长江商报消息●长江商报记者 张璐 曾两度筹备A股创业板上市的江西铜博科技股份有限公司（下称"铜博科技"）转战港股，1月28日正式 递交港交所上市申请。 长江商报记者注意到，这家2016年成立、主营高性能电解铜箔的企业，此番赴港IPO之路暗藏多重经营 与财务风险，业绩增长背后的隐忧已逐步显现。 招股书显示，铜博科技业务高度依赖锂电铜箔，客户也高度集中。2023年—2025年前三季度（下称"报 告期"），公司营收稳步增长，但盈利端波动。2025年前三季度公司毛利率仅4.8%。 铜博科技流动性紧绷，资产负债率从2023年的115.7%攀升至2025年前三季度的172.7%。公司造血能力 承压，经营活动现金流自2024年起由正转负，2024年及2025年前三季度合计净流出达10.64亿元，期末 贸易应收款项达15.01亿元。 经营及财务的双重压力，让铜博科技的港股闯关之路充满了不确定性。 超八成营收依赖锂电铜箔 资料显示，铜博科技成立于2016年，专注于高性能电解铜箔的设计、研发、生产和销售。李衔洋、李思 洋兄弟二人及珠海鑫岩（由李思洋控制的有限合伙企业）共同有权行使该公司已发行股本总额约71.1% 的投票权，并被视 ...

所长 早读 国泰君安期货 2026-02-02 期 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 期货研究 2026-02-02 所长 早读 为何贵金属大跌？ 观点分享： 周五，贵金属经历了一场惊心动魄的大波动。白银一度跌超 30%，创下 1980 年 3 月以 来的最大单日跌幅；黄金一度跌 11%，为 1980 年 1 月以来最惨重的一天。 其导火索是美联 储人事预期的突变：特朗普提名凯文·沃什为美联储主席，市场解读为鹰派转向，动摇此前 "央行独立性削弱—货币贬值—实物资产永涨"的叙事逻辑； 另外前期涨幅过大和高杠杆踩踏则是下跌的放大器：1 月黄金最高涨幅 30%、白银近 70%，价格处于历史高位，RSI 超买，交易拥挤，获利盘巨大。 再有交易所风控加码，高杠杆多头资金压力陡增，下跌触发连环止损→被动平仓→价格 续跌的恶性循环。后期贵金属走势将如何发展？我们的相关研究员将会持续关注和分享。 所 长 首 推 | 板块 | 关注指数 | | --- | --- | | 碳酸锂 | ★★★★ | 碳酸锂：基本面与市场预期仍然偏强，价格下方空间较为有限。一方面，短期供需偏紧且现 货市场表现坚挺。上周 SMM 行业 ...

证券研究报告·行业点评报告·电力设备 电力设备行业点评报告 全国性储能容量电价出台，独立储能盈利模 式重构 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 政策内容 2026 年 02 月 02 日 证券分析师 曾朵红 执业证书：S0600516080001 021-60199793 zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 阮巧燕 执业证书：S0600517120002 ruanqy@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -10% -3% 4% 11% 18% 25% 32% 39% 46% 53% 60% 2025/2/5 2025/6/4 2025/10/1 2026/1/28 电力设备 沪深300 相关研究 免责及评级说明部分 免责声明 东吴证券股份有限公司经中国证券监督管理委员会批准，已具备证券投资咨询业务资格。 本研究报告仅供东吴证券股份有限公司（以下简称"本公司"）的客户使用。本公司不 会因接收人收到本报告而视其为客户。在任何情况下，本报告中的信息或所表述的意见并不 构成对任何人的投资建议，本公司及作者不对任何人因使用本报告中的内容所导致的任何后 果负任何责任。任何形式 ...

全国统一容量电价机制如期落地 20260201 摘要 容量电价政策旨在完善电力市场机制，解决峰谷套利和分时电价无法完 全回收成本的问题，为储能行业提供长期投资回报保证，吸引更多投资， 抵消短期政策调整带来的冲击，并促进储能行业长期发展。 国内储能容量电价政策落地和海外户用储能需求高增长将加速储能需求 释放。碳酸锂价格波动率下降，消除市场对终端需求抑制的担忧，为把 握锂离子板块调整机会提供重要时机，建议关注宁德时代等龙头企业。 短期内需关注 2 月春节导致的排产下滑，但预计 3 月将迎来排产高峰。 原材料涨价已逐步向下游传导，头部企业凭借更强的议价能力，盈利受 影响较小。 宁德时代预计 2026 年出货量将保持增长，受益于国内储能市场占有率 提升及欧洲市场高增长。公司通过完善原材料布局和成本传导机制，有 望保持稳定盈利，目前估值具吸引力。 储能政策明确指向独立储能，不包括新能源配储，旨在推动 2025 年及 未来电化学储能装机发展。该政策综合了多省试点结果，各省可根据统 一政策制定细则，利好龙头设备和系统供应商。 Q&A 容量电价机制的设计与传导方式有何不同？ 容量电价机制的设计主要体现在从用户侧传导，而非发电 ...

