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建银国际:升网易-S目标价至235.56港元 常青游戏及新游戏支撑前景
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-18 02:41
建银国际发布研报称,网易-S(09999)2025年第二季业绩好坏参半,但常青游戏和近期推出的游戏表现 强劲,加上丰富的游戏管线,支撑了坚挺的前景。因此维持"跑赢大市"评级,将其估值年份由2025年更 新至2026年,故上调目标价4%,由226.2港元升至235.56港元。 ...
交银国际每日晨报-20250818
BOCOM International· 2025-08-18 01:32
Group 1: NetEase (NTES US) - The gaming improvement trend for the second half of the year is clear, with new games expected in 2026, leading to a target price increase from $143 to $155, reflecting a potential upside of 19.5% [3] - Q2 2025 results were in line with expectations, with gaming revenue slightly below market expectations but gross margin improvement exceeding expectations [3] - Strong performance of flagship games in July and August indicates a robust recovery in mobile gaming, with a strong year-on-year growth expected in the second half of the year [3] Group 2: NetEase Cloud Music (9899 HK) - The company reported better-than-expected profits for the first half of 2025, leading to a target price increase from HKD 240 to HKD 339, indicating a potential upside of 25.5% [4] - Revenue for the first half of 2025 was HKD 3.83 billion, a year-on-year decline of 6%, primarily due to a decrease in social entertainment revenue, while subscription revenue grew by 15% [4] - Adjusted net profit for the first half was HKD 1.1 billion, exceeding market expectations [4] Group 3: JD Logistics (2618 HK) - The company is experiencing accelerated growth in external integration revenue due to prior investments, with a target price of HKD 18.50, indicating a potential upside of 32.5% [6] - Q2 2025 results met expectations, with revenue driven by the group's food delivery service and profits aligning with forecasts [6] - The company expects continued growth trends in the second half of the year [8] Group 4: JD (JD US) - The company faced higher-than-expected losses in new businesses, but retail revenue and profits are expected to grow by approximately 10% year-on-year in Q3 2025 [9] - The target price remains at $40, reflecting a potential upside of 26.7%, with a focus on improving cross-selling efficiency between food delivery and retail [9] - The company anticipates a narrowing of losses in new businesses by Q4 2025 [9] Group 5: Youdao (DAO US) - The company turned profitable in Q2 2025, focusing on AI and high school education, with a target price of $12, indicating a potential upside of 23% [10] - Revenue growth is supported by strong demand in AI-enhanced high school products and advertising business [10] - The company expects a decline in learning services and hardware revenue but a significant increase in advertising revenue [10] Group 6: Geely Automobile (175 HK) - The company reported a 27% year-on-year revenue increase to RMB 150.3 billion in the first half of 2025, with a net profit growth of 102% to RMB 6.66 billion, exceeding market expectations [11] - The target price is raised to HKD 24.21, indicating a potential upside of 27.8%, driven by improved brand integration and sales growth [11] - The company is expected to benefit from industry trends that reduce price competition, focusing more on configuration and driving experience [11] Group 7: Hesai Group (HSAI US) - The company continues to see high growth in shipments, with a target price of $27.52, indicating a potential upside of 18% [12] - Q2 2025 revenue reached RMB 706 million, with a gross margin of 42.5% [13] - The company expects to achieve a total shipment of 1.4 million units in 2025, with significant growth in ADAS and robotics products [12][13] Group 8: QFIN Technology (QFIN US) - The company achieved a net profit of RMB 1.73 billion in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 25.7%, with a target price of $58, indicating a potential upside of 74.2% [14] - The company is focusing on improving asset quality and enhancing risk control measures [15] - Despite short-term uncertainties from new regulations, the company maintains a strong