Mindray(300760)
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迈瑞医疗:2024年三季报点评:业绩短期承压,看好后续复苏态势
Minsheng Securities· 2024-10-31 10:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Mindray Medical (300760.SZ) [1][3] Core Views - The company experienced short-term pressure on performance but is expected to see a recovery trend in the future, driven by improved domestic policies and demand recovery [1] - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 29.485 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.99%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 10.637 billion yuan, up 8.16% year-on-year [1] - The international market showed strong growth, with over 18% increase in revenue, while the domestic market faced challenges, growing less than 2% due to various factors [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, the company reported revenue of 8.954 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.43%, but net profit decreased by 9.31% [1] - The company’s R&D investment for the first three quarters of 2024 was 2.843 billion yuan, accounting for 9.64% of operating revenue [1] Market Analysis - The international market growth was driven by high-end strategic customers and breakthroughs in large sample laboratories, with Europe and Asia-Pacific markets growing over 30% [1] - Domestic market growth was hindered by delays in hospital procurement and tight funding for hospital construction [1] Product Development - The company continues to innovate with new product launches in various fields, including in vitro diagnostics and medical imaging [1] - The market share in the domestic in vitro diagnostics sector is expected to increase, with the company aiming to surpass a major imported brand in the chemical luminescence segment [1] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are 39.7 billion yuan, 46.732 billion yuan, and 55.155 billion yuan, with expected year-on-year growth rates of 13.6%, 17.7%, and 18.0% respectively [2][4] - Net profit projections for the same period are 13.435 billion yuan, 15.641 billion yuan, and 18.317 billion yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 24, 21, and 18 [2][4]
迈瑞医疗:预计4Q24国内收入仍将承压,2025年或可实现复苏
浦银国际证券· 2024-10-31 08:01
Investment Rating - Maintains a "Buy" rating with a target price of RMB 350 [1][3] Core Views - Domestic revenue is expected to remain under pressure in 4Q24, with a potential recovery in 2025 [1] - Overseas business continues to grow steadily, while domestic growth is sluggish due to anti-corruption measures and delayed equipment renewal tenders [1] - 3Q24 revenue growth was modest, with domestic revenue declining by 10% YoY, while overseas revenue grew by 19% YoY [1] - Life Information & Support segment revenue fell by over 20% YoY in 3Q24, while IVD and Medical Imaging grew by less than 10% and 3% respectively [1] - Gross margin in 3Q24 declined by 5.5 ppts YoY, mainly due to accounting adjustments, but remained stable on a like-for-like basis [1] - Medical special bonds and local special bonds issuance accelerated in September 2024, but the impact on 4Q24 performance is expected to be limited [1] - The company plans to reduce inventory levels from 4 months to 2 months by the end of 2024, which may pressure 4Q24 revenue growth [1] - Full-year 2024 revenue growth is expected to slow to 7% YoY, with a significant recovery anticipated in 2025 as equipment renewal projects materialize [1] Financial Performance and Forecasts - 2024E revenue is projected at RMB 37.4 billion, with a 7.1% YoY growth, while 2025E revenue is expected to grow by 21% YoY to RMB 45.3 billion [2] - 2024E net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted at RMB 12.5 billion, with a 7.6% YoY increase, and 2025E net profit is expected to grow by 21% YoY to RMB 15.1 billion [2] - Gross margin for 2024E is projected at 64.2%, slightly lower than 2023A's 66.2% [4] - Operating cash flow for 2024E is expected to be RMB 15.6 billion, with capital expenditures of RMB 6.8 billion [5] Dividend Policy - The company announced a second dividend of RMB 1.65 per share for 2024, maintaining a payout ratio of 65% [1] - The single dividend yield is 0.6% based on the closing price on the announcement date [1] Valuation Metrics - The target price of RMB 350 implies a 28x 2025E PE, in line with the 3-year historical average [1] - 2024E PE is projected at 26.4x, declining to 21.8x in 2025E [2] - The dividend yield for 2024E is expected to be 2.5%, increasing to 3.0% in 2025E [5]
迈瑞医疗:外部政策影响短期业绩,看好国内设备更新落地+海外市场持续突破
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-10-31 06:42
