香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因依 賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 POP MART INTERNATIONAL GROUP LIMITED 泡泡瑪特國際集團有限公司 （於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司） 二零二五年第三季度整體收益表現 二零二五年第三季度整體收益（未經審核），較二零二四年第三季度同比增長 245%-250%，其中中國收益同比增長185%-190%，海外1收益同比增長365%- 370%。 二零二五年第三季度中國各渠道收益表現 二零二五年第三季度中國各渠道收益（未經審核），與二零二四年第三季度比較 為： (1) 線下渠道同比增長130%-135%；及 （股份代號：9992） 二零二五年第三季度最新業務狀況 本公告由泡泡瑪特國際集團有限公司（「本公司」，連同其附屬公司及併表聯屬實 體統稱「本集團」）董事會（「董事會」）自願作出，以告知本公司股東及潛在投資者 本集團最新業務更新。 (2) 美洲同比增長1,265%-1,270%；及 (3) 歐洲及其他地區同比增長 ...

Core Viewpoint - TOP TOY, a潮玩 brand under Miniso Group, has officially submitted its prospectus to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, marking a significant step towards its independent listing and reflecting the founder Ye Guofu's ambition to replicate the success of Pop Mart in the潮玩 market [2][4]. Group 1: Company Overview - TOP TOY was incubated by Ye Guofu in the same year Pop Mart went public, and it has become the second-largest domestic潮玩 brand by sales, with a projected market share of 12.3% in 2024 compared to Pop Mart's 2.2% [4]. - In terms of revenue, TOP TOY is expected to achieve 1.909 billion yuan and 1.360 billion yuan in 2024 and the first half of 2025, respectively, with net profits of 294 million yuan and 180 million yuan, which is only one-tenth of Pop Mart's profitability [5]. Group 2: Business Model and Strategy - TOP TOY's listing represents a challenge from a "channel merchant model" to an "IP operator model," aiming to leverage retail efficiency to break through in the IP-driven潮玩 market [6][7]. - The brand currently holds 43 licensed IPs and 17 proprietary IPs, along with over 600 external IPs, but lacks a standout proprietary IP that can drive significant sales [8][9]. - TOP TOY's revenue heavily relies on external IPs, with external product income accounting for about 50% of total revenue from 2022 to the first half of 2025 [16]. Group 3: Market Position and Consumer Perception - TOP TOY attracts a diverse consumer base, including those who feel overlooked by Pop Mart, but it faces criticism regarding product quality and detail compared to its competitor [20][21]. - The brand's pricing strategy is more affordable, with blind box prices ranging from 39 to 59 yuan, compared to Pop Mart's 59 to 79 yuan, but this approach raises concerns about perceived value and emotional connection with consumers [23][24]. - TOP TOY's frequent promotional activities, such as discounts and bundle offers, may undermine its brand value in a market where emotional connection is crucial [27]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company plans to expand its physical presence significantly, aiming to open over 1,000 stores in 100 countries within five years, leveraging Miniso's extensive distribution network [27]. - However, the challenge remains in cultivating emotional connections with consumers, which is essential for success in the潮玩 industry, as channel efficiency can be replicated but emotional engagement takes time to develop [28].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [4][8]. Core Insights - The company is expected to experience strong momentum from new product launches and continued rapid growth across various channels [8]. - The adjusted net profit for Q3 2025 is projected to be 30.3 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 198.6% [8]. - The company has introduced 31 new series of blind box figures and plush products in Q3 2025, with popular items selling out on the first day of launch [8]. - The number of retail stores in mainland China has increased to 513, a year-on-year growth of 6.4% [8]. - The company's online sales on platforms like Douyin and Tmall have shown significant growth, with Douyin's GMV reaching 1.31 billion yuan, up 302.2% year-on-year [8]. Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue is projected to grow from 6.301 billion yuan in 2023 to 33.410 billion yuan in 2025, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 156% [3][11]. - The adjusted net profit is expected to increase from 1.082 billion yuan in 2023 to 10.861 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 248% [3][11]. - The adjusted PE ratio is forecasted to decrease from 326.1 in 2023 to 32.3 in 2025, indicating improved valuation metrics as earnings grow [3][12]. Key Financial Ratios - The gross profit margin is expected to improve from 61.3% in 2023 to 70.6% in 2025 [12]. - The net profit margin is projected to rise from 17.2% in 2023 to 32.5% in 2025 [12]. - Return on equity (ROE) is anticipated to increase significantly from 13.9% in 2023 to 51.3% in 2025 [12].

