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研报掘金丨招商证券:维持五粮液“强烈推荐”评级 Q2收入仍保持不下滑 利润增速转负
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-08-28 07:04
Core Insights - The report from China Merchants Securities indicates that Wuliangye's Q2 2025 revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders reached 15.83 billion yuan and 4.63 billion yuan, respectively, showing a year-on-year change of +0.1% and -7.6% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company maintained stable revenue despite external pressures, while profit growth turned negative, aligning with previous expectations [1] - The top five distributors accounted for a significant 60% of sales, indicating a shift towards larger distributors [1] - The gross profit margin faced pressure due to increased expenses, leading to a decline in profitability [1] Group 2: Market Strategy and Outlook - The company is undergoing adjustments and is focusing on the upcoming double festival pressure test [1] - Product lines such as 1618 and 39-degree offerings have shown stable growth in the banquet market, with expectations for incremental contributions after the establishment of a dedicated team in the second half of the year [1] - For Q3, the company anticipates a greater emphasis on price control, with expected adjustments in financial reports being larger than in Q2 [1] Group 3: Earnings Forecast - Considering the H1 performance and outlook for the second half of the year, the EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised down to 7.56, 7.63, and 7.63 yuan, respectively [1] - The company continues to maintain a "strongly recommended" rating despite the adjustments [1]
招商证券潘卫东:AI时代,财富管理服务模式、经营逻辑正经历深刻重构
Xin Lang Zheng Quan· 2025-08-28 06:14
专题:第二届新浪财经金麒麟最佳投资顾问评选 新浪财经主办、银华基金独家合作的"第二届金麒麟最佳投资顾问评选"活动火热进行中! 我国财富管理行业迈入超级大年,随着居民理财意识逐渐升华,中国财富管理行业已经迎来高增长周 期,投资顾问作为财富管理"最后一公里"的引路人,其触达客户、沟通客户、服务客户的属性直接影响 着全民资产配置的走向。在此背景下,投资顾问面临哪些机遇和挑战?他们该如何"修炼内功"? 基于此,新浪财经与银华基金共同打造"金麒麟最佳投资顾问评选"品牌活动,寻找优秀投资顾问,赋能 投顾IP建设,共建展业平台!金麒麟最佳投资顾问评选活动旨在为投资顾问提供一个展示形象、扩围服 务、提升能力的舞台,为优秀投资顾问与大众投资人搭建沟通对话的桥梁,助推中国财富管理行业健康 发展。 招商证券财富管理部总经理潘卫东受邀成为本次大赛评审委员会评委。 潘卫东表示,非常荣幸以评委身份参与本次大赛。在AI浪潮奔涌的金融新纪元,财富管理服务模式、 经营逻辑正经历深刻重构——从经验驱动到数据驱动,最终迈向智能驱动,这一跃迁将为行业注入全新 动能。 招商证券将以AI为引擎,以专业资产配置能力为内核, 整合策略、算法、场景、服务全链 ...
调研速递|塔牌集团接受招商证券等2家机构调研 ,透露分红、产能等重要要点
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-28 01:00
Core Viewpoint - Guangdong Tapai Group Co., Ltd. is committed to a high dividend policy and stable operational performance, with a focus on maintaining a strong market position and managing production capacity effectively [2][5]. Group 1: Dividend Policy and Financial Planning - For the fiscal year 2024, the company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 4.5 yuan per 10 shares, representing 99.74% of the net profit for the year, as part of its three-year shareholder return plan (2024-2026) [2]. - The high dividend policy is influenced by the "New National Nine Articles" guidelines on market value management and aims to convey a commitment to stable operations and positive returns, thereby stabilizing the stock price [2]. - The company anticipates capital expenditures to remain between 200 million to 400 million yuan annually, primarily for self-built emerging industries, with cash flow expected to cover dividends and capital expenditures without hindering growth [2]. Group 2: Operational Performance and Market Conditions - In the third quarter, cement sales remained flat year-on-year due to seasonal factors and adverse weather conditions, with a notable decrease in sales compared to June [3]. - The cement prices in the Pearl River Delta region have been under pressure since May, nearing cost levels, but are expected to stabilize and recover as the traditional sales season begins in September [3]. Group 3: Cost Management and Efficiency - The company's management expenses decreased by 17.63% year-on-year, primarily due to a reduction in labor costs, as the impact of shutting down inefficient enterprises last year led to lower severance costs [4]. Group 4: Capacity Planning and Business Goals - Following the elimination of low-efficiency capacity, the company does not plan to add new capacity, believing that current production levels will meet future demand [5]. - The operational target for 2025 is to produce and sell over 16.3 million tons of cement, with a net profit exceeding 530 million yuan, building on a 10.90% year-on-year increase in cement and clinker sales in the first half of the year [5]. Group 5: Production Policies and Investment Strategy - The company plans to implement staggered production policies in 2025, with kiln shutdowns scheduled for 95 days in Guangdong, 160 days in Guangxi, and 170 days in Fujian, which is expected to support cement prices [6]. - The board has approved a securities investment budget of 1.3 billion yuan for 2025, focusing on low-risk investments such as government bonds and local bonds, while maintaining a cautious investment approach to ensure controlled risks and stable returns [6].