competitive advantage and attractive valuation [15] Group 9: SF REIT (2191 HK) - The company reported a 1.2% year-on-year revenue increase to HKD 225 million in the first half of 2025, with a target price of HKD 3.84, indicating a potential upside of 25.5% [16] - The overall occupancy rate was 97.5% as of June 2025, with expectations for moderate revenue growth in 2025 [17] - The company anticipates potential rental pressure in 2026 following lease renewals with SF Holdings [17] Group 10: Pharmaceutical Industry - The pharmaceutical sector is expected to see steady growth driven by multiple favorable factors in the second half of 2025, with a focus on high-growth opportunities in biotechnology and prescription drugs [18] Group 11: Internet Industry - E-commerce revenue growth in July 2025 exceeded expectations, with a year-on-year increase of 8.3%, driven by strong performance in communication equipment and home appliances [19] - The industry is benefiting from regulatory measures that promote healthy development and reduce aggressive subsidy strategies [19] - Investment insights suggest that Alibaba's revenue adjustments may offset the impact of flash sales subsidies, while JD's new business investments are expected to stabilize overall profit margins [19]
网易-S(09999):稍售费率环比回升,公司游戏持续布局全球化
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-18 01:26
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][26]. Core Views - The company reported a 9% year-on-year increase in revenue for Q2 2025, with a Non-GAAP net profit of 9.5 billion yuan, reflecting a 22% year-on-year growth [2][9]. - The online gaming business generated 22.1 billion yuan in revenue for Q2 2025, marking a 15% year-on-year increase, with strong performance from titles like "Identity V" and "Marvel Contest of Champions" [3][16]. - The company is focusing on global expansion, with several games performing well in international markets, including "Forgotten Sea" and "Return to Tang" [4][19]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 27.9 billion yuan, a 9% increase year-on-year, and a Non-GAAP net profit margin of 34.2%, up 3 percentage points [2][9]. - The overall gross margin for the company was 64.7%, an increase of 1.8 percentage points year-on-year [4][14]. - The total operating expense ratio was 32%, a decrease of 3 percentage points year-on-year, while the sales expense ratio was 12.8%, showing a year-on-year decline of 1 percentage point [4][14]. Gaming Segment - The gaming segment is expected to perform well in Q3 2025, with multiple successful titles and a strong pipeline for global expansion [3][19]. - Deferred revenue reached 16.97 billion yuan, a 25% year-on-year increase, indicating strong future revenue potential [3][16]. Other Business Segments - Youdao's revenue for Q2 2025 was 1.4 billion yuan, a 7% year-on-year increase, driven by a 24% growth in advertising services [20]. - NetEase Cloud Music reported a revenue of 2 billion yuan, a 4% year-on-year decline, but with a gross margin improvement of 4 percentage points [4][23]. Financial Projections - The company expects adjusted net profits of 39.3 billion yuan, 42.5 billion yuan, and 46.7 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively [4][26]. - Revenue projections for 2025 are set at 111.976 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 6.3% [5][29].
全球要闻:芯片股拖累美股但无碍全周录得上涨 市场聚焦鲍威尔杰克逊霍尔讲话
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-18 00:32
8月18日消息,受到经济数据影响,美股上周涨势受到压制,加上周五特朗普威胁半导体高关税将至,芯片股普跌拖累大盘表现。但全周来看,美股三大指 数依然录得上涨。"普特会"落下帷幕,普京称俄真诚希望冲突结束,提和平未提与乌会晤,特朗普称暂未达成协议,给这次会晤打满分10分,则连斯基本周 赴美。市场将聚焦鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔央行年会讲话。 截至上周五收盘,标普500指数跌0.29%,报6449.80点;道琼斯指数涨0.08%,报44946.12点;纳斯达克指数跌0.40%,报21622.98点。 周线上,道琼斯指数一周涨幅为1.74%,纳斯达克指数累计上涨0.81%,标普500指数涨幅为0.94%。 【市场综述】 据央视报道,会后的联合新闻发布会上,普京称,已与特朗普建立了非常好的直接联系,看到了特朗普想要理解冲突本质的意愿;他同意特朗普的观点,乌 克兰的安全必须得到保障。特朗普称,许多事项已达成一致,只剩下少数几个未解决的点,"双方尚未达成(协议),但(当下)有很好的机会"。俄总统代表 称,俄美总统的谈判进展非常顺利。 "特普会"后,特朗普在上周五的专访中透露,目前各方正在安排泽连斯基与普京的会晤。特朗普表示,鉴于" ...
