证券代码：600583 证券简称：海油工程 公告编号：临 2025-020 海洋石油工程股份有限公司 关于召开 2025 年半年度业绩说明会的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 会议召开时间：2025 年 08 月 19 日（星期二）09:00-10:00 会议召开地点：上海证券交易所上证路演中心（网址： https://roadshow.sseinfo.com/） 投资者可于 2025 年 08 月 12 日（星期二）至 08 月 18 日（星期一） 16:00 前登录上证路演中心网站首页点击"提问预征集"栏目或通过公 司邮箱 tijing@cooec.com.cn 进行提问。公司将在说明会上对投资者 普遍关注的问题进行回答。 海洋石油工程股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）拟于 2025 年 8 月 16 日发布公司 2025 年半年度报告，为便于广大投资者更全面深入 地了解公司 2025 年上半年经营成果、财务状况，公司计划于 2025 年 8 月 19 日 09:00-10:00 举行 2 ...

Core Viewpoint - The oil price is expected to fluctuate between $60 and $90 per barrel in 2025, influenced by various factors including OPEC+ production cuts, geopolitical tensions, and economic conditions [12][16][78]. Oil Price Influencing Factors - Brent crude oil price at the end of July 2025 is around $66.29 per barrel, with OPEC+ countries implementing voluntary production cuts of 648,000 barrels per day [5]. - The U.S. Federal Reserve is anticipated to lower interest rates, which may increase oil price volatility in the short term [5][78]. - Geopolitical factors, particularly in the Middle East, are expected to continue affecting oil prices, with ongoing trade tensions potentially exacerbating the situation [5][12]. Global Oil Supply and Demand - OPEC+ is maintaining a production cut of 3.6 million barrels per day until the end of 2026, with a voluntary cut of 548,000 barrels per day starting in August 2025 [5]. - U.S. crude oil processing improved in July 2025, with a processing rate of 16.01 million barrels per day, indicating a recovery in demand [24]. - China's crude oil consumption increased by 8.5% year-on-year in June 2025, with imports also showing a positive trend [5][24]. Economic Indicators - As of August 5, 2025, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield is approximately 4.22%, with market expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September [5]. - The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 0.7% year-on-year in June 2025, while the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 2.58% [51]. - Manufacturing PMI in China for July 2025 is at 49.3, indicating a slight decline in manufacturing activity [52]. Inventory and Production Data - As of July 25, 2025, U.S. commercial crude oil inventories stand at 427 million barrels, down 6.36 million barrels year-on-year [17]. - The number of active oil rigs in the U.S. is 540, a decrease of 46 rigs compared to the previous year [25]. - Global oil supply is projected to increase by 2.1 million barrels per day in 2025 and 1.3 million barrels per day in 2026 [16][17]. Price Predictions from Authorities - EIA predicts Brent crude oil prices to average $69 per barrel in 2025 and $58 per barrel in 2026, with global oil demand expected to grow by 1.8 million barrels per day in 2025 [8]. - IEA forecasts a similar increase in global oil supply and demand, with production expected to rise by 2.1 million barrels per day in 2025 [8]. - OPEC anticipates a demand increase of 1.3 million barrels per day in 2025, with supply growth of 0.9 million barrels per day [8].

Oil Market Overview - Brent and WTI crude oil futures averaged $67.4 and $64.9 per barrel respectively, down $4.2 and $3.6 from the previous week [2] - Total U.S. crude oil inventory stands at 830 million barrels, with commercial inventory at 420 million barrels, strategic inventory at 400 million barrels, and Cushing inventory at 20 million barrels, showing changes of -2.79 million, -3.03 million, +0.23 million, and +0.45 million barrels respectively [2] - U.S. crude oil production is at 13.28 million barrels per day, a decrease of 30,000 barrels per day from the previous week [2] - U.S. refinery crude oil processing volume is 17.12 million barrels per day, an increase of 210,000 barrels per day, with a refinery utilization rate of 96.9%, up 1.5 percentage points [2] Refined Products - Average prices for gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel in the U.S. are $88, $96, and $89 per barrel respectively, down $3.9, $5.2, and $5.1 from the previous week [3] - U.S. gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel inventories are at 230 million, 110 million, and 40 million barrels respectively, with changes of -1.32 million, -0.57 million, and +0.97 million barrels [4] - Production of gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel in the U.S. is at 980,000, 511,000, and 198,000 barrels per day respectively, with changes of -24, -10, and +11 thousand barrels per day [5] - Consumption of gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel in the U.S. is at 904,000, 372,000, and 171,000 barrels per day respectively, with changes of -11, +12, and -39 thousand barrels per day [6] Trade Dynamics - U.S. gasoline imports, exports, and net exports are 120,000, 950,000, and 820,000 barrels per day respectively, with changes of +1, +6, and +5 thousand barrels per day [6] - U.S. diesel imports, exports, and net exports are 80,000, 1.55 million, and 1.47 million barrels per day respectively, with changes of -15, +23, and +38 thousand barrels per day [6] - U.S. jet fuel imports, exports, and net exports are 0, 140,000, and 140,000 barrels per day respectively, with changes of -6, 0, and +6 thousand barrels per day [6] Related Companies - Recommended companies include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec), and China National Petroleum Corporation (PetroChina) [6]

