来源：经济观察报 在监管部门强调抵制汽车行业无序价格战的背景下，车企竞争已悄然从明面的降价转向金融手段的比拼。这究竟是刺激消费的良药，还是一场风险后移的 博弈？ 作者：濮振宇 封图：图虫创意 2026年年初，特斯拉一则"首付7.99万、月供1918元开走Model3"的促销政策，在汽车市场掀起涟漪。随后短短半个月内，小米、理想、小鹏、吉利、岚图 等车企纷纷跟进，一场围绕7年低息低月供金融方案的汽车市场促销战打响。 在监管部门强调抵制汽车行业无序价格战的背景下，车企竞争已悄然从明面的降价转向金融手段的比拼。这究竟是刺激消费的良药，还是一场风险后移的 博弈？ "7年低息"成标配 1月6日，特斯拉率先打响开年金融促销的第一枪，其在官网显眼的地方标注：2月28日（含）前下单指定版本车型，可享8000元限时保险补贴，可申请限 时5年0息或7年金融方案。 以售价23.55万元的Model3后轮驱动版为例，选择5年期的"限时0息贷款方案"后，首付最低7.99万元，月供为2594元；选择7年期的"限时低息贷款方案 A"后，首付最低7.99万元，月供为1918元。 1月15日，小米宣布，为响应用户对灵活购车的期待，从1月16日 ...

大家早上好！这里是今天的早报，每天早上，我都会在这里跟你聊聊昨夜今晨发生了哪些大事儿。 昨夜今晨 【特朗普称希望与伊朗达成协议】 据央视新闻，当地时间2月1日，美国总统特朗普在海湖庄园回答记者有关伊朗问题时表示，希望能够达成协 议。 当天早些时候，伊朗外长阿拉格齐表示，伊朗对与美国就核问题达成协议仍然有信心。他说，通过地区友好国 家进行的信息沟通正在推动双方接触，并称相关谈判是富有成效的。 阿拉格齐重申，伊朗希望美方解除长期制裁，同时尊重伊朗在和平利用核能框架下继续进行铀浓缩的权利。 【马斯克大动作！SpaceX上市最新消息】 据央视财经援引路透社报道，美国太空探索技术公司也就是SpaceX，于本周五向美国联邦通信委员会提交申 请，计划发射多达100万颗卫星，以打造"轨道数据中心"。与此同时，近期频繁传出消息称SpaceX公司正考虑 IPO。外界猜测，通过此举，SpaceX的在轨数据中心将为xAI输送庞大算力。市场正密切关注企业家马斯克推 进太空算力布局的最新动态。 彭博社也曾披露，SpaceX或将与特斯拉公司合并的消息。这一路径的设想是，特斯拉制造储能系统的能力可 帮助SpaceX在太空利用太阳能运行这些数 ...

Group 1 - Waymo is planning to raise $16 billion at a valuation close to $110 billion, with Alphabet investing $13 billion and other investors like Sequoia Capital and Digital Sky Technology Group covering the remaining amount [1] - The latest funding round comes 15 months after Waymo's previous round, which valued the company at over $45 billion, marking a 144.4% increase in valuation [1] - Waymo has completed over 20 million autonomous driving rides, indicating significant operational progress [1] Group 2 - In 2024, Waymo faces unprecedented challenges as its only competitor, Cruise, suspended operations following a fatal accident and subsequently exited the Robotaxi market [3] - Despite these challenges, the announcement of Tesla's Robotaxi product, Cybercab, is seen as a potential boost for the industry, although it raises questions about Alphabet's continued support for Waymo [3][4] - The Robotaxi market is becoming increasingly competitive, with Waymo and Tesla emerging as the primary players, while other companies like Nvidia and Amazon are also making advancements [9] Group 3 - By 2025, Waymo's annual revenue is projected to reach $350 million, nearly doubling from 2024, as the company expands its fleet through partnerships, such as with Geely Group [7] - Waymo's hardware costs are higher compared to Tesla's Cybercab, but the high customer pricing in the U.S. Robotaxi market can cover these costs [9] - The completion of the new funding round is expected to enhance Waymo's position in the Chinese Robotaxi market, which has multiple players including Baidu's Apollo and Didi's autonomous driving unit [9][10] Group 4 - Companies like Xiaopeng are following Tesla's model closely, including plans for Robotaxi services, but their market valuation remains significantly lower than Tesla's [10] - Waymo's new funding round may encourage Baidu's Apollo to seek international capital to expand its market presence, especially in light of the current geopolitical climate affecting investment flows [10]

