城市建设启新程，地区发展谱新篇。近日，《北京昌平老城和南邵生态组团CP00—0801等街区控制性 详细规划（街区层面）（2021年—2035年）》正式获批，明确了该片区城市功能核心承载区的定位，提 出围绕"魅力永安、花园新城"的目标，推动片区文化、生态与生活空间深度融合。作为该片区的重要组 成部分，位于昌平区南邵镇的昌平新城东区眼下塔吊林立、建设正酣，住宅品质提升、商业层级升级、 公共服务体系完善等各项工作正有条不紊地推进，为片区的发展注入源源不断的活力。 早在2021年，昌平新城东区的发展概念便已正式提出。作为昌平区落实北京市2035年总体规划的关键抓 手，新城东区是昌平新城"一主三副、一带一廊"空间布局的核心组成部分，明确定位为京北体验消费示 范区、山水宜居典范城区、高水平综合服务承载区和智慧产研创新园区，肩负着激活城市发展动能、提 升区域核心竞争力的重要使命。 昌平新城东区拥有得天独厚的发展优势，区位、生态、配套、产业等多重红利叠加。这里北倚燕山山 脉，有东沙河、孟祖河、京密引水渠三水环绕，毗邻白浮泉公园与沙河湿地公园，规划生态空间达202 公顷，人均绿地面积达16.4平方米，生态资源丰富、宜居禀赋突出 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry [2][18]. Core Views - The current policy environment is expected to be more forceful than in 2008 and 2014, driven by fundamental pressures [2][18]. - Real estate serves as an early-cycle indicator, making it a barometer for economic trends [2][18]. - The competitive landscape in the industry is improving, with leading state-owned enterprises and select mixed-ownership and private firms performing well in land acquisition and sales [2][18]. - The focus remains on first-tier cities, two-thirds of second-tier cities, and a very limited number of third-tier cities, which have shown better performance during sales rebounds [2][18]. - Supply-side policies, including land storage and the proper handling of idle land, are crucial areas to monitor, with first and second-tier cities expected to benefit more [2][18]. Summary by Sections New Home and Second-Hand Home Transaction Data - During the 2026 Spring Festival, new home transactions reached 112,000 square meters (up 7.4% year-on-year), while second-hand home transactions were 22,000 square meters (up 96.8% year-on-year) [8][10]. Hong Kong Stock Market Review - The Hong Kong real estate sector saw an overall increase during the Spring Festival, with the real estate HK (CITIC) index rising by 2.34% [10][11]. - Among 80 Hong Kong real estate development stocks, 50 increased, 10 remained flat, and 20 decreased during the festival [10][11]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include: - Real estate development: Greentown China, Jianfa International Group, China Resources Land, Yuexiu Property, China Overseas Development, and China Jinmao in H-shares; and Binjiang Group, China Merchants Shekou, Jianfa Co., Poly Developments, and Huafa Group in A-shares [2][18]. - Local state-owned enterprises and city investment companies: Chengdu Investment Holdings, Urban Construction Development [2][18]. - Real estate intermediaries: Beike-W [2][18]. - Property management companies: China Resources Vientiane Life, China Merchants Jiyu, Greentown Services, Poly Property, and China Overseas Property [2][18].

Core Insights - The report identifies key sectors with positive earnings forecasts for 2025, focusing on companies that are expected to outperform based on growth metrics and other indicators [2] - The report highlights the performance of various industries, with construction materials and oil & petrochemicals showing significant growth in the past year [2][3] Industry Performance - The top-performing industries in January, March, and over the past year include: - Comprehensive: 13.2%, 33.4%, 83.9% - Construction Materials: 8.9%, 28.6%, 49.5% - Oil & Petrochemicals: 7.1%, 28.0%, 41.1% - Coal: 5.9%, 9.1%, 21.8% - Communication: 4.1%, 27.6%, 73.0% [2] - The bottom-performing industries include: - Retail: -5.6%, 3.4%, 10.1% - Non-ferrous Metals: -5.0%, 39.2%, 115.5% - Pharmaceutical Biology: -4.1%, -0.2%, 11.5% - Computer: -3.7%, 6.4%, 1.9% - Non-bank Financials: -2.4%, 3.8%, 9.1% [2] Company-Specific Insights - Yingke Medical (300677.SZ) is identified as a core beneficiary in the nitrile glove industry recovery, with expectations of a price increase and improved supply-demand dynamics [4] - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.71 billion and 2.19 billion in 2026 and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15.0 and 11.8 [5] Real Estate Sector Analysis - The report notes that the Hong Kong real estate sector saw an overall increase during the Spring Festival, with specific stocks showing varied performance [6] - Investment recommendations for the real estate sector include a focus on companies with strong land acquisition and sales performance, particularly in first and second-tier cities [6]

