Investment Rating - The investment rating for the AIDC power equipment and grid industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The global AI computing load is expected to grow significantly, with new AI computing loads projected at 9.7/15.9/20.2/22.3/23.4/24.6 GW from 2025 to 2030. This translates to a demand for AIDC power equipment of 29/48/60/67/70/74 GW, with an average annual growth rate of 20% [5][13] - The market potential for dry-type transformers, medium and low voltage switchgear, UPS, HVDC, and solid-state transformers is estimated to reach 85/341/41/380/239 billion yuan by 2030 [5][12] - The domestic data center industry is expected to see increased capital expenditure from major cloud providers, with 2025 anticipated to be a pivotal year for AIDC construction [5][18] Summary by Sections AIDC Power Equipment - The AIDC power equipment sector has shown a diverse range of products, with major global players like Vertiv, Eaton, and Schneider Electric having established strong product lines and solutions [5] - Domestic companies are gaining competitive advantages in various segments, with leading firms gradually building their solution-providing capabilities [5] - The recent performance of the AIDC power equipment sector has been mixed, with notable declines in backup diesel power sources and lead-acid batteries [5][24] Grid Industry - The grid sector has seen significant investment growth, with national grid engineering investment reaching 632 billion yuan in May 2025, a year-on-year increase of 33.3% [31][32] - The bidding results for high-voltage equipment have shown a strong performance, with a total bid amount of 211.89 billion yuan in July 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 38.1% [64] - The grid industry is expected to benefit from the maturation of new business models such as electricity trading and virtual power plants, with a focus on high-voltage orders and deliveries in the second half of 2025 [5][58]

Group 1 - The report highlights a steady increase in domestic electrification rates and a strong recovery in European sales, with global sales expected to grow by 21% in 2025 and maintain over 15% growth in 2026 [2][3] - In 2025, domestic electric vehicle sales are projected to reach 5.61 million units, a year-on-year increase of 44%, with an annual growth forecast of 25% [2][5] - The report anticipates a robust demand for lithium batteries, with a revised growth estimate of over 30% in 2025 and nearly 20% in 2026, driven by strong energy storage policies and market dynamics [2][3] Group 2 - The report indicates that the profitability of the industry has begun to recover slightly, with leading companies starting to expand production in an orderly manner, while smaller firms continue to exit the market [2][3] - The report notes a significant disparity in profitability across different segments of the supply chain, with leading battery manufacturers maintaining high profit levels compared to second-tier manufacturers [2][3] - The solid-state battery technology is highlighted as a key area of focus, with advancements expected in sulfide-based materials and core equipment, indicating a rapid acceleration in industrialization [2][3] Group 3 - Investment recommendations emphasize focusing on leading lithium battery companies and those accelerating the industrialization of solid-state technologies, with specific companies identified for potential investment [2][3] - The report suggests that the lithium carbonate price has reached a bottom, making it favorable to invest in companies with quality resources [2][3] - The report identifies several companies in the solid-state battery sector that are expected to benefit from technological advancements and market demand [2][3]

请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 证券研究报告 | 2025年7月12日 锂电产业链双周评（7月第1期） 欧洲新能源车需求持续复苏，固态电池产业发展快速推进 行业研究 · 行业周报 电力设备新能源 · 锂电池 投资评级：优于大市（维持） 证券分析师：王蔚祺 010-88005313 wangweiqi2@guosen.com.cn S0980520080003 证券分析师：徐文辉 021-60375426 xuwenhui@guosen.com.cn S0980524030001 证券分析师：李全 021-60375434 liquan2@guosen.com.cn S0980524070002 投资建议 【行业动态】 【新能源车产业链数据】 【投资建议】 • 建议关注：1）低空经济与机器人产业布局领先企业（卧龙电驱、宁德时代、亿纬锂能、蔚蓝锂芯、科达利）；2）固态电池材料布局领先企业（厦钨新能、容百科技、当升科技、天奈科 技）；3）需求持续回暖的消费电池企业（珠海冠宇、豪鹏科技）；4）充电桩行业领先企业（特锐德、盛弘股份）；5）电动自行车铅酸电池领军企业（天能股份）；6）高压直流继电器 领先企业 ...

