Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of HKD 20.00 [1][2][10] Core Insights - The company reported a stable growth in New Business Value (NBV) of 22.8% year-on-year, driven by improvements in pricing and distribution channels [6][7] - The overall investment performance faced pressure, with a significant decline in total investment income, leading to a negative investment performance [9] - The underwriting performance in property insurance showed improvement, with a combined ratio (COR) decrease to 95.5% [8] Financial Performance Summary - The company achieved a net profit of HKD 6.764 billion in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.2% [6] - Gross premium income is projected to grow from HKD 111.268 billion in 2024 to HKD 129.498 billion in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 4.79% [5] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is HKD 2.34, reflecting a growth of 13.25% from the previous year [10][22] Business Segment Analysis - In the life insurance segment, the NBV growth was robust, with a 4.2% increase in new single premiums, indicating an improvement in value rates [7] - The property insurance segment saw a 3.1% increase in domestic premium income, with a notable 55.6% rise in insurance service performance due to cost efficiency measures [8] - The investment segment faced challenges, with a year-on-year decline in annualized total investment return to 2.68% [9] Valuation and Forecast - The target price was adjusted to HKD 20 based on a discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation method, reflecting resilient NBV growth and improved COR [10] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 12% in 2025, indicating a solid profitability outlook [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [7][5]. Core Views - The company reported a strong growth in New Business Value (NBV) of 32% year-on-year, driven primarily by the bancassurance channel, which saw a 156% increase in NBV [2][5]. - The operating profit after tax (OPAT) increased by 7.1% year-on-year, with life insurance operating profit growing by 5% [1][5]. - The combined operating ratio (COR) for property insurance improved, decreasing by 0.8 percentage points to 96.3%, mainly due to a reduction in expense ratios [1][3]. Summary by Sections Life Insurance - The NBV for life insurance increased by 32% year-on-year, with new single premium income rising approximately 29% [2]. - The bancassurance channel significantly contributed to this growth, while the agent channel experienced a decline in new single premium income [2]. - The profit from life insurance grew by 3.2% year-on-year, supported by improved investment returns [2]. Property Insurance - Property insurance premiums grew by 0.9% year-on-year, with a focus on reducing high COR business [3]. - The COR for property insurance improved to 96.4%, with a notable decrease in expense ratios [3]. - The company anticipates a low single-digit growth rate of 3% for property insurance premiums in 2025 [3]. Investment Performance - The total investment return rate for the first half of 2025 was 2.3%, a decrease of 40 basis points year-on-year [4]. - The net investment return rate was 1.7%, down 10 basis points from the previous year [4]. - The company's asset allocation saw a slight increase in equity investments, while bond investments decreased [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The EPS forecast for 2025 has been adjusted to RMB 4.88, reflecting a slight increase in expectations for life insurance NBV growth and property insurance performance [5]. - The target price for A/H shares has been raised to RMB 47/HKD 42, maintaining the "Buy" rating [5][7]. - The company is expected to maintain a steady growth trajectory in both life and property insurance segments, with a projected EPS growth rate of 30% for NBV in 2025 [2][5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 25.1 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 14%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.1 billion RMB, up 8% year-on-year [1] - The growth in net profit was slightly below expectations, which anticipated a 10% increase for the full year [1] - The company has successfully increased its sales in a challenging market environment, achieving a contract sales amount of 53.4 billion RMB, a 20% year-on-year increase, ranking first among the top 10 real estate companies [3] - The company plans to resolve 80% of its existing inventory issues within three years under its "Advancement Plan" [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s property development revenue increased by 17% year-on-year, with a gross margin improvement of 1 percentage point to 12% [2] - Non-development business revenue grew by 3% to 5.1 billion RMB, with property services revenue increasing by 20% [2] - The company’s net debt ratio is projected to remain stable, with total interest-bearing debt at 123.3 billion RMB [4] Project Acquisition and Sales - The company acquired 41 new projects in 2024, with an average net profit margin exceeding 10% [2] - The total value of unsold land reserves reached 320 billion RMB, with 88% located in first and second-tier cities [3] Debt and Financing - The company’s financing costs have significantly decreased, with the average financing cost dropping by 90 basis points to 2.96% [4] - The company has maintained a healthy financial status, with short-term debt accounting for 22% of total debt [4] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 0.10, 0.10, and 0.11 RMB, reflecting an increase of 11% for 2025 and 2026 [5] - The target price for the company is set at 1.81 HKD, based on a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.41 times for 2025 [5]

上美股份 (2145 HK) 证券研究报告 2025 年 8 月 29 日│中国香港 化妆品 上美股份发布 25H1 业绩公告：25H1 收入 41.08 亿元/yoy17.3%，净利润 5.56 亿元/yoy34.7%（此前业绩预告营收 yoy16.8%-17.3%，净利润 yoy30.9%-35.8%），营收及净利润同比增速均接近业绩预告上限。董事会 决议建议派付中期股息 0.5 元/股。短中期，韩束持续拓展多品类，延续强 势能；中高端婴童品牌 newpage/敏感肌护肤品牌安敏优/防脱品牌极方/中高 端护肤品牌聚光白处强劲增长期；展望长期，公司已搭建大众护肤、母婴& 青少年护肤、洗护个护、彩妆、功效（医学）护肤、高端护肤六大板块，业 务边界有望不断延展，天花板较高。维持买入评级。 25H1 韩束维持线上美妆领先地位，品类持续开拓 25H1 韩束在抖音平台调整渠道结构、收缩达播占比，向高利润率自营渠道 （自播+商品卡）倾斜，仍取得优秀增长：25H1 抖音 GMVyoy+15.5%、每 月 GMV 均位居美妆品牌第一。多产品多品类策略有突破：新品韩束净颜清 透洁面膏、韩束控油蓬松洗发水、韩束焕白紧致身体精华 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of HKD 142.71, maintaining the rating [6]. Core Views - The company's Q2 2025 performance met expectations, with revenue of CNY 30.2 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 4.5% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 16.7%. Net profit was CNY 1.1 billion, down 0.4% year-on-year but up 69.6% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The company anticipates a rebound in deliveries and the upcoming launch of the i6 model, which is expected to drive sales growth [5]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its smart driving and AI capabilities, with the VLA system expected to significantly improve user interaction and drive sales [5]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q2 2025, the automotive business generated revenue of CNY 28.9 billion, a year-on-year decline of 4.7% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17%. The average selling price (ASP) was CNY 272,000, down by CNY 7,000 year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The gross margin for automotive sales was 19.4%, up 0.7 percentage points year-on-year but down 0.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, attributed to cost reductions and increased sales of the MEGA model [2]. - The company reported a cash reserve of CNY 106.9 billion at the end of Q2 2025, a decrease of CNY 3.8 billion from Q1 2025, with a net cash flow from operating activities of -CNY 3 billion [4]. Operational Efficiency - R&D expenses in Q2 2025 were CNY 2.8 billion, down 7.2% year-on-year but up 11.8% quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to reduced personnel costs [3]. - Selling, general, and administrative expenses were CNY 2.7 billion, down 3.5% year-on-year but up 7.4% quarter-on-quarter, reflecting a decrease in employee compensation and an increase in marketing activities [3]. Future Outlook - The company expects Q3 2025 deliveries to be between 90,000 and 95,000 units, with projected revenue of CNY 24.8 billion to CNY 26.2 billion [5]. - The launch of the i6 model is anticipated to tap into the high-end electric vehicle market, which has significant growth potential [5]. - The company is restructuring its sales and service system to improve efficiency and responsiveness to market changes, which is expected to enhance sales of its extended-range models [8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company reported a strong revenue growth of 18.5% year-on-year, reaching HKD 10.32 billion in the first half of 2025, with a net profit increase of 