世纪恒通: 招商证券股份有限公司关于世纪恒通科技股份有限公司2025年半年度跟踪报告



Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-27 14:16
Group 1 - The report is a tracking document for Century Hengtong Technology Co., Ltd. for the first half of 2025, prepared by China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. [1] - The sponsor has reviewed the company's information disclosure documents timely, with no instances of delayed reviews [1] - The company has established and effectively executed regulations to prevent related party transactions and manage fundraising [1] Group 2 - There were no issues identified by the sponsor during the review process, indicating a stable operational environment for the company [1] - The company has fulfilled its commitments, with no unfulfilled promises reported [1] - The report notes a change in the responsible sponsor representatives, with Wu Wenjia and Liu Xianguang taking over the ongoing supervision duties [1][2]
达梦数据: 招商证券股份有限公司关于武汉达梦数据库股份有限公司部分募集资金投资项目延期的核查意见
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-27 11:24
Core Viewpoint - The company has decided to postpone certain fundraising investment projects to ensure the efficient use of raised funds and align with long-term strategic goals [1][3][4] Fundraising Overview - The company raised a total of RMB 165,224 million from the initial public offering, with a net amount of RMB 157,569 million after deducting fees [1][2] - The funds are managed in a dedicated account to protect investor interests, with a tripartite agreement signed with the sponsor and the bank [2] Investment Project Adjustments - Due to the actual net amount being lower than initially disclosed, the company adjusted the investment amounts for several projects, including: - Cluster Database Management System Upgrade: from RMB 35,201.86 million to RMB 33,069.60 million - New Generation Cloud Database Product Construction: from RMB 25,291.14 million to RMB 17,126.86 million - Dream China Database Industrial Base: from RMB 80,023.57 million to RMB 69,300.10 million - Dream Research Institute Construction: from RMB 60,274.88 million to RMB 20,072.49 million - The total adjusted investment amounts to RMB 157,569.05 million [2][3] Postponement Details - The "Dream China Database Industrial Base" project’s expected operational date has been extended from September 2025 to September 2026 due to practical progress considerations [3][4] - The postponement is a cautious decision based on the project's actual needs and does not affect the project's content or the intended use of funds [3][4] Impact of Postponement - The postponement is not expected to have a significant adverse impact on the company's normal operations or the implementation of investment projects, aligning with the company's long-term development strategy [3][4][5] - The decision has been approved by the company's board and supervisory committee, adhering to relevant legal and regulatory requirements [4][5]
招商证券国际:下调石药集团评级至“中性”目标价降至9.3港元 肿瘤业务逊预期
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 08:02
招商证券国际发布研报称,石药集团(01093)今年二季度收入及净利润均不及预期,反映肿瘤和神经系 统业务线的结构性下行,管理层重申EGFR ADC产品(CPO301/SYS6010)为潜在商业发展(BD)催化剂, 但该行认为市场已消化相关预期。招商证券国际下调集团2025至2026年销售及净利润预测,因公司核心 业务表现乏力及BD预期过高,下调评级至"中性"和目标价至9.3港元(原本12.9港元)。 该行表示,展望未来,石药集团的前景取决于商业合作战略及后期管线商业化情况。市场关注其关键资 产SYS6010。然而,回顾石药过去在1.1类创新药物研发的表现,该行认为其在管线临床进展上落后于 中国其他大型制药及部分生物药公司。 鉴于核心业务环比持续下滑,招商证券国际下调集团今明两年的收入和净利润预测,以反映增长及盈利 前景的短期压力,预计2025财年经历深度调整后,2026财年收入将趋于稳定。目标价调整反映盈利调整 及拆股因素,该行根据成药、管线及传统原料药业务的SOTP估值调整目标价,新目标价为9.3港元,分 别对应今明两年19.4倍、17.9倍市盈率。 ...