Group 1: Automotive Industry Performance - Xiaomi's automotive deliveries exceeded 39,000 units in January 2026 [2] - Li Auto delivered 27,668 vehicles in January 2026 [2] - Leap Motor achieved total deliveries of 32,059 units in January, a year-on-year increase of 27% [2] - AITO (问界) delivered 40,016 vehicles in January, marking an 83% year-on-year growth [2] - Lantu delivered 10,515 vehicles in January, up 31% year-on-year [2] - GAC Toyota's sales reached 63,648 units in January [2] - GAC Trumpchi's terminal sales were 26,937 units in January, a slight increase of 2.06% [2] - Great Wall Motors reported total sales of 90,312 units in January, a year-on-year increase of 11.59% [2] - Extreme Stone (极石) delivered 1,028 vehicles in January, nearly doubling year-on-year [2] Group 2: Company Developments and Innovations - Xiaomi denied reports of discussions with Ford to establish a joint venture for electric vehicles in the U.S. [7] - Xiaomi's founder Lei Jun announced that the development of the new generation Xiaomi SU7 has been completed, with production set to begin soon [7] - The AI robot YuTree G1 successfully walked 13,000 steps in extreme cold conditions of -47.4°C, marking a global first [7] - NIO launched a limited-time financial purchase plan with a low interest rate of 0.49% for vehicle purchases [9] - ByteDance's Hongguo short drama app surpassed 100 million daily active users within three years of its launch [9] - Tencent's AI assistant Yuanbao officially launched its public beta, exploring the AI social networking space [9] - Beijing Economic Development Zone issued the first national virtual idol identity certification [9] - Toyota recalled over 161,000 Tundra vehicles in the U.S. due to rearview camera issues [9] Group 3: Financing and Market Trends - Zhongke Qingneng completed nearly 500 million yuan in PreA++ financing, led by Dinghui Baifu [11] - Xuqing Intelligent secured seed round financing in the millions, focusing on technology development [11] - The global semiconductor industry saw a significant increase in exports from South Korea, reaching $20.5 billion in January, a year-on-year increase of over 102% [13]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The automotive sector is experiencing a significant shift with the introduction of Tesla's Robotaxi strategy, focusing on a dual-seat Cybercab to address 90% of travel scenarios [5][13] - Tesla has disclosed that approximately 1.1 million Full Self-Driving (FSD) paid users account for about 12% of its total vehicle sales, with a year-on-year growth of 38% [14] - The Shanghai government has introduced a subsidy for replacing old vehicles with new energy vehicles, offering an 8% subsidy on the purchase price, capped at 15,000 yuan [14] - The National Energy Administration plans to establish 28 million charging facilities by the end of 2027, expected to drive over 200 billion yuan in investments [15] - The global humanoid robot shipment is projected to increase by 508% in 2025, with Chinese manufacturers leading the market [20][22] Market Performance - The automotive sector underperformed the market, with the A-share automotive index declining by 4.67%, ranking 29th among primary industries [6][25] - The passenger vehicle index fell by 1.84%, while the commercial vehicle index decreased by 1.21% [6] - The automotive parts index saw a decline of 6.82%, with various segments experiencing different levels of performance [6] Investment Recommendations - For passenger vehicles, there is an unexpected demand in the domestic high-end luxury market, with recommendations for Jianghuai Automobile and Seres, while Geely Automobile is identified as a beneficiary [7] - In the automotive parts sector, profitability is expected to improve, with recommendations for Desay SV, Zhejiang Xiantong, Meili Technology, and others, while Weichai Power and others are seen as beneficiaries [7]

