Core Viewpoint - Huayou Cobalt announced a cooperation framework agreement with ANTAM and IBC to jointly invest in the electric vehicle battery supply chain in Indonesia [1] Group 1: Partnership Details - The agreement involves Huayou Cobalt's subsidiary HYD collaborating with ANTAM and IBC [1] - The three parties aim to establish an integrated battery industry project in Indonesia [1] Group 2: Project Objectives - The project intends to position Indonesia as a specialized production base for electric vehicle batteries and other battery application products [1] - Products from this initiative will target the domestic market, regional markets, and international markets [1] Group 3: Economic Impact - The collaboration is expected to contribute positively to the sustainable economic development of the local Indonesian economy [1]

华源证券近日发布有色金属大宗金属周报：锂电需求"淡季不淡"，碳酸锂供需反转，锂价进入上行周 期。本周碳酸锂价格上涨12.86%至15.8万元/吨，锂辉石精矿上涨5.32%至1980美元/吨。本周碳酸锂期货 主力合约2605上涨1.94%至14.62万元/吨。周五碳酸锂期货跌停，或主要系广期所加大监管力度，投机 资金获利了结所致。 钴：钴原料偏紧格局仍未改变，钴价有望延续上行。本周MB钴上涨0.59%至25.68美元/磅，国内电钴价 格下跌1.31%为45.2万元/吨。刚果（金）自10月16日起解除钴出口禁令，改为实施钴出口配额制。供给 端，刚果（金）决定将允许2025年第四季度的钴出口配额延续至2026年3月底，考虑到运输周期，预计 国内原料或将在今年3月后才能陆续到港，钴原料结构性偏紧逻辑不变，钴价有望延续上涨。建议关 注：华友钴业、洛阳钼业、腾远钴业、力勤资源、寒锐钴业。 以下为研究报告摘要： 风险提示：下游复产不及预期风险；国内房地产需求不振风险；新能源汽车增速不及预期风险。（华源 证券 田源,张明磊,田庆争,陈婉妤,陈轩） 投资要点： 铜：库存累积叠加关税预期推迟，铜价短期或迎来高位震荡。本周伦铜/沪 ...

Industry Overview - The report indicates that the steel industry is expected to continue its weak performance in February due to the impact of the Spring Festival holiday, with demand likely to remain subdued and production to contract, leading to slight fluctuations in steel prices [2][17][18] - In the copper sector, production activities on both supply and demand sides are anticipated to be affected by the Spring Festival, resulting in continued inventory accumulation. Attention should be paid to post-holiday demand verification and geopolitical developments [2][32] - The aluminum industry is facing a slight contraction in production, with sufficient supply of bauxite from Guinea. Post-holiday production recovery in alumina and electrolytic aluminum plants may support alumina prices [3][41] - Gold prices are expected to experience increased volatility in the short term, influenced by geopolitical risks and domestic political uncertainties in the U.S. [3][51] Steel Sector - The steel PMI index for January 2026 is reported at 49.9%, indicating continued contraction but a slowdown in the rate of decline, with steel prices showing slight fluctuations [17] - In December 2025, the average daily transaction volume of construction steel was 98,600 tons, down 1.81% month-on-month and 10.95% year-on-year [18] - The total crude steel production for December 2025 was 960.81 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 4.40% [19] Copper Sector - China's electrolytic copper production in January increased by 0.10% month-on-month and 16.32% year-on-year, with a total production of 1.326 million tons in December 2025 [32][33] - The LME copper inventory rose by 18.69% to 175,000 tons, while SHFE copper inventory increased by 91.81% to 156,900 tons during the same period [33][40] Aluminum Sector - The production of metallurgical-grade alumina in January 2026 decreased by 1.78% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year, with total production at 8.011 million tons in December 2025 [41][42] - The domestic electrolytic aluminum production in December 2025 was 3.874 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.87% [42] Precious Metals - Gold prices increased by 13.28% to $4,907.50 per ounce from December 31, 2025, to January 30, 2026, while silver prices rose by 20.10% to $85.25 per ounce during the same period [51][52] Lithium and Cobalt - The price of battery-grade lithium carbonate increased by 32.08% to 158,500 yuan per ton, while the price of battery-grade lithium hydroxide rose by 64.58% to 158,000 yuan per ton [53] - The average price of 1 cobalt decreased by 4.99% to 447,000 yuan per ton during the reporting period [65] Rare Earths - The report notes a recovery in the supply of praseodymium and neodymium oxides, with prices for praseodymium-neodymium oxide increasing by 23.41% to 748,500 yuan per ton [73]

