Industry Overview Upstream - Black: Glass prices continue to decline [3] - Non-ferrous: Nickel prices fall [3] - Agriculture: Egg prices correct [3] - Infrastructure: Building materials index rises slightly [3] Midstream - Chemicals: Urea production starts to pick up [4] - Energy: Coal inventory in power plants decreases [4] - Infrastructure: Asphalt production starts to decline [4] Downstream - Real estate: Seasonal decline in commercial housing sales in second- and third-tier cities [4] - Services: Slight decline in domestic flight schedules [4] Medium-term Event Summary Production Industry - On November 19, the mobilization meeting of the First Central Ecological and Environmental Protection Inspection Team for inspecting Beijing was held, marking the full deployment of the fifth batch of 10 central ecological and environmental protection inspection teams in the third round. This batch of inspections will form 8 routine inspection teams to conduct routine inspections on 3 provinces (municipalities) including Beijing, Tianjin, and Hebei, and 5 central enterprises including China Huadian Corporation, National Energy Investment Group Co., Ltd., Ansteel Group Co., Ltd., China Baowu Steel Group Co., Ltd., and China National Coal Group Corporation [1] - From November 16 to 19, Zhang Guoqing, a member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Vice Premier of the State Council, investigated the digital and intelligent transformation and upgrading of the manufacturing industry and the innovation and development of state-owned enterprises in Guizhou and Chongqing. He emphasized that state-owned enterprises should continuously improve their independent innovation capabilities, cultivate new productive forces and build new competitive advantages through the in-depth integration of scientific and technological innovation and industrial innovation. They should improve the institutional arrangements for promoting original innovation in state-owned enterprises, increase the proportion of R & D investment in basic research, accelerate the layout and construction of original technology sources, and make more breakthroughs in key core technologies, key common technologies, and frontier technologies [1] Service Industry - On November 19, the Ministry of Finance issued an announcement stating that on November 18, the Ministry of Finance of the People's Republic of China, on behalf of the central government, successfully issued 4 billion euros of sovereign bonds in Luxembourg. Among them, 2 billion euros were issued for a 4 - year term at an issue rate of 2.401%, and 2 billion euros were issued for a 7 - year term at an issue rate of 2.702%. Standard Chartered Bank, as the joint lead underwriter, bookrunner, and settlement and delivery bank, supported the successful issuance of the 4 - billion - euro sovereign bonds by the Chinese Ministry of Finance in Luxembourg [2] Key Industry Price Indicators | Industry Name | Indicator Name | Frequency | Unit | Update Time | Value | YoY | Past 5 - day Trend | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Agriculture | Spot price: Corn | H | Yuan/ton | 11/19 | 2185.7 | 1.12% | | | | Spot price: Egg | Day | Yuan/kg | 11/19 | 6.2 | - 4.62% | | | | Spot price: Palm oil | H | Yuan/ton | 11/19 | 8820.0 | 1.26% | | | | Spot price: Cotton | H | Yuan/ton | 11/19 | 14787.3 | - 0.22% | | | | Average wholesale price: Pork | Day | Yuan/kg | 11/19 | 17.9 | - 1.10% | | | Non - ferrous metals | Spot price: Copper | Day | Yuan/ton | 11/18 | 86020.0 | - 0.95% | | | | Spot price: Zinc | Day | Yuan/ton | 11/18 | 22304.0 | - 1.52% | | | | Spot price: Aluminum | H | Yuan/ton | 11/18 | 21473.3 | - 0.14% | | | | Spot price: Nickel | H | Yuan/ton | 11/18 | 117383.3 | - 2.92% | | | Ferrous metals | Spot price: Aluminum | H | Yuan/ton | 11/18 | 17188.8 | - 1.36% | | | | Spot price: Rebar | H | Yuan/ton | 11/18 | 3161.3 | 1.05% | | | | Spot price: Iron ore | Day | Yuan/ton | 11/18 | 805.2 | 1.71% | | | | Spot price: Wire rod | Day | Yuan/ton | 11/18 | 3320.0 | 0.23% | | | Non - metals | Spot price: Glass | H | Yuan/square meter | 11/19 | 13.7 | - 2.14% | | | | Spot price: Natural rubber | Day | Yuan/ton | 11/19 | 14891.7 | 0.06% | | | | China Plastic City price index | H | - | 11/19 | 767.6 | - 0.35% | | | Energy | Spot price: WTI crude oil | Day | US dollars/barrel | 11/19 | 60.7 | - 0.49% | | | | Spot price: Brent crude oil | H | US dollars/barrel | 11/19 | 64.9 | - 0.41% | | | | Spot price: Liquefied natural gas | H | Yuan/ton | 11/19 | 4182.0 | - 0.48% | | | | Coal price: Coal | H | Yuan/ton | 11/19 | 831.0 | - 0.36% | | | Chemicals | Spot price: PTA | H | Yuan/ton | 11/18 | 4628.8 | - 0.18% | | | | Spot price: Polyethylene | Day | Yuan/ton | 11/18 | 7005.0 | 0.41% | | | | Spot price: Urea | Day | Yuan/ton | 11/18 | 1630.0 | 0.15% | | | | Spot price: Soda ash | H | Yuan/ton | 11/18 | 1218.6 | 0.53% | | | Real estate | Cement price index: National | H | - | 11/19 | 136.2 | - 0.15% | | | | Building materials composite index | H | Points | 11/19 | 113.8 | 1.41% | | | | Concrete price index: National index | Day | Points | 11/19 | 90.8 | - 0.03% | | [38]

Core Viewpoint - Ansteel Co., Ltd. has shown a mixed performance in stock price and financial results, with a recent increase in stock price but a decline in revenue and a significant net loss for the year [1][2]. Financial Performance - As of September 30, 2025, Ansteel reported a revenue of 73.092 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.78% [2]. - The company experienced a net loss attributable to shareholders of 2.04 billion yuan, which is a significant improvement with a year-on-year increase of 59.87% [2]. Stock Market Activity - On November 20, Ansteel's stock price increased by 2.26%, reaching 2.72 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 44.0353 million yuan and a turnover rate of 0.21% [1]. - The stock has seen a year-to-date increase of 13.33%, but has declined by 2.86% over the last five trading days and 1.81% over the last twenty days [1]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 0.45% to 95,700 [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and Southern CSI 500 ETF, with notable changes in their holdings [3]. Dividend Distribution - Ansteel has cumulatively distributed dividends of 21.437 billion yuan since its A-share listing, with a total of 6.39239 million yuan distributed over the last three years [3].

Core Viewpoint - The steel industry is experiencing a recovery in profits due to unexpected demand from manufacturing and direct exports, alongside the implementation of "anti-involution" policies, leading to an increase in supply optimization expectations [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Performance - In Q1-Q3 2025, the SW steel index rose by 24.00%, ranking 17th among Shenwan industries, driven by improved manufacturing and export demand [1][2]. - From October 2025 to present, the SW steel index has continued to rise by 14.19%, ranking 4th among Shenwan industries [1][2]. - In Q3 2025, the profitability of the rebar sector turned positive, with a 102.59% increase in special steel profits year-on-year, while the gross profit margin rose to 7.59% and net profit margin increased to 2.19% [3]. Group 2: Policy and Structural Changes - The steel industry is focusing on differentiated production restrictions and classified management to promote high-value, low-carbon, and intelligent transformations, enhancing industry concentration and optimizing structural layout [3]. - Policies such as ultra-low emission upgrades and dual control of energy consumption are expected to drive capacity optimization and accelerate the elimination of outdated production capacity [3]. Group 3: Demand Drivers - The manufacturing sector, particularly in machine tools, excavators, and commercial vehicles, remains resilient, with direct exports showing significant year-on-year growth, supporting steel demand [3]. - The construction sector is experiencing weak new starts, but forward-looking indicators like sales and land acquisition are showing reduced declines, stabilizing demand for construction steel [3]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Steel capacity optimization is expected to be a key focus moving forward, with a push for differentiated management to support competitive enterprises [4]. - Attention is recommended for leading steel companies such as Hualing Steel, Baosteel, and Nanjing Steel, as well as flexible stocks like Fangda Special Steel and New Steel [4]. - The special steel sector is projected to benefit from downstream demand in automotive, nuclear power, and oil and gas extraction, with companies like Xianglou New Materials and Jiuli Special Materials highlighted for stable growth [4]. - In the raw materials sector, companies with clear non-ferrous resource increments, such as Dazhong Mining and Hebei Steel Resources, are recommended for investment [4].

