Core Insights - Goldman Sachs indicates that the construction of artificial intelligence infrastructure is driving the PCB (Printed Circuit Board) and CCL (Copper Clad Laminate) industries into a super cycle, fueled by the continuous upgrade of AI server specifications [1] - The report predicts that the global AI server PCB market will grow by 113% year-on-year by 2026 and continue to grow by 117% in 2027, while the AI server CCL market is expected to see even more remarkable growth, with increases of 142% and 222% in 2026 and 2027, respectively [1][3] Group 1: Dual Drivers - The core logic of the Goldman Sachs report is based on two major trends: speed upgrades leading to increased value and scale effects expanding the total addressable market (TAM) [2] - The demand for high-speed connection technologies such as 800G and 1.6T is driven by the significant increase in computing density per rack of AI servers, which directly enhances the dollar value of PCBs and CCLs [2] Group 2: Market Forecast - According to Goldman Sachs' model, the global AI server PCB market is expected to grow from approximately $3.1 billion in 2024 to $27.1 billion in 2027 [3] - The CCL market is projected to surge from $1.5 billion in 2024 to $18.7 billion in 2027, with growth rates for CCL in 2026 and 2027 (142% and 222%) surpassing those of optical modules and AI training servers [3] Group 3: Investment Perspective - Goldman Sachs counters concerns about market growth slowing and increased competition, arguing that rapid technological migration leads customers to rely on technology leaders for product quality and timely delivery [4] - The development and production of the latest generation of AI servers require significant R&D investment and capital expenditure, effectively limiting the number of new entrants and creating a more favorable competitive environment for leading companies [4]

Group 1 - PCB concept index rose by 2.79%, ranking 8th among concept sectors, with 156 stocks increasing, including Dazhu CNC which hit a 20% limit up [1] - Notable gainers in the PCB sector included Zhongtung High-tech (+10.00%), Guanghe Technology (+10.00%), and Xingsen Technology (+8.30%) [3][4] - The sector saw a net inflow of 4.688 billion yuan, with 104 stocks receiving net inflows, and 18 stocks exceeding 100 million yuan in net inflow, led by Zhongtung High-tech with 543 million yuan [2][3] Group 2 - The top three stocks by net inflow ratio were Aoshikang (21.95%), Guanghe Technology (16.81%), and Kuike Intelligent (15.96%) [3][5] - The PCB sector's trading volume was highlighted by significant turnover rates, with Zhongtung High-tech at 7.32% and Xingsen Technology at 13.76% [4][5] - Stocks with notable declines included Ruihua Tai (-5.79%), Kaihua Materials (-4.30%), and Aisen Co. (-3.85%) [1][11]

Group 1 - Aoshikang's stock reached the daily limit, indicating strong market interest and demand [1] - Guanghe Technology's stock also hit the daily limit, achieving a historical high in its stock price [1] - Kexiang Co., Ltd. saw its stock price increase by over 10%, reflecting positive investor sentiment [1] Group 2 - ShenNan Circuit, HuDian Co., Baoding Technology, and JinAn Guoji all experienced stock price increases, indicating a broader trend of growth in the sector [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the optimistic outlook of fund managers on the technology sector, particularly in artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and robotics, as key investment directions for the upcoming years [1][3][12] - Fund managers are emphasizing the importance of risk management in the technology sector, which is characterized by high growth potential and volatility, advocating for diversified investment strategies [2][21] Group 2 - Fund manager Ren Jie focuses on global cloud computing investments, with a notable performance of the fund achieving a unit net value growth rate of 233.29% in 2025, ranking first among active equity funds [3][4] - The fund's latest quarterly report indicates a decrease in stock positions, with a stock market value proportion of 78.76%, down by 13 percentage points from the previous quarter [3][4] - The top ten holdings include companies like Shengyi Technology and Zhongji Xuchuang, with significant annual growth rates of 205.82% and 396.38% respectively [3][4] Group 3 - Fund manager Li Jin expresses a strong interest in artificial intelligence computing-related assets, focusing on sectors with the best growth potential, including technology, new energy, and pharmaceuticals [8][12] - The fund's top three holdings are Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Technology, and Huamao Technology, with substantial increases in positions for companies like Dongshan Precision and Industrial Fulian [9][10] Group 4 - Fund manager Yan Siqian emphasizes the investment opportunities in manufacturing and low-carbon technologies, highlighting the importance of intelligent manufacturing and technological innovation for sustainable development [13][15] - The fund's top holdings include Wuzhou Xinchun and Zhenyu Technology, with significant increases in positions for companies like Beite Technology and Sili Technology [14][15] Group 5 - Fund manager Feng Ludan notes that the artificial intelligence industry is in the early stages of forming a bubble, suggesting a cautious approach to investment while monitoring technological advancements and business model validations [16][21] - The fund's latest report shows a stock position of 86.04%, with significant increases in holdings for companies like Huadian Technology and Tencent Holdings [18][19]

