Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for Nanjing Bank [3][10]. Core Views - Nanjing Bank is entering a new five-year planning cycle, with three major turning points driving value reassessment: 1) Market share enhancement cycle, 2) Interest rate decline cycle, and 3) Cost-to-income ratio improvement cycle [3][10]. - The bank's current PB valuation is 0.81x for 2025, with a dividend yield of 4.5%, making it a strong investment recommendation [3][10]. Market Share Enhancement Cycle - The management team, led by Chairman Xie Ning, is driving operational efficiency through comprehensive reforms and management optimization, following a significant expansion of branch networks [7][21]. - By the end of 2024, Nanjing Bank will have 290 branches, with a focus on increasing market share through a "three-year customer doubling action plan" [7][22]. - The favorable economic environment in Jiangsu province, with a credit growth rate close to 10% as of May, supports sustainable revenue growth for Nanjing Bank [7][25]. Interest Rate Decline Cycle - Nanjing Bank benefits from a favorable asset-liability structure in a low-interest-rate environment, with a high proportion of time deposits (78%) compared to peers [8][10]. - The bank has already passed the peak pressure on net interest margin (NIM) in 2023, and NIM is expected to stabilize as deposit costs decline [8][10]. Cost-to-Income Ratio Improvement Cycle - The cost-to-income ratio has risen to 30.5% from 2019 to 2023, but is projected to decrease to 28.1% in 2024 due to operational efficiencies and a three-year financial management plan [9][10]. - The bank's asset quality is stabilizing, with a focus on government-related loans, while retail loan risks are expected to improve in the coming years [9][10]. Investment Recommendations - Nanjing Bank is expected to maintain a leading position in ROE and performance growth among listed banks, with a dividend payout ratio above 30% [10]. - The completion of a 20 billion yuan convertible bond conversion enhances capital, supporting the bank's growth trajectory [10].

行业研究丨点评报告丨软件与服务 [Table_Title] AI 产业跟踪：OpenAI 发布 Agent 模式，AI Agent 商业化落地与规模化进展有望加速 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 7 月 18 日凌晨，OpenAI 宣布并介绍了即将推出的 Agent 模式，当前 Agent 模式集成于 ChatGPT，目前已向 OpenAI Pro、Plus 和 Team 计划的订阅用户开放，Pro 用户每月 400 次 调用，Plus 和 Team 用户每月 40 次，企业版与教育版预计本月底前上线。我们认为，ChatGPT Agent 把"大模型"升级为"大系统"，为后续 AI Agent 规模化落地提供了可借鉴的技术路径。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 宗建树 SAC：S0490520030004 SFC：BUX668 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 丨证券研究报告丨 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 软件与服务 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title AI 产业跟踪：2]OpenAI 发布 Agent 模式，AI Agent 商业化落地 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and is maintained [12] Core Viewpoints - The Jiangsu Bank Index has decreased by 0.5% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 by 1.5% and the ChiNext Index by 3.6%. Despite a decline in trading sentiment for bank stocks, the core investment logic remains solid [2][6] - The trend of deposit regularization has stabilized in the first half of the year, with the proportion of RMB time deposits at 73.1% as of the end of June, a decrease of 1.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a marginal improvement in deposit regularization pressure for listed banks [2][9][50] - The average dividend yield of the six major state-owned banks' A-shares has fallen to 3.91%, with a spread of 225 basis points over the 10-year government bond yield, while the average yield for H-shares is 4.89%, showing a more pronounced advantage [6][20][24] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The overall market risk appetite has increased significantly this week, leading to a decline in trading sentiment for bank stocks, although the core investment logic remains intact [2][6] - Individual stocks such as Minsheng Bank H and Xiamen Bank have led gains due to improved governance expectations, while Nanjing Bank has seen an increase following the successful delisting of its convertible bonds [6][7] Loan and Deposit Trends - In the first half of the year, the total RMB credit has decreased year-on-year by 350 billion, with weak demand for household credit. The core drag has been short-term and medium-to-long-term operating loans, which have decreased by 705 billion [8][39] - Large banks have increased their new credit year-on-year, capturing 64% of the market share, while smaller banks continue to see a decline in credit demand [8][43][47] Convertible Bonds and Valuation Opportunities - Nanjing Bank's convertible bonds have been successfully delisted, eliminating conversion pressure and suggesting potential for valuation recovery. Other banks like Qilu Bank are also expected to see similar opportunities [7][26] Trading Activity - The turnover rate for joint-stock banks and city commercial banks has increased compared to last week, while the turnover rate for state-owned banks remained stable. The core investment logic for bank stocks remains robust, with low valuation recovery and significant risk bottom lines established [30][35]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the real estate industry [13]. Core Insights - The policy goal of stabilizing the market has somewhat boosted market expectations, but marginal downward pressure has increased since April. The rapid decline in volume and price may have passed, with structural highlights in core areas and quality properties [6][10]. - The report identifies a significant gap in quality housing due to a high proportion of old residential buildings in key cities and the impact of price controls on the quality of new homes. This creates a foundation for product iteration and potential volume growth [3][10]. - The loosening of price controls is expected to lead to a revaluation of property prices, particularly for mid-to-high-end products, which could enhance product pricing power and profitability for developers with regional advantages and manageable inventory levels [3][10]. Market Performance - The Yangtze River Real Estate Index decreased by 1.94% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 by 3.03%, ranking 32 out of 32 industries. Year-to-date, the index is down 0.81%, with a cumulative underperformance of 3.95% compared to the CSI 300 [7][17]. - The report notes that the real estate sector has shown poor performance this week, primarily driven by declines in development stocks, while property management and rental stocks exhibited mixed results [7]. Policy Developments - The Central Urban Work Conference outlined seven key tasks, emphasizing the transition from rapid urbanization to stable development, focusing on optimizing urban systems and enhancing living conditions [8][21]. - Local policies in cities like Qingdao and Changsha are being optimized to support housing exchanges and stimulate market activity through various measures, including subsidies for home purchases and revitalizing existing land [8][21]. Sales Trends - New home and second-hand home transaction volumes in sample cities are experiencing low-level fluctuations. For instance, the transaction area for new homes in 37 cities decreased by 18.1% year-on-year, while second-hand homes in 19 cities saw a decline of 7.2% [9][22]. - Year-to-date, new home transaction areas in 37 cities are down 3.9%, while second-hand homes in 19 cities have increased by 16.3% [9][22]. Investment Opportunities - The report highlights that the real estate downcycle requires three conditions for a trend reversal: the cycle must reach a bottom, economic feedback must be positive, and policies must be sufficiently strong. Currently, these conditions are challenging to meet in the short term, with investment opportunities primarily in policy expectations and structural segments [10]. - The potential for product iteration and stable cash flow in the real estate sector is emphasized, particularly for developers with regional advantages and low inventory pressure, which may yield long-term alpha and stable profit returns [3][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the automotive industry [12]. Core Insights - The ultra-luxury market is expected to expand, with a projected space of approximately 500,000 vehicles in 2024, where BBA (Benz, BMW, Audi) and Porsche dominate 70% of the market, indicating a strong foreign brand presence [3][10]. - Huawei's ADS 4.0 upgrade and its technology, IP, brand, and channel empowerment are anticipated to redefine luxury in the automotive sector, potentially reshaping the competitive landscape for ultra-luxury vehicles in China [3][10]. - Domestic brands are expected to benefit from the rise of ultra-luxury vehicles, with a focus on companies like Seres, JAC Motors, BAIC Blue Valley, and BYD [3][10]. Summary by Sections Ultra-Luxury Market Expansion - The ultra-luxury market continues to grow, with significant potential for domestic brand replacement. In 2024, high-end, luxury, and ultra-luxury vehicle sales are projected to reach 4.164 million, 1.26 million, and 464,000 units respectively [7][21]. - The market is primarily driven by SUVs, which are expected to account for 69.9% of ultra-luxury vehicle sales in 2024, with brands like BMW, Porsche, Land Rover, and Mercedes-Benz leading the segment [7][30]. Electric and Intelligent Transformation - The penetration of electric vehicles is increasing, with the share of new energy vehicles in cars priced over 400,000 yuan rising from 3.21% in 2020 to 30.81% in 2024. Plug-in hybrids are the main driver of this growth [8][53]. - Domestic brands are leveraging their innovation capabilities in the intelligent sector, with a significant increase in market share for luxury SUVs from 2.5% in 2020 to 42.4% in 2024 [8][71]. Huawei's Role in the Market - Huawei's brand and technological capabilities are positioned to disrupt the ultra-luxury market, with the launch of the AITO M9 SUV leading the charge in the 400,000-600,000 yuan price range, achieving over 200,000 pre-orders within a year [9][74]. - The ultra-luxury sedan market remains largely unoccupied by domestic brands, presenting a significant opportunity for future growth [9][74]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies like Seres, JAC Motors, BAIC Blue Valley, and BYD as they are well-positioned to capitalize on the emerging trends in the ultra-luxury vehicle market [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the investment banking and brokerage industry [7] Core Insights - The report indicates that several brokerage firms have disclosed performance increases, with mid-year results expected to continue high growth, enhancing their investment value. Additionally, the insurance sector is anticipated to see an increase in value ratios, driving significant growth in new business value. The equity market is expected to continue its upward trend, with positive investment returns and profit growth. Current valuations reflect a pessimistic assumption about long-term investments, but