Core Insights - The report provides a comprehensive overview of the U.S. crude oil and refined products market, highlighting changes in prices, inventory levels, production, and import/export activities. U.S. Crude Oil - The average weekly prices for Brent and WTI crude oil futures were $67.4 and $64.9 per barrel, down $4.2 and $3.6 from the previous week [2] - Total U.S. crude oil inventory was 830 million barrels, with commercial inventory at 420 million barrels, strategic inventory at 400 million barrels, and Cushing inventory at 20 million barrels, showing changes of -2.79 million, -3.03 million, +0.23 million, and +0.45 million barrels respectively [2] - U.S. crude oil production was 13.28 million barrels per day, a decrease of 30,000 barrels per day from the previous week [2] - U.S. refinery crude oil processing volume was 17.12 million barrels per day, an increase of 210,000 barrels per day, with a refinery utilization rate of 96.9%, up 1.5 percentage points [2] - U.S. crude oil imports, exports, and net imports were 5.96 million, 3.32 million, and 2.64 million barrels per day, reflecting changes of -170,000, +620,000, and -790,000 barrels per day respectively [2] U.S. Refined Products - Average weekly prices for gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel were $88, $96, and $89 per barrel, down $3.9, $5.2, and $5.1 respectively, with price differentials to crude oil at $20, $28, and $21 per barrel [3] - Gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel inventories were 230 million, 110 million, and 40 million barrels, with changes of -1.32 million, -570,000, and +970,000 barrels respectively [3] - Production of gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel was 9.80 million, 5.11 million, and 1.98 million barrels per day, showing decreases of 240,000, 100,000, and increases of 110,000 barrels per day respectively [3] - Consumption of gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel was 9.04 million, 3.72 million, and 1.71 million barrels per day, reflecting changes of -110,000, +120,000, and -390,000 barrels per day respectively [3] Refined Products Import/Export - U.S. gasoline imports, exports, and net exports were 120,000, 950,000, and 820,000 barrels per day, with changes of +10,000, +60,000, and +50,000 barrels per day respectively [4] - U.S. diesel imports, exports, and net exports were 80,000, 1.55 million, and 1.47 million barrels per day, with changes of -150,000, +230,000, and +380,000 barrels per day respectively [4] - U.S. jet fuel imports, exports, and net exports were 0, 140,000, and 140,000 barrels per day, with changes of -60,000, 0, and +60,000 barrels per day respectively [4] Related Companies - Recommended companies include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec), and China National Petroleum Corporation (PetroChina) [4] - Companies to watch include Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation and China Oilfield Services Limited [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the petrochemical industry [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights increasing uncertainty in oil prices due to OPEC's production increases and secondary sanctions on Russia. OPEC plans to increase production by 547,000 barrels per day in September and may consider further reductions in the future [5][6]. - Oil prices are expected to fluctuate within the range of $60 to $70 per barrel, with the overall supply-demand balance remaining loose [15]. - The upstream sector is experiencing mixed trends in drilling day rates, while the refining sector shows signs of improvement in profitability due to rising product price spreads [5][22]. - The polyester sector is anticipated to recover, with expectations of rising profitability for leading companies [16]. Summary by Sections Upstream Sector - As of August 8, 2025, Brent crude futures closed at $66.43 per barrel, down 4.65% from the previous week, while WTI futures closed at $63.88 per barrel, down 5.12% [22]. - U.S. commercial crude oil inventories decreased by 3.029 million barrels to 424 million barrels, which is 6% lower than the five-year average [25]. - The number of U.S. drilling rigs decreased to 539, down 1 from the previous week and down 49 year-on-year [35]. Refining Sector - The Singapore refining margin for major products increased to $16.62 per barrel, up $1.14 from the previous week [58]. - The price spread for ethylene was reported at $239.72 per ton, up $16.47 from the previous week, while the propylene price spread decreased to $113.50 per ton [5][55]. Polyester Sector - The report indicates a decline in PTA profitability, with prices dropping to 4692 RMB per ton, down 3.29% week-on-week [5]. - The overall performance of the polyester industry is considered average, with a focus on demand changes and expectations of gradual improvement as new capacities come online [16]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading polyester companies such as Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials, as well as refining companies like Hengli Petrochemical and Sinopec, due to favorable competitive dynamics [16][18]. - It also suggests monitoring upstream exploration and production companies, particularly offshore service firms, for potential performance improvements [18].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - International oil prices have declined due to multiple negative factors, including tariff concerns and weak economic data from the US, leading to demand worries. Additionally, OPEC+ has agreed to increase production in September, raising expectations of supply surplus [2][8] - As of August 8, 2025, Brent and WTI oil prices were $66.59 and $63.88 per barrel, respectively, reflecting a decrease of 4.42% and 5.12% from the previous week [25][16] Summary by Sections Oil Price Review - Brent crude futures settled at $66.59 per barrel, down $3.08 (-4.42%) from the previous week. WTI crude futures settled at $63.88 per barrel, down $3.45 (-5.12%) [25][16] - The Urals crude price remained stable at $65.49 per barrel, while ESPO crude fell to $62.47 per barrel, down $4.68 (-6.97%) [25][16] Offshore Drilling Services - As of July 28, 2025, the number of global offshore self-elevating drilling platforms was 379, a decrease of 3 from the previous week. The number of floating drilling platforms remained at 133 [31][33] US Oil Supply - As of August 1, 2025, US crude oil production was 13.284 million barrels per day, a decrease of 30,000 barrels per day from the previous week. The number of active drilling rigs was 411, an increase of 1 rig [48][42] US Oil Demand - As of August 1, 2025, US refinery crude processing was 17.124 million barrels per day, an increase of 213,000 barrels per day. The refinery utilization rate was 96.90%, up 1.5 percentage points from the previous week [59][53] US Oil Inventory - As of August 1, 2025, total US crude oil inventory was 827 million barrels, a decrease of 2.794 million barrels (-0.34%). Strategic oil inventory increased by 235,000 barrels (+0.06%) [70][62]

