Group 1: Macro Insights - The report highlights that the recent volatility in gold and silver prices is primarily driven by market momentum reversals, with silver attracting high leverage and speculative funds since November 2025 [2][5] - The report anticipates that after the appointment of the new Federal Reserve Chairman, there will be more interest rate cuts than the market expects, with short-term U.S. Treasury yields likely to decline [2][4] - The report notes that the recent decline in the manufacturing PMI does not indicate a weakening economy, as it reflects a temporary fluctuation rather than a downward trend [10] Group 2: Commodity Market Analysis - The report indicates that the recent crash in silver prices has led to liquidity risks that may spread to other commodities, particularly in the non-ferrous metals sector [5][6] - It emphasizes the importance of monitoring the support levels for gold prices, particularly the 60-day moving average, which is currently at $4,400 per ounce [5] - The report suggests that the Shanghai Futures Exchange has implemented measures to manage the risk of a one-sided market in silver futures [5] Group 3: Equity Market Outlook - The report predicts a rebound in the A-share market following the Spring Festival, driven by positive sentiment from performance forecasts and new developments in sectors like AI applications and commercial aerospace [6][10] - It advises a balanced ETF allocation in domestic equities, reflecting a cautious yet optimistic outlook for the market [11] Group 4: Bond Market Perspective - The report notes that the bond market is expected to see increased buying activity due to risk aversion and expectations of monetary easing, with 10-year yields projected to decline to around 1.80% [7][10] - It highlights that the recent adjustments in risk appetite have created trading opportunities in government bonds as a hedge against stock market volatility [4][7]

Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant outflows of capital from various stocks, with notable declines in share prices across multiple sectors, suggesting a bearish sentiment in the market. Group 1: Major Stocks with Capital Outflows - Zhongji Xuchuang experienced the highest capital outflow of 3.861 billion, with a share price decline of 8.94% [1][2] - BlueFocus Media saw a capital outflow of 2.275 billion, with a decrease of 8.4% in its stock price [1][2] - Zijin Mining had an outflow of 1.891 billion, reflecting an 8.79% drop in its share price [1][2] - Industrial Fulian faced an outflow of 1.839 billion, with a 3.5% decline in stock value [1][2] - Zhaoyi Innovation reported a capital outflow of 1.673 billion, with a significant drop of 10% in its share price [1][2] Group 2: Additional Stocks with Notable Outflows - Shannon Microelectronics had an outflow of 1.520 billion, with a steep decline of 12.36% [1][2] - BYD experienced a capital outflow of 1.374 billion, with a 4.22% decrease in its stock price [1][2] - Baiwei Storage saw an outflow of 1.183 billion, with a decline of 10.35% [1][2] - Jiangbolong had an outflow of 1.150 billion, with a 10.77% drop in its share price [1][2] - Northern Rare Earth reported an outflow of 1.027 billion, with a 7.62% decline [1][2] Group 3: Other Stocks with Capital Outflows - China Aluminum faced an outflow of 1.016 billion, with a stock price decrease of 9.98% [1][2] - Tianfu Communication had an outflow of 0.977 billion, with a 4% decline in its share price [1][3] - SMIC reported an outflow of 0.953 billion, with a 4.81% drop [1][3] - iFlytek experienced an outflow of 0.797 billion, with a 4.36% decline [1][3] - Wanhua Chemical had an outflow of 0.741 billion, with an 8.68% decrease [1][3]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of the optical module sector is catalyzed by the strong earnings forecasts from companies like "Zhongjixuchuang" and "Xinye". The newly listed ChiNext ETF, Huatai Fuhua (159247), experienced a decline of nearly 2% after an initial surge, with significant trading volume and net subscriptions indicating active market interest [1][2]. Group 1: Company Earnings Forecasts - Zhongjixuchuang expects a net profit increase of 89.50% to 128.17% for 2025, driven by strong demand for computing infrastructure and improved operational efficiency [2]. - Xinye anticipates a net profit of 99 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 248.86%, with a quarterly growth forecast of 29% to 50% [2]. - Tianfu Communication projects a net profit of 21.5 billion yuan, up 60% year-on-year, benefiting from the rapid development of the AI industry and global data center construction [2]. Group 2: Industry Trends - The optical module market is expected to grow significantly, with a CAGR of 24% from 2022 to 2028, and 80% from 2028 to 2033, driven by advancements in AI and the evolution of data center architectures [5]. - The ChiNext ETF's index is heavily weighted towards sectors such as power equipment (29%), communication (22%), and electronics (16%), reflecting the ongoing industry upgrades and the impact of emerging technologies [3][18]. - The "anti-involution" policies have positively influenced the photovoltaic sector, leading to price stabilization and a focus on eliminating outdated production capacity [10][11]. Group 3: Market Activity - The ChiNext ETF Huatai Fuhua (159247) saw a trading volume exceeding 1 billion yuan, with a net subscription of 16 million units, indicating strong investor interest [1]. - The top ten constituent stocks of the ChiNext index account for nearly 54% of the index's weight, highlighting a concentrated investment in leading companies within their respective sectors [19][20]. - The average daily trading volume for the ChiNext index constituents reached 1,532 billion yuan in 2025, representing about 33% of the total trading volume on the ChiNext board [25].

