丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨通润装备（002150.SZ） [Table_Title] 多因素拖累 Q3 业绩，合同负债新高验证经营趋 势 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 通润装备发布 2025 年三季报，2025 前三季度公司实现收入 25.9 亿元，同比增长 6.14%；归 母净利 1.37 亿元，同比增长 27.26%；其中，2025Q3 实现收入 8.82 亿元，同比增长 5.79%， 环比下降 2.14%；归母净利 0.39 亿元，同比增长 29.64%，环比下降 50.12%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 邬博华 曹海花 王耀 SAC：S0490514040001 SAC：S0490522030001 SAC：S0490524120006 SFC：BQK482 1 [Table_scodeMsg2] 通润装备（002150.SZ） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 多因素拖累2]Q3 业绩，合同负债新高验证经营趋 势 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in performance for the third quarter, with a revenue of 4.83 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.70%. The net profit attributable to the parent company reached 0.45 billion yuan, a substantial increase of 255.54% year-on-year [2][6]. - The company is focusing on optimizing its asset structure and business layout, with increased investments in new businesses such as biogas. The biogas sector is expected to experience rapid industrialization driven by favorable policies, with a projected increase in production from 9.6 billion cubic meters in 2024 to 74.8 billion cubic meters by 2040, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 14% [2][12]. - The company aims to achieve a biogas production capacity of 500,000 cubic meters per day by 2025 and 1 million cubic meters per day by 2027, indicating strong growth potential in this sector [12]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 12.78 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.29% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 0.08 billion yuan, down 39.80% year-on-year. However, the adjusted net profit showed a reduction in losses, reaching -0.01 billion yuan [2][6]. - The company's operating costs decreased by 17.85% to 9.57 billion yuan, leading to an improvement in gross margin by 5.07 percentage points to 25.1% [12]. - The comprehensive expense ratio for the first three quarters was 26.45%, a decrease of 1.65 percentage points year-on-year, with sales expenses significantly reduced by 37.17% [12].

丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨首华燃气（300483.SZ） [Table_Title] 产量同比大增 112%，静待业绩拐点到来 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司发布 2025 年三季报，前三季度公司实现营业收入 20.37 亿元，同比增长 95.91%，实现 归属于上市公司股东的净利润-161.90 万元，同比大幅减亏；单三季度，公司实现营业收入 6.99 亿元，同比增长 64.97%；实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润-998.72 万元，同比减亏。项目 稳步推进，产量同比大增 112%；旺季到来天然气价格上涨，业绩有望迎来拐点；展望未来， 煤层气等非常规油气已成为天然气供应重要增长极；受益于深层煤层气增储上产，公司将实现 "量增+效升"的共振。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 魏凯 王岭峰 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_scodeMsg2] 首华燃气（300483.SZ） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 产量同比大增 112%，静待业绩拐点到来 [Table_Su ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [10]. Core Views - The report indicates that the global propane supply is becoming more relaxed, which is expected to improve the profitability of the Propane Dehydrogenation (PDH) sector [7][10]. - The company reported a revenue of 23.307 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 1.79%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 75 million yuan, down 42.64% year-on-year [2][7]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 7.024 billion yuan, a decline of 24.95% year-on-year and 15.41% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 9 million yuan, down 57.57% year-on-year and 35.38% quarter-on-quarter [2][7]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported: - Revenue: 23.307 billion yuan, down 1.79% year-on-year - Net profit: 75 million yuan, down 42.64% year-on-year - Non-recurring net profit: 51 million yuan, down 39.12% year-on-year - In Q3 2025: - Revenue: 7.024 billion yuan, down 24.95% year-on-year and 15.41% quarter-on-quarter - Net profit: 9 million yuan, down 57.57% year-on-year and 35.38% quarter-on-quarter - Non-recurring net profit: 17 million yuan, down 51.06% year-on-year but up 392.12% quarter-on-quarter [2][7][10]. Industry Insights - The report highlights that the PDH sector is showing signs of improvement, with domestic prices for propane, propylene, and polypropylene in Q3 2025 being 573 USD/ton, 6463 yuan/ton, and 7370 yuan/ton respectively, with varying changes [10]. - The company has significant PDH and polypropylene production capacity, ranking among the top in China, with ongoing projects in various locations [10]. - The company is focusing on developing a carbon fiber and hydrogen energy industry chain, leveraging its existing resources and partnerships for innovation and cost reduction [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [4] Core Insights - The company reported a strong performance with total revenue of 6.237 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a 28% year-on-year increase, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 317 million yuan, up 0.3% [1] - The jewelry business experienced significant growth, with a 54% increase in revenue in Q3 2025, and the company continues to expand its franchise network, adding 144 new stores since the beginning of the year [3] - The company is focusing on cost control and efficiency improvements, which has led to a resilient operating performance despite a decline in net profit due to goodwill impairment [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 2.135 billion yuan, a 50% increase year-on-year, but reported a net loss of 14 million yuan, a 117% decrease compared to the previous year [1] - The gross margin decreased by 2 percentage points to 21.93%, while the net profit margin fell by 7 percentage points to -0.76% due to a goodwill impairment of 171 million yuan related to the handbag business [2] Business Expansion - As of the end of September 2025, the total number of jewelry stores reached 1,599, with 1,412 being franchise stores, reflecting a net increase of 144 stores since the beginning of the year [3] - The company plans to open 20 stores overseas by the end of 2028, demonstrating confidence in its expansion strategy despite market challenges [3] Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 0.51, 0.72, and 0.86 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 26, 19, and 16 times [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's main brand shows steady improvement, and new business formats are continuously being adjusted and optimized [1] - The company reported a revenue of 15.6 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 2.23%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.86 billion yuan, down 2.37% year-on-year [1] - The main brand's revenue growth turned positive in Q3, with significant growth in group purchase business [1] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2023A is 21.528 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 15.98% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023A