【导读】一批绩优基金四季报披露 随着公募四季报陆续披露，一些绩优基金经理的调仓换股"跃然纸上"。 去年四季度，不少绩优基金聚焦人工智能、云计算、机器人等投资方向。多位基金经理表示，展望2026年，对资本市场整体环境保持相对乐观，科技产业 仍将是结构性行情的重要方向。 也有基金经理进行提示风险，科技板块具有高成长性和高波动率，应该先讲风险，再谈收益，建议进行分散投资。 1月21日，由任桀管理的永赢科技智选披露四季报。该基金成立于2024年10月底，在2025年度取得233.29%的单位净值增长率，不仅在主动权益基金业绩 榜单上名列第一，更是摘得年度公募基金全市场冠军，且领先优势明显。 最新季报显示，截至2025年四季度末，该基金规模达154.68亿元，环比增长34.26%。该基金四季度股票仓位有所下降，从持仓情况看，其股票市值占基金 总资产比例为78.76%，较三季度末减少了13个百分点。 任桀在季报中表示，去年四季度，该基金继续聚焦全球云计算产业投资，在三季度判断的基础上（基于2027年新技术的兑现），结合全球AI产业前沿模 型和商业化进展进行投资应对。 具体来看，前十大重仓股中，生益科技、中际旭创、沪电股份 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the AI industry [1] Core Insights - The capital expenditure (Capex) guidance from major overseas companies is optimistic, with a continuous upward trend in computing power expected through 2026. The total Capex for Microsoft, Google, Amazon, and Meta is projected to reach $406.5 billion in 2025 and $596.4 billion in 2026, representing year-on-year growth of 46% and 47% respectively [3][5][22] - The demand for AI-related infrastructure is driving significant upgrades in interconnects, cooling, and power supply sectors, indicating a long-term growth cycle distinct from previous technology cycles [3][4] Summary by Sections 1. Overseas Major Companies' Capex Guidance - Major companies like Microsoft, Google, Amazon, and Meta are expected to increase their Capex significantly, with projections of $186.4 billion, $139.5 billion, $162.5 billion, and $108 billion respectively for 2026 [6][7][14][18][21] - The overall Capex for these four companies is expected to account for 62% of the global AI-related Capex, which is projected to reach $960 billion by 2026 [22][23] 2. Interconnect Sector: Optical Modules and PCBs - The interconnect sector is experiencing a fundamental shift in demand due to AI server cluster construction, leading to simultaneous upgrades in computing boards, switches, and optical modules, which will increase both demand and pricing [3][4] - The deployment of 800G technology is expected to accelerate, with 1.6T technology entering the introduction phase [3] 3. Cooling Sector: Liquid Cooling Demand - The power density of AI GPU racks is projected to rise from 130 kW in 2024 to over 1 MW by 2029, making liquid cooling technology essential [3][4] 4. Power Supply Sector: AIDC Power Distribution Evolution - The evolution of AIDC power distribution methods is crucial, with a focus on HVDC and SST technologies to enhance system efficiency and reduce energy losses [3][4] 5. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on specific companies within various sectors: - Computing power: Haiguang Information - Interconnects - Optical modules: LightSpeed Technology, Huagong Technology - Interconnects - PCBs: Shenghong Technology, Shennan Circuits, and others - Cooling: Invec - Power supply: Magpow [3][4]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that Yongying Fund's manager Ren Jie achieved a remarkable annual return of 233.29% for the Yongying Technology Smart A fund in 2025, breaking a 17-year record in the public fund industry [1] - The fund significantly reduced its equity investment from 91.59% in Q3 to 78.76% by the end of Q4 2025, reallocating assets to bank deposits and clearing out bond investments [2] - The top ten holdings of the Yongying Technology Smart A fund saw changes, with new additions including Dongshan Precision, Jingwang Electronics, Industrial Fulian, and Cambridge Technology, while previous holdings like Taicheng Light, Lanke Technology, and Shijia Light did not appear in the top ten [2][3] Group 2 - The fund manager emphasized a continued focus on global cloud computing investments, particularly in the optical communication and PCB sectors, while also acknowledging the potential for mean reversion after valuation expansion cycles [1][4] - The Yongying Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Smart fund also underwent significant changes, with major reductions in holdings of Tencent Holdings and Bilibili-W, both exceeding 20% [5][7] - The performance of the Yongying Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Smart A and C shares showed a net value growth rate of -22.02% and -22.14% respectively, underperforming their benchmarks by 7.88 and 8.00 percentage points [7]