2026 年 2 月 2 日 | 何利超 | | --- | | H70529@capital.com.tw | | 目标价(元) 750 | 公司基本资讯 | 产业别 | | 通信 | | --- | --- | --- | | A 股价(2026/1/30) | | 649.00 | | 深证成指(2026/1/30) | | 14205.89 | | 股价 12 个月高/低 | | 658.8/66.86 | | 总发行股数(百万) | | 1111.12 | | A 股数(百万) | | 1105.50 | | A 市值(亿元) | | 7174.70 | | 主要股东 | | 山东中际投资 | | | | 控股有限公司 | | | | (10.93%) | | 每股净值(元) | | 23.75 | | 股价/账面净值 | | 27.33 | | | 一个月 三个月 | 一年 | | 股价涨跌(%) | 6.4 | 32.4 545.8 | | 近期评等 | | | | 2025.11.06 | 买进 | 496.88 | | 2025.07.16 | 买进 | 174.81 | | 2025.04 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Telecom ETF Huatai (560300), which opened down by 0.47% at 2.100 yuan on February 2 [1] - Major holdings within the ETF showed mixed performance, with China Mobile down 3.40%, China Unicom down 2.35%, and China Telecom down 3.33%, while China Satcom increased by 0.79% [1] - The ETF's performance benchmark is the CSI Telecom Theme Index return, managed by Huatai Fund Management Co., with a return of 110.98% since its inception on December 5, 2023, and a 3.69% return over the past month [1] Group 2 - The article provides specific stock performance details, indicating that Zhongji Xuchuang fell by 2.16%, Yinzhijie decreased by 0.70%, while Xinyi Sheng rose by 9.00%, ZTE Corporation fell by 0.73%, Tianfu Communication increased by 0.54%, and Zhongtian Technology rose by 0.67% [1] - The fund manager is identified as Wei Lizhu, emphasizing the management aspect of the ETF [1]

