB-20260209
未知机构· 2026-02-09 02:25
Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview 1. PCB (Printed Circuit Board) - The PCB sector has shown weak performance since Q4 of last year, primarily due to divergent market views on orthogonal backplane solutions, with some believing they may be replaced by copper cables/CPO or delayed until 2028. However, the orthogonal backplane is currently progressing steadily and is expected to enter mass production in H2 2027. Leading companies are experiencing stock price stagnation due to these divergences, highlighting their cost-effectiveness. Recommended companies include Dongshan Precision, Shenghong Technology, and Huidian Co. [1] - The CoWoP (Chip on Wafer on PCB) solution has stronger certainty, can reduce costs, improve efficiency, and bypass the shortage of substrate capacity. The value per square meter of PCB may increase several times, potentially reaching tenfold, with product launches expected by the end of 2027 and full implementation in 2028. Recommended companies in this direction include Pengding Holdings, Shennan Circuit, and Xinsong Technology. [1] 2. Storage - Contract prices remain in an upward cycle despite fluctuations in spot prices. Module companies are expected to see explosive Q1 performance, with Jiangbolong and Demingli realizing low-priced inventory. Recommended design companies include Zhaoyi Innovation (with a profit expectation of 6 billion) and Puran Co., Beijing Junzheng, and Hengshuo Co. [2] - Demand for memory modules is driven by AI servers and general servers, with recommendations for Lanke Technology (long-term profit of 10 billion) and Jucheng Co. (long-term profit of 1.5 billion). [2] 3. Communication - The recent decline in optical modules is related to the pullback of US tech stocks and speculation around CPO concepts. However, industry sources (such as Coherent and Xuchuang) indicate that CPO's potential to replace optical modules in ScaleOut scenarios is low, suggesting that short-term speculation may be excessive. [2] - North American cloud service providers have exceeded capital expenditure guidance for 2026 (620 billion, up 65% year-on-year), indicating potential accelerated demand for optical modules in 2027. Key upcoming catalysts include Nvidia's quarterly report (February 26), GTC conference (March), and OFC exhibition (NPO product showcase). Recommended companies include Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyisheng, and Dongshan Precision. [2] - For copper connections as a Plan B alternative to orthogonal backplanes, companies to watch include Luxshare Precision, Wokai Nuclear Materials, and Huiju Technology (with potential for stock doubling). [2] - The price of scattered fiber has surged in the short term (from 25 to 50 yuan), but the low willingness of operators to raise prices raises doubts about long-term sustainability. [2] 4. Computing - Domestic computing resources are in short supply, with the recent downtime of Qianwen highlighting the scarcity of AI foundational resources. The demand for CPUs is expected to rise due to increased usage of agents compared to chatbots. Recommended companies include Haiguang Information (benefiting from both CPU and GPU), Cambrian (leading domestic AI chip manufacturer), and Tianshu Zhixin (expected to accelerate integration with leading players). [2] - Cloud infrastructure resources are expected to benefit from price increases, with recommendations for Kingsoft Cloud, Wangsu Technology, and Fourth Paradigm. [2] - In the AI application sector, the recent drop in overseas software and restructuring of SaaS business models may lead to a narrative reversal with the launch of native agent products in Q3 2026. Companies to watch include Alibaba for 2C entry reconstruction and third-party AI agents like TaxFriend, Zhongkong Technology, and Dingjie Smart. [2] 5. Media - Tencent has faced a decline due to market concerns over potential tax increases on internet platforms, although there is no space for increased game value-added tax. The company remains recommended despite rumors of Q4 earnings downgrades, maintaining a PE ratio of 15 times, which still offers value. [3] - The download situation for the Yuanbao app remains stable, and Tencent's AI capabilities may be closing the gap with larger competitors. [3] - In gaming, companies with upcoming catalysts such as Giant Network and Perfect World are recommended for short-term focus, while Century Huatong and Kaiying Network are suggested for medium to long-term attention due to expected catalysts. [3] - Tencent's establishment of a separate AI comic app is beneficial for the production side, which is entering a period of profitability. Recommendations include Kuaishou, Huanrui, and Rongxin. [3] 6. Pharmaceuticals - Attention is drawn to the update of the essential drug catalog, which may accelerate progress. [4] - The probability of inclusion in the essential drug catalog is high for unique products, with several specific products from companies like Jichuan Pharmaceutical and Panlong Pharmaceutical being highlighted. [4] - Emphasis on the global