Group 1 - The central bank emphasizes a moderately loose monetary policy for 2026, indicating potential for reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts and interest rate reductions to support financing costs and market risk appetite [2] - The Ministry of Commerce and nine other departments encourage mergers and acquisitions in the pharmaceutical retail sector, promoting integration between wholesale and retail, which may benefit leading companies through economies of scale [2] - The State Administration for Market Regulation has prohibited concentration among public utility operators, signaling stricter antitrust enforcement in essential services, which may slow down M&A activity in this sector [2] Group 2 - Gold prices have surged past $4,900, driven by central bank purchases and geopolitical uncertainties, boosting demand for precious metals as a hedge against inflation [3] - The A-share market has shown a mixed performance, with the precious metals sector leading gains, while other sectors like battery and commercial aerospace have seen declines [5] - The upcoming Spring Festival is expected to stimulate tourism, with a report indicating a significant increase in travel bookings, reflecting a trend towards more diverse travel experiences [14][17] Group 3 - AWS and Google Cloud have initiated price increases for their cloud services, indicating rising demand for computing power, particularly in AI infrastructure [20] - The solid-state battery industry is advancing, with several companies announcing strategic partnerships and production plans, suggesting a growing focus on innovative battery technologies [24] - The domestic new energy vehicle market has shown strong growth, with significant year-on-year increases in sales and penetration rates, indicating a robust demand for electric vehicles [29]

2026年02月02日 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报-绿色金融与新能源 | 观点与策略 | | --- | | 镍：宏观情绪主导边际，基本面与投机盘博弈 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 不锈钢：二月检修减产频出，镍铁预期托底下方 | 2 | | 碳酸锂：容量电价出台，盘面或底部企稳 | 4 | | 工业硅：上游减产落地，对价格构成支撑 | 6 | | 多晶硅：关注现货实际成交情况 | 6 | 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 商 品 研 究 2026 年 2 月 2 日 镍：宏观情绪主导边际，基本面与投机盘博弈 不锈钢：二月检修减产频出，镍铁预期托底下方 张再宇 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0021479 zhangzaiyu@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 镍基本面数据 | | | 指标名称 | T | T-1 | T-5 | T-10 | T-22 | T-66 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 沪镍主力（收盘价） | 140,000 | -7,470 | - ...

Core Viewpoint - EVE Energy is expanding its business in Indonesia and enhancing its global supply chain by collaborating with local state-owned enterprises to establish a comprehensive electric vehicle battery industry chain, including plans for nickel production capacity of 150,000 tons, cathode materials of 30,000 tons, and battery production of 20 GWh (with an initial phase of 7 GWh) [1][8]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, EVE Energy reported revenue of 45 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 32.17%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.816 billion CNY, a decrease of 11.70%. However, the net profit for the third quarter alone saw a quarter-on-quarter increase of 140.16% [1]. - For 2024, EVE Energy's revenue was 48.615 billion CNY, showing a slight decline compared to the previous year [6]. Strategic Development - EVE Energy's founder, Liu Jincheng, emphasizes a diversified approach to business, avoiding over-reliance on a single market or product. The company has transitioned from consumer electronics to advanced battery technologies and international markets [1][2]. - The company has made significant investments in research and development to maintain a competitive edge amid industry challenges, focusing on optimizing existing products and developing new technologies [7]. Market Position - As of 2023, EVE Energy ranked fourth globally in cylindrical battery shipments and first domestically, with a total output of 28.08 GWh, representing a year-on-year growth of 64.22% [4]. - The company's market share in the domestic power battery sector reached 4.45% in 2023, improving its ranking by two positions compared to 2022 [4]. Future Outlook - EVE Energy is set to face challenges in the coming years due to potential structural overcapacity and price wars in the battery industry, which could pressure profit margins [6]. - The company is focusing on cost control and cash flow optimization, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 4.904 billion CNY in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 131.71% [7]. - Liu Jincheng aims to foster ecological collaboration by forming strategic partnerships, such as with China Gas, to enhance the company's competitive position in the evolving market landscape [7][8].

