深耕智能电动家居领域二十余年，品牌出海成长可期。公司成立于2002 年，经过二十余年的发展，公 司业务模式从OEM 单纯代工升级为自主研发设计、自主品牌，产品方面，坚持聚焦智能电动家居领 域，从配件为主转变为智能电动沙发、智能电动床成品为主，并形成了覆盖核心配件的垂直一体化供应 链。 公司收入稳健增长，产品结构优化带动盈利能力提升。2024 年公司收入25.5亿元，2017-2024 年CAGR 约16%；2025Q1 实现收入7.7 亿元，同比+38%。 2024 年实现归母净利润6.8 亿元，2017-2024 年CAGR 约31%；2025Q1 实现归母净利润1.9 亿元，同比 +60%。伴随产能外移、产品结构优化、规模效应释放，公司盈利水平保持稳中有升，2017-2025Q1 毛 利率由35%提升至37%，归母净利率由12%提升至25%。 全球功能沙发市场规模不断增长，美国为主要消费国家。伴随全球经济发展，根据智研咨询预测，2027 年全球功能沙发市场规模将达到415.97 亿美元，其中美国为重要市场，市场渗透率较高。 坚持产品创新，供应链垂直一体化整合不断深入。公司坚持研发投入，研发费用率行业领先， ...

新消费核心反弹可期，持续布局稳健复苏 [Table_Industry] 轻工制造 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 06 月 22 日 证券研究报告 行业研究 [Table_ReportType] 行业周报 | [Table_StockAndRank] 轻工制造 | | --- | | 投资评级 看好 | | 上次评级 看好 | | [Table_Author] 姜文镪 新消费行业首席分析师 | | 执业编号：S1500524120004 | | 邮箱：jiangwenqiang@cindasc.com | | 陆亚宁 新消费行业分析师 | | 执业编号：S1500525030003 | | 邮箱：luyaning@cindasc.com | 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 新消费核心反弹可期，持续布局稳健复苏 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 06 月 22 日 本期内容提要: 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.c ...

来源：金融界 公开信息显示，现任基金经理齐炜中先生:中国国籍,硕士研究生,金融学硕士。2012年7月加入大成基金 管理有限公司,历任研究部研究员、行业研究主管。2017年2月20日起任大成积极成长混合型证券投资基 金基金经理助理。具备基金从业资格。2020年2月3日起担任大成消费主题混合型证券投资基金基金经 理。2020年02月03日担任大成景阳领先混合型证券投资基金基金经理。2021年03月17日担任大成一带一 路灵活配置混合型证券投资基金基金经理。2021年6月21日担任大成蓝筹稳健证券投资基金基金经理。 2022年11月18日至2025年1月9日任大成消费机遇混合型证券投资基金基金经理。2024年8月5日担任大成 内需增长混合型证券投资基金基金经理。 截止2025年3月31日，大成一带一路灵活配置混合A前十持仓占比合计58.82%，分别为：百亚股份 （9.53%）、孩子王（7.14%）、中芯国际（7.11%）、盐湖股份（6.67%）、匠心家居（5.57%）、永辉 超市（5.08%）、中兴通讯（4.97%）、新诺威（4.96%）、景业智能（3.94%）、成都华微（3.85%）。 6月19日，大成一带一路灵 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights strong performance in the new consumption sector for Q2, with expectations for a recovery in stable assets [2] - The report emphasizes the resilience of the paper and packaging industry, with a clear stabilization trend in pulp prices and a cautious outlook for paper trading [2][3] - The report discusses the ongoing negotiations between China and the US, suggesting that leading companies may see valuation recovery despite challenges in export growth [2][3] - The report notes the increasing penetration of heated tobacco products (HNB) in South Korea, indicating a clear upward trend in market acceptance [2][3] - The report identifies structural growth opportunities in various sectors, including home furnishings, personal care, and cross-border e-commerce, with specific companies recommended for investment [2][3][4] Summary by Sections Pulp and Paper - The report indicates that overseas supply disruptions continue, with a clear stabilization in the pulp market. It expects pulp prices to show a bottoming out and a continued oscillation trend [2] - Recommendations include companies like Sun Paper and Xianhe Shares, which are expected to see slight profit increases in Q2 [2] Exports - The report mentions that the US-China trade negotiations are ongoing, with a focus on the potential for valuation recovery among leading companies despite challenges in overall export growth [2][3] - Companies such as Jiangxin Home and Zhejiang Natural are highlighted for their expected stable revenue growth in Q2 [2] New Tobacco Products - The report notes a significant increase in HNB sales in South Korea, with a 1.9-fold increase from 6.541 billion packs to 12.2 billion packs from 2018 to 2023 [2][3] - Companies like Smoore International and China Tobacco Hong Kong are recommended for their growth potential in this sector [2] Home Furnishings - The report indicates that the marginal effect of national subsidies is weakening, but year-on-year stability is expected in the home furnishings market [2][3] - Companies such as Gujia Home and Mousse Shares are recommended for their strong market positions [2] Consumer Goods - The report highlights stable e-commerce performance in the personal care sector, with notable growth in pet products and trendy toys [2][3] - Companies like Bubble Mart and Petty are suggested for their structural growth potential [2] Jewelry - The report anticipates strong sales for Lao Pu Gold in Q2, with a rising trend in the high-end gold market [2][3] - Recommendations include brands like Lao Feng Xiang and Cai Bai Shares for their brand value and market positioning [2] Two-Wheeled Vehicles - The report notes good sales performance for Tao Tao Vehicle in Q2, with a partnership with a US robotics company to enhance competitiveness [2][3] - Companies like Yadi Holdings and Aima Technology are highlighted for their market share growth potential [2] Cross-Border E-commerce - The report discusses opportunities arising from Amazon's Prime Day, with a focus on plush toys gaining popularity in international markets [2][3] - Companies like Anker Innovations and Zhiou Technology are recommended for their strong profitability and global expansion [2] IP Retail - The report mentions the ongoing popularity of Labubu, indicating a shift towards personalized consumption trends [2][3] - Companies like Bubble Mart and Miniso are suggested for their growth in the emotional consumption space [2] Mother and Baby Products - The report highlights Kid King’s acquisition of a 65% stake in Siyi, aiming to expand its service offerings in the family sector [2][3] - Companies like Kid King and Good Baby are recommended for their strong market positions [2] E-commerce - The report notes a share buyback plan by Huitongda, reflecting confidence in future growth [2][3] - Companies focusing on empowering the lower-tier market are highlighted for their growth potential [2] Electrical Tools - The report indicates a potential recovery in domestic tool production due to easing trade tensions between China and the US [2][3] - Companies like Juxing Technology and Quan Feng Holdings are recommended for their market positioning [2]

Group 1: Index Adjustments Overview - The adjustments to major indices such as CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and CSI A500 are part of the capital market's response to the national "new quality productivity" strategy, focusing on incorporating leading companies in hard technology, digital economy, and high-end manufacturing while removing traditional firms with weak growth [1][6] - The CSI A500 index saw a significant change with 21 stocks replaced, including 12 traditional cyclical stocks removed due to poor growth, and 33% of the new additions coming from the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [1][6] - The adjustments resulted in an increase in the number of covered industries from 87 to 91, with emerging industries now representing 46.5% of the index [1] Group 2: Sector-Specific Changes - The ChiNext Index's adjustment included 8 stocks, with new generation information technology, new energy vehicles, and biomedicine sectors accounting for 34%, 24%, and 12% respectively, raising the strategic emerging industries' share to 92% [2] - The CSI 1000 index replaced 100 stocks, increasing the weight of industrial and consumer discretionary sectors by approximately 2%, with notable additions from leading companies in these fields [3][4] - The CSI 500 index saw a 1.82% increase in the weight of information technology, with 12 new stocks added, enhancing its focus on high-tech attributes [4] Group 3: Implications for Investment - The adjustments are expected to enhance the indices' representation of advanced manufacturing and consumption upgrades, reflecting China's economic transformation [3][4] - The introduction of ESG negative screening and individual stock weight limits in the ChiNext Index aims to stabilize the impact of major stocks, with 60% of the new samples rated A or above in ESG [2][6] - The new sample companies in the Deep Shenzhen 100 index are projected to contribute significantly to revenue and profits, with a total dividend payout exceeding 270 billion yuan in 2024 [5]

Group 1: Blockchain and Stablecoins - Ant International plans to apply for stablecoin licenses in Hong Kong and Singapore, aiming to contribute to Hong Kong's development as an international financial center [4] - The global stablecoin market has surged to approximately $250.3 billion as of June 8, 2025, a 50-fold increase from about $5 billion at the end of 2019, indicating explosive growth in the sector [4] Group 2: LED Technology - A research team from the University of Science and Technology of China has significantly improved the lifespan of perovskite LEDs, achieving brightness over 1.16 million nits and a lifespan exceeding 180,000 hours [5] - Perovskite materials are noted for their high luminous efficiency, low cost, and flexible manufacturing, making them promising for applications in solar cells, LEDs, and detectors [5] Group 3: Solid-State Batteries - Changan Automobile announced plans to accelerate the launch of next-generation solid-state batteries, with a target to unveil a prototype by the end of 2025 and begin mass production by 2027 [7] - The energy density of Changan's solid-state battery is reported to reach 400 Wh/kg, with a range exceeding 1500 km and a 70% improvement in safety [7] - The solid-state battery market is expected to see significant growth, with global shipments projected to reach 614.1 GWh and a market size exceeding 110 billion yuan by 2030 [7] Group 4: Nuclear Energy - The World Bank will support nuclear power projects for the first time in decades, focusing on extending the lifespan of existing