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that external policy impacts have affected short-term performance, but there is optimism regarding domestic equipment upgrades and continuous breakthroughs in overseas markets [1] - The company has shown resilience in its domestic business despite policy disruptions, with strong performance in overseas markets, particularly in high-end strategic clients and large sample laboratories [1][2] - The report anticipates rapid growth in the domestic market driven by new medical infrastructure and recovery in hospital diagnostics, while overseas high-end clients are expected to continue to expand [1][6] Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecasts**: - 2022A: 30,366 million - 2023A: 34,932 million - 2024E: 38,391 million - 2025E: 44,759 million - 2026E: 52,249 million - Year-on-Year Growth Rates: 20% (2022), 15% (2023), 10% (2024), 17% (2025), 17% (2026) [1] - **Net Profit Forecasts**: - 2022A: 9,607 million - 2023A: 11,582 million - 2024E: 13,375 million - 2025E: 15,677 million - 2026E: 18,301 million - Year-on-Year Growth Rates: 20% (2022), 21% (2023), 15% (2024), 17% (2025), 17% (2026) [1] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2022A: 7.92 - 2023A: 9.55 - 2024E: 11.03 - 2025E: 12.93 - 2026E: 15.09 [1] - **Profitability Ratios**: - Return on Equity (ROE): 30% (2022), 35% (2023), 29% (2024), 25% (2025), 23% (2026) [1] - Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: 34.2 (2022), 28.4 (2023), 24.6 (2024), 21.0 (2025), 18.0 (2026) [1] Market and Business Insights - The company has experienced a slight slowdown in growth due to domestic medical regulations, but its overseas business remains robust, with significant revenue contributions from high-end products and new business lines such as minimally invasive surgery and animal healthcare [1][2] - The report notes that the company's market share in the domestic market is expected to increase, with the in vitro diagnostics segment becoming the largest revenue contributor [1][2] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the acceleration of special bond issuance and the gradual recovery of its monitoring business [1][6]
迈瑞医疗(300760):外部政策影响短期业绩,看好国内设备更新落地+海外市场持续突破
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-10-31 06:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from domestic equipment upgrades and sustained growth in overseas markets despite short-term performance impacts from external policies [1] - The company reported a revenue of 29.485 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 7.99%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.637 billion yuan, up 8.16% year-on-year [1] - The report anticipates revenue growth of 10% in 2024, followed by 17% in 2025 and 2026, with net profit growth of 15% in 2024 and 17% in the subsequent years [1] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue (in million yuan): - 2022A: 30,366 - 2023A: 34,932 - 2024E: 38,391 - 2025E: 44,759 - 2026E: 52,249 - Year-on-year growth rates: - 2022: 20% - 2023: 15% - 2024: 10% - 2025: 17% - 2026: 17% [1] - Net profit (in million yuan): - 2022A: 9,607 - 2023A: 11,582 - 2024E: 13,375 - 2025E: 15,677 - 2026E: 18,301 - Year-on-year growth rates: - 2022: 20% - 2023: 21% - 2024: 15% - 2025: 17% - 2026: 17% [1] - Earnings per share (in yuan): - 2022A: 7.92 - 2023A: 9.55 - 2024E: 11.03 - 2025E: 12.93 - 2026E: 15.09 [1] Market and Business Insights - The company’s overseas business revenue reached 12.02 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.3%, driven by high-end strategic clients and breakthroughs in various sectors [1] - Domestic revenue for the first three quarters was 17.47 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.9%, impacted by policy changes and delays in hospital procurement [1] - The in vitro diagnostics (IVD) segment became the largest revenue contributor, with a revenue of 11.4 billion yuan, up 20.9% year-on-year [1]
迈瑞医疗:Expect domestic business to rebound from 2025
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2024-10-31 01:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Mindray, indicating a potential return of over 15% over the next 12 months [9][21]. Core Insights - Mindray reported a revenue of RMB 29.5 billion for the first nine months of 2024, reflecting an 8.0% year-on-year growth, while the attributable net profit increased by 8.2% year-on-year to RMB 10.6 billion [2][5]. - The domestic market is under pressure, with a notable decline in revenue from public hospitals and IVD testing, particularly in lower-tier hospitals, leading to a 9.7% year-on-year drop in domestic revenue in Q3 2024 [2][5]. - The overseas business showed healthy growth, with a 18.6% year-on-year increase in overseas revenue in Q3 2024, driven by strong performances in Europe, APAC, and Latin America [5][9]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for FY24E, FY25E, and FY26E are RMB 37.4 billion, RMB 43.6 billion, and RMB 49.7 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 7.1%, 16.5%, and 14.0% [3][17]. - Attributable net profit estimates for FY24E, FY25E, and FY26E are RMB 12.8 billion, RMB 14.7 billion, and RMB 16.8 billion, with corresponding growth rates of 10.7%, 14.8%, and 14.3% [3][17]. - The adjusted net profit for FY24E is projected at RMB 12.7 billion, with an adjusted EPS of RMB 10.58 [3][17]. Market Performance - The current market capitalization of Mindray is approximately RMB 336.7 billion, with a target price adjusted to RMB 328.81, indicating a 21.6% upside from the current price of RMB 270.50 [6][7]. - The stock has experienced a relative performance decline of 5.5% over the past month and 18.4% over the past six months [6]. Business Segments - The IVD segment saw domestic revenue growth of 17% year-on-year in 9M24, although the overall demand in lower-tier hospitals was negatively impacted by nationwide DRG implementation [5]. - The MIS segment reported over 10% year-on-year growth in domestic revenue in 9M24, driven by the strong uptake of the Resona A20 ultrasound system [5]. - Emerging businesses such as minimally invasive surgery and animal medical have shown significant growth, contributing over 10% to overseas revenue [5].