Core Viewpoint - Tesla's flagship models, Model S and Model X, will cease production by the end of Q2, with the Fremont production line being repurposed for the Optimus robot factory, aiming for an annual capacity of 1 million units [1]. Group 1: Production and Sales - Model S was released in 2012, followed by Model X in 2015, establishing Tesla's dominance in the electric vehicle market [1]. - Sales of Model S/X have been low, categorized under "other models" in Tesla's financial reports, with a projected total of fewer than 50,000 units for all four models by 2025, compared to 1,585,300 units for Model 3/Y [2]. - The peak sales year for Model S/X was 2017, contributing 99% of Tesla's total deliveries and over $10 billion in revenue, but they have since been overshadowed by Model 3 and Model Y [7]. Group 2: Business Strategy - Elon Musk's philosophy emphasizes reducing production costs to sell vehicles at lower prices, contrasting with traditional automakers that cover various price segments [6]. - The initial high pricing of Model S/X was intended to open market space and foster supply chain growth, paving the way for more affordable models [7]. - Tesla's long-term strategy involves shifting value from hardware to software, particularly in autonomous driving, necessitating high sales volumes to dilute development costs [10]. Group 3: Market Response and Future Plans - The decision to stop production of Model S/X is influenced by a significant shift in capital market sentiment, where investors are more focused on Tesla's AI and robotics initiatives than its automotive business [15][19]. - Following disappointing sales and financial metrics, Tesla's stock has paradoxically risen, driven by optimism around AI developments and future projects like Cybercab and Optimus [18][19]. - Analysts have adjusted Tesla's stock price targets based on AI-related expectations, with some firms raising targets due to positive developments in Robotaxi and FSD services, while others express concerns over high capital expenditures [22][19].

温馨提示 ： 点击下方图片，查看运营团队最新原创报告（共260页） 说明： 欢迎约稿、刊例合作、行业交流 ， 行业交流记得先加入 "机器人头条"知识星球 ，后添加（ 微信号：lietou100w ）微 信； 若有侵权、改稿请联系编辑运营（微信：li_sir_2020）； 正文： 回顾整个1月，诸多利好资讯下，T链们走势中规中矩（有些弱），静待2月份！ Optimus V3量产在即，T链们陆续开启北美行，被发包、待定点、定点等利好资讯不断，核心标的越发明朗， " 新T链 "们，来了！ 12月下旬，小编在星球中就提到1月，T链们的核心催化是被发包、定点，决定性事件是前往北美沟通；额外事件 （催化）则是特斯拉四季度财报电话会Optimus相关内容；意外催化则是Optimus V3初"亮相" （马斯克推文）。 回顾一下1月以来T链们行情，基本和小编在星球内预测一致，行情主要围绕北美沟通标的展开，其次本月对T利 好标的。 本波前往北美沟通T链标的们主要沟通点就是后续量产事宜，签署ppa协议，进行RFQ（SOP前最后一环）确认， 然后定点；因此本波前往北美沟通标的多多少少和定点有关；如进入RFO阶段的结构件核心标的 （K ...

Core Viewpoint - SpaceX is seeking permission to launch up to 1 million satellites into Earth's orbit to create solar-powered data centers in space, aimed at meeting the growing data demands driven by artificial intelligence [1][4]. Group 1: Satellite Network and Technology - The proposed satellite system will be launched using SpaceX's reusable Starship rocket, offering a cost-effective and environmentally friendly alternative to traditional land-based data centers [2]. - The network will utilize radiative cooling in space, eliminating the need for large water volumes for cooling systems and reducing reliance on batteries by harnessing solar energy [3]. - Satellites will communicate via laser links and will be positioned in orbits between 500 km (310.69 miles) and 2,000 km to ensure near-constant solar access [3]. Group 2: Strategic Implications and Future Plans - The FCC filing coincides with SpaceX's plans for an IPO later this year and potential mergers with Musk's xAI or Tesla, which could enhance cash flow and integrate capabilities in AI, satellite production, and rocket launches [4]. - Musk has emphasized the necessity of orbital data centers, predicting that space will become the most cost-effective location for AI data centers within two to three years [5].