Group 1 - The central ecological environment protection inspection teams have all entered their respective areas, marking the completion of the third round of inspections [1] - Eight routine inspection teams will conduct inspections in Beijing, Tianjin, and Hebei, as well as five central enterprises including China Huadian Corporation and China Energy Investment Corporation [1] - Special inspections will focus on the ecological environment protection of the Grand Canal across eight provinces and cities, including Beijing, Tianjin, and Hebei [1] Group 2 - The responsible officials of the inspected entities expressed their commitment to cooperate fully with the inspection teams, ensuring smooth progress and tangible results [2] - The routine inspection teams will be stationed for one month, while the special inspection teams will be present for about two weeks [2] - During the inspection period, dedicated hotlines and postal boxes will be established to handle reports related to ecological environment protection [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of ecological civilization and environmental protection in China's development strategy, highlighting the central government's commitment to these initiatives through various inspections and directives [2][5]. Group 1: Central Environmental Protection Inspections - All 10 central ecological environment protection inspection teams have successfully entered their designated areas for inspection, marking a significant step in the third round of inspections [1]. - The inspections are part of a broader strategy to ensure compliance with ecological and environmental standards, reflecting the central government's focus on sustainable development [5]. Group 2: Government Directives and Strategic Importance - The central government, under the leadership of Xi Jinping, has prioritized ecological civilization as a key component of national development, aiming for a historic transformation in environmental protection [2]. - The 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China outlined goals for a green transition in economic and social development, emphasizing the need for a new energy system and pollution prevention [2]. Group 3: Regional Development Initiatives - Xi Jinping has consistently highlighted the importance of coordinated development in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, advocating for ecological protection and resource conservation [3]. - The government aims to achieve breakthroughs in green transformation while promoting high-quality development in the Xiong'an New Area [3]. Group 4: Cultural Heritage and Environmental Responsibility - The article discusses the significance of protecting the Grand Canal as a cultural heritage site, with Xi Jinping stressing the collective responsibility of regions along the canal to preserve and utilize this resource [4]. - The Grand Canal is recognized as a vital part of China's cultural heritage, and efforts are being made to enhance its protection and promote its cultural significance [4]. Group 5: Inspection Team Details - The article provides a detailed list of the inspection teams, including their leaders, the entities being inspected, and the duration of their inspections, which typically last one month for regular inspections and two weeks for special inspections [6][7]. - Each inspection team has established dedicated communication channels for receiving reports and feedback related to environmental protection from the inspected entities [6].