迈瑞医疗:IVD增长持续,国内市场增长短期承压
Xinda Securities· 2024-10-31 00:48
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Mindray Medical (300760) is not explicitly stated in the provided content, but the report indicates a positive outlook based on growth projections and market performance. Core Views - The report highlights that Mindray Medical achieved a revenue of 29.485 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 7.99%. However, the revenue growth in Q3 was slower at 1.43% year-over-year, primarily due to domestic market pressures from procurement delays and funding constraints in hospitals [1]. - The international market showed robust growth, with an 18.6% increase in Q3 2024, driven by high-end strategic clients and breakthroughs in large sample laboratories [1]. - The IVD product line has become the largest revenue contributor, with a 20.9% year-over-year increase, benefiting from local production and market share gains in domestic diagnostics [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, Mindray Medical reported total revenue of 29.485 billion yuan, with a net profit of 10.637 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.16% year-over-year increase. The Q3 revenue was 8.954 billion yuan, with a net profit of 3.076 billion yuan, showing a decline of 9.31% year-over-year [1]. - The report projects revenues for 2024-2026 to be 40.023 billion, 47.647 billion, and 55.951 billion yuan, with year-over-year growth rates of 14.6%, 19.0%, and 17.4% respectively [2]. Market Dynamics - The domestic market is currently facing challenges due to regulatory adjustments and procurement delays, while the international market is thriving, particularly in Europe, Asia-Pacific, and Latin America, with growth rates of approximately 30%, 30%, and 25% respectively [1]. - The report emphasizes that as domestic procurement activities gradually recover, the demand for medical equipment is expected to rebound, leading to a faster growth trajectory for the company [1]. Profitability and Margins - The gross profit margin for Q3 2024 was reported at 61.69%, with expectations for improvement as the IVD consumables business grows and high-end customer segments expand [1]. - The report indicates that the company’s operating expenses are being optimized, with a sales expense ratio of 8.15% and a management expense ratio of 3.31% [1]. Valuation Metrics - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2024-2026 are 11.01 yuan, 13.23 yuan, and 15.70 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 24.57, 20.45, and 17.23 [3].
迈瑞医疗20241030
2024-10-30 16:38
感谢大家参加本次会议会议即将开始请稍后 感谢大家参加本次会议已即将开始请稍后 感谢大家参加本次会议会议即将开始请稍后 感谢大家参加本次会议会议即将开始请稍后 感谢大家参加本次会议会议即将开始请稍后 感谢大家参加本次会议会议即将开始请稍后 感谢大家参加本次会议会议即将开始请稍后 大家好欢迎参加脉锐医疗2024年三季度预计电话会本次会议语言为中文和英文同传如需接听英文频道请联系汇丰前海或脉锐投观团队 下面开始播报免责声明本次电话会议仅服务于华创证券研究所和汇丰前海客户不构成投资建议相关人员应自主作出投资决策并自行承担投资风险华创证券和汇丰前海不对应使用本次内容所导致的任何损失承担任何责任专家发言内容仅代表专家个人观点 不代表本公司观点本次会议内容不得涉及国家保密信息内幕信息未公开重大信息商业秘密个人隐私不得涉及可能引发不当炒作或股价异常波动的敏感信息 不得涉及影响社会或资本市场稳定的言论未经华创证券和汇丰前海事先书面许可任何机构或个人不得以任何形式复制、刊载、转载、转发、引用本次会议内容否则由此造成的一切后果及法律责任由该机构或个人承担 华创证券和汇丰全海保留追究其法律责任的权利市场没有风险投资需谨慎下面有请主持 ...