Group 1 - The A-share market continued to decline, with most computing power hardware stocks experiencing fluctuations after a high opening, including major ETFs like Huaxia [1] - The "Yizhongtian" combination (Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Tianfu Communication) disclosed their 2025 annual performance forecasts, showing significant profit growth driven by investments in computing power infrastructure and strong demand for high-speed optical modules [1] - Zhongji Xuchuang expects a net profit of 9.8 billion to 11.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 89.50% to 128.17%, while Xinyi Sheng anticipates a net profit of 9.4 billion to 9.9 billion, a substantial increase of 231.24% to 248.86% [1] Group 2 - The optical module index rose by 10.07% last week and 9.08% in January, indicating strong growth in the AI industry and server revenue [2] - Zhongji Xuchuang's strong performance forecast reflects robust demand for global computing power infrastructure, positioning the company to benefit as an early adopter of 1.6T technology [2] - Domestic optical module exports have decreased due to local manufacturers establishing factories overseas, but demand from overseas cloud vendors is expected to remain strong, allowing domestic firms to capture more market share [2]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside in the stock price [5]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a significant increase in net profit for 2025, with estimates ranging from RMB 9.8 billion to RMB 11.8 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 90% to 128% [6]. - The demand for computing power is driving the company's performance, with a notable increase in the shipment of high-speed optical modules and the introduction of new products like the 1.6T optical module [6][8]. - The company maintains its position as a global leader in the optical module sector, with strong technological advancements in 1.6T and silicon photonics [6]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the communication industry, with a current A-share price of RMB 649.00 and a market capitalization of RMB 71.75 billion [2]. - Major shareholders include Shandong Zhongji Investment Holding Co., Ltd. with a 10.93% stake [2]. Financial Performance - The company forecasts a net profit of RMB 11.26 billion for 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 117.8% [8]. - Revenue is projected to grow significantly, reaching RMB 36.5 billion in 2025 and RMB 58.6 billion in 2026 [10]. - The gross profit margin is expected to improve, with Q4 2025 showing a 30% increase in revenue and a 35% increase in gross profit [6]. Product and Market Position - The company is recognized as the global leader in the optical module market, with its 1.6T optical module product entering the testing phase and expected to start mass shipments in the second half of 2026 [6]. - The company has a strong technological foundation in silicon photonics, which is anticipated to enhance its competitive edge in the AI-driven market [6]. Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at RMB 10.14, with a projected P/E ratio of 64 [8]. - The company expects to maintain robust growth in net profit through 2027, with estimates of RMB 20.13 billion and RMB 28.02 billion for 2026 and 2027, respectively [8].

2月2日，中际旭创跌5.04%，截至发稿，报616.30元/股，成交162.44亿元，换手率2.31%，总市值 6847.82亿元。 路博迈中证A500指数增强A（023325）成立日期2025年3月20日，最新规模4.65亿。今年以来收益 4.07%，同类排名3315/5579；成立以来收益28.1%。 路博迈中证A500指数增强A（023325）基金经理为魏晓雪、韩羽辰。 截至发稿，魏晓雪累计任职时间13年83天，现任基金资产总规模9.76亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 263.65%， 任职期间最差基金回报-18.07%。 韩羽辰累计任职时间2年185天，现任基金资产总规模12.14亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报21.78%， 任职 期间最差基金回报-16.96%。 责任编辑：小浪快报 资料显示，中际旭创股份有限公司位于山东省龙口市诸由观镇驻地，成立日期2005年6月27日，上市日 期2012年4月10日，公司主营业务涉及电机定子绕组制造装备的研发、设计、制造、销售与服务;光模块 设备制造。主营业务收入构成为：光通信收发模块97.58%，汽车电子1.74%，光组件0.67%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，中 ...

Flash | 01 Feb 2026 17:21:38 ET │ 11 pages Innolight (300308.SZ) FY25/4Q25 NP guidance inline with consensus CITI'S TAKE Innolight (300308.SZ) 02 February 2026 Citi Research Innolight guided FY25 net profit of Rmb9800-11800mn, up 89.5-128.2% YoY, mid-point is largely inline with BBGe. Recurring net profit reached Rmb9700-117000mn, up 91.4-130.8% YoY. Excluding ESOP impact, optical transceiver business achieved net profit of Rmb10800-13100mn, up 90.8-131.4% YoY. Several financial impacts incurred in 2025: ES ...

Group 1 - The A-share market showed mixed performance on February 2, 2026, with the optical module sector opening high and the ChiNext Growth ETF (159967) rising by 1.07% [1] - On January 30, Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng both released their 2025 earnings forecasts, reporting impressive performances with net profits exceeding 9 billion [1] - The three leading companies in the A-share CPO concept—Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Tianfu Communication—have all announced significant increases in net profits for 2025 [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities believes that the AI industry remains highly prosperous, and optical modules, as core components of computing networks, will directly benefit from this trend [1] - There is a substantial increase in capital expenditure from overseas cloud vendors, leading to strong demand for optical modules, while technological iterations (such as NPO and CPoE) will further solidify the advantages of leading companies [1]