2026.02.06 本文字数：2000，阅读时长大约4分钟 作者 |第一财经 胡弋杰 周四，美国股市全线走低，科技权重股再度承压，微软、亚马逊跌超4%，市场对人工智能相关巨额资 本支出的焦虑持续发酵。与此同时，贵金属市场剧烈波动，白银价格出现断崖式下跌。 | 道琼斯工业 | 纳斯达克指数 | 标普500 | | --- | --- | --- | | 48908.72 | 22540.59 | 6798.40 | | -592.58 -1.20% | -363.99 -1.59% | -84.32 -1.23% | 截至收盘，道琼斯工业指数下跌1.20%，报48908.72点；标普500指数下跌1.23%，报6798.40点；纳斯达 克综合指数下跌1.59%，报22540.59点。标普500指数与纳指均连续第三个交易日收跌，其中纳指本周累 计跌幅接近4%。 热门股表现 权重科技股普遍承压。微软重挫4.95%，亚马逊下跌4.4%，谷歌A类股下跌0.54%，谷歌C类股下跌 0.60%；特斯拉下跌2.17%，，苹果小幅下跌0.21%，Meta Platforms小幅上涨0.18%。芯片股分化，英伟 达下跌1.33 ...

No matter the how strong their business, software stocks as a group are taking a real clobbering these days. On Thursday this rout continued, and it claimed some of the biggest names in the segment. One was Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), which saw its shares decline by nearly 5% that trading session. The negative sentiment on software titles was exacerbated by an analyst's downgrade. A more bearish view Well before market open that morning, Stifel's Brad Reback changed his recommendation on Microsoft stock. ...

Market Overview - The U.S. stock market experienced a broad decline, with major technology stocks under pressure, including Microsoft and Amazon, which fell over 4% due to ongoing concerns about massive capital expenditures related to artificial intelligence [2][4] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 1.20% to 48,908.72 points, the S&P 500 fell by 1.23% to 6,798.40 points, and the Nasdaq Composite decreased by 1.59% to 22,540.59 points, marking a nearly 4% decline for the Nasdaq this week [4] Technology Sector Performance - Major tech stocks faced significant losses, with Microsoft down 4.95%, Amazon down 4.4%, and Nvidia down 1.33%. In contrast, Broadcom saw a slight increase of 0.80% [6][8] - The S&P 500 Software and Services Index has seen a seven-day consecutive decline, with a cumulative drop of 17.4%, the largest since March 2020 [9] Amazon's Financial Results - Amazon reported a significant drop of over 10% in after-hours trading following its earnings report, which showed Q4 2025 revenue at $213.4 billion, exceeding market expectations. However, the company projected Q1 operating profit between $16.5 billion and $21.5 billion, below prior expectations [8] - Amazon anticipates capital expenditures of approximately $200 billion for 2026, significantly higher than previous market forecasts, contributing to concerns about the long-term return on investment in AI [8] Labor Market Data - Recent labor market data indicated that initial jobless claims rose to 231,000, exceeding market expectations, while job openings fell to 6,542,000, the lowest in over five years [10][12] Precious Metals Market - The precious metals market experienced significant volatility, with gold prices falling by 1.8% to $4,872.83 per ounce, and silver prices plummeting by 12.1% to $77.36 per ounce, driven by margin pressure from investors facing stock market losses [14][15] - Analysts suggest that the extreme fluctuations in precious metals prices may take time to stabilize, with silver currently overvalued and likely to face corrections [16] Oil Market Dynamics - International oil prices fell nearly 3%, with Brent crude at $67.55 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate at $63.29 per barrel, as talks between the U.S. and Iran eased concerns over potential supply disruptions [17]

