截至月份: 2025年9月30日 狀態: 新提交 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國鋁業股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年9月30日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 601600 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 13,211,666,110 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 13,211,666,110 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | 0 | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 13,211,666,110 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 13,211,666,110 | | ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the non-ferrous metal industry is experiencing a strong rally, driven by multiple favorable factors, including government initiatives to upgrade metal consumption and a tightening global copper supply [1] - As of September 30, 2025, the Guozheng Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Index (399395) rose by 3.27%, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as Placo New Materials (300811) up 12.90%, Tin Industry Co. (000960) up 9.98%, and Huayou Cobalt (603799) up 9.93% [1] - The non-ferrous ETF fund (159880) increased by 3.70%, with the latest price reported at 1.68 yuan [1] Group 2 - On September 28, eight departments jointly issued a document to promote the upgrade of bulk metal consumption, actively expanding the application of high-end aluminum, copper, and magnesium alloys [1] - The global copper supply is tightening due to a series of production disruptions, leading to a nearly 5% increase in three-month copper prices in September, marking the largest rise since the same month in 2024 [1] - Guotou Securities noted that interest rate futures have priced in expectations for three rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, totaling 75 basis points, indicating that the non-ferrous sector is one of the few industries that can significantly benefit from overseas inflation [1] Group 3 - The Guozheng Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Index (399395) selects 50 securities with outstanding scale and liquidity from the non-ferrous metal industry, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in this sector on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges [2] - As of August 29, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index include Zijin Mining (601899), Northern Rare Earth (600111), and Luoyang Molybdenum (603993), with these ten stocks accounting for 50.35% of the total index weight [2]

Group 1 - The central enterprise innovation-driven index increased by 0.56% as of September 30, 2025, with notable stock performances including Guorui Technology up 8.47% and Changdian Technology up 7.97% [3] - The central enterprise innovation-driven ETF (515900) rose by 0.52%, with a latest price of 1.56 yuan, and has shown a cumulative increase of 0.58% over the past week, ranking 1/4 among comparable funds [3] - The trading volume of the central enterprise innovation-driven ETF was 703.54 million yuan, with a turnover rate of 0.2%, and an average daily trading volume of 23.81 million yuan over the past year, ranking first among comparable funds [3] Group 2 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has granted China Mobile a license for satellite mobile communication services, allowing major telecom operators to engage in satellite communication, enhancing emergency, maritime, and remote area communications [3] - The issuance of satellite internet licenses is expected to accelerate technological breakthroughs and commercial applications in the satellite sector, with a clear development path for the satellite industry, including breakthroughs in manufacturing, launching, and demand [4] - The central enterprise innovation-driven ETF has seen a significant scale increase of 24.85 million yuan over the past week, ranking 1/4 among comparable funds [4] Group 3 - The central enterprise innovation-driven index evaluates the innovation and profitability of state-owned enterprises, selecting 100 representative listed companies to reflect the overall performance of innovative state-owned enterprises [4] - As of August 29, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the central enterprise innovation-driven index accounted for 33.39% of the total index, including companies like Hikvision and China Southern Power Grid [4]

Group 1 - The report highlights a strong performance in the Hong Kong stock market, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 1.89%, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increasing by 1.62%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index up by 2.08% on a recent trading day [2] - The report notes a significant turnover in the market, with a total trading volume of HKD 309.1 billion and a short-selling amount of HKD 40.9 billion, representing 14.76% of the total trading volume [2] - The report indicates a reversal in southbound capital flow, with a net outflow of HKD 1.654 billion from the Hong Kong Stock Connect [2] Group 2 - The report discusses the performance of Chinese brokerage firms, which saw a collective rise due to the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, with notable increases in stocks such as Huatai Securities up by 12.55% and CITIC Securities up by 11.79% [3] - The report mentions a strong demand for energy storage batteries in China, leading to significant gains in the battery sector, with TianNeng Power rising by 14.18% [3] - The report highlights positive news in the non-ferrous metals sector, with multiple commodities experiencing price increases, including Ganfeng Lithium up by 6.55% [3] Group 3 - The report notes a rebound in the internet healthcare sector, with stocks like Jingtai Holdings rising by 10.36% and Alibaba Health up by 5.31% [4] - Conversely, the consumer and automotive sectors faced significant pressure, with stocks such as Pop Mart down by 1.58% and NIO down by 1.59% [4] Group 4 - The report indicates that U.S. stock indices opened high but closed lower, with the S&P 500 up by 0.26% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average up by 0.48% [5] - It highlights an increase in the probability of a U.S. government shutdown from approximately 50% to 70%, which could impact key economic data releases [5] - The report mentions that gold prices surged by USD 80, reaching a historical high of USD 3,800 due to inflation concerns [5] Group 5 - The report discusses the macroeconomic strategy in the U.S. stock market, indicating that recent sell-offs are more of a correction rather than a reversal, driven by overbought conditions [7] - It notes that the U.S. PMI data shows economic growth is slowing but does not indicate a hard landing, with the PMI remaining above the 50 mark [8] - The report highlights a strong increase in new home sales in August, which rose by 20.5% month-over-month, indicating economic resilience [9]