招商证券国际:下调石药集团(01093)评级至“中性”目标价降至9.3港元 肿瘤业务逊预期
智通财经网· 2025-08-27 07:55
智通财经APP获悉,招商证券国际发布研报称,石药集团(01093)今年二季度收入及净利润均不及预期, 反映肿瘤和神经系统业务线的结构性下行,管理层重申EGFR ADC产品(CPO301/SYS6010)为潜在商业 发展(BD)催化剂,但该行认为市场已消化相关预期。招商证券国际下调集团2025至2026年销售及净利 润预测,因公司核心业务表现乏力及BD预期过高,下调评级至"中性"和目标价至9.3港元(原本12.9港 元)。 该行表示,展望未来,石药集团的前景取决于商业合作战略及后期管线商业化情况。市场关注其关键资 产SYS6010。然而,回顾石药过去在1.1类创新药物研发的表现,该行认为其在管线临床进展上落后于 中国其他大型制药及部分生物药公司。 鉴于核心业务环比持续下滑,招商证券国际下调集团今明两年的收入和净利润预测,以反映增长及盈利 前景的短期压力,预计2025财年经历深度调整后,2026财年收入将趋于稳定。目标价调整反映盈利调整 及拆股因素,该行根据成药、管线及传统原料药业务的SOTP估值调整目标价,新目标价为9.3港元,分 别对应今明两年19.4倍、17.9倍市盈率。 ...
大行评级|招商证券国际:下调石药集团目标价至9.3港元 评级降至“中性”
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-27 03:46
展望未来,石药集团的前景取决于商业合作战略及后期管线商业化情况,市场关注其关键资产 SYS6010。然而,回顾石药过去在1.1类创新药物研发的表现,该行认为其在管线临床进展上落后于中 国其他大型制药及部分生物药公司。 招商证券国际发表研究报告指出,石药集团今年二季度收入及净利润均不及预期,反映肿瘤和神经系统 业务线的结构性下行,管理层重申EGFR ADC产品(CPO301/SYS6010)为潜在商业发展(BD)催化剂,但 该行认为市场已消化相关预期。该行下调集团2025至2026年销售及净利润预测,因公司核心业务表现乏 力及BD预期过高,下调评级至"中性",目标价从12.9港元下调至9.3港元。 ...
康希通信: 招商证券股份有限公司关于格兰康希通信科技(上海)股份有限公司参与投资私募基金暨关联交易的核查意见
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-26 16:40
招商证券股份有限公司 关于格兰康希通信科技(上海)股份有限公司 参与投资私募基金暨关联交易的核查意见 招商证券股份有限公司(以下简称"招商证券"或"保荐机构")作为格兰 康希通信科技(上海)股份有限公司(以下简称"康希通信"或"公司")首次 公开发行股票并上市持续督导的保荐机构,根据《证券发行上市保荐业务管理办 法》 《上海证券交易所科创板股票上市规则》 《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管 指引第 11 号——持续督导》 《上海证券交易所科创板上市公司自律监管指引第 1 号——规范运作》等相关法律、法规和规范性文件的规定,对康希通信参与投资 私募基金暨关联交易的事项进行了核查,具体情况如下: 一、参与投资私募基金暨关联交易概述 (一)基本情况 为借助专业投资机构的经验和资源,拓宽投资方式和渠道,把握公司所在行 业的投资机会,优化公司投资结构,实现产业协同。公司作为有限合伙人(LP) 参与投资上海海望合纵私募基金合伙企业(有限合伙) (以下简称"海望合纵")。 公司拟以自有资金出资人民币 3,000.00 万元,出资金额占海望合纵总认缴出 资额的 1.4218%。 本次投资中公司未对其他投资人承诺保底收益或进行退 ...
招商证券:流动性改善支持港股补涨,关注创新药与互联网机会
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-08-26 13:13
Core Viewpoint - Recent analysis by China Merchants Securities indicates that the narrative of tightening liquidity in Hong Kong stocks has marginally improved due to the stabilization of Hibor rates and dovish statements from Powell [1] Group 1: Liquidity and Market Performance - The improvement in liquidity conditions is deemed sufficient to support a phase of rebound in Hong Kong stocks, narrowing the gap with the recently surging A-shares [1] - The current earnings surprise rate for Hong Kong stocks is at its highest since 2022, indicating positive performance expectations [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy - In the context of previous bull markets, Hong Kong stock indices have historically underperformed compared to A-shares, suggesting a need for differentiated investment strategies [1] - Recommended investment focus includes innovative pharmaceuticals first (due to loose liquidity and positive BD data), followed by the internet sector (where earnings pressures are fully priced in), and finally new consumption (awaiting macroeconomic and profit turning points) [1]