Market Overview - US employment data shows weakness, leading to a decline in US stocks, with all three major indices dropping over 1% and small-cap stocks leading the decline, as the Russell 2000 fell by 1.8% [2] - The S&P 500 saw declines in 9 out of 11 major sectors, with software stocks ETF dropping by 5%, Oracle down nearly 7%, and Microsoft down nearly 5% [2] - Cryptocurrency and silver experienced significant drops, with Bitcoin falling by 12% to below $63,000, marking a nearly 50% decline since last October [4] Bond Market - Risk aversion has driven US Treasury yields significantly lower, with the 10-year yield dropping by 9 basis points to 4.19% and the 2-year yield also down by 9 basis points to 3.46%, reaching a near one-month low [3] Commodity Market - Gold prices fell by 4% to $4,763.2 per ounce, while silver plummeted by 19% to around $70.84 per ounce [12] - WTI crude oil prices dropped approximately 2.84% to $63.29 per barrel [12] Company News - Foxconn (Hon Hai) reported January sales of NT$730 billion, a 35.5% year-on-year increase, reflecting strong demand for AI infrastructure [17] - Meituan has acquired Dingdong Maicai, indicating consolidation in the Chinese e-commerce market [18] Employment Data - The US JOLTS job openings for December hit a five-year low, significantly below expectations, indicating a cooling labor market [19] - Challenger companies announced layoffs of 108,435 in January, the highest for the month since 2009, with a 205% month-on-month increase [19] Central Bank Actions - The Bank of England maintained its interest rate at 3.75%, with a close 5-4 vote indicating a strong signal for potential rate cuts [21] - The European Central Bank held rates steady for the fifth consecutive time, citing challenges in predicting inflation [20] Technology Sector - Amazon's Q4 revenue grew by 14%, with AWS revenue exceeding expectations, but the company’s stock fell over 10% post-earnings due to high capital expenditure guidance of $200 billion for the year [22] - Nvidia announced delays in releasing new gaming chips due to a shortage of storage chips, prioritizing AI business needs [22] AI Developments - Anthropic launched a financial research AI model, causing significant drops in stock prices for traditional financial information services like FactSet and Reuters [23] - OpenAI introduced its enterprise-level AI agent platform, Frontier, aimed at automating business processes, amidst growing competition in the AI space [24]

每经编辑｜杜宇 当地时间2月5日，美股三大指数集体收跌，道指下跌592.58点，跌幅1.20%；纳指跌1.59%；标普500指数跌1.23%。 热门科技股普跌，超微电脑、高通跌超8%，亚马逊跌超4%，AMD跌超3%，特斯拉跌超2%，英伟达跌超1%。 微软跌4.95%，市值一夜蒸发1524亿美元（约合人民币10573亿元）。 | 微软 | | | --- | --- | | MSFT us 空 | | | 408.300 昨收 414.190 量比 0.98 393.670 - | | | 392.330 市值 2.92万亿 换 0.90% | | | -20.520 -4.95% 开 407.440 市盈™ 24.51 额 262.24亿 | | | 异动解读：评级下调+云业务增长放缓+软件... ● × 1.7 16. | | | 盘后 391.070 - -2.600 -- -0.66% 0 0 17:12 美东时间 | | | 盘中 × 1 日Ｋ × 周Ｋ × 月Ｋ × 五日 × | 更多▼ | | 时间05:00 均价:398.905 最新393.670 涨幅-4.954% | | | 436.050 ...

Market Overview - The software sector and cryptocurrency experienced a significant downturn, with the S&P 500 index falling by 1.23% to 6798.4 points, the Nasdaq Composite down 1.59% to 22540.59 points, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average decreasing by 1.2% to 48908.72 points, marking the worst three-day sell-off since April of the previous year [1][3] - Bitcoin dropped below $64,000, losing nearly half its value over the past six months, while spot silver saw a single-day decline of nearly 20% [1] Employment Data Impact - The recent weak U.S. employment data has halted the recent sector rotation, with 318 stocks in the S&P 500 declining. December job openings unexpectedly fell to the lowest level since 2020, and the number of layoffs reached the highest January level since the severe recession in 2009 [3] - Allianz's Chief Economic Advisor, Mohamed El-Erian, noted that layoffs are occurring despite GDP growth of approximately 4%, indicating a decoupling of employment from economic growth, which could have profound economic, political, and social implications [3] Company-Specific Developments - Amazon's stock plummeted over 10% after announcing a capital expenditure forecast of $200 billion for the year, significantly higher than the previous year's $130 billion and analyst expectations of $150 billion, which negatively impacted its profit guidance [3] - Nvidia's stock fell by 1.33%, while other major tech companies like Apple, Google, and Microsoft also saw declines, with Microsoft down 4.95% and Amazon down 4.42% [6] AI and Software Sector - The software sector faced pressure following the release of a new flagship model by AI company Anthropic, contributing to a broader sell-off in AI-related stocks. FaceSet dropped 7.21%, reaching its lowest point since March 2020, while Thomson Reuters fell over 5%, hitting a new low since 2021 [6] - Amid concerns over AI capital expenditures, some supply chain stocks performed well, such as Tianhong Technology, which rose 6.9% due to Google's $185 billion capital expenditure guidance [6] Chinese Stocks Performance - Chinese stocks showed resilience, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rising by 0.9%. Notable performances included NIO up 5.86% and Baidu up 0.73%, while Alibaba and JD.com saw slight declines [7] Other Industry News - Pandora, the world's largest jewelry company, surged 16.83% after announcing plans to reduce reliance on pure silver by introducing platinum-plated jewelry in response to rising silver prices [8] - The proposed merger between Rio Tinto and Glencore to form the world's largest mining group collapsed, with Glencore citing undervaluation of its contribution to the merger [9] - Nvidia announced delays in the release of its RTX 50 series graphics cards due to memory shortages, prioritizing AI chip production instead [10] - Hims & Hers Health plans to launch a cheaper generic version of the oral weight loss drug semaglutide, causing a significant drop in the stock price of Novo Nordisk, which had just received approval for its brand product [11]