迈瑞医疗:国内增长承压,海外表现亮眼
Ping An Securities· 2024-10-30 12:15
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company [2][7] Core Views - The company faces pressure in domestic growth but shows strong performance overseas, with a total revenue of 29.48 billion yuan in the first three quarters, reflecting an 8.0% year-on-year increase, while net profit attributable to shareholders reached 10.64 billion yuan, up 8.2% year-on-year [3][4] - Domestic revenue for the first three quarters was 17.47 billion yuan, growing by 1.9% year-on-year, while international revenue reached 12.02 billion yuan, increasing by 18.3% year-on-year, driven by high-end strategic clients and significant growth in animal healthcare and minimally invasive surgery [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - The company achieved a gross margin of 64.87% in the first three quarters, with a net profit margin of 34.92% in Q3, indicating robust operational quality despite a decline due to accounting adjustments [7] - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 have been adjusted to 11.03 yuan, 13.09 yuan, and 15.25 yuan per share, respectively, reflecting a stable growth outlook despite domestic challenges [7][12] - The company’s revenue is expected to grow from 34.93 billion yuan in 2023 to 53.69 billion yuan by 2026, with a net profit forecasted to increase from 11.58 billion yuan to 18.49 billion yuan over the same period [10][12] Market Position and Strategy - The IVD segment has become the largest revenue contributor, achieving 11.4 billion yuan in revenue, a 20.9% increase year-on-year, while the medical imaging segment also showed growth, albeit at a slower pace due to a decline in domestic market size [5][6] - The company is positioned as a global leader in medical devices and solutions, with products sold in over 190 countries, indicating a broad demand potential both domestically and internationally [7][12]
迈瑞医疗:2024年第二次中期权益分派实施公告
2024-10-30 09:37
证券代码:300760 证券简称:迈瑞医疗 公告编号:2024-049 深圳迈瑞生物医疗电子股份有限公司 2024年第二次中期权益分派实施公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整,没有虚假记载、误 导性陈述或重大遗漏。 深圳迈瑞生物医疗电子股份有限公司(下称"本公司"或"公司")2024年第二次中 期权益分派方案已获2024年10月29日召开的第八届董事会第十次会议和第八届监事会第八 次会议审议通过,在公司2023年年度股东大会决议授权范围内,无需再次提交股东大会审 议。现将权益分派事宜公告如下: 一、股东大会授权及董事会审议通过利润分配方案等情况 1、公司于2024年5月17日召开2023年年度股东大会,审议通过了《关于授权董事会制 定中期分红方案的议案》,同意授权董事会根据股东大会决议在符合利润分配的条件下制定 具体的2024年中期分红方案。公司于2024年10月29日召开第八届董事会第十次会议和第八 届监事会第八次会议,审议通过了《关于2024年第二次中期利润分配方案的议案》,2024年 第二次中期利润分配方案为:以公司2024年9月30日的总股本1,212,441,394股为基数 ...
迈瑞医疗:国际业务增长亮眼,保持高研发投入
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2024-10-30 08:17
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Mindray Medical (300760.SZ) [1][7] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 29.485 billion RMB in the first three quarters of 2024, representing an 8% year-on-year increase. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 10.637 billion RMB, also up by 8% year-on-year [1] - International market growth is strong, particularly in the in vitro diagnostics sector, which has become a key growth driver. The international market grew over 18% in the first three quarters, with Europe and Asia-Pacific markets exceeding 30% growth [1] - The company continues to invest heavily in R&D, with R&D expenses reaching 2.843 billion RMB, accounting for 9.64% of revenue. New product launches in various fields have maintained high product competitiveness [1] - A dividend distribution plan has been announced, with a total cash dividend of 2.001 billion RMB planned for distribution, increasing the total dividend amount to 31.723 billion RMB [1] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - In Q3 2024, the company reported revenue of 8.954 billion RMB, a 1% increase year-on-year, while net profit decreased by 9% to 3.076 billion RMB [1] Business Analysis - The international market's growth is driven by high-end strategic clients and large sample laboratories, while domestic market growth is hindered by delayed bidding demands [1] - The in vitro diagnostics segment saw over 20% growth, with international lines growing over 30% [1] R&D Investment - R&D investment for the first three quarters reached 2.843 billion RMB, with significant new product launches across various medical fields [1] Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 16.50 RMB per 10 shares, totaling 2.001 billion RMB, further enhancing shareholder returns [1] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profits for 2024-2026 are 13.849 billion RMB, 16.673 billion RMB, and 20.215 billion RMB, with corresponding PE ratios of 24, 20, and 16 [1]