Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, with a target price of HKD 103.5 per share, indicating a potential upside from the current price of HKD 69.10 [2][5][14]. Core Insights - The company's revenue and profit for the first half of 2025 exceeded market expectations, driven by stabilization in domestic operations and rapid growth in overseas markets [3][10]. - In 1H25, the company achieved revenue of USD 160 million, representing a 33.1% increase year-over-year, with domestic revenue at USD 89.68 million (+0.6%) and overseas revenue at USD 71.67 million (+123.1%) [3][10][11]. - The share of overseas revenue reached 44.4%, up 17.9 percentage points, highlighting its importance as a key revenue source [3][10]. - The number of clear-aligner cases completed in 1H25 was 226,000, a 47.7% increase, with domestic cases growing by 14.0% and overseas cases surging by 103.5% [11][12]. Financial Performance - The gross margin for 1H25 was stable at 62.4%, while adjusted net profit increased by 84.8% to USD 19.47 million, resulting in a net margin of 12.1% [4][13]. - The company plans to implement aggressive market strategies in the second half of 2025 to maintain market share and continue its overseas expansion [5][14]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised to USD 340 million and USD 420 million, respectively, reflecting stronger-than-expected overseas growth [5][14]. Valuation Metrics - The report projects adjusted net profits of USD 26.75 million for 2025 and USD 32.80 million for 2026, with corresponding P/E ratios of 85x and 70x [5][14]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the clear-aligner market in China, with its overseas growth trajectory being increasingly validated [5][14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has shown rapid growth in its brand "可复美" and the medical aesthetics approval process is accelerating [1] - For 1H2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.11 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.18 billion yuan, up 20.2% year-on-year [4] - The company's online direct sales through e-commerce platforms have seen significant growth, with a 133.6% increase in revenue [5][7] - The company is expanding its offline store presence, with 24 brand stores established across various cities by the end of 1H2025 [7] - The gross margin slightly decreased by 0.7 percentage points to 81.7%, attributed to changes in product mix [7] - The company is expected to accelerate its performance in the second half of the year, driven by increased brand marketing efforts and the potential approval of new medical aesthetic products [9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H2025, the company's professional skin care products generated revenue of 3.10 billion yuan, with functional skin care products contributing 2.41 billion yuan, a 24.2% increase year-on-year [5] - The adjusted net profit for 1H2025 was 1.21 billion yuan, reflecting a 17.4% year-on-year growth [4] Product and Brand Development - The "可复美" brand launched new products such as the "可复美胶原棒 2.0" and "焦点面霜," which have performed well in the market [6] - The "可丽金" brand introduced the upgraded "可丽金胶原大膜王 3.0," achieving top sales rankings on major e-commerce platforms [6] Market Expansion - The company has entered the Southeast Asian market by becoming the first Chinese functional skin care brand to enter Watsons in Malaysia [7] - The company is focusing on enhancing its online multi-platform layout and refining operations to capitalize on the rapid expansion of beauty categories on platforms like JD.com [7] Future Outlook - The company anticipates sustained growth in its skincare business, supported by the performance of existing star products and the introduction of new ones [8] - The approval of new medical aesthetic products is expected to contribute additional revenue, enhancing the company's growth trajectory [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China National Heavy Duty Truck Group Co., Ltd. (3808 HK) with a target price of HKD 26.45, indicating a potential upside of 13.4% from the current price of HKD 23.32 [1][2][6]. Core Insights - The company demonstrated stable performance with a revenue of RMB 50.878 billion in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.2%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 3.427 billion, also up by 4.0% year-on-year, aligning with market expectations [6]. - Heavy truck sales increased by 9.2% to 136,000 units, with domestic and overseas sales growing by 19.3% and 0.8%, respectively. The gross margin slightly improved year-on-year but decreased quarter-on-quarter to 15.1% in the second half of 2024 [6]. - The company declared an interim dividend of RMB 0.68 per share, representing approximately 55% of the net profit for the first half, indicating a commitment to shareholder returns [6]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for the upcoming years are as follows: RMB 85,498 million in 2023, RMB 95,062 million in 2024, and RMB 109,886 million in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 43.9% in 2023 and 11.2% in 2024 [5][10]. - The net profit is expected to grow from RMB 5,318 million in 2023 to RMB 6,719 million in 2025, with a corresponding increase in earnings per share from RMB 1.93 to RMB 2.43 [5][10]. - The company maintains a healthy dividend yield, projected to be 5.0% in 2023, increasing to 6.3% by 2025 [5][10]. Market Position - China National Heavy Duty Truck holds a market share of approximately 27.6%, reinforcing its position as a leading player in the domestic heavy truck market. The report anticipates that the company will achieve sales of 1 million units in the current year, supported by government incentives