is forecasted at 2.952 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 36.96% [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2023A is projected to be 0.61 yuan per share [1] - The company’s revenue for 2025E is estimated at 21.722 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.65% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025E is expected to be 2.210 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 2.36% [1] - The P/E ratio for 2025E is projected to be 13.45 [1] Business Segment Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the main brand's revenue was 10.849 billion yuan, down 3.99% year-on-year, but Q3 showed a positive growth of 3.0% [1] - The group purchase custom series generated 1.882 billion yuan in revenue, with a year-on-year increase of 28.75% [1] - Other brands contributed 2.413 billion yuan in revenue, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 37.19% [1] Cash Flow and Profitability - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 41.77%, a decrease of 1.04 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The net profit margin for Q3 2025 was 6.99%, remaining stable year-on-year [1] - The operating cash flow for Q3 2025 was -690 million yuan, an improvement from -1.97 billion yuan in Q3 2024 [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a slight decline in shipments in Q3 2025, while its non-photovoltaic materials business continues to grow significantly [7] - The company achieved a revenue of 2.039 billion yuan from January to Q3 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 11.61%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -117 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 22.46% [7] - The company expects improved profitability in Q4 2025 as the price of film products rebounds [7] - The non-photovoltaic materials business generated approximately 200-250 million yuan in revenue in Q3 2025, with the new energy materials segment growing over 50% year-on-year [7] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2026, now expecting net profits of -120 million yuan and 30 million yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a significant growth forecast for 2027 [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 4.166 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.22% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is expected to be 103.61 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 39.50% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is projected at 0.24 yuan, with a P/E ratio of 49.28 [1] - The company’s total assets are estimated to be 4.383 billion yuan in 2024, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 38.93% [6][8] - The company’s cash flow from operating activities is expected to be 365 million yuan in 2024 [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a 6-month outlook maintained [5]. Core Views - The company has shown steady growth in operating performance, with a revenue of 794.7 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.4%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 115.4 billion yuan, up 4.0% year-on-year [1][4]. - The company is focusing on segmented market expansion, enhancing value management, and implementing growth plans in personal and family markets. As of September 30, 2025, the total mobile customer base reached 1.009 billion, with 5G customers at 622 million [2][3]. - The company aims for stable revenue growth and good profit growth in 2025, with specific targets for customer increases in various segments, including over 70 million new 5G customers and over 18 million new gigabit broadband customers [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 250.9 billion yuan, a 2.5% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 31.1 billion yuan, up 1.4% year-on-year [1]. - The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is estimated at 145.3 billion yuan, 152.5 billion yuan, and 160.0 billion yuan respectively, indicating a consistent growth trajectory [4]. Business Segments - **Personal Market**: The company is enhancing its market presence with a focus on existing customer value and growth plans. Mobile data traffic increased by 8.3% year-on-year, with an average revenue per user (ARPU) of 48.0 yuan [2]. - **Family Market**: The company has 329 million broadband customers, with a net increase of 14.2 million in the first three quarters. The family customer ARPU stands at 44.4 yuan [2]. - **Enterprise Market**: The company is strengthening its platform operations and AI development, with significant growth in its DICT business and AI revenue [2]. Future Outlook - The company plans to achieve stable revenue and profit growth in 2025, with specific targets for customer growth across various segments, including a net increase of 4.3 million enterprise customers and rapid growth in international business [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company has achieved significant revenue growth, with a year-on-year increase of 99.3% in the first three quarters of 2025, reaching a total revenue of 4.595 billion yuan [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the same period is 888 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 214.6% [4] - The company has a strong order backlog, with overseas marine engineering orders exceeding 10 billion yuan, primarily scheduled for delivery over the next two years [4] - The company is recognized as the leading supplier of offshore wind power foundation equipment in Europe, with a market share of 29.1% in the first half of 2025 [5] - The company has successfully signed contracts for large-scale semi-submersible vessels, marking its expansion into multiple marine equipment sectors [6] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 6.551 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 73.3% [7] - The net profit for 2025 is estimated at 1.189 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 151.0% [7] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 is reported at 35.9%, an increase of 9.61 percentage points from the previous quarter [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 1.86 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 27.0, 20.0, and 15.7 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][7]

2025 年 11 月 02 日 陕西煤业 (601225) ——2025 年三季报点评：煤价反弹、公司业绩环比大幅 改善 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 财务数据及盈利预测 | | 2024 | 2025Q1-3 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 184,145 | 118,083 | 169,913 | 181,934 | 197,155 | | 同比增长率（%） | 1.5 | -12.8 | -7.7 | 7.1 | 8.4 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 22,360 | 12,713 | 18,222 | 20,202 | 20,826 | | 同比增长率（%） | -3.2 | -27.2 | -18.5 | 10.9 | 3.1 | | 每股收益（元/股） | 2.31 | 1.31 | 1.88 | 2.08 | 2.15 | | 毛利率（%） | 32.7 | 28.2 | 29.7 | 30.4 | 29.3 | | ROE（%） | 24.7 | 13.5 | 2 ...