considering the medium to long-term interest rate spreads, current valuations remain safe. The report is optimistic about improvements in concentration and liability costs [2][4] - From the perspective of profitability and dividend stability, the report recommends Jiangsu Jinzhong, China Ping An, and China Pacific Insurance for their stable profit growth and high dividend yields. Furthermore, it recommends Xinhua Insurance, China Life, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, CITIC Securities, Dongfang Fortune, Tonghuashun, and Jiufang Zhitu Holdings based on their performance elasticity and valuation levels [4] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The non-bank financial index decreased by 1.2% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 by 2.3%, ranking 28th out of 31 sectors. Year-to-date, the non-bank financial index has increased by 3.0%, also underperforming the CSI 300 by 0.2%, ranking 22nd out of 31 sectors. Overall, the non-bank sector has shown weak performance this week [5] Market Performance - Market activity has seen a rebound, with an average daily trading volume of 15,462.47 billion yuan, up 3.35% week-on-week. The average turnover rate is 1.83%, an increase of 4.07 basis points. The leverage capital scale has also risen, with a margin balance of 1.90 trillion yuan, up 1.64% [5][34] Brokerage Data Tracking - The report highlights a recovery in trading activity, with the CSI 300 index rising by 1.09% and the ChiNext index increasing by 3.17%. The average daily trading volume has surpassed the 2024 average, indicating a gradual recovery in brokerage business profitability [33][39] Investment Business - The equity market is showing signs of recovery, with the CSI 300 index up by 1.09% and the ChiNext index up by 3.17%. The report notes that brokerage firms have a significant portion of their investment assets in equities (10%-30%) and bonds (70%-90%), necessitating close monitoring of market changes [39] Credit Business - The margin trading balance has increased to 1.90 trillion yuan, reflecting a 1.64% week-on-week rise. The report notes that while the stock pledge business is expected to remain cautious due to past credit risks, income from this business is anticipated to perform better than its scale [42] Investment Banking Business - In June, the equity financing scale rose significantly to 544.19 billion yuan, a 3140.2% increase, while bond financing reached 88.3 trillion yuan, up 21.3%. The report suggests that the stock underwriting scale is expected to increase due to new refinancing regulations [44][46] Asset Management Business - The report indicates a rebound in the issuance of collective asset management products, with June seeing a total issuance of 9.301 billion units, up 116.8% from the previous month. However, the new fund issuance decreased by 22.0% in June compared to the previous month [48]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the Field-Reversed Configuration (FRC) technology [4]. Core Insights - FRC technology is emerging as a promising alternative to traditional fusion methods like Tokamak, with advantages in cost, efficiency, and potential for commercialization [12][36]. - The report highlights significant advancements in both domestic and international FRC projects, indicating a growing interest and investment in this technology [47][84]. Summary by Sections What is Field-Reversed Configuration (FRC)? - FRC is a compact plasma configuration characterized by strong axial magnetic fields and minimal toroidal fields, making it structurally simpler and less costly to build compared to Tokamaks [12][13]. - The unique properties of FRC allow for high plasma beta values, effective confinement, and potential applications in various engineering scenarios [18][20]. Advantages of FRC over Tokamak - FRC's energy conversion efficiency is significantly higher, with Helion Energy achieving up to 95% efficiency through direct energy conversion methods [33][35]. - The construction costs and timelines for FRC are lower, with companies like Helion Energy aiming for commercial power generation by 2028, compared to the longer timelines for Tokamak-based projects [36][39]. - FRC's modular design facilitates easier maintenance and upgrades, enhancing operational efficiency [44][46]. International FRC Projects and Company Progress - Helion Energy, a leading company in FRC technology, has secured agreements to supply power to major corporations like Microsoft and Nucor, with plans for a 500MW fusion power plant by the 2030s [49][53]. - TAE Technologies is also advancing its FRC projects, with expectations to demonstrate net energy gain by the 2030s [58][64]. Domestic FRC Projects and Company Progress - The "Fluorescence-1" device represents early domestic efforts in FRC research, focusing on plasma target formation and stability [86][87]. - Huazhong University of Science and Technology's HFRC project aims to explore plasma collision fusion and magnetic compression [95]. - The establishment of companies like Hanhai Fusion, which focuses on low-cost FRC technology, indicates a growing commercial interest in China's fusion energy sector [101][107].