and a recovery in demand [6][10]. - The heavy truck industry is expected to transition from seasonal recovery to structural growth, benefiting major players like China National Heavy Duty Truck due to increasing demand and favorable policies [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, Shenzhou International (2313 HK), with a target price adjusted to HKD 84.00, indicating a potential upside of 41.5% from the current price of HKD 59.35 [1][7][12]. Core Insights - The company has shown steady revenue growth in the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 15.3% to RMB 14.97 billion, primarily driven by volume growth, while the average selling price saw a slight increase of 0.8% [6][7]. - Net profit for the same period rose by 8.4% to RMB 3.18 billion, although the gross margin decreased to 27.1%, down 1.9 percentage points year-on-year, influenced by ongoing employee salary increases [6][7]. - The report highlights a significant growth in leisure products, which surged by 37.4%, while sports products grew by 9.9% in the European and American markets [6][7]. - The company is expanding its overseas production capacity, with a new fabric factory in Vietnam set to begin operations by the end of 2025 and a new garment factory in Cambodia already operational [6][7]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company have been slightly reduced for 2025 and 2026 by 3-4%, with net profit forecasts adjusted down by 16% due to more conservative gross margin assumptions [6][7]. - The expected revenue for 2025 is RMB 32.17 billion, with a projected net profit of RMB 6.55 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.9% [5][13]. - The report anticipates a gross margin of 27.2% for 2025, which is a decrease from previous estimates, and a net profit margin of 20.4% [8][14].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" [2][8] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 2.186 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.2%. The adjusted net profit reached 416 million RMB, up 49.5% year-on-year, with an adjusted net profit margin of 19%, an increase of 4.99 percentage points compared to the previous year [5][8] - The vocational training sector is experiencing a recovery, with new training participants reaching 83,500, a 7.1% increase year-on-year. All five major training segments (cooking, automotive repair, computer, pastry, and beauty) saw growth, with the beauty segment leading at 34.1% [6][8] - The company is strategically developing new programs to capture the increasing demand for vocational training among high school graduates, launching a 15-month training program that saw a participant increase of approximately 85.4% [7][8] - The company continues to implement refined management practices to enhance operational efficiency, achieving a gross margin of 57.3%, up 4.3 percentage points year-on-year, while marketing expenses decreased by 0.94 percentage points to 22.5% [8] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts revenue growth from 3.979 billion RMB in 2023 to 5.649 billion RMB in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 13.87% [10][12] - The adjusted net profit is projected to increase from 281 million RMB in 2023 to 1.211 billion RMB in 2027, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [10][12] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 0.13 RMB in 2023 to 0.55 RMB in 2027, indicating strong profitability growth [10][12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price of HKD 45.26, compared to the current price of HKD 37.84 [5][9]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of HKD 8.524 billion in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 2.03 billion, up 7.4% year-on-year, while the core net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 15% to HKD 2.011 billion [2][9]. - The shopping center business continues to show strong growth, with retail sales increasing by 21% year-on-year. The average occupancy rate for operational projects reached 97.1%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from the end of 2024 [9][10]. - The company has declared an interim dividend of HKD 0.529 per share, a year-on-year increase of 89.6%, with a total dividend of HKD 0.881 per share, reflecting a growth of 216% compared to the same period last year [9][10]. Financial Performance Summary - The company’s total revenue is projected to grow from HKD 17.043 billion in 2024 to HKD 23.064 billion by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 12% [4][10]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise from HKD 3.629 billion in 2024 to HKD 5.622 billion in 2027, with a CAGR of 15% [4][10]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to increase from HKD 1.59 in 2024 to HKD 2.46 in 2027, indicating a strong growth trajectory [4][10]. Business Segment Performance - Revenue from the shopping center segment reached HKD 2.26 billion, growing by 19.8% year-on-year, while office and property management segments saw revenues of HKD 1 billion and HKD 5.16 billion, respectively [9][10]. - The gross margin for the shopping center segment improved to 78.7%, while the property management segment experienced a slight decline in gross margin to 18.8% [9][10]. Dividend Policy - The company has adopted a policy of distributing 100% of its core net profit as dividends, reflecting a commitment to returning value to shareholders [9][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Meituan-W (03690.HK) [1][3] Core Views - The Q2 performance of Meituan was impacted by increased competition, with revenue of 91.84 billion (+11.7%) and adjusted net profit of 1.49 billion (-89.0%) [1][6] - Despite the competitive pressures, the long-term