2026 年 02 月 23 日 公司点评 增持/维持 建发股份(600153) 目标价: 昨收盘:9.28 ■ 事件 2026 年 1 月，建发股份发布业绩预告。预计 2025 年度实现归母净 利润为-100 亿元至-52 亿元。2024 年全年归母净利润为 29.5 亿。 ■ 点评 经公司初步测算披露，2025 年度实现营业收入 6,736 亿元到 6,936 亿元之间。其中三个子板块，拆分情况如下： >>供应链板块，营收约 5200 亿元，利润盈利约+33 亿； 建发股份，2025 业绩预告点评，供应链盈利稳，地产亏损减值 ◼ 走势比较 总股本/流通(亿股) 29/29 总市值/流通(亿元) 269.08/269.08 12 个月内最高/最低价 (元) 11.71/8.68 证券分析师：程志峰 电话：010-88321701 E-MAIL：chengzf@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190513090001 >>房地产板块：营收约 1570 亿元，同比 2024 年下降约-15%，主要 系子公司建发房产和联发集团因交付项目减少导致结转收入减少利润减 少；利润约-65 亿至-53 亿元，主要系 ...

Group 1: Real Estate and Construction - The real estate market continues to show signs of bottoming out, with a weak performance in new home sales during the Spring Festival period, reflecting poor supply and demand dynamics [3][9][12] - The land market has seen a significant decline in both supply and demand, with total land area launched in January 2026 down 16% year-on-year, and total land transaction value down 39% [11][12] - Policy measures such as the reduction of the value-added tax on second-hand housing and the lowering of minimum down payments for commercial properties indicate a generally accommodative policy environment [3][12] Group 2: Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery - The pig price is under pressure post-holiday due to the end of stocking and limited weight reduction, with the average price of pigs at 11.66 yuan/kg as of February 13, 2026, down 0.40 yuan/kg week-on-week [4][13] - The supply side shows a slight decrease in the average weight of pigs being marketed, indicating ongoing pressure from large pigs and structural pricing risks [13][14] - The overall market sentiment remains weak, with expectations of a seasonal decline in demand in the weeks following the holiday [14] Group 3: Retail and Consumer Services - The retail sector is experiencing a steady recovery in consumption, with payment transactions on the eve of the Spring Festival increasing by 21.64% compared to the previous year [5][19] - Key retail and catering enterprises reported an average daily sales increase of 8.6% during the first four days of the holiday compared to the same period in 2025 [19][25] - Investment recommendations focus on high-quality companies in the consumer sector, particularly those in gold and jewelry, offline retail, cosmetics, and medical aesthetics [26] Group 4: Pharmaceuticals - The company has entered into an exclusive licensing agreement with GSK for two siRNA pipeline products, with potential total transaction value reaching up to $1 billion [6][28] - Revenue forecasts for the company are maintained at 143 million, 169 million, and 201 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with a downward adjustment in net profit estimates [6][28] - The collaboration with GSK highlights the company's growing recognition in the small nucleic acid drug development field, paving the way for future global partnerships [28][29]

推荐建发股份的时机在于去年 12 月中旬仓位洗净后，目前 9 元左右的 位置稳健，是短期利空出尽后的最佳配置时机。从相对估值、股息率和 NAV 来看，公司折价深，安全垫充裕，攻防兼备。 建发国际深耕高能级城市，选择优质土地储备项目。截至 2025 年中期， 公司未售土地储备面积约为 1,500 万平方米，对应货值 2,700 亿元，相 当于 2024 年销售额的两倍左右。土储周转速度快且质量高。 对于未来一段时间内地产基本面的判断是什么？ 各个城市企稳时间点会有所不同。基本面最好的城市如北京、上海和成都，有 望在今年三季度末或四季度逐步企稳，中概率情形可能要到 2027 年，小概率 则是在今年上半年。因此，在未来一段时间里，如果数据边际回调且股价盘整， 从一年维度投资博弈视角来看，目前是一个较高性价比的建仓时机。只要资金 进入，这个板块就能迅速反弹 30%至 40%。 建发股份 20260223 摘要 房地产市场挂牌量下降，价格跌幅收窄，部分城市或已触底，配置地产 股的必要性增加。多数股票估值仍低于去年三季度水平，折价空间 30%-40%。未来行情依赖核心城市量价及政策突破。 北京、上海和成都等基本面较好的城 ...