Core Viewpoint - The steel sector is experiencing strong performance in the first three quarters of 2025, driven by the "anti-involution" policy, supply optimization, and robust demand from manufacturing and direct exports, leading to a year-on-year profit recovery and significant stock price increases [1][2]. Group 1: Steel Sector Performance - In Q1-Q3 2025, the steel industry saw a 24% increase in the SW steel index, ranking 17th among all industries in the Shenwan classification [1]. - From October 2025 to the present, the SW steel index has risen by 14.19%, ranking 4th among Shenwan industries [1][2]. - In Q3 2025, the net profit of the general steel sector turned positive, while special steel profits grew by 102.59% year-on-year [2]. Group 2: Policy and Market Dynamics - The introduction of differentiated production restrictions aims to promote high-value-added, low-carbon, and intelligent transformations in the steel industry, enhancing industry concentration and optimizing structural layout [3]. - Manufacturing sectors such as machine tools, excavators, and commercial vehicles remain resilient, with direct exports showing significant year-on-year growth, supporting steel demand [4]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The optimization of steel production capacity is expected to be a key investment theme, focusing on supporting superior companies and implementing differentiated management [5]. - Key steel leaders such as Hualing Steel, Baosteel, and Nanjing Steel are recommended for their advantages in capacity standardization and green transformation [5]. - In the special steel sector, companies benefiting from downstream industries like automotive and nuclear power are highlighted for their growth potential [5]. Group 4: Raw Material Sector - Companies with clear incremental non-ferrous resources, such as Dazhong Mining and Hebei Steel Resources, are recommended due to their diversified resource strategies [6].

Core Viewpoint - Ansteel Co., Ltd. has experienced a decline in stock price and revenue, while showing a significant increase in net profit year-on-year despite a negative operating income trend [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On November 19, Ansteel's stock price fell by 2.21%, trading at 2.65 CNY per share with a total market capitalization of 24.828 billion CNY [1]. - Year-to-date, Ansteel's stock price has increased by 10.42%, but it has seen declines of 3.99% over the last five trading days, 3.28% over the last 20 days, and 1.49% over the last 60 days [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Ansteel reported operating revenue of 73.092 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 7.78% [2]. - The company recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders of -2.040 billion CNY, which represents a year-on-year increase of 59.87% [2]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, Ansteel had 95,700 shareholders, a decrease of 0.45% from the previous period [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 21.437 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with cumulative distributions of 6.392 million CNY over the past three years [3]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and Southern CSI 500 ETF, with notable changes in their holdings [3].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core View of the Report - On November 18, 2025, the A - share market declined, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.81%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.92%, and the ChiNext Index down 1.16%. The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 1926.1 billion yuan, a slight increase of 15.3 billion yuan from the previous day. Different futures varieties showed various trends affected by factors such as supply - demand relationships, international market conditions, and policy changes [1]. 3. Summary by Variety Stock Index Futures - On November 18, the three major A - share indexes collectively declined, and the Shanghai Composite Index had three consecutive negative daily K - lines. The CSI 300 Index remained weak, closing at 4568.19, down 29.86 from the previous day [1][2]. Coke and Coking Coal - Coke: On November 18, the weighted coke index returned to a weak trend, closing at 1685.2, down 47.6. Supply continued to shrink due to coking losses, environmental inspections, and coal source shortages, while the increase in molten iron to 236 tons supported the rigid demand for coke [2][4]. - Coking Coal: On November 18, the weighted coking coal index was weak, closing at 1186.1 yuan, down 42.8. The resumption of production in some Shanxi coal mines led to a slight increase in coking coal output, and the passage of Mongolian coal at ports returned to a high level. The high - price procurement by downstream coking coal slowed down but was mainly for rigid demand, and coal mines had sufficient pre - sales and low inventories [3][4]. Zhengzhou Sugar - Affected by technical factors after a large short - term increase, ICE sugar oscillated and adjusted slightly lower on Monday. Constrained by factors such as the decline of ICE sugar and the reduction of spot prices, the short - sellers pressured the Zhengzhou Sugar 2601 contract to oscillate and decline on Tuesday. After a large short - term decline, the contract oscillated and sorted out slightly lower at night. The ISO predicted a global sugar supply surplus of 1.63 million tons in the 2025/26 season, with production increasing by 3.15% to 181.77 million tons and consumption only increasing by 0.6% to 180.14 million tons. India's sugar production accelerated, and