Core Insights - The Chinese automotive industry is transitioning from "scale expansion" to "quality improvement and efficiency enhancement" in 2026, driven by electrification and intelligent transformation [1] - The market competition is shifting from price wars to a "value war" focused on technological innovation, product iteration, quality enhancement, and experience optimization [1] Market Overview - In 2026, the total vehicle sales in China are projected to reach 34.75 million, a slight increase of 1%, while another estimate suggests around 28 million units, growing by 2% [2] - The industry is entering a phase characterized by high sales volume but low growth, with competition focusing on quality and efficiency rather than scale [2] - The central economic work conference emphasizes a policy direction of "stability while seeking progress" and "quality improvement and efficiency enhancement" for the automotive sector [2] New Energy Vehicles (NEVs) - NEVs are expected to achieve significant growth, with sales projected to exceed 20 million units in 2026, solidifying their market dominance [3] - Domestic automakers are leveraging technological innovation and supply chain advantages to produce competitively priced NEVs, shifting from policy-driven sales to market-driven sales as penetration rates exceed 50% [3] Competitive Landscape - Leading domestic automakers like Geely, BYD, and Chery are expected to benefit from product structure upgrades and global expansion, with Geely targeting over 4.5 million units in sales for 2026 [3] - New entrants in the automotive market are experiencing accelerated differentiation, with companies like Leap Motor and Xpeng doubling their sales, while others like NIO are focusing on operational efficiency [4] Internationalization and Global Expansion - The Chinese automotive industry is increasingly focusing on international markets, with exports projected to exceed 8 million units in 2026, primarily driven by NEVs [12] - Major automakers are establishing overseas production facilities to mitigate tariffs and trade barriers, enhancing local integration and responsiveness [13] Technological Innovation - Key areas of technological advancement include power batteries, chips, and software, with significant breakthroughs expected in 2026 [6] - The development of next-generation battery technologies, such as solid-state batteries, is progressing, with initial production expected to begin in 2026-2027 [6] - Intelligent driving technologies are advancing, with L2-level driving assistance features expected to penetrate over 70% of new passenger vehicles by 2026 [7] Emerging Trends - The automotive industry is evolving into a "super platform," integrating various technologies and services beyond traditional transportation [11] - Companies are exploring new growth avenues, including humanoid robots and low-altitude economy sectors, with significant developments anticipated in 2026 [9][10]

加入轩辕同学 ， 成就新汽车人! 撰 文 | 莫 莉 编 辑 | 张 南 设 计 | 甄 尤美 2026年1月的车圈似乎是以反思开场。 吉利汽车掌门李书福发表"不惑不辍"的新年献词， 保时捷前CEO则罕见公开认错。 小米雷军还在回应"小字营销""绿化带战神"又在"丢轮保车"争议里被推上风口，而华为余承东 则在内部对鸿蒙座舱某些体验不佳大发雷霆。 蔚来李斌还在感慨"活着就有机会"，而理想李想则宣布要加速启动人形机器人业务。 关键时刻，不惑不辍。 ——李书福 吉利控股集团董事长 2026年1月1日，执掌保时捷十年的大众汽车集团CEO奥博穆在正式卸任保时捷CEO时如是自我 批评。 奥博穆说："过去十年，保时捷取得了创纪录的业绩，大众集团与各家族都从中受益。但必须承 认，自保时捷上市三年以来，股东们承受了损失。我接受这一批评。" 他表示将第二代Macan全面纯电是一个错误决定，使保时捷的产品组合缺乏灵活性。 几年前公司战略是在主要细分市场提供燃油、混动和电动车，但Macan例外。保时捷过于乐观 地判断市场已准备好全面拥抱电动化，停产燃油版Macan导致出现产品空窗期。 他坦言："我们对Macan的决策是错误的。几年前 ...