Core Viewpoint - Investors have recently shifted focus to niche stocks as skepticism grows regarding the returns on investments made by the Magnificent Seven tech giants in artificial intelligence development [1][12]. Group 1: Performance of the Magnificent Seven - The Magnificent Seven tech giants, including Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla, have led the stock market for the past three years, but their performance has declined since the end of 2025 [1][12]. - Alphabet and Amazon are the only stocks among the Magnificent Seven that have seen gains, with Alphabet rising nearly 20% during the recent downturn [2][12]. - The Magnificent Seven index is currently trading at 28 times profits expected over the next 12 months, which is below previous peaks and in line with the average over the past decade [10][13]. Group 2: Investment Shifts and Market Reactions - Traders have increasingly invested in companies benefiting from Big Tech's spending, such as Sandisk, which is up over 130%, Micron Technology, which has risen 76%, and Western Digital, which has gained 67% since the Magnificent Seven index peaked [3][12]. - The upcoming earnings reports from Microsoft, Meta, Tesla, Apple, Alphabet, and Nvidia are expected to provide insights into the health of various tech sectors, with a projected profit growth of 20% for the fourth quarter, the slowest since early 2023 [4][6][12]. Group 3: Capital Expenditures and Growth Expectations - Major tech companies are expected to spend approximately USD 475 billion on capital expenditures in 2026, significantly up from USD 230 billion in 2024, raising investor expectations for returns on these investments [7][12]. - Microsoft’s Azure revenue rose 39% in its fiscal first quarter, with expectations of 36% growth in the second quarter, highlighting the demand for cloud services driven by AI [7][12]. - Companies that fail to meet growth targets may face significant market penalties, as seen with Meta Platforms, which experienced an 11% drop in stock price following a projection of increased capital expenditures without clear profit pathways [8][12]. Group 4: Comparative Earnings Growth - The 493 companies in the S&P 500 not included in the Magnificent Seven are projected to deliver only 8% earnings growth in the fourth quarter, significantly slower than the expected growth from the tech giants [9][12]. - Nvidia shares have increased by 1,184% since the end of 2022, yet are priced at 24 times anticipated profits, slightly above the S&P 500's multiple of 22, indicating that the stocks are not historically expensive [10][13]. Group 5: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Investors are awaiting signs of growth from the Magnificent Seven, with the current earnings season viewed as a critical milestone for assessing progress [11][13]. - The sentiment in the market has shifted to a "show-me story," where investors demand tangible results from Big Tech's investments in AI and other technologies [4][12].

Group 1 - U.S. stock futures are trading higher, indicating a positive market sentiment for the day [1] - Microsoft Corp. is expected to report quarterly earnings of $3.97 per share on revenue of $80.27 billion, with shares rising 0.4% to $482.50 in after-hours trading [1] - Packaging Corp Of America reported weaker-than-expected fourth-quarter results, projecting first-quarter GAAP EPS of $2.20, below market estimates of $2.26, leading to a 2.1% decline in shares to $218.99 [1] - Tesla Inc. is anticipated to post quarterly earnings of 45 cents per share on revenue of $24.78 billion, with shares increasing 0.4% to $432.49 in after-hours trading [1] - Starbucks Corp. is projected to report quarterly earnings of 59 cents per share on revenue of $9.73 billion, with shares slipping 0.1% to $95.70 in after-hours trading [1] - AT&T Inc. is expected to report quarterly earnings of 46 cents per share on revenue of $32.87 billion, with shares rising 0.3% to $23.07 in after-hours trading [1]

国泰海通证券指出，特斯拉Optimus机器人预计2027年底公开销售，目前已在工厂执行简单任务。随着 硬件自由度提升和软件算法优化，人形机器人商业化进程加速，建议关注产业链中精密制造、电机等核 心环节的领先企业。 机器人ETF（159770）紧密跟踪机器人指数，其行业配置主要包括自动化设备（41.23%）、汽车零部件 （11.77%）、软件开发（9.8%）等，前五大成分股为科大讯飞、汇川技术、拓普集团、大华股份、大 族激光。该ETF还配备了2只场外联接基金（A类：014880；C类：014881）。 消息面上，多重因素交织影响机器人板块情绪。利空方面，据第一财经报道，优必选高管透露工业人形 机器人生产效率仅为人类30%-50%，凸显商业化挑战；同时图灵奖得主杨立昆在达沃斯对行业短期前景 发表审慎言论，抑制市场热情。利好层面，特斯拉CEO马斯克明确Optimus将于2027年上市销售，宇树 科技2025年人形机器人出货量超5500台，远超预期；此外春晚合作伙伴确认为机器人企业，助推产业破 圈。当前板块正处于高位震荡消化阶段，长期产业化逻辑依然坚实。 招商证券强调，机器人行业迎来量产拐点与政策支持双重利好，国内供 ...

Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) has shared updated terms for availing free Full Self-Driving (FSD) transfers on new purchases, which are slated to end on March 31 this year.Free FSD TransfersThe automaker shared updated terms and conditions on FSD transfers via its official website on Tuesday, outlining that customers taking delivery of their new vehicles between April 24, 2025, and March 31, 2026, could be eligible for free FSD transfers.The company shared that to avail the transfer, the customer should be "the l ...

Core Insights - Elon Musk's technology landscape encompasses six key disruptive technology sectors: AI, robotics, autonomous driving, commercial space, brain-machine interfaces, and new energy, representing significant investment opportunities for the next decade [2][3] - The report scores Musk's thematic investment concept at 95 out of 100, indicating strong potential across various dimensions, with an excess return of 127.44% compared to the Wind All A index from early 2025 to January 23, 2026 [8][14] Group 1: Musk's Investment Sector Layout - Musk has systematically positioned his companies, including Tesla, xAI, SpaceX, and Neuralink, across six critical technology areas that are interconnected and complementary, aiming to elevate human civilization [3][14] - The year 2026 is identified as a pivotal point for the commercialization of Musk's technology landscape, with several core projects expected to transition from development to market realization [3][14] Group 2: Investment Opportunities by Sector 1. **Robotics**: The anticipated success of the Optimus robot will drive demand across the entire robotics supply chain, presenting significant investment opportunities in upstream core components and midstream assembly [4][19] 2. **AI**: Musk's dual approach of self-developed computing power and software aims to establish a comprehensive AI ecosystem, with investment opportunities expected to focus on computing infrastructure and software applications by 2026 [25][26] 3. **Commercial Space**: The deployment of Starlink satellites and the operationalization of the Starship are set to revolutionize low Earth orbit communications, creating investment opportunities in upstream components, midstream launch services, and downstream applications [34][36] 4. **Brain-Machine Interfaces**: Neuralink's advancements in brain-machine interface technology are expected to lead to significant investment opportunities in upstream electrodes and chips, as well as midstream system integration and clinical services [43][48] 5. **Autonomous Driving**: The launch of Tesla's Robotaxi service in 2026 will validate the commercial model for autonomous driving, with investment opportunities in core computing power, algorithms, and manufacturers capable of L3+ production [56][59] 6. **New Energy**: Tesla's energy business is projected to experience explosive growth, particularly in energy storage systems, with investment opportunities in system integration, core component supply, and virtual power plant operations [62][66] Group 3: Thematic Evaluation and Stock Pool - The thematic evaluation of Musk's concept is based on eight dimensions, scoring particularly high in market capacity, policy effectiveness, and future growth potential, while the valuation level received a lower score [79][81] - A stock pool has been constructed based on six sectors: robotics, commercial space, AI, brain-machine interfaces, autonomous driving, and new energy, serving as a reference for investors [82]

【提醒：日内请重点关注（以下均为北京时间）】① 时间待定 芬兰总理奥尔波将访华（1月25-28 日）； ② 欧股盘前 阿斯麦控股发布业绩报告； ⑦ 23:30 美国能源信息署（EIA）发布政府版原油库存周报； ③ 18:00 欧洲央行执委Elderson在关于任命的听证会发表开场白演讲，欧洲央行12月中旬提名其继续担 任监管委员会副主席； ⑧ 次日02:00 欧洲央行执行理事会成员Isabel Schnabel讲话； ④ 美股盘前 苹果供应商康宁公司（GLW）、星巴克发布业绩报告； ⑤ 21:30 美国12月商品贸易帐； ⑥ 22:45 加拿大央行公布利率决议； ⑨ 次日03:00 美联储发布FOMC利率决议声明（没有"季度性"经济预期概要/SEP）； ⑩ 次日03:30 美联储主席鲍威尔举行例行新闻发布会； ⑪ 美股盘后 微软、Meta、特斯拉发布业绩报告，拉姆研究、IBM、ServiceNOW也将发布业绩报告； ⑫ 次日05:30 巴西央行公布利率决议； ⑬ 次日05:45 新西兰12月进出口与贸易帐； ...