网易-S(09999):2025 年二季度业绩点评:营销投入恢复较快,递延收入支撑后续增长
EBSCN· 2025-08-16 14:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 237.1 HKD, up from the current price of 200.2 HKD [3]. Core Views - The company reported a net revenue of 27.9 billion RMB for Q2 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 9.4%, although slightly below the Bloomberg consensus estimate of 28.4 billion RMB [1]. - The gaming segment continues to show strong growth, with net revenue of 22.8 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 13.7%, but also below market expectations [1]. - Deferred revenue at the end of the period reached 17 billion RMB, up 24.6% year-over-year, indicating strong future revenue support [1]. - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026, increasing them by 9.9% and 8.2% respectively, and introduced a new profit forecast for 2027 [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q2 2025 operating profit was 9.06 billion RMB, with an operating margin of 32.5%, slightly below the expected 9.35 billion RMB [1]. - Adjusted net profit for Q2 2025 was 9.5 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 21.9%, also slightly below the expected 9.6 billion RMB [1]. - The company's gross margin improved to 64.7%, up 1.8 percentage points year-over-year, exceeding expectations [1]. Business Segments - The gaming segment's online game revenue was 22.1 billion RMB, with a year-over-year growth of 14.9%, driven by new releases [1]. - Youdao's net revenue was 1.4 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 7.3%, surpassing expectations [1]. - Cloud music revenue reached 2 billion RMB, also up 7.3% year-over-year, exceeding expectations [1]. - Innovative and other businesses saw a decline in revenue, down 17.8% year-over-year [1]. Profitability and Cost Management - Marketing expenses were 3.6 billion RMB, with a marketing expense ratio of 12.8%, indicating a recovery to historical levels [1]. - The company continues to optimize its management and R&D expenses, with management expense ratio at 3.8% and R&D expense ratio at 15.6% [1]. Valuation and Future Outlook - The report projects a 2025-2026 adjusted net profit of 39.02 billion RMB and 41.43 billion RMB respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 44.48 billion RMB [2]. - The company is expected to benefit from the high growth potential in the domestic gaming industry and improvements in profitability for its cloud music segment [1].
网易-S(09999.HK):Q2业绩高增 看好新游、音乐及教育业务持续成长
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-16 10:46
Core Insights - The company reported a significant year-on-year profit increase of 27% in Q2, driven by the launch of new games and the refined operation of existing titles, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 27.9 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.4% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 3.3% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 27.3% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 16.5% [1] - The gross margin improved to 64.7%, up 1.8 percentage points year-on-year, while the operating expense ratio decreased to 32.2%, down 3.3 percentage points year-on-year [1] Gaming Segment - Revenue from games and related value-added services reached 22.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.7% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 5.2% [1] - The gross margin for the gaming segment was 70.2%, up 0.2 percentage points year-on-year [1] - Upcoming game releases, including "Infinite" expected to be revealed in September, and strong performance from existing titles are anticipated to drive growth [1] Cloud Music and Other Segments - Cloud music revenue was 2 billion yuan, down 3.5% year-on-year but up 5.9% quarter-on-quarter, with a gross margin increase of 4 percentage points to 36.1% [1] - Youdao achieved a revenue of 1.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.2%, marking its first operational profit in Q2 [1] - Other innovative and miscellaneous businesses generated 1.7 billion yuan, down 17.8% year-on-year, but with a gross margin increase of 8 percentage points to 42.3% [1]
网易-S(09999.HK):营销投入逐步恢复 多元产品矩阵多维发力
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-16 10:46
Core Viewpoint - The company's 2Q25 performance met expectations but slightly fell short of market forecasts, with revenue growth of 9% year-on-year to 27.9 billion yuan and Non-GAAP net profit increasing by 22% to 9.5 billion yuan [1][2] Revenue and Growth - 2Q25 revenue reached 27.9 billion yuan, aligning with the company's expectations (27.6 billion yuan) but below Bloomberg's consensus (28.4 billion yuan) [1] - Online gaming revenue grew by 15% year-on-year, driven by titles such as "Identity V," "Yanyun," and "Marvel Showdown," along with some licensed games [1] - The flagship product "Fantasy Westward Journey" mobile game achieved a new quarterly revenue high in 2Q25 [1] Cost and Profitability - Gross margin for 2Q25 was 65%, showing slight improvements from 1Q25 (64%) and 2Q24 (63%), primarily due to increased margins in gaming and VAS businesses [2] - Sales expense ratio in 2Q25 recovered to 13%, up from 9% in 1Q25, indicating a faster recovery than market expectations [2] Future Outlook - The company plans to launch key new mobile games, including "Destiny: Stars" on August 28, with a strong pipeline of diverse products for the coming years [2] - The flagship products continue to perform well, with "Identity V" and "Fantasy Westward Journey" maintaining strong positions in the iOS sales charts [2] Valuation and Forecast - The company maintains its profit forecast, with current stock prices reflecting a valuation of 16x for Hong Kong and 15x for US stocks for 25/26 years Non-GAAP EPS [3] - The target price is set at 263 HKD and 169 USD, indicating an upside potential of 27% for Hong Kong stocks and 25% for US stocks [3]