Core Insights - The non-ferrous metal sector continues to show strength, with significant gains in stocks such as Huaxi Nonferrous and Xiyegong, and a notable increase in the non-ferrous metal ETF by 3.08%, expanding its year-to-date gain to 67% [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - The current market sees a strong performance in the non-ferrous metal sector, with stocks like Jiangxi Copper and Huayou Cobalt rising over 8% [1] - Gold ETFs and gold-related stocks have also seen an increase of over 1% [1] - The spot price of gold has surpassed $3850 per ounce, marking a historical high, with a year-to-date increase of over 46% [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - There is a trend towards copper supply shortages, influenced by events at Freeport's Grasberg copper mine and delays in production guidance from the Congo's Kakula mine [2] - The China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association has expressed strong opposition to "involution" competition within the copper smelting industry [2] - The export quota system implemented by the Democratic Republic of Congo, the largest cobalt supplier globally, is a key driver behind the recent rise in cobalt prices [2] Group 3: Policy and Industry Initiatives - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, along with eight other departments, has issued a "Work Plan for Stable Growth in the Nonferrous Metals Industry," emphasizing the need for enhanced exploration of resources such as copper, aluminum, lithium, nickel, cobalt, and tin [2] Group 4: Notable Investment Targets - The non-ferrous metal ETF (516650) has increased by 3.08%, with major holdings including Zijin Mining (copper, gold), Luoyang Molybdenum (copper, molybdenum, cobalt), Northern Rare Earth (rare earth), Huayou Cobalt (cobalt, copper), and China Aluminum (aluminum) [3] - The gold stock ETF (159562) has risen by 1.13%, tracking an index dominated by gold and copper stocks, also including silver-related companies [3] - The lowest fee gold ETF, which allows T+0 trading, has increased by 1.08% [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the recent rebalancing of the CSI All Share Free Cash Flow Index, which involved a high turnover rate of 61% with 39 stocks being added and 39 stocks being removed, driven by weakening free cash flow rates and profit-taking from outperforming stocks [1] - The sectors with the largest weight reductions include agriculture, non-ferrous metals, and retail, while the sectors with the largest weight increases are home appliances, electronics, and building materials, indicating a shift in investment focus [1] - The index exhibits a style characteristic of high dividends, high profitability, low valuation, and low volatility, appealing to investors seeking stable returns [1] Group 2 - The latest scale of the Free Cash Flow ETF Fund (159233) reached 243 million, marking a recent high, and it is positioned as a value-style ETF excluding financials and real estate [2][3] - The fund has shown a 0.63% increase as of September 29, 2025, with a weekly increase of 1.45%, ranking 3rd among comparable funds [2] - The fund has experienced continuous net inflows over the past 21 days, totaling 142 million, with a maximum single-day inflow of 19.19 million [4] Group 3 - The fund's maximum drawdown since inception is 3.76%, with a relative benchmark drawdown of 0.24%, indicating a relatively stable performance [5] - The management fee for the fund is 0.50%, and the custody fee is 0.10%, which are competitive rates for investors [6] - The fund closely tracks the CSI All Share Free Cash Flow Index, which consists of 100 stocks with high free cash flow rates, reflecting the overall performance of companies with strong cash flow generation capabilities [7]

内容概要：随着我国城市化进程的加快和电网建设的不断推进，电缆行业对阻燃剂需求持续增长，高白 氢氧化铝作为优质的阻燃填料，能够提高电缆的阻燃性能和机械性能，近年来市场需求与日俱增，此 外，高白氢氧化铝因其高纯度和低毒性，在医药领域广泛应用，随着我国医药产业的不断发展，对高白 氢氧化铝的需求也不断增长，另外，在塑料、橡胶等化工产品中，高白氢氧化铝可作为填充剂和阻燃 剂，既能降低产品成本，又能提高产品的性能，随着我国国化工行业的持续发展，对高白氢氧化铝的需 求也在稳步增加，据统计，2024年我国高白氢氧化铝需求量达73.27万吨，市场规模达26.39亿元，产品 均价约为3601.75元/吨。 二、市场政策 近年来，为了促进高白氢氧化铝行业的发展，我国相继发布《推动工业领域设备更新实施方案》、《推 动消费品以旧换新行动方案》、《贯彻实施〈国家标准化发展纲要〉行动计划（2024—2025年）》、 《2024—2025年节能降碳行动方案》、《关于推动绿色保险高质量发展的指导意见》、《关于发挥绿色 金融作用服务美丽中国建设的意见》、《关于促进外贸稳定增长的若干政策措施》、《铝产业高质量发 展实施方案（2025—2027年） ...