每经AI快讯，10月21日，港股消费股走弱，泡泡玛特跌超5%，古茗跌超4%，布鲁可、老铺黄金、蜜雪 集团等跟跌。 ...

Core Insights - I-Mab is transitioning to NovaBridge Biosciences, focusing on a global biotech innovation platform and plans to dual-list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and NASDAQ [1][2] - The company aims to bridge Chinese biotech innovations with global markets, enhancing the value of domestic innovations [2][7] - The "Hub-and-Spoke" model will be adopted, allowing for independent development of various product lines under a centralized management structure [3][4] Company Strategy - The new management team, led by CEO Dr. Fu Xiyong, is focused on recruiting talent to support the transformation and maximize the value of Chinese innovative drugs [2][5] - NovaBridge will leverage its parent company, Kangqiao Capital's resources, to support its global expansion and development strategy [4][6] - The company plans to target clinical-stage projects with high differentiation and competitive advantages, aiming for significant value increases during the clinical trial phases [9][10] Market Context - China has become a hotspot for biopharmaceutical innovation, with a significant increase in drug development activities since 2015, leading to a robust pipeline of innovative drugs [7][8] - The value of BD transactions in China's pharmaceutical sector has surged, with over $66.8 billion in overseas licensing agreements in the first half of 2025 [8] - The company aims to capture a larger share of the value chain, potentially increasing the returns from licensing agreements from 10% to as high as 50% [8][9] Competitive Landscape - NovaBridge's approach is compared to Roivant, but with a broader opportunity set in China, where numerous companies are engaged in drug development [10] - The efficiency and cost-effectiveness of conducting clinical trials in China provide a competitive advantage over Western markets [10] - The company plans to utilize both business development and self-commercialization strategies to maximize the value of its drug pipeline [10][11]

Summary of Pop Mart International Limited Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Pop Mart International Group Limited (9992.HK) - **Industry**: Toy and Collectibles - **Market Cap**: Approximately USD $49 billion - **Core Business**: Specializes in blind box collectibles and IP-driven toys, primarily through direct-to-consumer retail channels Key Investment Thesis - **Rating**: Underperform - **Price Target**: HKD 225, implying an 18% potential downside as of October 15, 2025 [1][13][17] - **Growth Concerns**: Anticipated growth deceleration due to single IP fatigue, particularly with the Labubu franchise, which constitutes about 35% of the company's revenue mix [3][15][24] - **Market Dynamics**: Warning signs include declining secondary market volumes, price deterioration (40% drop in select Labubu models), and reduced digital engagement metrics [2][10][30] Financial Performance - **2024 Performance**: 350% return; 222% year-to-date [1][16] - **Revenue Projections**: Expected to peak in 2025 with a forecasted 145% YoY growth, followed by a projected 20% CAGR from RMB 32 billion in FY2025 to RMB 66 billion by FY2029 [21][41] - **Profit Margins**: Current high margins (32%+) are expected to decline as marketing expenses rise and competition increases [22][48] Risks and Concerns - **Single-IP Dependency**: Heavy reliance on Labubu creates vulnerabilities; potential consumer fatigue could lead to a significant decline in overall revenue and margins [15][24][26] - **Market Saturation**: Blind box penetration in China is nearing maturity, limiting growth potential [48] - **Unrealistic Consensus Expectations**: Current forecasts suggest a market cap of USD $63 billion by 2027, which is deemed overly optimistic given the company's challenges [10][47][44] Valuation Insights - **Current Valuation**: Trading at 21.8x P/E and 0.6x PEG [23][40] - **Valuation Methodology**: Target price reflects a cautious approach, applying an 18x NTM+1 P/E multiple, accounting for single-IP concentration and secondary market risks [15][23] - **Scenario Analysis**: - Base Case: 18% downside to HKD 225 - Bear Case: 58% downside to HKD 114 - Bull Case: 11% upside to HKD 303 [11][30] Conclusion - **Investment Recommendation**: Investors are advised to take profits at current price levels due to the unbalanced risk-reward profile, with substantial downside risks not reflected in the current stock price [12][19][28]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the innovative collaboration between Jingdezhen ceramics and global pop culture, showcasing how traditional craftsmanship is being revitalized through modern trends and partnerships with well-known anime IPs. Group 1: Collaboration with Pop Culture - Jingdezhen ceramics has partnered with international trendy toy brand Pop Mart to create a ceramic figurine of Molly, blending traditional craftsmanship with contemporary design [3][5] - The collaboration with the anime IP Miffy has resulted in products like the "Miffy Garden Blue and White Cup Gift Box," which combines Miffy's character with traditional blue and white porcelain techniques, appealing to younger consumers [5][7] Group 2: Revitalization of Traditional Craft - The Changnanli World Ceramic Trendy Town serves as a platform where traditional ceramics meet modern trends, showcasing the vibrant fusion of ancient craftsmanship with contemporary aesthetics [7][9] - Jingdezhen ceramics is adopting a younger and trendier approach by engaging in design competitions and forming industry alliances, thereby integrating into various aspects of modern life [9][11] Group 3: Cultural Significance - The ancient city of Jingdezhen is positioning itself as a hub of trendsetting, using a language that resonates globally to narrate new stories rooted in deep cultural confidence [11]

