Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the real estate sector, specifically highlighting the promotion of "good housing" construction in Fujian [2]. Core Insights - The report indicates a seasonal decline in new and second-hand housing transactions, with new housing transaction volume in 20 cities decreasing by 9% week-on-week but increasing by 147% year-on-year. Second-hand housing transactions in 11 cities also saw a week-on-week decrease of 7% but a year-on-year increase of 174% [6][21][27]. - The report emphasizes the importance of addressing three key issues in the real estate market: the decline in new housing demand, unresolved inventory issues, and the negative impact of land finance on the economy [6]. Summary by Sections Industry Basic Data - The real estate sector comprises 107 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 1,270.717 billion yuan and a circulating market capitalization of 1,217.136 billion yuan [2]. Sales Performance - In the sixth week, the average daily transaction area for new housing in 20 cities was 24.3 million square meters, with a total transaction area of 170 million square meters, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 147% [22][21]. - The average daily transaction area for second-hand housing in 11 cities was 28.5 million square meters, with a total transaction area of 199 million square meters, showing a year-on-year increase of 174% [27][30]. Policy News - Fujian Province has introduced measures to stabilize the real estate market, focusing on promoting housing consumption and inventory reduction, including optimizing shared ownership policies and encouraging the purchase of existing homes [15][18]. - Gansu Province has adjusted its housing provident fund loan policies, increasing the maximum loan amounts for single and married contributors [15][18]. Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on three areas to find alpha in the real estate sector: precision in land acquisition for developers, investment in leading shopping centers, and monitoring leading real estate agencies for efficiency improvements [6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the real estate industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights three major trends expected in 2026: 1) The real estate adjustment is likely nearing its end, with current price adjustments being relatively sufficient compared to global averages; 2) There are structural opportunities for "good houses" as the market enters a phase of differentiation, with a focus on high-quality residential developments; 3) The recovery of the Hong Kong property market is anticipated to continue, driven by multiple favorable factors [4][6][48]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.3%, while the real estate sector (Shenwan) remained unchanged at 0.0%. Notable stock performances included Jingtou Development (+23.7%) and Rong'an Real Estate (+13.7%) [6][9]. Data Tracking New Housing Transactions - In the week of January 31 to February 6, 2026, new housing transactions in 42 key cities totaled 1.48 million square meters, a slight decrease of 0.1% from the previous week but a year-on-year increase of 118.5% [15][21]. - For February up to the week of February 6, new housing transactions reached 1.27 million square meters, reflecting a 39.9% increase month-on-month and a 171.3% increase year-on-year [21]. Second-Hand Housing Transactions - In the same week, second-hand housing transactions in 21 key cities totaled 2.12 million square meters, down 3.0% from the previous week but up 212.5% year-on-year [33][37]. - For February up to the week of February 6, second-hand housing transactions reached 1.92 million square meters, marking a 71.2% increase month-on-month and a 327.8% increase year-on-year [37]. Industry News - The report notes that the central government has prohibited the sale of rural collective operating construction land for residential purposes, and 29 provinces will implement a second round of land extension trials [48]. - The first batch of commercial real estate REITs is set to raise 31.475 billion yuan, covering asset types such as shopping centers and office buildings [48]. - Shanghai has initiated the acquisition of second-hand housing for affordable rental housing projects, with specific districts as pilot areas [48][50]. Company Announcements - In January 2026, major companies reported sales figures: Yuexiu Real Estate at 4.2 billion yuan (down 36.4% year-on-year), Greentown China at 9.7 billion yuan (down 14.2%), and China Overseas Development at 14.48 billion yuan (up 20.4%) [51][52].