the new - season sugar output was expected to increase to 31.5 million tons, with possible exports of 2 - 2.5 million tons [4]. Rubber - Affected by technical factors after a large increase in the previous trading day, Shanghai rubber oscillated and sorted out slightly higher on Tuesday and oscillated slightly higher at night due to capital effects. In October 2025, China's rubber tire outer - tube production was 97.951 million pieces, a year - on - year decrease of 2.5%. From January to October, the production increased by 1% year - on - year to 9.96421 billion pieces. In the first 10 months of 2025, China's rubber tire exports reached 8.03 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 3.8% [4]. Palm Oil - On November 18, palm oil futures continued to oscillate slightly at a low level, and the oscillation range was slightly higher than the previous day. The main contract P2601 closed with a small positive K - line with upper and lower shadows, closing at 8708, up 0.32% from the previous day. Last week, the arrival of palm oil in China increased while the demand did not keep up, resulting in inventory accumulation. As of the end of the 46th week of 2025, the domestic palm oil inventory was 574,000 tons, an increase of 22,000 tons from the previous week, and the contract volume was 43,000 tons, an increase of 1,000 tons from the previous week [5]. Live Pigs - On November 18, the LH2601 main contract closed at 11,535 yuan/ton, down 1.37%. The inventory of breeding sows remained high, corresponding to an increase in live - pig slaughter from the fourth quarter of 2025 to the beginning of 2026. The concentrated release of large - weight live pigs from small and medium - sized farms and the resumption of the slaughter rhythm of large - scale pig enterprises increased short - term supply pressure. The decrease in temperature would boost pork consumption to some extent, but the short - term pattern of strong supply and weak demand was difficult to reverse [5]. Soybean Meal - International market: On November 18, CBOT soybean futures closed lower. As of November 16, 2025, the US soybean harvest rate was 95%, compared with 98% in the same period last year and a five - year average of 96%. As of November 13, the Brazilian soybean planting rate was 71%, lower than 80% in the same period last year, and the estimated Brazilian soybean output was 176.7 million tons. - Domestic market: On November 18, the M2601 main contract closed at 3,041 yuan/ton, down 0.07%. The short - term arrival of imported soybeans was sufficient, the domestic oil - mill operating rate increased to 66% this week, and the soybean meal inventory was close to one million tons and needed to be reduced [5]. Shanghai Copper - The US government ended the shutdown, and the Fed took a hawkish stance, with the probability of a rate cut in December falling below 50%. In October, China's manufacturing production slowed down. The supply side remained tight, and although traditional consumption areas were weak, strong demand in new - energy vehicles and power - grid construction provided bottom - line support for copper prices [5]. Cotton - On the night of November 18, the main Zhengzhou cotton contract closed at 13,410 yuan/ton, and the cotton inventory decreased by 10 lots compared with the previous day. The purchase price of machine - picked cotton in Xinjiang on November 18 was 6.1 - 6.3 yuan/kg. A 300,000 - spindle cotton - spinning project started in Jinghe County, Xinjiang [5]. Logs - On November 18, the Log 2601 contract opened at 792, with a minimum of 782.5, a maximum of 792.5, and closed at 785, with a daily reduction of 859 lots. The spot - market prices of 3.9 - meter medium - grade A radiata pine logs in Shandong decreased by 10 yuan/cubic meter to 740 yuan/cubic meter, and the prices of 4 - meter medium - grade A radiata pine logs in Jiangsu remained unchanged at 760 yuan/cubic meter. In October, the log import volume decreased by 16.3% year - on - year [5][6]. Iron Ore - On November 18, the Iron Ore 2601 main contract oscillated and rose, up 1.41%, closing at 792 yuan. The iron - ore shipment volume continued to increase slightly, the arrival volume decreased, and the molten - iron output stopped falling and increased. The short - term iron - ore price was in an oscillating trend [7]. Asphalt - On November 18, the Asphalt 2601 main contract oscillated and closed lower, down 0.36%, closing at 3,032 yuan. The asphalt supply continued to decrease, the inventory was being reduced, and the terminal demand remained weak due to cold and snowy weather, showing a pattern of weak supply and demand [7]. Steel - On November 18, rb2601 closed at 3,090 yuan/ton, and hc2601 closed at 3,286 yuan/ton. The third round and fifth batch of central environmental - protection inspections started, which might reduce steel supply in the short term and support steel prices [7]. Alumina - On November 18, ao2601 closed at 2,780 yuan/ton. The spot price stopped falling, and downstream procurement accelerated. The market was in a game between weak reality and strong expectations, and the alumina price was in a weak oscillation [7]. Shanghai Aluminum - On November 18, al2601 closed at 21,465 yuan/ton. The end of the US government shutdown increased the uncertainty of the Fed's December interest - rate decision. The hawkish stance of the Fed put pressure on non - ferrous metals. The decline in aluminum prices led to a slight recovery in consumption, but high prices still restricted consumption, and the expected increase in aluminum - ingot supply in the off - season increased the pressure of inventory accumulation [7].