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 Fifth Annual Qidian Two-Wheeled Vehicle Battery Exchange Conference emphasizes the rapid transformation of the electric two-wheeler industry towards battery safety, intelligent networking, and the need for technological innovation to capture market opportunities [5][12]. Group 1: Conference Overview - The conference featured over 300 key players in the two-wheeled vehicle battery exchange sector and included discussions on cutting-edge technologies such as lithium batteries, sodium batteries, and fast-charging solutions [1][3]. - The event consisted of multiple segments, including an opening ceremony, specialized forums on electric two-wheeled vehicles, and the presentation of the 2025 China Two-Wheeled Vehicle Battery Exchange Awards [3][4]. Group 2: Industry Trends and Insights - The electric two-wheeler industry is undergoing a significant shift towards battery safety and intelligent networking, with a focus on enhancing product quality and compliance to drive market consolidation [5][12]. - The demand for specialized vehicles in the delivery sector is surging, with over 16 million registered riders and a projected user base of 761 million by 2025, highlighting the need for efficient battery solutions [12][13]. Group 3: Technological Innovations - Companies are innovating in battery management systems (BMS) and safety technologies, with advancements such as real-time monitoring and predictive maintenance to enhance battery safety and operational efficiency [20][24]. - The introduction of sodium-ion batteries is gaining traction due to their cost and safety advantages, while lithium batteries continue to dominate the market [17][50]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - The market is witnessing a shift from lead-acid batteries to lithium and sodium batteries, driven by regulatory changes and consumer demand for higher safety and performance standards [33][50]. - The competition among battery types is intensifying, with companies focusing on developing high-performance cylindrical batteries that meet the diverse needs of the two-wheeled vehicle market [61][62]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The future of the electric two-wheeler industry is expected to be shaped by technological advancements in battery design, safety features, and the integration of smart technologies [41][50]. - The industry is poised for growth, with significant opportunities in both domestic and international markets, particularly in regions like Southeast Asia and Africa [33][37].

Group 1 - The "Leading Project" of Huizhou EVE Energy Co., Ltd. has officially entered the trial production phase, marking a significant advancement in the collaboration with BMW from technical synergy to industrial co-creation [1] - BMW's Vice President in China, Joerg Ghanbari, praised EVE Energy for its innovative capabilities, world-class quality standards, flexibility, and competitive cost advantages, which are key reasons for BMW's partnership [1] - The automotive industry is at a critical transformation point, and BMW views EVE Energy as a strategic partner in the paths of electrification, digitalization, and sustainability [1] Group 2 - The trial production of the "Leading Project" will initiate a new chapter in the collaboration, focusing on validating and debugging EVE Energy's self-developed high-speed assembly production line, which utilizes digital twin technology [2] - The goal is to optimize the entire line's processes, quality control, and operational experience in Shenyang, with plans to replicate these mature experiences in European factories in the future [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [2][51] Core Insights - In June, the production and sales of new energy vehicles reached 1.268 million and 1.329 million units, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 26.4% and 26.7% [41][45] - The lithium battery index has shown strong performance, with a 5.27% increase over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.65 percentage points [4][13] - The solid-state battery industrialization process is accelerating, leading to structural incremental demand for materials and equipment in the industry chain [45] Summary by Sections Market Review - As of July 10, 2025, the lithium battery index has increased by 6.69% year-to-date, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 4.78 percentage points [4][13] - The lithium battery industry chain has seen price fluctuations, with battery-grade lithium carbonate averaging 63,400 CNY/ton, up 2.92% in the last two weeks [26][24] Price Changes in the Lithium Battery Industry Chain - As of July 10, 2025, the prices of lithium carbonate and nickel have increased, while lithium hydroxide and cobalt have decreased [24][27] - The average price of lithium hydroxide (LiOH 56.5%) is 63,100 CNY/ton, down 1.25% in the last two weeks [26][27] Industry News - The China Automotive Association reported that in June, the production and sales of new energy vehicles remained stable month-on-month, with a year-on-year growth rate that has slowed compared to previous months [41][45] - The global energy storage battery shipment volume for the first half of 2025 ranked the top ten companies, including CATL and EVE Energy [41] Company Announcements - Companies such as CATL and EVE Energy are focusing on solid-state battery materials and production capabilities, with significant advancements in their respective technologies [46][48] - Enjie Co., Ltd. has reported expected losses for the first half of 2025 due to declining profit margins in lithium battery separators [44] Weekly Insights - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the battery and materials sectors that have technological and production advantages in solid-state electrolytes and new electrode materials [45][46]