2月14日，君龙人寿保险有限公司（下称"君龙人寿"）发布公告称，董事长王文怀因个人原因辞去董事及董事长职务，根据相关法律法规及公司章程规定， 经第六届董事会第三十五次会议决议，同意王文怀辞任，自2026年2月7日起，由邹少荣代为履行董事长职责。 公开资料显示，君龙人寿成立于2008年12月17日，是由厦门建发集团有限公司和台湾人寿保险股份有限公司共同出资设立，首家总部设在福建省的保险公 司。 财务数据显示，2025年，君龙人寿累计实现保险业务收入26.38亿元，累计实现净利润3.76亿元；其中第四季度单季保险业务收入为4.28亿元，净亏损为2.04 亿元。截至2025年末，君龙人寿总资产为111.9亿元，净资产为23.3亿元。 ...

行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 房地产 沪深300 相关研究报告 《上海三区启动住房以旧换新，推动 新房去库存 — 行 业 点 评 报 告 》 -2026.2.4 行 业 研 究 2026 年 02 月 24 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 《2025Q4 公募基金延续低配，持股集 中度进一步提升—行业点评报告》 -2026.1.27 《销售延续调整态势，期待政策显效 与市场筑底 — 行 业 点 评 报 告 》 -2026.1.19 楼市延续筑底行情，政策宽松下布局时点已至 ——行业点评报告 | 齐东（分析师） | 胡耀文（分析师） | | --- | --- | | qidong@kysec.cn | huyaowen@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790522010002 | 证书编号：S0790524070001 | huyaowen@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790524070001 春节市场成交量：一手房网签偏弱，二手房基本持平 一手房方面，2026 年除夕前一周 40 城市合计一手房成交 133.68 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Jianfa Co., Ltd. (建发股份), has revised its 2025 financial outlook, projecting significant losses due to underperformance in its real estate and home furnishing segments, with a shift from profit to substantial losses [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - Jianfa Co., Ltd. expects 2025 revenue to be between 673.6 billion to 693.6 billion yuan, with a projected net loss attributable to shareholders ranging from 10 billion to 5.2 billion yuan [1] - The supply chain business is anticipated to generate revenue of 510 billion to 530 billion yuan, while real estate development is expected to contribute approximately 157 billion yuan, and home furnishing operations around 6.6 billion yuan [1] - The net profit margin for the supply chain business is projected to be between 0.63% to 0.67%, with real estate and home furnishing segments expected to incur significant losses [1] Group 2: Real Estate Business Performance - Jianfa Co., Ltd.'s real estate operations are managed by subsidiaries Jianfa Real Estate and Lianfa Group, which have shown contrasting performance [2] - Jianfa Real Estate is projected to achieve a net profit of approximately 6 billion yuan in 2025, while Lianfa Group is expected to incur a net loss between 10.8 billion to 9.3 billion yuan [3] - Lianfa Group's losses are attributed to market downturns and adjustments in sales strategies, leading to significant inventory write-downs estimated between 6 billion to 8 billion yuan [3] Group 3: Home Furnishing Operations - The home furnishing segment, primarily operated by subsidiary Meikailong, is expected to generate revenue of about 6.6 billion yuan but face a net loss between 22.5 billion to 15 billion yuan [4] - The decline in demand in the home retail market and reduced rental income have led to a significant drop in the fair value of investment properties, estimated to decrease by 12.6 billion to 21.5 billion yuan [4][5] - Meikailong has also made provisions for asset impairments ranging from 4.5 billion to 5.7 billion yuan, affecting various asset categories [5]

Group 1 - The former chairman Wang Wenhui of Junlong Life Insurance Co., Ltd. resigned due to personal reasons, effective from February 7, with Zou Shaorong taking over the chairman duties [1] - Zou Shaorong, born in 1976, holds a master's degree in law from Xiamen University and has held various positions within Xiamen Jianfa Group, including legal advisor and deputy general manager [3] - Junlong Life Insurance is jointly funded by Jianfa Group and a Taiwanese insurance company, each holding a 50% stake [3] Group 2 - The latest solvency report indicates that Junlong Life Insurance is projected to achieve an insurance business revenue of 2.638 billion yuan and a net profit of 376 million yuan by 2025 [3] - As of the end of Q4 2025, the company's core solvency adequacy ratio is 125.00%, and the comprehensive solvency adequacy ratio is 170.80%, with recent risk ratings at BBB level [3] - Under Wang Wenhui's leadership since June 2019, Junlong Life Insurance turned profitable after 11 years of losses, reporting a net profit of 8 million yuan in 2020 and further increasing to 31 million yuan in 2021 [3]