Core Insights - Tesla has shifted its strategic focus from electric vehicles to autonomy, particularly its robotaxi network and the Optimus humanoid robot, as its EV business faces declining unit sales [1][2] - Boston Dynamics, now majority-owned by Hyundai, is considered to have an edge over Tesla in the autonomous robotics space, particularly with its Atlas robot [3][7] Company Overview - Boston Dynamics was valued at $1.1 billion after Hyundai acquired an 80% stake from Softbank in June 2021 [3] - The company has developed several notable robots, including Spot, Stretch, and Atlas, with Atlas recently awarded "Best Robot" at CES 2026 [4][5] Competitive Landscape - Atlas is set to begin commercial production, with plans for tens of thousands of units to be deployed in Hyundai factories, potentially making it the first humanoid robot to market [6] - Current consensus suggests that Atlas outperforms Optimus in mobility and agility, raising concerns about Tesla's competitive position in humanoid robotics [7] Market Implications - Hyundai Motor Group is now the world's third-largest automaker and the third-largest EV-maker, bolstered by the success of its Ioniq line [9] - Hyundai's market cap is approximately $90 billion, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 12, presenting a potentially attractive investment compared to Tesla's higher valuation [11]

温馨提示 ： 点击下方图片，查看运营团队最新原创报告（共260页） 说明： 欢迎约稿、刊例合作、行业交流 ， 行业交流记得先加入 "机器人头条"知识星球 ，后添加（ 微信号：lietou100w ）微 信； 若有侵权、改稿请联系编辑运营（微信：li_sir_2020）； 回顾一下周一（1月26日）T链们走势， 诸多利好资讯加持下，迎来一波大幅下行行情，诸多核心标的跌停，小 编昨日有发文 重磅！Optimus核心供应商速递 对大幅下行标的进行梳理以及对下行原因进行解读。 昨日文章就有证伪两个在行业圈迅速发酵的夸张小作文（新段子和老段子）：1）鉴于 （R） 及其 Tier2标的们 皆大幅下行，关于其产品出问题的消息疯传；2）鉴于 （T） 大幅下行，行贿传闻再起。 正文： 考虑到小作文影响力，诸多卖方老师昨日盘前皆发推文进行辟谣，同时（R）及核心T2标的 （W） 皆举办电话交 流会，本月 （T）的邬总交流会纪要也再次被拿出来进行辟谣。 特斯拉Q4财报会议即将举办， Optimus V3发布在即，谣言止于智者，T链们如期修复！ 周二（1月27日），T链们如期迎来一波修复行情；整体走势及各标的不过分解读，已放在星球，最 ...

南方财经 21世纪经济报道记者吴斌 上海报道 在科技股和芯片股的提振下，标普500指数创下历史新高。 美国东部时间1月27日，标普500指数收涨0.41%，报6978.60点，时隔半个月再创历史新高；纳斯达克综 合指数涨0.91%，报23817.10点；道琼斯指数跌0.83%，报49003.41点。 财报方面，约五分之一的标普500成分股本周公布季度业绩，"七巨头"中有苹果、微软、Meta和特斯 拉。 本轮财报季的一个关键主题在于：企业是否开始真正从AI相关投资中获益？在2025年末，市场一度担 心大规模投向数据中心及其他基础设施的资本支出能否带来回报，这种疑虑一度打压科技股及其他AI 概念股，本周市场将对此高度关注。 科技巨头能否继续走高？ 1月27日，"七巨头"中六家上涨，英伟达、苹果涨逾1%，微软、亚马逊涨逾2%，仅特斯拉一家下跌。 Globalt Investments高级投资组合经理Thomas Martin分析称，大家都在关注任何能让外界深入了解人工 智能技术发展趋势的信息，投资者将重点关注各公司的资本支出水平以及与AI商业化相关的信息，除 了资本支出和运营支出总额之外，相关评论也将是关注的焦点。 ...

一、 行业背景与趋势 二、 近期密集催化：聚焦北美进展 报告认为过去两周，Robotaxi领域迎来了非常密集的催化，尤其在北美地区进展迅速。主 要体现在 法规 和 运营 两个层面： 1. 法规层面：美国《2026年自动驾驶法案》（草案）的积极进展 2. 运营层面：特斯拉Robotaxi实现"无安全员"运营里程碑 三、 后续影响与连锁反应 1. 对特斯拉自身的直接影响： 2. 对国内产业链的深远影响： 1. 基本面支撑：L2级城市领航辅助驾驶（NOA）的渗透率仍在快速提升，预计全年增长率（YY）超过50%，为整个智能 驾驶板块提供了稳定的基本盘。 2. 长期方向：无论是技术迭代还是法规进展，都明确指向行业向高阶自动驾驶（L3/L4）演进。 事件：美国众议院于1月13日举行了相关听证会，审查包括《2026年自动驾驶法案》在内的草案。 核心影响（两点）： 量产豁免上限大幅提高：法案计划将不符合传统机动车要求（如无方向盘、刹车踏板）的车辆的年度部署豁免上 限，从现行的 2,500辆大幅提升至9万辆 。这对于特斯拉计划中不配备方向盘的 "Cybercab"车型 的量产和大规模上 路至关重要，能极大提高车内空间利用率。 ...