证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·建筑材料 建筑材料行业跟踪周报 地产链有望震荡向上 2026 年 02 月 02 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券分析师 黄诗涛 执业证书：S0600521120004 huangshitao@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 石峰源 执业证书：S0600521120001 shify@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 2025/2/5 2025/6/4 2025/10/1 2026/1/28 建筑材料 沪深300 相关研究 《继续看好地产链估值修复》 2026-01-26 《社融增速小幅回落，关注红利高股 息等方向》 2026-01-19 东吴证券研究所 1 / 19 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 本周（2026.1.23–2026.1.30，下同）：本周建筑材料板块（SW）涨跌幅 0.73%，同期沪深 300、万得全 A 指数涨跌幅分别为 0.08%、-1.59%，超 额收益分别为 0.65%、2.32%。 ◼ 大宗建材基本面与高 ...

2月2日，中材科技跌5.06%，截至发稿，报40.71元/股，成交11.34亿元，换手率1.62%，总市值683.16亿 元。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，贝莱德基金旗下1只基金重仓中材科技。贝莱德中证500指数增强A（025418）四季度持有股 数10.73万股，占基金净值比例为0.91%，位居第八大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮亏损失约23.28万元。 贝莱德中证500指数增强A（025418）成立日期2025年9月26日，最新规模2.68亿。今年以来收益 10.33%，同类排名1164/5579；成立以来收益11.65%。 资料显示，中材科技股份有限公司位于北京市海淀区东升科技园北街6号院7号楼12层，成立日期2001年 12月28日，上市日期2006年11月20日，公司主营业务涉及大力发展风电叶片、玻璃纤维及制品、锂电池 隔膜三大主导产业,同时从事高压复合气瓶、膜材料及其他复合材料制品的研发、制造及销售。主营业 务收入构成为：风电叶片39.01%，玻璃纤维及制品28.05%，锂电池隔膜6.96%，技术与装备6.44%，工 程复合材料5.99%，高压气瓶4.77%，先进复合材料4.12%，膜材料制品3.2 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **Industry Focus**: The records primarily discuss the cyclical sector, including commodities like precious metals, chemicals, oil shipping, and aviation [1][2][12]. Core Insights and Arguments Monetary Policy and Market Impact - **Federal Reserve's Stance**: Kevin Walsh's hawkish position as the new Fed Chair has temporarily alleviated concerns about the Fed's independence, but his proposed policies of balance sheet reduction and interest rate cuts may not effectively address issues like deficit monetization and government debt financing costs [1][27]. - **Liquidity Environment**: Both domestic and international liquidity conditions are currently loose, supporting price increases in precious and non-ferrous metals. Geopolitical instability and de-dollarization trends provide long-term support for these assets [1][4]. Commodity Performance - **Cyclical Sector Performance**: The cyclical sector in the A-share market has shown strong performance since early 2026, with significant gains in non-ferrous metals, particularly a 60% increase in precious metals in January [2][23]. - **Chemical Sector**: Despite recent price increases, the chemical sector is in a seasonal demand lull, and valuations are no longer attractive. The long-term outlook indicates a decrease in global chemical capacity growth due to reduced capital expenditure in China [5][6]. Oil Shipping Market - **High Demand and Pricing**: The oil shipping market is experiencing high demand due to OPEC+ production increases, with the VLOC freight index showing significant price increases. The market is characterized by limited supply and high demand, indicating a strong bullish outlook [1][13][14]. Aviation Sector - **Valuation and Recovery**: The aviation sector is currently facing short-term losses, but valuations have reached reasonable levels. Ticket prices are expected to recover and potentially exceed 2019 levels, with profit peaks possibly reaching 15 billion to 20 billion yuan [1][15][16]. Highway Sector - **Investment Attractiveness**: The highway sector has become more attractive relative to the broader market, with specific stocks like Sichuan Chengyu and Shenzhen International offering high dividend yields [1][17]. Additional Important Insights - **Geopolitical Factors**: The significant rise in non-ferrous metals prices in January 2026 was driven by geopolitical factors rather than traditional supply-demand dynamics, including U.S. interventions in various regions and military demand [23][25]. - **Future Trends in Chemical Industry**: The chemical industry is expected to face challenges due to stricter carbon emission regulations and reduced capital expenditure, leading to a decline in capacity growth [7][8][9]. - **Investment Opportunities**: Despite short-term price corrections, the long-term outlook for various commodities remains positive, with potential for price recovery as supply constraints and demand growth align [11][30][31]. Conclusion The cyclical sector is currently navigating a complex landscape influenced by monetary policy, geopolitical factors, and sector-specific dynamics. Investment opportunities exist, particularly in oil shipping, aviation, and select highway stocks, while caution is advised in the chemical sector due to valuation concerns and regulatory pressures.