Group 1 - The public fund industry in China reached a record high of 37.71 trillion yuan by the end of 2025, marking a significant increase from 32.83 trillion yuan at the end of 2024, with a growth rate of 14.88% [3] - The number of public fund management institutions in China totaled 165 by the end of 2025, including 150 fund management companies and 15 asset management institutions with public qualifications [1] - The stock fund sector was a major driver of growth, with the total assets of stock funds increasing from 4.45 trillion yuan at the end of 2024 to 6.05 trillion yuan at the end of 2025, representing a substantial increase of 1.6 trillion yuan and a growth rate of 35.93% [3][4] Group 2 - Bond funds also saw significant growth, with total assets rising from 6.84 trillion yuan at the end of 2024 to 10.94 trillion yuan at the end of 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 59.79% [2] - Money market funds maintained their position as the largest fund category, increasing from 13.61 trillion yuan to 15.03 trillion yuan, continuing to serve as a core liquidity management tool for public funds [4] - The total dividend distribution of public funds in 2025 approached 250 billion yuan, with notable large dividends concentrated in leading ETF products [4][5] Group 3 - The technology and high-end manufacturing sectors were favored by public funds, with manufacturing consistently holding the largest share of the portfolio at 53.17% [6] - Zhongji Xuchuang became the largest holding in active equity funds by the end of 2025, with a market value of 78.42 billion yuan, surpassing Ningde Times [7] - The overall market saw active trading, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising from 3,351.76 points at the beginning of the year to 3,968.84 points by the end of 2025, an increase of 18.41% [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the power equipment industry [1] Core Insights - The introduction of a national capacity pricing policy for energy storage is expected to benefit leading lithium battery companies significantly [1] - The report highlights a strong growth forecast for energy storage, with an expected increase of over 60% in 2026, driven by robust demand in emerging markets and data center storage [4][8] - The report emphasizes the potential of solid-state batteries and the space photovoltaic sector, indicating a promising outlook for these technologies [4][8] Industry Overview - The energy storage sector is experiencing a surge, with the National Energy Administration reporting an addition of 62.24 GW/183 GWh of new energy storage capacity by 2025 [4] - The report notes a decline in various sectors, including photovoltaic and lithium batteries, with significant price adjustments observed in raw materials [4] - The report discusses the global energy storage market, predicting a compound annual growth rate of 30-50% over the next three years [4] Company Performance - Companies like Ningde Times and BYD are highlighted for their strong market positions and growth potential, with Ningde Times being a global leader in power and energy storage batteries [7] - The report provides earnings forecasts for various companies, indicating a recovery in profitability for several firms, including Ganfeng Lithium and Enjie [4][7] - Specific companies are recommended for investment based on their growth trajectories and market positions, including Ningde Times, Sunshine Power, and others [7][8] Investment Strategy - The report suggests a strong push for energy storage and lithium battery sectors, with a focus on companies that are expected to benefit from the new capacity pricing policy [4][8] - It also highlights the importance of solid-state battery technology and the anticipated growth in the humanoid robotics sector, with Tesla leading the charge [4][8] - The report recommends a diversified investment approach across various segments, including energy storage, lithium batteries, and robotics, to capitalize on emerging opportunities [4][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the power equipment industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The introduction of a national capacity pricing policy for energy storage is expected to benefit leading lithium battery companies significantly [4] - The report highlights a strong growth forecast for energy storage, with an expected increase of over 60% in 2026, driven by high demand and supportive policies [4][8] - The report emphasizes the potential of solid-state batteries and the space photovoltaic sector, indicating a promising outlook for these technologies [4][8] Industry Trends - Energy Storage: The national capacity pricing mechanism has been released, marking a significant policy shift. The National Energy Administration has reported an addition of 62.24 GW/183 GWh of new energy storage capacity by 2025 [4] - Electric Vehicles: The report anticipates a recovery in electric vehicle sales, with a projected increase of 5-10% in domestic sales for 2026 [4] - Lithium Battery Market: The report notes a significant increase in lithium battery shipments, with a forecast of 1100 GWh globally in 2026, representing a 72% year-on-year growth [4] Company Insights - CATL (宁德时代) is highlighted as a global leader in power and energy storage batteries, with a low valuation and confirmed growth trajectory [7] - Other companies such as 阳光电源 (Sungrow Power Supply), 固德威 (GoodWe), and 比亚迪 (BYD) are also recommended for their strong market positions and growth potential [7] - The report mentions specific financial forecasts for various companies, indicating expected profitability improvements and revenue growth in the coming years [4][7] Investment Strategy - The report suggests a strong push for large-scale energy storage and lithium battery sectors, with a focus on leading companies that are expected to benefit from policy changes and market demand [4][8] - It recommends investing in companies with strong technological advantages and overseas market expansion capabilities, particularly in the robotics and automation sectors [4][8]