9.8% to HKD 706 million [1][2] - The revenue growth was primarily driven by the import and export of tobacco leaf products and cigarette exports, while the net profit increase was attributed to improved profitability in cigarette and tobacco leaf exports, alongside a significant reduction in financing costs by 28% [1] - The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of HKD 0.19 per share, representing a 27% increase [1] Revenue Breakdown - Tobacco Leaf Imports: Revenue increased by 23.5% to HKD 8.4 billion, with an import volume of 97,900 tons (+2.5%) and an average import price of HKD 85,800 per ton (+20.5%). The gross margin decreased to 8.2% due to cost increases outpacing sales price increases [1] - Tobacco Leaf Exports: Revenue rose by 25.9% to HKD 1.16 billion, with an export volume of 38,500 tons (+12.7%) and an average export price of HKD 30,000 per ton (+11.7%). The gross margin improved to 5.5% [2] - Cigarette Exports: Revenue increased by 0.8% to HKD 550 million, with an export volume of 1.019 billion sticks (-7.9%) and an average export price of HKD 0.54 per stick (+9.4%). The gross margin improved to 25.7% [2] - New Tobacco Exports: Revenue fell by 66.5% to HKD 15 million, with an export volume of 81 million sticks (-65.4%) and an average export price of HKD 0.18 per stick (-3.0%). The gross margin remained at 5.5% [3] - Brazilian Operations: Revenue decreased by 50.3% to HKD 195 million, with an export volume of 7,900 tons (-34.8%) and an average export price of HKD 24,600 per ton (-23.8%). The gross margin improved to 27.4% [3] Financial Forecasts - The company has raised its profit forecasts, expecting net profits of HKD 940 million, HKD 1.04 billion, and HKD 1.18 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 9.6%, 11.4%, and 12.9% [1][4] - The diluted EPS is projected to be HKD 1.35, HKD 1.51, and HKD 1.70 for the same years, with corresponding PE ratios of 27, 25, and 22 times [1][4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1][2]. Core Views - The company has shown good revenue growth in the first half of 2025, with profit margins continuing to expand, leading to an accelerated profit growth. The earnings forecast has been revised upwards while maintaining the "Accumulate" rating [2]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 42.896 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 1%. Revenue is expected to grow to 52.037 billion RMB in 2024, representing a 21% increase, and further to 61.620 billion RMB in 2025, an 18% increase [4]. - Gross profit is forecasted to be 25.407 billion RMB in 2023, with net profit expected to reach 12.123 billion RMB, showing no growth from the previous year. However, net profit is projected to grow by 25% in 2024 and 21% in 2025 [4]. - The company’s PE ratio is expected to decrease from 42.20 in 2023 to 31.49 in 2024, indicating improved valuation [4]. Revenue Breakdown - The company achieved a revenue of 25.622 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15.66%. The gross margin improved by 1.55 percentage points to 60.32% due to lower raw material costs [7]. - Revenue from packaged water increased by 10.7% year-on-year to 9.443 billion RMB, while tea beverages saw a 19.7% increase to 10.089 billion RMB. Functional beverages and juice also reported significant growth [7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported steady growth in H1 2025, achieving revenue of 3.113 billion yuan (up 22.5% year-on-year) and a net profit of 1.182 billion yuan (up 20.2% year-on-year). As a leader in the collagen protein sector, the company is expected to continue delivering strong performance [4] - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 2.597 billion, 3.185 billion, and 3.834 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.51, 3.07, and 3.70 yuan. The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 19.7, 16.0, and 13.3 times for the respective years [4] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue for 2023 was 3.524 billion yuan, with projections of 5.539 billion for 2024, 7.186 billion for 2025, 9.022 billion for 2026, and 11.024 billion for 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 49.0%, 57.2%, 29.7%, 25.5%, and 22.2% respectively [8] - Net profit for 2023 was 1.452 billion yuan, with projections of 2.062 billion for 2024, 2.597 billion for 2025, 3.185 billion for 2026, and 3.834 billion for 