7月社零总额同比增长3.7%,无印良品回应多地关店 | 财经日日评
吴晓波频道· 2025-08-16 00:30
Group 1: Consumer Retail and Economic Indicators - In July, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 38,780 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.7%. Excluding automobiles, retail sales were 34,931 billion yuan, growing by 4.3% [2] - For the first seven months, total retail sales amounted to 284,238 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 4.8%. Excluding automobiles, the figure was 257,014 billion yuan, growing by 5.3% [2] - Online retail sales for the first seven months reached 86,835 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 9.2%, and physical goods online retail sales accounted for 24.9% of total retail sales [2] - The industrial added value for large-scale enterprises in July grew by 5.7% year-on-year, with a month-on-month increase of 0.38% [4] - The real estate market showed a decline in housing prices across major cities, with new residential prices in first-tier cities dropping by 0.2% month-on-month [6][7] Group 2: Company Performance and Market Trends - NetEase reported a revenue of 27.9 billion yuan for Q2, a year-on-year increase of 9.4%, but below the expected 28.4 billion yuan [11] - JD.com achieved a revenue of 356.7 billion yuan in Q2, marking a year-on-year growth of 22.4%, but faced a significant drop in net profit by 51% [13] - MUJI announced the closure of several stores in China due to declining profitability, indicating challenges in maintaining market presence [15][16] - The stock market showed a rebound with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.83%, indicating a shift in market sentiment and potential for further growth [17][18]
9点1氪丨肖某董某莹事件最新通报,5家机构19人被问责;高铁站停售传统泡面,12306回应;赵薇所持210万元股权再被冻结
3 6 Ke· 2025-08-16 00:01
Group 1 - Meijin Energy is planning to issue shares overseas (H-shares) and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its global strategy and international market competitiveness [1] - Marco Polo Holdings has received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission for its initial public offering and listing on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [2] - SoftBank's subsidiary PayPay has submitted a draft registration statement for a proposed public offering of its American depositary shares to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission [3] Group 2 - JD.com reported Q2 revenue of 356.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.4%, but net profit fell by 51% to 6.2 billion yuan [21] - Stone Technology achieved revenue of 7.903 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 78.96%, but net profit decreased by 39.55% to 678 million yuan [22] - Beiqi Blue Valley reported a revenue of 9.517 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 154.38%, but net profit loss was 2.308 billion yuan [23] - Ecovacs Robotics achieved a net profit of 979 million yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 60.84% [24] Group 3 - 360 Group announced its "All in Agent" strategy, showcasing advancements in AI technology with high success rates in task execution [25] - Zhongke Shuguang launched the Nebula 800, the first standardized super-intelligent integrated computing power platform in China, applicable in over 30 industries [26] - Zhiyuan Robotics will launch its full product line on August 18 on JD.com and its own platform [27]
网易游戏业务第二季度净收入228亿元
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-08-15 17:06
Core Insights - NetEase reported a net revenue of 27.9 billion yuan for Q2 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.4% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders under non-GAAP was 9.5 billion yuan, with R&D investment reaching 4.4 billion yuan, indicating an R&D intensity of 15.6% [2] Group 1: Gaming Business Performance - The gaming and related value-added services segment generated a net revenue of 22.8 billion yuan, accounting for 82% of total revenue, highlighting its critical impact on overall performance [2] - The cost of the gaming business decreased to 6.8 billion yuan in Q2 from 7.5 billion yuan in Q1, indicating a clear trend of cost reduction [2] - The game "Fantasy Westward Journey" achieved a peak of 2.93 million concurrent users, marking a new high in its 22-year operation history [2] Group 2: New Game Developments - The new game "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds," set to launch by the end of 2024, is already showing strong performance metrics, exceeding pre-launch expectations in user activity and monetization [2] - Upcoming single-player games include the original ocean adventure RPG "Forgotten Sea" and a narrative-driven action-adventure game "Return to Tang" [4] Group 3: Market Position and Strategy - NetEase's localized operation strategy and diversified marketing activities have significantly improved user engagement and payment willingness for Blizzard's games, with "Hearthstone" reaching the fifth position on China's iOS bestseller list after the launch of the "Angoro Turtle Path" expansion [3] - Despite the competitive gaming market, NetEase's mobile games have not performed well in overseas revenue rankings, with only "Knives Out" and "Diablo: Immortal" making it to the top 30 in July [4] - Industry expert Zhang Yi noted that NetEase's previous over-reliance on the Japanese market has hindered its ability to capitalize on the growing potential in the European and American markets compared to competitors like Tencent and Mihayou [4]