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来源：环球网 【政策要闻】 上海启动收购二手住房用于保障性租赁住房工作 2月2日，中国建设银行上海市分行牵头的上海首批二手住房收购用于保障性租赁住房项目签约仪式举 行，浦东新区、静安区、徐汇区正式启动试点实操，这是上海以市场化手段盘活存量房源的创新举措。 此次试点将与"一年内卖旧买新可退个税"政策协同，降低居民置换成本。 深圳召开城市更新现场推进会 部署高质量发展工作 2月5日，深圳市召开城市更新工作现场推进会。会议强调，城市更新是推动城市高质量发展的系统性战 略抓手，要坚持人民城市理念，落实国家和省市相关政策，因地制宜推进城市有机更新，促进结构优 化、动能转换、品质提升和绿色转型。会议要求加强全市统筹和资源要素保障，强化质量安全监管，加 快建设安全、舒适、绿色、智慧的"好房子"，打造高品质生产、生活和生态空间；同时凝聚政府、市场 和公众合力，完善多元化投融资和金融支持机制，加快构建房地产发展新模式，为"十五五"良好开局夯 实基础。 福建阶段性实施多孩家庭、商办用房等购房补助政策 2月2日，福建省住房和城乡建设厅发布《关于进一步促进房地产市场稳定发展的若干意见》，提出实施 多元化购房补贴政策。意见支持各地结合 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened higher on February 9, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 1.59% to 26,982.49 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index up by 1.9% to 5,447.63 points, and the National Enterprises Index increasing by 1.54% to 9,170.57 points. The Red Chip Index rose by 0.89% to 4,399.55 points [1] - Last week, the Hang Seng Index recorded a significant decline of 3.02%, while the National Enterprises Index fell by 3.07%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index dropped by 6.51% [1] Company Performance and Dynamics - Beijing Capital International Airport Co. (00694.HK) issued a profit warning, expecting a net loss of 600 million to 760 million yuan for 2025, which represents a year-on-year reduction in losses of approximately 45.3% to 56.8%. This improvement is attributed to the recovery in aviation market demand and enhanced cost control [2] - Times Electric (03898.HK) reported preliminary results indicating total revenue of approximately 28.761 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15.46%, with a net profit of about 4.105 billion yuan, up by 10.88% [2] - Power sector stocks saw a general increase, with Datang Environment (01272.HK) expecting a pre-tax profit of 700 million to 710 million yuan for 2025. Datang New Energy (01798.HK) reported a power generation of 3.272 million MWh in January, a year-on-year increase of 6.69%, while Longyuan Power (00916.HK) generated 7.1627 million MWh, up by 12.05%, with solar power generation increasing by 42.25% [2] Real Estate Sales - Yuexiu Property (00123.HK) reported a contract sales amount of 4.201 billion yuan in January, a year-on-year decrease of 36.4%. Poly Real Estate (01238.HK) had sales of 470 million yuan, down by 31.98%. In contrast, Greenland Hong Kong (00337.HK) saw a significant increase in sales to 508 million yuan, up by 287.79% year-on-year [3] Pharmaceutical and Technology Developments - CloudTop New Medicine (01952) received approval for a new drug application for the treatment of ulcerative colitis. Kelun-Biotech (06990.HK) received approval for the fourth indication of its core product TROP2 ADC. Heng Rui Medicine (01276.HK) had its HRS-4642 injection included in the breakthrough therapy list [4] - ZTE Corporation (00763.HK) plans to invest 200 million yuan to subscribe to shares of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao fund, focusing on hard technology sectors [4] Stock Buybacks and Financing - Kingsoft (03888.HK) repurchased 1.1142 million shares for approximately 29.9994 million HKD. Geely Automobile (00175.HK) repurchased 166.5 million shares for about 27.1612 million HKD. October Rice Field (09676.HK) repurchased 78 million shares for approximately 7.3357 million HKD. China Galaxy (06881.HK) completed the issuance of 6 billion yuan in corporate bonds [5] Institutional Perspectives - According to浦银国际, the market is expected to maintain a volatile trend in the short term, with a rotation of style. The inflow of incremental funds is slowing before the Spring Festival, and external liquidity is affected by geopolitical uncertainties and Trump’s policies, limiting the expansion space for Hong Kong stock valuations [6] - 广发证券 noted that historical data shows an 82% probability of the Hang Seng Index rising in the three days before the Spring Festival, although there is no significant calendar effect afterward. The current situation differs due to changes in Hong Kong stock pricing logic and increased correlation with A-shares, suggesting a potential passive follow-up increase in Hong Kong stocks [7]

证券研究报告 重申全年看好港资房企，关注港资商业 运营商 地产行业周报 行业评级：地产 强于大市（维持） 平安证券研究所地产团队 2026年2月8日 请务必阅读正文后免责条款 1 核心摘要 2 周度观点：节后楼市走向仍为板块短期走势关键。本周申万地产板块微涨0.01%，当前市场对后续板块看法及楼市走向仍存分歧。部分投 资者认为在缺乏超预期政策支持背景下，楼市企稳仍存在不确定性，但同时又担心踏空板块上涨行情。我们认为在大盘波动加大、二手 房成交淡季不淡、房企业绩压力提前释放等背景下，短期板块向下风险有限，对楼市企稳存担忧但又担心踏空的投资者，我们认为可适 度配置历史包袱较轻、拿地及产品力强的优质房企，若后续楼市逐步企稳回升，优质房企资金及拿地能力强亦有望率先受益，若楼市持 续底部震荡，相关企业亦具备基本面支撑。 重申全年看好港资房企，关注港资商业运营商。本周新鸿基地产、恒基地产、信和置业上涨1.11%、2.76%、2.8%。