Core Viewpoint - Pop Mart has seen a continuous net buying from southbound funds for four consecutive days, with a total net buying amount of 1.468 billion HKD and a cumulative stock price increase of 5.52% [2] Group 1: Trading Activity - On October 17, the total trading volume of active stocks through the Hong Kong Stock Connect reached 53.476 billion HKD, with a net selling amount of 1.678 billion HKD [2] - Pop Mart's trading volume through the Hong Kong Stock Connect on October 17 was 2.695 billion HKD, with a net buying amount of 394 million HKD [2] Group 2: Stock Performance - Pop Mart has experienced a cumulative net buying amount of 1.468 billion HKD over the past four days, during which its stock price has risen by 5.52% [2]

Core Insights - The stock price of Pop Mart has been declining since reaching a peak market value of HKD 440 billion two months ago, currently stabilizing around HKD 350 billion, raising questions about the sustainability of the blind box business [1][11][13] Company Performance - Pop Mart reported its best half-year performance since inception in August 2023, with revenue of HKD 13.88 billion, a year-on-year increase of 204.4%, and a net profit of HKD 4.574 billion, up 396.5% [11] - The LABUBU series, part of THE MONSTERS franchise, contributed HKD 4.814 billion in revenue, increasing its share of total revenue from 13.7% in 2024 to 34.7% [11] - Following the strong performance, Pop Mart's stock price surged to approximately HKD 340, pushing its market value above HKD 440 billion [11] Market Dynamics - Despite the initial success, Pop Mart's stock price experienced a significant correction, dropping over 25% from its peak by mid-September 2023 [11][13] - The company faced challenges with its jewelry brand popop, which saw lackluster sales compared to its toy products, and a decline in the secondary market prices for LABUBU collectibles [13] Brand and IP Development - The LABUBU character gained global popularity after being featured by BLACKPINK member Lisa on social media in April 2024, leading to a surge in demand [9] - The company has expanded its international presence, particularly in Southeast Asia, where LABUBU has garnered a substantial fan base [7][9] Future Outlook - The current stock price adjustment may be a minor setback in the broader context of industry development, with potential for future growth if Pop Mart continues to innovate and develop strong IP [15]

Core Viewpoint - UBS remains optimistic about Pop Mart's (09992) prospects due to the rising popularity of the Starry People series and the stabilization of second-hand market prices for the Labubu series after an initial supply-driven price drop [1] Group 1: Sales and Market Trends - The third quarter sales data update, Christmas-themed product releases, and new animation releases are expected to act as catalysts for growth [1] - High-frequency data, such as credit card spending tracking, is anticipated to enhance stock price momentum [1] Group 2: Investment Rating - UBS maintains a "Buy" rating for Pop Mart with a target price of HKD 432 [1]