Group 1: Photovoltaic Silicon Material Industry - The photovoltaic silicon material industry is expected to accelerate capacity consolidation, with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology emphasizing the need for high-quality development in the solar industry [1] - By 2027, the industry is projected to enter a stable development phase, with significant advantages in the silicon material segment due to differences in capacity costs and financial strength among companies [1] - Key companies to watch include GCL-Poly Energy, Xinte Energy, Tongwei Co., and TBEA [1] Group 2: Solid-State Battery Industry - The solid-state battery industry is witnessing continuous advancements, with equipment from Winbond Technology successfully delivered to major domestic clients [2] - Material production is ramping up, with significant capacity in oxide electrolytes and expectations for sulfide electrolytes to achieve ton-level shipments by 2025 [2] - Companies of interest in this sector include Xiamen Tungsten, Tianqi Lithium, and others involved in the solid-state battery supply chain [2] Group 3: Offshore Wind Power Development - The central government is promoting the orderly development of offshore wind power, with a focus on enhancing the marine economy and encouraging private investment [3] - Goldwind Technology has secured over 7.7GW of international orders for 2024, with significant revenue growth reported for its international subsidiary [3] - Key players in the wind power sector include Goldwind Technology, Oriental Cable, and Dajin Heavy Industry [3] Group 4: Data Center Investment - Global data center investments are accelerating, with Amazon planning to invest AUD 20 billion (approximately USD 13.1 billion) in Australia and SK Telecom collaborating with Amazon Web Services for a significant data center project in South Korea [4] - The deployment of NVIDIA's GB300 AI systems is underway, indicating a growing demand for AI computing resources [4] - Companies to monitor in the AIDC power equipment sector include Jinpan Technology, Xinte Electric, and others [4] Group 5: Key Company Earnings Forecasts - The report provides earnings forecasts and investment ratings for several companies, with Goldwind Technology rated "Outperform" and projected to have an EPS of 1.28 in 2025 [5] - Jinpan Technology and other companies also received "Outperform" ratings, indicating positive market sentiment [5] Group 6: Industry Performance Overview - The electric power equipment sector outperformed the market in June, with a 6.68% increase compared to a 2.5% rise in the CSI 300 index [13] - The sector's PE ratio at the end of June was 30.3, reflecting a slight recovery in valuations [13] - The report highlights that the electric power equipment industry has shown strong performance across various sub-sectors, including lithium battery materials and wind power [23]