Financing - Company secured $3.6 billion in GPU financing for a Microsoft contract with an interest rate of less than 6% per annum, covering 95% of GPU-related capital expenditures [7] - The financing, along with a Microsoft prepayment of $1.9 billion, supports a targeted expansion of 140,000 GPUs, aiming to deliver $3.4 billion in annual recurring revenue (ARR) by the end of calendar year 2026 [7][14] - Over $9.2 billion in funding has been secured in the financial year to date through various sources including customer prepayments and GPU leasing [7] Data Center Expansion - A new 1.6GW data center campus is being developed in Oklahoma, increasing the company's secured grid-connected power to over 4.5GW [7] - Grid studies are complete, with power expected to ramp up from 2028, and the site spans 2,000 acres with low latency network connectivity [7] Financial Performance - For the quarter ended December 31, 2025, total revenue decreased to $184.7 million from $240.3 million in the previous quarter [27] - The company reported a net loss of $155.4 million, compared to a net income of $384.6 million in the prior quarter [27] - Adjusted EBITDA decreased to $75.3 million from $91.7 million in the previous quarter, reflecting ongoing transitions and operational challenges [30] Management Commentary - Management highlighted meaningful progress in capacity expansion, customer engagement, and capital formation, indicating a strong demand environment for AI Cloud services [8][9] - The company is focused on transitioning from Bitcoin mining to AI Cloud services, with increasing capacity allocated to higher-value AI workloads [7][8]

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Core Viewpoint - Stifel has downgraded Microsoft stock to Hold due to increasing competitive pressure from Google and Anthropic [1] Group 1: Company Analysis - The downgrade reflects concerns over Microsoft's ability to maintain its competitive edge in the market [1] - Stifel's analysis indicates that the competition from Google and Anthropic is intensifying, which may impact Microsoft's market share and growth prospects [1] Group 2: Industry Context - The competitive landscape in the technology sector, particularly in AI and cloud services, is becoming more challenging for established players like Microsoft [1] - The actions of competitors such as Google and Anthropic are seen as significant threats that could reshape the dynamics of the industry [1]

Core Viewpoint - The technology sector, particularly the AI trade, is experiencing significant volatility, raising concerns among investors about its sustainability and future growth potential [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Performance and Investor Sentiment - The tech sector is currently the worst-performing sector this year, leading to questions about whether this is a temporary pause or a more serious issue within the AI trade [1][2]. - Despite a robust earnings season for tech companies, investor concerns are growing regarding capital expenditures and monetization strategies [2][4]. - There is a palpable nervousness among investors, with some feeling that the AI trade is beginning to crack, reminiscent of past market downturns [3][4]. Group 2: Company-Specific Insights - Companies like Nvidia and Oracle are under scrutiny due to their capital expenditure plans, which could impact investor confidence [7][8]. - Oracle has outlined a plan to spend $45 to $50 billion, which is seen as a positive move towards transparency in their operations [8]. - Software stocks, including Oracle, ServiceNow, and Salesforce, have seen declines of nearly 30% in 2026, raising fears about their future viability in the face of AI advancements [9][10]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - There is a belief that the current market conditions present a buying opportunity for long-term investors, particularly in companies that are well-positioned to benefit from the AI revolution [13][19]. - Microsoft is highlighted as a generational buying opportunity, with potential for significant growth over the next 12 to 24 months [16]. - The overall sentiment is that while there are short-term challenges, the long-term outlook for AI and related technologies remains strong, with expectations of 20-25% returns for the NASDAQ this year [19][20].