Core Insights - Wuxi City is implementing the "465" modern industrial system to enhance its industrial capabilities and competitiveness, focusing on advanced manufacturing and future industries [1][4][10] Group 1: Industrial Strategy and Development - In 2015, Wuxi's government emphasized the "strong industry" strategy, aiming to create a modern industrial highland through policies supporting high-tech industries [1] - By 2025, Wuxi aims for four landmark industrial clusters and six advantageous industrial clusters to achieve a combined revenue of 2.6 trillion yuan, with future industries maintaining an annual growth rate of over 15% [4][27] - The industrial value added of Wuxi's enterprises surpassed 640.17 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a growth of 6.6% compared to the previous year [10][12] Group 2: Investment and Economic Performance - Wuxi's fixed asset investment reached 458.736 billion yuan in 2024, with industrial investment accounting for 41.6%, indicating a significant increase [13] - The first industry added value was 14.045 billion yuan, growing by 3.5%, while the second industry reached 771.602 billion yuan, up by 6.2%, and the third industry achieved 840.682 billion yuan, increasing by 5.4% [16] Group 3: Industrial Clusters and Innovation - Wuxi has established five national advanced manufacturing clusters, including special steel materials and large aircraft, and has been recognized as a national pilot city for digital transformation of SMEs [17][20] - The city is focusing on developing key industrial clusters in IoT, integrated circuits, biomedicine, and software services, while also nurturing future industries like AI and quantum technology [27] Group 4: Funding and Support Mechanisms - Wuxi's "465" industrial system is supported by various funds, including a 5 billion yuan integrated circuit fund and a 4 billion yuan biomedicine fund, targeting sectors like semiconductors and innovative drugs [21][23] - The city has developed a comprehensive support system for R&D in high-end equipment, biomedicine, and IoT, emphasizing deep integration of industry and education [25] Group 5: Future Development Plans - Wuxi plans to enhance its industrial ecosystem by implementing projects focused on industrial park development, excellence in industrial chains, and collaborative innovation [30] - By 2025, Wuxi aims to create a number of nationally recognized advanced manufacturing clusters and increase the number of listed companies in the A-share market [27]

Core Insights - The construction materials industry is currently at a low valuation level, with a focus on urban renewal and related opportunities. The allocation ratio for construction materials in Q4 2025 is 0.72%, an increase of 0.11 percentage points from Q3 2025, indicating significant potential for valuation recovery [6][15]. Group 1: Urban Renewal and Market Dynamics - The Ministry of Natural Resources and the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development issued a notice on January 20, 2026, to support urban renewal actions, providing specific operational guidelines for the "14th Five-Year Plan" urban renewal strategy. This includes a focus on "two renewals and two new projects," emphasizing the construction of underground pipelines and comprehensive utility tunnels [24]. - Companies involved in urban renewal and the renovation of old neighborhoods, such as Dongfang Yuhong, Keshun Co., Sankeshu, Weixing New Materials, and China Liansu, are recommended for attention [24]. Group 2: Construction Materials Sector Overview - The construction materials sector is experiencing a recovery in profitability, with expectations for continued improvement in 2026. The supply-side adjustments and structural changes in demand are expected to support this recovery [37]. - The cement market saw a 0.8% decrease in prices week-on-week, with the national average price at 345 RMB/ton as of January 30, 2026. The industry is currently at a historical low valuation, with companies like Huaxin Cement, Conch Cement, and Shafeng Cement recommended for investment [6][38]. Group 3: Key Company Developments - Keshun Co. established a semiconductor company to explore a second growth curve, focusing on integrated circuit chips and related technologies [20]. - Weixing New Materials plans to acquire an 88.26% stake in Beijing Songtiancheng Technology Co., enhancing its capabilities in municipal pipeline systems and expanding its market reach [23]. - Leading companies in the construction materials sector, such as Sankeshu and Huaxin Cement, are expected to report significant profit growth in 2025, driven by strong operational resilience and strategic adjustments [25][27].

Investment Rating - The report highlights a positive investment outlook for Keda Manufacturing and recommends Shengfeng Cement as a key stock for February [2][12]. Core Insights - Keda Manufacturing's acquisition of the remaining 51.55% stake in Tefu International is viewed positively, with projected revenues of 8.187 billion yuan and net profits of 1.474 billion yuan by 2025 [2]. - Shengfeng Cement is favored due to its resilient business model, low production costs, and significant investments in new economic projects exceeding 1.9 billion yuan [2]. - The report emphasizes the potential for price increases in traditional electronic fabrics and related materials, driven by AI demand and copper price fluctuations [3][15]. - The trend towards space photovoltaic energy is highlighted, with a focus on UTG and TCO glass as essential materials for future energy solutions [4][14]. Summary by Sections Weekly Discussion - Keda Manufacturing's stock resumption is positively received, and the acquisition strengthens its strategic partnerships [2]. - Shengfeng Cement is recommended for its stable core business and cash flow from new investments [2]. Market Performance - The construction materials index showed a mixed performance, with glass manufacturing and fiberglass sectors performing well, while cement manufacturing faced slight declines [19][21]. Price Changes in Construction Materials - National average cement price decreased to 345 yuan/ton, with a slight increase in sales rates [16]. - Float glass prices increased to 1,144.80 yuan/ton, reflecting a 0.53% rise, while inventory levels decreased slightly [16][39]. Important Changes - Several companies released performance forecasts, and Keda Manufacturing announced a capital increase plan for the acquisition of Tefu International [6].