Summary of Conference Call on China PCB Industry Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the PCB (Printed Circuit Board) and CCL (Copper Clad Laminate) industry in China, particularly in relation to AI infrastructure and its growth potential [1][2]. Key Trends and Insights - **Higher Speed and Capacity Expansion**: The demand for higher speed connections (800G / 1.6T) in AI servers is driving an increase in PCB and CCL dollar content. This is coupled with a significant ramp-up in AI server production, leading to overall growth in the Total Addressable Market (TAM) for PCBs and CCLs [1][2]. - **Revenue Growth**: Revenue growth for companies like Victory Giant, WUS, and Shengyi Tech is projected to increase from an average of +2% in 2022 to +58% YoY in 9M25, driven by the AI infrastructure cycle [2]. - **Future Projections**: The expected Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for net income (NI) for Victory Giant, WUS, and Shengyi Tech from 2026 to 2028 is forecasted at 57%, 47%, and 50% respectively, with operating profit margins (OPM) expanding to 33%, 26%, and 20% by 2028 [2]. Competitive Landscape - **Market Dynamics**: There is a debate among investors regarding the maturity of the AI infrastructure market, which could lead to slower growth and increased competition. However, the report argues that ongoing specification upgrades and the transition from copper cables to PCBs in AI servers will mitigate competitive intensity [3]. - **Customer Base Expansion**: The shift from GPU AI server clients to ASIC AI server clients is expected to increase, supported by local customer growth and strong commitments from Chinese suppliers to R&D and capacity expansion [2][3]. Financial Highlights - **Valuation and Price Targets**: - Victory Giant is initiated with a Buy rating and a target price (TP) of Rmb550, reflecting a 26.3x 2027E PE ratio and an expected +57% NI YoY growth on average in 2027-28E [36]. - WUS and Shengyi Tech are also rated Buy with target prices of Rmb127 and Rmb111 respectively, indicating strong growth potential [8]. - **Risks**: Key downside risks include slower-than-expected AI server ramp-up, increased competition, and delays in new capacity expansion [8]. Operational Efficiency - **R&D and Automation**: The companies are heavily investing in R&D and automation, which is expected to enhance yield rates, operational efficiency, and fast delivery times [37][40]. - **Financial Metrics**: The report anticipates a gross margin increase from 36% in 2025E to 42% in 2030E, driven by a product mix upgrade towards AI server PCBs [41]. Conclusion - The China PCB and CCL industry is poised for significant growth driven by the AI infrastructure boom, with key players like Victory Giant, WUS, and Shengyi Tech expected to benefit from rising demand, specification upgrades, and operational efficiencies. The overall sentiment is positive, with strong revenue and profit growth projections despite potential competitive challenges.

Group 1 - PCB concept stocks experienced significant fluctuations and a rally on January 21, with notable performances from several companies [1] - Aoshikang reached the daily limit increase, while Guanghe Technology hit the daily limit and achieved a historical high [1] - Kexiang shares rose over 10%, with ShenNan Circuit, HuDian shares, BaoDing Technology, and JinAn Guoji also seeing gains [1]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview: PCB Equipment Key Points - **Expansion Plans**: - Pengding plans to invest 4.3 billion yuan in expansion, focusing on HDI and HLC products aimed at AI servers, AI edge devices, and low-orbit satellites. The project is expected to be completed by the end of 2026, with PCB equipment orders anticipated to materialize within the same year [1][1][1] - **Technological Advancements**: - Huadian Co. is investing in a high-density optoelectronic integrated circuit board project in Jintan District, Changzhou, with a total investment of 300 million USD (phased into two parts). This initiative aims to establish platforms for cutting-edge technologies like CoWoP and advanced processes such as mSAP, focusing on next-generation technology directions like copper-light integration [1][1][1] Market Dynamics - **Accelerated Expansion and Technological Iteration**: - Leading PCB manufacturers are rapidly expanding, particularly in the AI PCB sector. Equipment manufacturers are expected to benefit significantly from this expansion wave, while material suppliers may see improvements in product structure due to the increasing layers in AI PCBs [2][2][2] - **High-End PCB Upgrades**: - Continuous advancements in chip technology are driving the upgrade of PCBs towards high-end applications, characterized by smaller aperture sizes and narrower line widths. Advanced packaging processes like CoWoP and micro-aperture/line-width processing techniques such as mSAP are expected to propel the development of high-end equipment, leading to increased demand for high-resolution LDI equipment and ultra-fast laser drilling [2][2][2] Investment Recommendations - **Focus Areas**: - It is recommended to pay attention to companies involved in the PCB drilling segment, such as Dazhu CNC, Zhongtung High-tech, and Dingtai High-tech, as well as those in the LDI segment like Chip Quik [2][2][2] Risk Factors - **Potential Risks**: - Macro-economic risks and the possibility of technology development falling short of expectations are highlighted as significant risk factors [2][2][2]