Core Viewpoint - The company has established itself as a leading player in the aluminum industry in China, focusing on an integrated aluminum production chain and demonstrating strong financial performance and growth potential [1][2][3][4] Group 1: Company Overview - The company has over 50 years of experience in the aluminum industry, originally founded as Yunnan Aluminum Plant in 1970, and has developed a comprehensive aluminum production chain from bauxite to aluminum processing [1] - It is recognized as a "National Environmentally Friendly Enterprise" and a green factory, with an integrated production capacity of 1.4 million tons of alumina, 3.08 million tons of green aluminum, and other related products [1] - The company has a self-sufficiency rate of approximately 29% for alumina and 72% for carbon products [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - The company's net profit for the first half of 2024 reached 2.768 billion yuan, reflecting a 10% year-on-year increase, with improving asset quality and cash flow [1] - By the first half of 2025, the company's interest-bearing debt decreased to 2.7 billion yuan, and the debt-to-asset ratio fell to 21.95%, indicating a strong financial position [1] - The cash balance at the end of the first half of 2025 was 7.46 billion yuan, an increase of 1.3 billion yuan compared to the entire year of 2024 [1] Group 3: Dividend Policy - The company has been increasing its dividend payout ratio, with a projected dividend ratio of 32% for 2024, up 12 percentage points year-on-year, and 40.1% for the first half of 2025 [2] - The total cash dividend for 2024 is expected to reach a historical high, reflecting the company's strong cash flow and reduced debt levels [2] Group 4: Green Energy and Sustainability - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing emphasis on green electricity consumption in the aluminum industry, with a target of at least 25.2% green electricity consumption by 2025, a 20% increase from 2024 [3] - The company utilizes over 80% clean energy in its production, resulting in carbon emissions approximately 20% of those from coal-powered aluminum production [3] - It has achieved a 100% compliance rate in carbon trading and is among the first domestic companies to receive product carbon footprint certification, indicating its leadership in low-carbon production [3] Group 5: Investment Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 6.93 billion yuan, 7.97 billion yuan, and 8.21 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 57.1%, 14.9%, and 3.1% respectively [4] - A target price of 23.0 yuan is set for the company based on a 10x price-to-earnings ratio for 2026, reflecting its strong dividend potential and favorable market conditions [4]

Core Insights - The A-share non-ferrous metal industry is projected to achieve a total revenue of 1.82 trillion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.49%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 953.63 billion yuan, marking a significant increase of 36.55% [2][3] Revenue and Profit Growth - Over 70% of companies in the non-ferrous metal sector reported year-on-year revenue growth in the first half of 2025, with major players like Jiangxi Copper, Zijin Mining, and China Aluminum leading in revenue [2][6] - The average gross profit margin for A-share non-ferrous metal companies in the first half of 2025 is approximately 17.71%, an increase of 0.14 percentage points compared to the previous year [8][12] Company Performance - Zijin Mining achieved a net profit of 232.92 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 54.41%, significantly outperforming other companies [6][11] - Companies such as Shenghe Resources and Tianqi Lithium have successfully turned losses into profits during this period [7][11] Notable Companies - The top three companies by revenue in the non-ferrous metal industry for the first half of 2025 are: - Jiangxi Copper: 2569.59 billion yuan - Zijin Mining: 1677.11 billion yuan - China Aluminum: 1163.92 billion yuan [6][8] - Other companies that reported significant revenue growth include Pengxin Resources, which saw a 100.21% increase in revenue [7][11]

证券时报·数据宝统计显示，中国铝业今日收盘价为8.15元，上涨6.96%，日换手率为3.76%，成交额为 39.35亿元，全天主力资金净流入1.58亿元，近5日该股累计上涨5.98%，近5日资金合计净流出2.03亿 元。 两融数据显示，该股最新融资余额为32.06亿元，近5日增加4505.60万元，增幅为1.43%。（数据宝） 9月29日中国铝业大宗交易一览 | 成交量 | 成交金额 | 成交价 | 相对当日收盘 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | （万 | （万元） | 格 | 折溢价（%） | 买方营业部 | 卖方营业部 | | 股） | | （元） | | | | | 181.70 | 1480.86 | 8.15 | 0.00 | 平安证券股份有限公司 | 中国国际金融股份有限公司北 | | | | | | 深圳金田路证券营业部 | 京建国门外大街证券营业部 | | 31.32 | 255.26 | 8.15 | 0.00 | 平安证券股份有限公司 | 中国国际金融股份有限公司北 | | | | | | 深圳金田路证券营业部 | 京建国门外大街证 ...