重申全年看好港资房 企，我们在1月发布专题报告《香港商业地产逐步触底，标杆商业开发运营商梳理》，我们认为中国香港商业地产现触底信号，核心区写 字楼租金、空置率边际改善，零售物业租金降幅收窄， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry [4] Core Insights - The report highlights the significance of Shanghai's new policy to acquire second-hand housing for affordable rental housing, indicating a strong signal in a declining market. The policy aims to link demand for affordable housing with improvement needs, potentially activating the market by directing purchasing power to higher-priced new and second-hand homes [11][12] - The report emphasizes that the real estate sector serves as an early economic indicator, suggesting that investing in real estate is akin to investing in economic trends. The competitive landscape is expected to improve, benefiting leading state-owned enterprises and quality developers [4] - The report suggests focusing on first-tier cities and select second- and third-tier cities, as this combination has shown better performance during market rebounds [4] Summary by Sections 1. Shanghai's Housing Acquisition Policy - Shanghai has initiated a program to acquire second-hand housing for affordable rental purposes, with pilot areas including Pudong, Jing'an, and Xuhui, each having distinct acquisition criteria and models [11] - The policy aims to match housing types with talent needs, focusing on low-priced, small-sized properties to stimulate market activity [12] 2. Market Review - The report notes that the real estate index has shown minimal change, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.34 percentage points. A total of 73 stocks in the real estate sector increased in value, while 40 stocks decreased [15] - The top-performing stocks included Jinglan Technology and Qianjing Garden, with significant weekly gains [21] 3. New and Second-Hand Housing Transactions - In the week leading up to February 6, new housing transactions in 30 cities totaled 131.2 million square meters, a 5.2% decrease from the previous week but a 138.2% increase year-on-year. First-tier cities saw a 4.0% increase week-on-week [26] - Second-hand housing transactions in 15 sample cities totaled 204.5 million square meters, reflecting a 3.5% decrease week-on-week but a 717.5% increase year-on-year [35]

2026年02月08日 《房地产行业 2026 年投资策略： 潮平待 风起，扬帆更远航》 2025/11/17 《好房子的另类破局之道，引领核心城市 五重共振——好房子专题报告系列之三》 2025/09/10 证券分析师 袁豪 A0230520120001 yuanhao@swsresearch.com 顾铮 A0230525120002 guzheng@swsresearch.com 研究支持 顾铮 A0230525120002 guzheng@swsresearch.com 联系人 顾铮 A0230525120002 guzheng@swsresearch.com 申万宏源研究微信服务号 1. 行业数据 1.1 新房成交量 1.1.1 成交周环比：上周 34 城周成交环比下降 6.9%，一二线环比下降 商业不动产 REITs 密集申报， 二手住房用于保租房 — 地产及物管行业周报（2026/1/31-2026/2/6） 本期投资提示: 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 相关研究 地产行业数据：新房、二手房成交环比均回落，新房成交推盘比回升。上周(1.31- 0 2.6)34 个重点城市新房合计成 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors, highlighting the recovery potential of quality real estate companies and commercial real estate [2][31]. Core Insights - The report indicates that the real estate sector is approaching a bottom in its fundamentals after a deep adjustment, with recent central government policies aimed at stabilizing the market. The report emphasizes the importance of quality real estate companies, predicting that their profit recovery will occur sooner and be more resilient [2][31]. - The report recommends several quality real estate companies and commercial real estate firms, including Jianfa International, Binjiang Group, Greentown China, China Jinmao, and Poly Development, as well as commercial real estate firms like New City Holdings and China Resources Land [2][31]. Industry Data Summary New Home Transactions - In the week of January 31 to February 6, 2026, new home transactions in 34 key cities totaled 1.974 million square meters, a week-on-week decrease of 6.9%. The transaction volume in first and second-tier cities decreased by 3.1%, while third and fourth-tier cities saw a significant drop of 39.4% [3][4]. - Year-on-year, new home transactions in February increased by 327.2%, with first and second-tier cities up by 347.8% and third and fourth-tier cities up by 168.9% [4][10]. Second-Hand Home Transactions - In the same week, second-hand home transactions in 13 key cities totaled 1.198 million square meters, also down by 6.9% week-on-week. However, year-to-date transactions showed a 27.4% increase compared to the previous year [10][31]. Inventory and Supply - The report notes that 15 cities had a total of 290,000 square meters of new supply, with a sales-to-supply ratio of 2.62 times. The total available residential area in these cities was 88.525 million square meters, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.52% [21][31]. Policy and News Tracking - The report highlights significant policy developments, including the acceleration of commercial real estate REITs applications, with over 10 applications submitted to exchanges as of February 6, 2026. Additionally, Shanghai is advancing the acquisition of second-hand homes for rental housing, with pilot areas identified [31][32]. - Various regions, including Tianjin, Sichuan, and Hainan, have adjusted the minimum down payment ratio for commercial property loans to no less than 30% [31][32].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Yuexiu Property (00123) announced the issuance of corporate bonds by Guangzhou Urban Construction Development Co., Ltd. with a total scale not exceeding 700 million yuan [1] - The bonds are divided into two types: Type One with a term of 3+2 years and Type Two with a term of 5+2 years [1] - Due to the results of the book-building process, the issuer and the lead underwriter decided to fully allocate Type One bonds to Type Two, with Type Two having a coupon rate of 2.18% [1]