outlook for the company's core domestic business remains positive due to its competitive advantages and growth potential, while overseas operations present new growth opportunities [1][6] Financial Data and Valuation - Revenue projections for the upcoming years are as follows: - 2023: 276.85 billion - 2024: 337.59 billion - 2025E: 370.60 billion - 2026E: 428.95 billion - 2027E: 493.90 billion - Adjusted net profit estimates show significant fluctuations, with a projected loss of 15.60 billion in 2025E, followed by a recovery in subsequent years [2][8] - The target price is set at 141.90 HKD, with the current stock price at 116.3 HKD, indicating potential upside [3][6] Business Segment Performance - Core local commerce revenue growth slowed to 7.7% in Q2, while new business revenue increased by 22.8% [6] - The food delivery segment experienced stable growth in order volume, but profitability was affected by increased competition and subsidies [6] - The in-store segment showed a GTV growth of over 20%, but revenue growth is expected to decline due to competitive pressures [6] Future Outlook - The report anticipates that Q3 will see continued competitive intensity, leading to increased losses in the food delivery segment [6] - Long-term growth potential remains strong, with expectations for core local business GMV to reach approximately 2.7 trillion in 2025E [6][7]

医药生物 2025 年 08 月 28 日 药明合联 (02268) ——上半年业绩靓丽，市场份额持续提升 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 买入（维持） | 市场数据： | 2025 年 08 月 27 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（港币） | 54.55 | | 恒生中国企业指数 | 9020.26 | | 52 周最高/最低（港币） | 64.45/18.52 | | H 股市值（亿港币） | 657.07 | | 流通 H 股（百万股） | 1,204.52 | | 汇率（人民币/港币） | 1.0953 | 上 市 公 司 -5% 95% 195% 295% HSCEI 药明合联 资料来源：Bloomberg 相关研究 《 WuXi XDC Cayman Inc.(02268):Strong results with the rising number of new projects 》 2025/03/31 证券分析师 周文远 A0230518110003 zhouwy@swsresearch.com 研究支持 胡梦婷 A0230524060004 humt@swsresearch. ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Mixue Group has been upgraded from Outperform to Buy, indicating a strong expectation of performance exceeding the market by over 20% [6][11][23] Core Insights - Mixue Group reported a revenue of Rmb14.9 billion for 1H25, representing a year-on-year growth of 39%, and a net profit of Rmb2.7 billion, which is a 44% increase year-on-year. The net profit margin improved by 0.6 percentage points to 18.3%, exceeding expectations primarily due to higher-than-expected new store openings [6][7][11] - The forecast for net profit in 2025 has been raised from Rmb5.2 billion to Rmb5.6 billion, while the forecasts for 2026 and 2027 remain at Rmb6.2 billion and Rmb7.4 billion, respectively. The target price has been adjusted from HK$565 to HK$566, reflecting a 23% upside potential [6][7][11] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections for Mixue Group are as follows: - 2023: Rmb20.302 billion - 2024: Rmb24.829 billion - 2025E: Rmb32.459 billion - 2026E: Rmb36.238 billion - 2027E: Rmb42.233 billion - Year-on-year growth rates for revenue are projected at 50% for 2023, 22% for 2024, 31% for 2025, 12% for 2026, and 17% for 2027 [5][14] - Net profit projections are as follows: - 2023: Rmb3.187 billion - 2024: Rmb4.454 billion - 2025E: Rmb5.569 billion - 2026E: Rmb6.183 billion - 2027E: Rmb7.369 billion - Year-on-year growth rates for net profit are projected at 57% for 2023, 41% for 2024, 25% for 2025, 11% for 2026, and 19% for 2027 [5][14] Store Expansion and Market Presence - The total number of global stores exceeded 53,000, with a net addition of 9,796 stores in 1H25, including 9,668 in mainland China and 128 overseas. The total store count increased by 23% year-on-year [6][8] - The company is expanding its overseas market presence, with positive growth in daily sales in Southeast Asia and plans for new store openings in the Eastern US, Western US, Mexico, and Brazil [9][11] Brand Development - The Lucky Coffee brand complements Mixue Bingcheng stores by focusing on freshly-made coffee, utilizing semi-automatic machines for on-site grinding, while Mixue Bingcheng primarily offers coffee as a supplement to its tea menu [10][11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [3] Core Views - The company achieved revenue of 7.338 billion yuan in Q2 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 19.8%, and adjusted net profit of 561 million yuan, marking a return to profitability [6] - The gross margin for Q2 was 36.5%, an increase of 6.5 percentage points year-over-year [6] - Mobile game revenue reached 1.61 billion yuan, up 60% year-over-year; value-added services revenue was 2.84 billion yuan, up 11% year-over-year; advertising revenue exceeded expectations at 2.45 billion yuan, up 20% year-over-year; while IP derivatives and other income decreased by 15% year-over-year to 440 million yuan [6][7] - The core user base is growing healthily, with daily active users (DAU) reaching 108 million, up 6% year-over-year, and monthly active users (MAU) at 365 million, up 8% year-over-year [8] - The company expects revenues of 30.08 billion yuan, 33.12 billion yuan, and 36.15 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with adjusted net profits of 2.11 billion yuan, 2.96 billion yuan, and 3.89 billion yuan for the same years [9] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 26.832 billion yuan, with a year-over-year growth of 19.1% [12] - Adjusted net profit for 2025 is expected to be 2.114 billion yuan, a significant increase from a loss of 22 million yuan in 2024 [12] - The company’s gross margin is projected to improve from 32.7% in 2024 to 39.7% in 2027 [14] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from -0.05 yuan in 2024 to 9.42 yuan in 2027 [15]