reactors and enhancing infrastructure [8] - China's nuclear power development strategy has shifted to "actively and safely develop," with a significant acceleration in construction expected, particularly for third and fourth-generation technologies [8] Group 5: Market Movements and Company Announcements - MP Materials, a rare earth concept stock, rose by 13.88% following news of potential U.S. government funding for domestic rare earth projects [6] - Long-term projections indicate that the AI chip market could exceed $500 billion by 2028, with AMD's new AI chip reportedly outperforming Nvidia's in inference testing [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the smart home industry [6][29]. Core Insights - The smart home industry is expected to benefit from government policies aimed at stimulating consumption through appliance replacement and recycling initiatives, with the number of subsidized appliance categories increasing from 8 to 12 [4][29]. - Technological advancements in IoT, AI, machine learning, and big data are expanding the application boundaries of smart home devices, leading to the creation of high-value innovative products and services [4][29]. - The easing of the US-China tariff conflict is likely to favor Chinese home appliance companies in international markets, while domestic demand is expected to grow due to rising living standards and an aging population [4][29]. Summary by Sections Market Review - In the past two weeks (May 24 - June 6, 2025), the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.10%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.51%, and the ChiNext Index by 0.89%. The smart home index (399996.SZ) increased by 2.58%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite by 1.48 percentage points [11][12]. - Year-to-date, the smart home index has risen by 2.76%, again outperforming the Shanghai Composite by 1.75 percentage points [11][12]. - Among the smart home index components, the top five stocks by growth in the past two weeks were Shenghong Technology (+32.38%), Cambridge Technology (+23.29%), Xiechuang Data (+19.62%), Craft Home (+16.01%), and Zhongke Lanyun (+11.84%) [14][15]. Industry Policy Tracking - The Ministry of Commerce supports large-scale equipment updates in national economic development zones and encourages the inclusion of foreign trade quality products in the "old-for-new" consumption policy [16][17]. - A draft opinion from the Zhejiang Economic and Information Technology Department proposes to promote foreign trade quality products under the "old-for-new" policy [17]. - The Ministry of Commerce has released an action plan to accelerate the development of smart supply chains, emphasizing the integration of digital technologies [18][19]. Industry News Tracking - In the first five months of 2025, the sales volume of the "old-for-new" consumption policy exceeded 1 trillion yuan, with significant participation in various categories [26][27]. - The first round of subsidy funds for the "old-for-new" program has been exhausted in some regions, indicating strong demand [26][27]. - Aishida plans to invest up to 150 million yuan in Vietnam for the construction of cookware, small appliances, and industrial robot projects [28]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the smart home industry will benefit from supportive policies, technological advancements, and increasing domestic demand, maintaining a "Recommended" rating for the industry [4][29].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the smart home industry [6][29]. Core Insights - The smart home industry is benefiting from government policies aimed at stimulating consumption through the expansion of appliance subsidy categories and the promotion of old-for-new programs, which are expected to drive sales in the home appliance and home sectors [4][29]. - Technological advancements in IoT, AI, machine learning, and big data are expanding the application boundaries and interaction depth of smart home devices, creating high-value innovative products and services to meet diverse consumer needs [4][29]. - The easing of the US-China tariff conflict is expected to favor Chinese home appliance companies' overseas expansion, while domestic demand is driven by rising living standards and the increasing need for home care solutions due to an aging population [4][29]. Summary by Sections Market Review - In the past two weeks (May 24 - June 6, 2025), the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.10%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.51%, and the ChiNext Index by 0.89%. The smart home index (399996.SZ) increased by 2.58%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite by 1.48 percentage points [11][12]. - Year-to-date, the smart home index has risen by 2.76%, again outperforming the Shanghai Composite by 1.75 percentage points [11][12]. - Among the smart home index components, the top five stocks by increase over the past two weeks were Shenghong Technology (+32.38%), Cambridge Technology (+23.29%), Xiechuang Data (+19.62%), Craft Home (+16.01%), and Zhongke Lanyun (+11.84%) [14][15]. Industry Policy Tracking - The Ministry of Commerce supports national economic development zones in large-scale equipment updates and encourages the inclusion of foreign trade quality products in the old-for-new consumption policy [16][17]. - A draft opinion from the Zhejiang Economic and Information Technology Department proposes to promote foreign trade quality products under the old-for-new policy [17]. Industry News Tracking - In the first five months of 2025, the sales volume of old-for-new consumer goods exceeded 1 trillion yuan, with significant participation in various categories [26][27]. - The first round of subsidy funds for the old-for-new program has been exhausted in some regions, indicating strong demand [26][27]. - Aishida plans to invest up to 150 million yuan in Vietnam for the construction of cookware, small appliances, and industrial robot projects [28]. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes that the smart home industry is expected to benefit from both upstream and downstream sectors due to supportive policies, technological advancements, and increasing consumer demand [4][29].

亏损金额同比收窄，海外储备订单回暖 曲美家居(603818) 林纸产品 [Table_Industry] /原材料 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 ——曲美家居跟踪报告 | [table_Authors] 刘佳昆(分析师) | 吕科佳(分析师) | [Table_Target] 目标价格： | 4.99 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 021-38676666 | 021-38676666 | | | | 登记编号 S0880524040004 | S0880525040069 | | | 本报告导读： 2024 年公司亏损金额同比收窄，同时现金储备及债务水平优化。从经营上来看，海 外订单企稳回升，国内产品竞争力提升&发力新媒体平台内容资产。 投资要点： | | | | 52 周内股价区间（元） | 2.07-3.92 | | --- | --- | | 总市值（百万元） | 2,645 | | 总股本/流通A股（百万股） | 689/687 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万股） | 0/0 | [Table_Balance] 资产负债表摘要(LF) -33% -21 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the pet supplies sector, AI glasses, and the home improvement market, highlighting potential acquisition opportunities and new product launches [2][6][27]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the resilience of essential consumer goods in the personal care sector, with a notable trend towards domestic brands, particularly during promotional events like the 618 sales [6][14]. - The pet supplies market is experiencing consolidation opportunities, with companies like Tianyuan Pet and Yiyi Co. being recommended for their strong market positions and growth potential [6][7]. - The AI glasses segment is expected to see significant product launches in the latter half of 2025, driven by collaborations between major tech companies [12][20]. - The report highlights the positive impact of government policies on the real estate market, which is anticipated to stabilize and boost related sectors, including home improvement [27][28]. Summary by Sections New Consumer Trends - The report identifies the pet supplies sector as a key area for mergers and acquisitions, recommending companies such as Tianyuan Pet and Yiyi Co. for their strong market presence and growth prospects [6][7]. - AI glasses are positioned for growth with new product launches expected from major players like Google and XREAL, indicating a robust market expansion [12][20]. Personal Care Sector - The personal care market shows resilience, with domestic brands gaining traction, particularly during promotional periods [14]. - Recommended companies in this sector include Baiya Co., Haoyue Care, and Dengkang Oral Care, which are expected to benefit from the ongoing consumer trends [14][15]. Home Improvement and Real Estate - The report notes that government initiatives are likely to support the real estate market, leading to improved conditions for the home improvement sector [27][28]. - Companies like Sophia and Oppein Home are highlighted for their potential to benefit from the anticipated recovery in the housing market [23][27]. Paper Industry - The report mentions a price increase in the paper sector, with expectations for price stabilization due to supply adjustments [25]. - Recommended companies in this space include Sun Paper, which is noted for its integrated operations and cost advantages [25]. Export and Trade - The report discusses the impact of tariff changes on exports, particularly in the light industrial sector, with a focus on companies that have a strong competitive edge [6][20].