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [7] Core Insights - The trend of "using plastic instead of steel" is becoming evident, with a focus on lightweight materials such as magnesium-aluminum alloys and engineering plastics for robotic components [4][14] - PEEK (Polyether Ether Ketone) is highlighted for its multiple advantages, making it a promising candidate for key component materials in robotics [5][21] - The performance of lightweight materials is analyzed across various dimensions, including stiffness, strength, wear resistance, heat resistance, corrosion resistance, insulation, and flame retardancy [24][29] Summary by Sections Lightweight Material Comparison - The shift towards lightweight materials in robotics has been ongoing, with engineering plastics like nylon and POM previously replacing metal materials in industrial robots [4][14] - PEEK is noted for its self-lubricating properties, superior wear resistance, and longevity compared to other engineering plastics [29][32] Mechanical Strength and Durability - Among engineering plastics, CFRP (Carbon Fiber Reinforced Plastic) exhibits the best mechanical performance, while PEEK and PPS show similar properties, both significantly outperforming PA and PC/ABS in mechanical strength [6][28] - PEEK's molecular structure contributes to its excellent self-lubrication and wear resistance, making it suitable for high-load applications [29][35] Thermal Stability and Insulation - PEEK and CFRP demonstrate superior thermal stability and insulation properties compared to other engineering plastics, with PEEK having the highest long-term usage temperature [32][35] - The insulation performance of PEEK is slightly better than that of standard engineering plastics, making it suitable for various applications [35] Cost and Processing - The production cost of PEEK and CFRP is notably high, but their durability and performance justify the investment, with PEEK's lifespan being four times that of PPS [32][36] - PEEK's processing is complex, requiring precise control during manufacturing, which can affect production efficiency [36]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [7] Core Insights - The cylindrical battery is evolving towards larger formats like 4680 and full-tab designs, which are expected to enhance the value of cylindrical battery components [2][4] - The leading company in cylindrical structural components, Jinyang Co., is anticipated to see significant revenue growth in 2025, driven by its main customer, EVE Energy, and its expansion into the robotics sector [6][39] Summary by Sections 4680 Battery Development - The 4680 battery, introduced in 2020, shows significant performance improvements over the 21700 format, with a capacity five times greater, potentially increasing vehicle range by 16% and reducing production costs by 14% [18][26] - 2025 is projected to be a pivotal year for the 4680 battery, with major manufacturers like Tesla, BMW, and leading battery producers in China and abroad preparing for mass production [4][26] Full-Tab Battery Technology - Full-tab batteries enhance heat dissipation and charging rates by improving contact points, significantly reducing internal resistance and enhancing safety [5][32] - The penetration of full-tab technology is increasing in 46 series batteries, with gradual adoption in 18 and 21 series batteries [5][32] Jinyang Co. Overview - Jinyang Co. focuses on battery shell components, with expected rapid revenue growth in 2025 due to strong customer relationships and new client acquisitions [6][39] - The company is also entering the robotics market through partnerships and joint ventures, which could provide substantial profit elasticity as demand for robotics components increases [40][46] Robotics Sector Potential - Jinyang Co. is strategically positioned to supply components for humanoid robots, with potential clients including Xiaomi and BYD, which are actively developing robotics technologies [46][49] - The company's collaboration with Qingdao Guohua in the robotics field is expected to enhance its product offerings and market reach [40][54]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [11] Core Insights - The China Iron and Steel Association held a meeting on July 15, proposing strict control of new capacity and promoting the collaborative development of the steel structure construction industry [2][8] - The trend of reducing "involution" in the steel industry is expected to support steel prices, with measures to control crude steel production and eliminate backward capacity [14] - The promotion of steel structures is anticipated to enhance standards and penetration rates, addressing issues like low penetration in residential buildings and high costs [14] - The report emphasizes the performance elasticity of Honglu Steel Structure, highlighting its potential for profit recovery with rising steel prices and improved sales policies [14] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The meeting emphasized the need for a new capacity governance mechanism to prevent overcapacity risks and promote healthy competition in the steel industry [14] - The focus is on data governance and policy coordination to maintain supply-demand balance [14] Market Trends - The report notes that the trend of reducing "involution" may lead to a potential increase in steel prices, supported by government policies aimed at structural adjustment [14] - The steel structure market is expected to expand as policies promote its adoption in various construction sectors [14] Company Focus - Honglu Steel Structure is highlighted for its dual performance drivers, with profit recovery expected as steel prices rise and operational efficiencies improve through automation [14] - The company is positioned as a high-elasticity investment opportunity, with significant upside potential if market conditions improve [14]