Core Viewpoint - The glass fiber industry is experiencing a significant recovery in performance, with several companies reporting substantial profit increases for 2025, driven by rising demand in related sectors, particularly influenced by AI growth [2][3]. Performance Growth - Honghe Technology expects a net profit of 192.7 million to 225.5 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 745% to 889%. The company's non-recurring net profit is projected to rise by 3377% to 3969% [3]. - Filihua anticipates a net profit of 41.2 million to 47.2 million yuan for 2025, reflecting a growth of 31.12% to 50.22% year-on-year [3]. - China National Materials Technology forecasts a net profit of 155 million to 195 million yuan for 2025, an increase of 73.79% to 118.64% compared to the previous year [5]. Product Price Increases - The glass fiber industry is witnessing price increases due to optimized product structures and rising demand, particularly in wind power and electronic applications [5]. - International Composite, a leading company in the industry, expects to turn a profit in 2025, with a projected net profit of 26 million to 35 million yuan, driven by improved product pricing and sales growth [5]. Market Dynamics - The supply of electronic cloth is tight, with prices rising significantly due to increased demand and limited new capacity. The price of high-grade low thermal expansion coefficient glass fiber electronic cloth has surged by 250% to 300% since early 2024 [6]. - Factors contributing to the price increase include limited supply growth, rising demand from AI applications, and a shift in production focus towards specialized and thinner fabrics, which has created a supply-demand gap [7].

Market Overview - The glass and fiberglass sector increased by 0.23% on January 30, with Honghe Technology leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4117.95, down 0.96%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14205.89, down 0.66% [1] Stock Performance - Honghe Technology (603256) closed at 54.16, up 5.80% with a trading volume of 349,100 shares and a transaction value of 1.828 billion [1] - Changhai Co., Ltd. (300196) closed at 16.53, up 2.73% with a trading volume of 132,500 shares and a transaction value of 216 million [1] - China Jushi (600176) closed at 21.37, up 0.33% with a trading volume of 637,200 shares and a transaction value of 1.342 billion [1] - Nanfang Glass A (000012) closed at 4.65, down 1.27% with a trading volume of 224,300 shares and a transaction value of 104 million [1] Capital Flow - The glass and fiberglass sector experienced a net outflow of 196 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 1.26 billion [2] - The sector's overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional investors withdrawing funds while retail investors are actively buying [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Zhongcai Technology (002080) had a net inflow of 103 million from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 1.44 million [3] - Nanzhong A (000012) saw a net outflow of 462,210 from institutional investors, but a net inflow of 146,890 from retail investors [3] - North Glass Co. (002613) experienced a net outflow of 531,710 from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 675,760 [3]

战略配售方面，明阳智能、三一重能、中国石化资本、中国船舶集团投资有限公司、中国保险投资基金 及员工资管计划等9家机构参与其中。其中，员工资管计划获配2610.55万股，占比最高达10%，紧随其 后的是中国保险投资基金和明阳智能，获配股数约占本次初始发行数量的比例分别为4.23%、3.90%。 振石股份发行定价11.18元/股，若以1月29日盘中最高价（31.00元/股）卖出计算，打新股民中一签能赚 9910元。有中签股民在开盘时对振石股份抱有冲高期望，但随着股价持续震荡回落最终选择当日下午卖 出，其对时代财经表示"后悔早上没卖，少赚一两千块。"截至当日收盘，振石股份换手率已达67.83%。 1月29日，振石股份（601112.SH）登陆上交所主板高开168.78%，盘中震荡回落，收盘报24.78元/股， 较发行价（11.18元/股）上涨13.60元，涨幅121.65%。1月30日开盘，振石股份低开，截至发稿市值约为 400亿元，市盈率约50倍。 根据振石股份网上发行结果公告，此次网上发行1.28亿股，网上投资者弃购股份数量为52.86万股，仅占 其网上发行总股数的0.41%。 1 供应商集中度高，关联方为第一 ...

Market Overview - The glass fiber sector experienced a decline of 1.27% on January 29, with Jiuding New Materials leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4157.98, up 0.16%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14300.08, down 0.3% [1] Stock Performance - Notable stock performances in the glass fiber sector included: - N Zhenstone: Closed at 24.78, up 121.65% with a trading volume of 1.2023 million shares and a transaction value of 3.22 billion [1] - International Composite: Closed at 8.66, up 3.96% with a trading volume of 3.3208 million shares and a transaction value of 3.019 billion [1] - Sanxia New Materials: Closed at 3.73, up 1.91% with a trading volume of 891,700 shares and a transaction value of 327 million [1] - Jiuding New Materials: Closed at 14.60, down 6.59% with a trading volume of 1.0848 million shares [2] Capital Flow - The glass fiber sector saw a net outflow of 552 million from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 319 million [2] - The sector attracted a net inflow of 870 million from speculative funds [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - N Zhenstone had a net inflow of 8.74 billion from institutional investors, accounting for 27.14% of its total [3] - Sanxia New Materials had a net inflow of 376.35 million from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 594.75 million from retail investors [3] - Jiuding New Materials experienced a net outflow of 2.28384 million from institutional investors [3]