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.81% on November 18, with only four sectors experiencing gains, led by Media and Computer industries, which rose by 1.60% and 0.93% respectively [1] - The sectors with the largest declines were Coal and Electric Equipment, down by 3.17% and 2.97% respectively, with the Steel industry also showing significant losses [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The main capital outflow from the two markets totaled 88.764 billion yuan, with only four sectors seeing net inflows [1] - The Computer industry had the highest net inflow of 2.730 billion yuan, followed by the Media industry with a net inflow of 2.434 billion yuan [1] Steel Industry Performance - The Steel industry experienced a decline of 2.85%, with a net capital outflow of 1.760 billion yuan [2] - Out of 44 stocks in the Steel sector, only 2 stocks rose while 42 stocks fell, including 1 stock hitting the daily limit down [2] - The top three stocks with the highest net outflows included Baogang Co. with 558 million yuan, Dazhong Mining with 448 million yuan, and Hainan Mining with 159 million yuan [2] Individual Stock Performance in Steel Industry - The top net inflow stock in the Steel sector was Fangda Carbon, with a net inflow of 157 million yuan, followed by Hangang Co. and Ansteel Co. with net inflows of 13.136 million yuan and 5.956 million yuan respectively [2][3] - The stocks with significant net outflows included Baogang Co., Dazhong Mining, and Hainan Mining, with outflows of 558 million yuan, 448 million yuan, and 159 million yuan respectively [2][3]

Market Overview - On November 18, global financial markets experienced a collective decline due to multiple factors affecting market risk sentiment, with Hong Kong's three major indices showing weakness throughout the day. The Hang Seng Index fell by 1.72%, closing below the 26,000-point mark, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and the Hang Seng Tech Index dropped by 1.65% and 1.93%, respectively [1][2]. Sector Performance - Concerns over overvaluation in artificial intelligence have led to a continued decline in technology stocks. The spot gold price briefly fell below $4,000, causing significant drops in gold and non-ferrous metal stocks, with Lingbao Gold experiencing a nearly 9% decline. The steel sector also faced notable declines due to significant price drops throughout the year [2][5]. - The steel sector led the declines, with China Hanking down over 9%, Maanshan Iron & Steel down over 7%, and several other steel companies experiencing declines of over 5%. A report from CITIC Construction indicated that the steel price is expected to decline significantly by 2025 due to supply-demand mismatches and weakened cost support [5][6]. - The gold sector saw substantial losses, with Lingbao Gold down nearly 9% and other gold mining companies also experiencing declines of over 5% [6][8]. - The lithium battery sector continued to decline, with major companies like Cai Ke New Energy and Zhong Chuang Innovation falling over 10% and 8%, respectively [10]. - The automotive sector faced a downturn, with sales data indicating a 0.8% year-on-year decline in retail sales for October, and a significant drop in November sales figures [11][12]. Investment Trends - Southbound funds recorded a net inflow of HKD 7.466 billion, with the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect seeing net purchases of HKD 2.745 billion and HKD 4.721 billion, respectively [15]. - Looking ahead, Guosen Securities noted that the upcoming Central Economic Work Conference in December will set the tone for macro policies and key tasks for the following year, influencing investment strategies and stock valuations [17].