截至2026年2月3日 14:40，国证有色金属行业指数(399395)强势上涨3.57%，成分股东阳光上涨10.02%， 湖南黄金上涨10.00%，中稀有色上涨8.93%，盛和资源，盛屯矿业等个股跟涨。有色ETF鹏华(159880) 上涨6.68%，最新价报2.28元。 有色ETF鹏华(159880)，场外联接(A：021296；C：021297；I：022886)。 有色ETF鹏华紧密跟踪国证有色金属行业指数，国证有色金属行业指数参照国证行业分类标准，选取归 属于有色金属行业的规模和流动性突出的50只证券作为样本，反映了沪深北交易所有色金属行业上市公 司的整体收益表现，向市场提供细分行业的指数化投资标的。 数据显示，截至2026年1月30日，国证有色金属行业指数(399395)前十大权重股分别为紫金矿业、洛阳 钼业、北方稀土、中国铝业、华友钴业、中金黄金、山东黄金、兴业银锡、赣锋锂业、云铝股份，前十 大权重股合计占比49.87%。 有色金属强势反弹，消息面上，中国有色金属工业协会相关负责人表示，完善铜资源储备体系建设，一 方面扩大国家铜战略储备规模，另一方面探索进行商业储备机制，通过财政贴息等方式选择国有 ...

Group 1 - The latest copper price as of February 2 is 100,853.33 yuan per ton, reflecting a 10.57% increase over the last 60 days [2][5] - Relevant producers in the copper industry include companies such as Zhongjin Lingnan, Xinye Silver Tin, Tongling Nonferrous Metals, and Jiangxi Copper among others [2][5] Group 2 - Cyclical stocks refer to publicly listed companies in raw material production, whose profits are significantly affected by fluctuations in raw material prices [3][6] - Utilizing price fluctuation data from raw materials to identify buying signals for cyclical stocks is an important investment strategy [3][6]

2月3日，有色板块持续回暖，湖南黄金冲击涨停，盛和资源、云南锗业、北方稀土、中国稀土等涨超 4%，有色矿业ETF招商（159690）涨超2%。 上周，贵金属出现历史性行情，受交易拥挤、新任美联储主席和美股科技股下跌压制，贵金属整体出现 暴跌，尤其是前期涨幅过高的白银，单日最大跌幅超过30%，黄金最大跌幅超过10%。今日盘中，金银 现货价格反弹，截至发稿，伦敦银现涨超5%，伦敦金现涨超3%。 中邮证券指出，短期来看，由于获利盘出清导致价格可能会出现剧烈震荡，不排除进一步下跌可能性， 但伦敦金可以在4800-4900盎司之间寻找低位筹码。长期来看，去美元化的进程不会转向，此次调整不 是贵金属行情的结束，耐心等待价格转向的时点。 有色矿业ETF招商（159690）所跟踪的有色矿业指数是一只高度聚焦于有色金属产业链最上游——矿产 资源开采环节的指数，当有色金属价格（如铜价、金价、锂价）上涨时，上游矿产公司的利润会直接、 快速地提升，因此有色矿业指数表现出更强的价格弹性，贝塔值更高，在商品牛市或通胀环境中进攻性 十足。 数据来源:Wind_截至2026.1.30。 了 指数介绍 主流有色主题指数历史行情 388%- 3 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in the non-ferrous metals sector, particularly driven by precious metals, has led to a strong market performance, but a short-term correction is anticipated due to market sentiment reaching a peak [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Southern Fund's non-ferrous metals ETF (512400) rose by 5.13%, with a turnover of 29.53 billion yuan and a trading volume of 7.65% [1]. - Key stocks in the index, such as Hunan Gold, rose by 9.97%, while other stocks like Zhong Rare Metals and Shenghe Resources increased by 7.73% and 6.65%, respectively [1]. Group 2: Market Drivers - The strong performance since late December is primarily attributed to the acceleration in the precious metals sector, particularly the volatility of silver at historical highs, which has significantly influenced the risk appetite across the sector [1]. - The first phase of the commodity bull market may be nearing its end, but the fundamental basis for the next phase remains solid, particularly for copper and aluminum, which have favorable supply-demand dynamics [1]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Short-term opportunities may require waiting for clearer signals post-holiday, with a focus on whether gold prices stabilize at key support levels and the overall valuation recovery of the sector [2]. - Investors with strong trading capabilities may consider seizing institutional opportunities, while those with lower risk tolerance should gradually position themselves for potential post-holiday market movements [2]. Group 4: Index Composition - The CSI Shenwan Non-Ferrous Metals Index includes 50 listed companies to reflect the overall performance of the non-ferrous metals sector in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets [2]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the index include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and China Aluminum, among others [2].