competitiveness of the innovative drug industry chain, with a focus on new-generation ADCs, IOs, small nucleic acids, and CGT. Recommended companies include Kanghong, Yingen, Yunding, and Chengdu Xian Dao. [4] - The brain-computer interface theme is noted, with a potential showcase of non-invasive products during the Spring Festival and a semi-invasive product approval for Borui Kang in March. [4] - Recommendations include Meihua Medical, Dongwei Semiconductor, and Sanbo Brain Science. [5] - The surgical robot sector is expected to see comprehensive implementation of charging policies before August, with overseas orders doubling and maintaining high growth in 2027. Key types include laparoscopic and orthopedic robots, with strong overseas performance for laparoscopic robots. Recommended companies include MicroPort, Jingfeng Medical, Tianzhihang, and Sanyou Medical. [6]
预警,ABF缺货达42%!ABF胶膜的国产突围与投资机会
材料汇· 2026-02-06 15:54
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the increasing demand for ABF (Ajinomoto Build-up Film) substrates driven by advancements in AI, high-performance computing, and other technologies, predicting a supply-demand gap that will worsen over the coming years, with a projected gap of 10% by the second half of 2026 and potentially reaching 42% by 2028 [2][3]. Group 1: ABF Film Overview - ABF film is a critical insulating material used in semiconductor packaging, developed by Ajinomoto, and is essential for high-density interconnections in advanced microprocessors [8][10]. - The film consists of three layers: a supporting medium (PET), ABF resin, and a protective film, with the resin's components significantly affecting its dielectric and thermal properties [10][12]. Group 2: Market Analysis - The global IC packaging substrate market is projected to grow from approximately 96.1 billion yuan in 2024 to 135.0 billion yuan by 2028, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.8% [31]. - The demand for ABF substrates is primarily driven by high-performance computing, 5G communication, and automotive electronics, with the latter two being the fastest-growing markets [27][41]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Ajinomoto dominates the ABF film market with over 95% market share, creating a significant barrier for new entrants due to its extensive patent portfolio and established customer relationships [46][48]. - Other companies attempting to enter the market include a few Japanese firms and some Chinese companies, but they lack the market influence of Ajinomoto [46][48]. Group 4: Future Directions and Investment Logic - The article suggests that the ongoing technological upgrades and the shift in demand structure towards AI applications will create long-term growth opportunities in the ABF film market [2][3]. - The need for domestic production of ABF materials in China is highlighted as a strategic move to mitigate supply chain risks and capitalize on the growing market demand [3].
兴森科技:控股股东邱醒亚解除质押395.00万股
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2026-02-03 10:35
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that the controlling shareholder and actual controller of Xingsen Technology, Mr. Qiu Xingya, has recently completed the procedure for the release of part of his pledged shares, totaling 3.95 million shares [1] Group 2 - The number of shares released from pledge is 3.95 million [1]
兴森科技(002436) - 关于控股股东部分股份解除质押的公告
2026-02-03 10:30
1、本次股份解除质押基本情况 证券代码:002436 证券简称:兴森科技 公告编号:2026-02-003 深圳市兴森快捷电路科技股份有限公司 关于控股股东部分股份解除质押的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整,没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 深圳市兴森快捷电路科技股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")于近日接到控股股东、实际控 制人邱醒亚先生的通知,获悉其将所持有的部分公司股份办理了解除质押手续。具体事项如下: 一、股东股份解除质押基本情况 二、备查文件 1、国泰海通证券股份有限公司股票质押式回购交易协议书。 特此公告。 深圳市兴森快捷电路科技股份有限公司 董事会 二〇二六年二月三日 | | 是否为控股股 东或第一大股 | 本次解除质押 | 占其所持 | 占公司 | 质押开始 | 解除质押 | 质权人 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 股东名称 | 东及其一致行 | 股份数量(股) | 股份比例 | 总股本 比例 | 日期 | 日期 | | | | 动人 | | | | | | | | 邱醒亚 | 是 | ...
电路板指数盘中强势拉升,成分股普涨
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-03 02:03
(文章来源:每日经济新闻) 每经AI快讯,2月3日,电路板指数盘中强势拉升,成分股呈现普涨格局。世运电路领涨,明阳电路、 鹏鼎控股、广合科技、兴森科技等涨幅居前。 ...
兴森科技:截至2026年1月30日股东总户数十二万四千余户
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2026-02-02 13:41
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Xingsen Technology has reported its total number of shareholders as exceeding 124,000 as of January 30, 2026 [2]
元件板块2月2日跌1.29%,兴森科技领跌,主力资金净流出7.07亿元
Zheng Xing Xing Ye Ri Bao· 2026-02-02 09:07
证券之星消息,2月2日元件板块较上一交易日下跌1.29%,兴森科技领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4015.75,下跌2.48%。深证成指报收于13824.35,下跌2.69%。元件板块个股涨跌见下表: | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入 (元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300476 胜宏科技 | | 6.76 Z | 6.38% | -4.18 Z | -3.94% | -2.58 Z | -2.44% | | 002384 | 东山精密 | 1.69 Z | 4.19% | -8335.87万 | -2.06% | -8584.66万 | -2.12% | | 688183 | 生益电子 | 5613.28万 | 3.74% | -1.77万 | 0.00% | -5611.51万 | -3.74% | | 002138 顺络电子 | | 5190.61万 | 4.98% | -5943.56万 | -5.70% | 752.94万 | ...