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 44.9%, 42.1%, 25.9%, 22.6%, and 20.4% respectively [8] - The gross margin for 2025 is projected to be 81.6%, with net margins of 36.1% and ROE of 28.8% [8] - The diluted EPS is expected to be 2.5 yuan for 2025, with P/E ratios decreasing from 35.2 in 2023 to 19.7 in 2025 [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][5][9] Core Views - The company achieved a remarkable revenue growth of 15.3% in the first half of the year, surpassing market expectations despite a challenging trade environment and weak domestic apparel consumption [8] - The company's gross margin decreased by 1.9 percentage points year-on-year due to rising labor costs, but net profit attributable to the parent company still grew by 8.4% [8] - The company's core competitiveness lies in its global and integrated business model, which has allowed it to increase market share among major clients and expand its customer base [8] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue (in million) for 2023A is 24,970, with a year-on-year decline of 10.1%, and projected revenues for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 28,663, 32,205, 36,134, and 40,567 respectively, showing growth rates of 14.8%, 12.4%, 12.2%, and 12.3% [4] - Operating profit (in million) for 2023A is 4,996, with a year-on-year decline of 5.1%, and projected operating profits for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 7,164, 7,557, 8,455, and 9,717 respectively, indicating growth rates of 43.4%, 5.5%, 11.9%, and 14.9% [4] - Net profit attributable to the parent company (in million) for 2023A is 4,557, with a year-on-year decline of 0.1%, and projected net profits for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 6,241, 6,575, 7,339, and 8,415 respectively, showing growth rates of 36.9%, 5.4%, 11.6%, and 14.7% [4] - Earnings per share (in yuan) for 2023A is 3.03, with projections for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E being 4.15, 4.37, 4.88, and 5.60 respectively [4] Valuation Summary - The DCF target valuation is set at 85.09 HKD, with the current share price at 58 HKD [3][5][9] - The company’s price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) for 2025E is projected at 12.1, and the price-to-book ratio (P/B) is projected at 2.0 [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company reported a significant reduction in losses for the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching 1.651 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 5.3%. The sales revenue was 1.444 billion RMB, a decrease of 3.11% year-on-year, and the net profit attributable to the parent company reduced losses to 48 million RMB from 95 million RMB. Cash EBITDA increased by 19.7% to 484 million RMB [5] - The company has improved its per unit production, with a low proportion of breeding cows, which provides ample support for future production capacity. The sales volume for the first half of the year was 373,000 tons, an increase of 6.3% year-on-year, benefiting from a 1.7% increase in per unit production to 12.27 tons and an increase in the number and proportion of breeding cows, which currently stands at 44.9%, up 1.4 percentage points from the end of 2024 [6] - The beef business turned profitable, with revenue reaching 145 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 616.98%, and sales volume of 15,010 heads, a year-on-year increase of 502.3%. The average selling price increased by 19%, achieving a gross profit of 3 million RMB, compared to a loss of 15 million RMB in the same period last year [7] - Cost improvements offset most of the downward pressure from milk prices, but the valuation of breeding cows per head was still adjusted downwards, indicating that the fundamentals need to reverse. The average sales cost of milk decreased to 2.89 RMB/kg, a year-on-year decrease of 7.4%, partially offsetting the gross margin pressure from the decline in raw milk prices [8] Financial Forecasts - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 70 million, 600 million, and 850 million RMB respectively, with the previous values being -47 million, 436 million, and 709 million RMB. The PE ratio for 2026 is projected to be 5 times [9] - Revenue for 2025 is expected to be 2.986 billion RMB, with a year-on-year decrease of 4.47%. The net profit for 2025 is projected to be 733 million RMB, with a significant year-on-year increase of 211.94% [10]