中国银河证券指出，市场担忧凯文·沃什降息缩表、改革强调美联储货币纪律的理念将引发强势美元与 动摇美元信用贬值这一黄金价格中长期上涨的逻辑基础。但从近期的表态看2025年凯文·沃什更倾向于 降息更偏鸽派，在特朗普提名凯文·沃什为新任而美联储主席后市场仍旧定价2026年美联储将会进行2次 降息；而在美国财政扩张与稳定美债市场流动性压力下，美联储短期内很难进行大规模缩表。此外，区 域政治不稳定下资金配置黄金资产的需求仍在增加，在市场过度的美联储独立性丧失流动性溢价预期与 短期过大的涨幅回落整固后，美联储的流动性边际宽松与全球区域冲突加剧仍有望推动金价上涨。 截至2026年2月3日 13:47，国证有色金属行业指数(399395)强势上涨1.43%，成分股湖南黄金上涨 9.97%，东阳光上涨8.62%，中稀有色上涨7.93%，盛屯矿业，盛和资源等个股跟涨。有色ETF鹏华 (159880)上涨4.02%，最新价报2.23元。 贵金属概念回暖，湖南黄金逼近涨停，消息面上，现货黄金今日一度涨超3%，重回4800美元。 数据显示，截至2026年1月30日，国证有色金属行业指数(399395)前十大权重股分别为紫金矿业、洛阳 ...

来源：新浪基金∞工作室 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 2月3日，有色金属ETF（512400）开盘涨3.99%，报2.189元。有色金属ETF（512400）重仓股方面，紫 金矿业开盘涨3.36%，洛阳钼业涨3.12%，北方稀土涨2.41%，华友钴业涨2.33%，中国铝业涨2.99%，赣 锋锂业涨2.91%，山东黄金跌7.33%，云铝股份涨2.70%，中金黄金跌8.16%，藏格矿业涨3.34%。 有色金属ETF（512400）业绩比较基准为中证申万有色金属指数收益率，管理人为南方基金管理股份有 限公司，基金经理为崔蕾，成立（2017-08-03）以来回报为123.28%，近一个月回报为13.45%。 ...

Group 1 - The non-ferrous sector is experiencing a rebound, with companies like Hunan Gold and Northern Rare Earth seeing significant gains, while the non-ferrous mining ETF is also up over 2% [1] - Precious metals faced a historic downturn due to trading congestion and external pressures, with silver and gold experiencing maximum daily declines of over 30% and 10% respectively [1][14] - Short-term volatility is expected in precious metal prices due to profit-taking, but long-term trends indicate that the de-dollarization process will continue, suggesting that the current adjustment is not the end of the precious metal rally [1][18] Group 2 - The non-ferrous mining index has shown a strong performance over the past year, with a return of 146.48% and a maximum drawdown of -13.76% [3] - The index focuses on the upstream mining segment of the non-ferrous metal industry, with copper, gold, and aluminum making up over 58% of its composition [5] - Historical performance indicates that the non-ferrous mining index has a cumulative increase of 353.53% over the past decade, with an annualized return of 16.83% [10][12] Group 3 - The market outlook for 2026 suggests that central bank gold purchases and rising gold ETF holdings will continue to support gold prices, while copper prices are expected to find support amid supply disruptions [19] - The aluminum market is facing downward pressure due to seasonal factors and a decline in processing activity, with a reported drop of 1.5 percentage points in aluminum processing [19]