Core Viewpoint - The collaboration between EVE Energy and BMW marks a significant milestone in the electric vehicle industry, focusing on the production of large cylindrical batteries to support BMW's new generation of models and enhance the supply chain synergy between China and Europe [2][3][14]. Group 1: Collaboration Background - BMW and EVE Energy's partnership began in late 2017, with a strategic focus on large cylindrical battery technology established in 2020 [2][3]. - EVE Energy was officially announced as a core supplier for BMW's "new generation" models in September 2022, leading to the establishment of new production bases in Shenyang, China, and Debrecen, Hungary [2][3]. Group 2: Production Milestones - The Shenyang large cylindrical battery base's "Pioneer Project" entered trial production on June 30, 2025, marking a transition from technical collaboration to industrial co-creation [3][7]. - The trial production aims to validate and optimize EVE Energy's self-developed high-speed assembly line, utilizing digital twin technology for process and quality control [7][12]. Group 3: Strategic Importance - The partnership is seen as a strategic response to the competitive challenges in the current market, emphasizing the importance of collaboration with local partners in China [5][14]. - EVE Energy's advanced manufacturing capabilities and high-quality standards are key reasons for BMW's choice to collaborate, as both companies aim to lead the transformation in electric mobility [5][12]. Group 4: Market Performance and Future Plans - EVE Energy's large cylindrical batteries have been validated in over 60,000 vehicles globally, achieving significant mileage and maintaining zero safety incidents [11]. - BMW plans to launch over 40 new generation models by 2027, with the first model, the BMW iX3, set to debut within the year, highlighting the urgent demand for advanced battery technology [10][11]. Group 5: Global Supply Chain Synergy - The collaboration exemplifies a new model of global industrial cooperation, with EVE Energy positioned as a key player in meeting the growing battery demand from traditional European automakers like BMW [14][15]. - The proximity of EVE Energy's Hungarian factory to BMW's Debrecen plant is designed to maximize supply chain efficiency and ensure timely battery supply for production [13][14].

Core Insights - The renewable energy sector is experiencing positive momentum, with the China Securities Renewable Energy Index rising by 0.74% as of July 10, 2025, and key stocks such as GCL-Poly Energy hitting the daily limit up [1] - The New Energy ETF has shown significant growth, with a recent increase in scale of 21.81 million yuan over the past two weeks, ranking first among comparable funds [1] - The ETF's net value has increased by 18.68% over the past year, with a maximum single-month return of 25.07% since its inception [1] Market Performance - Key stocks in the renewable energy sector include CATL (0.25% increase), Sungrow Power (4.76% increase), and Tongwei Co. (4.00% increase), with the top ten stocks accounting for 42.81% of the index [3][4] - The New Energy ETF recorded an average daily transaction volume of 35.98 million yuan over the past year, indicating strong market interest [1] Industry Trends - The renewable energy sector is expected to enter a positive development phase as policies are implemented, reducing chaotic price competition and strengthening the advantages of leading companies [3] - In the energy storage segment, the extension of tax credits under the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act until 2036 is anticipated to boost demand for energy storage batteries and related equipment, particularly benefiting Chinese suppliers [3] - The offshore wind power sector is also seeing growth, with new projects like the Guangdong Sanshan Island cluster signaling increased policy support and accelerated construction [4]

Core Points - The total margin financing balance of the ChiNext market reached 362.43 billion yuan, marking an increase for three consecutive trading days, with a cumulative increase of 3.22 billion yuan during this period [1][2] - As of July 9, 2025, the total margin balance was 363.52 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of 0.88 billion yuan from the previous trading day [2] Margin Financing Changes - The margin financing balance increased for 513 stocks, with 38 stocks experiencing an increase of over 20%. The stock with the highest increase was Jia Lian Technology, with a financing balance of 50.72 million yuan, showing a growth of 152.21% [2][3] - Conversely, 420 stocks saw a decrease in their financing balance, with 37 stocks declining by more than 10%. The largest decrease was observed in Yitong New Materials, with a financing balance of 65.98 million yuan, down by 30.43% [2][3] Market Performance - Among stocks with a financing balance increase of over 20%, the average increase was 9.77%, outperforming the ChiNext index. The top gainers included Tongguan Copper Foil, Suwen Electric, and Jia Lian Technology, with increases of 51.42%, 31.68%, and 30.09%, respectively [5] - The stocks with the largest increase in financing balance included Mindray Medical, with a balance of 2.704 billion yuan, increasing by 346 million yuan, followed by Shenghong Technology and Changliang Technology, with increases of 303 million yuan and 234 million yuan, respectively [5][6]