Core Viewpoint - The "Haiyang Shiyou 295" vessel, designed and built by China, has arrived in Brunei for its first project operation, focusing on subsea pipeline installation in a challenging tropical environment [1] Group 1: Vessel and Technology - The "Haiyang Shiyou 295" is a multifunctional special operations vessel equipped with advanced underwater robotics, positioning it among the leading technologies in Asia [1] - The vessel features a large helicopter landing pad at the bow and a towering crane at the stern, making it distinctive among other ships in the port [1] Group 2: Project Details - The primary mission of the "Haiyang Shiyou 295" in Brunei involves laying approximately 26 kilometers of subsea pipeline [1] - The construction will take place under high temperatures and heavy rainfall, along with complex sea conditions [1] Group 3: Regional Context - Brunei, located in the northern part of Borneo, is rich in oil and gas resources, and cooperation between China and Brunei in ports, energy, and petrochemicals has been steadily developing in recent years [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the oil and gas industry is experiencing structural changes, shifting from fuel-based refining to chemical-based refining due to declining demand for traditional fuel products and the push for renewable energy [2] - The government is implementing policies to limit the growth of domestic refining capacity and accelerate the elimination of outdated small refining units, while promoting the replacement of advanced low-emission new capacities [2] - Leading refining companies are expected to enhance their product structure by increasing the yield of chemical raw materials like propylene and ethylene, which will reduce carbon emissions and improve product value [2] Group 2 - As of July 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the National Petroleum and Natural Gas Index accounted for 65.78% of the index, with major companies including Sinopec, PetroChina, and CNOOC [3] - The National Petroleum and Natural Gas Index reflects the price changes of publicly listed companies in the oil and gas sector on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges [2][3] - The oil and gas ETF closely tracks the National Petroleum and Natural Gas Index, indicating a positive market trend with a recent increase of 0.68% [1]

Market Overview - On August 7, the oil service engineering sector rose by 0.05% compared to the previous trading day, with Qianeng Hengxin leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3639.67, up 0.16%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11157.94, down 0.18% [1] Stock Performance - Qianeng Hengxin (300191) closed at 20.44, up 2.30% with a trading volume of 109,300 shares and a turnover of 221 million yuan [1] - Tongyuan Petroleum (300164) closed at 5.41, up 1.88% with a trading volume of 790,400 shares and a turnover of 424 million yuan [1] - Other notable stocks include: - Zhunyou Co. (002207) at 7.49, up 1.49% [1] - Beiken Energy (002828) at 10.39, up 1.07% [1] - Keli Co. (920088) at 37.48, up 0.62% [1] Capital Flow - The oil service engineering sector saw a net inflow of 9.91 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 1.45 million yuan [2] - The capital flow for individual stocks shows: - Tongyuan Petroleum had a net inflow of 41.93 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Zhunyou Co. had a net inflow of 16.39 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Keli Co. had a net inflow of 14.10 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

Market Performance - The oil service engineering sector rose by 0.6% on August 6, with CNOOC Services leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3633.99, up 0.45%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11177.78, up 0.64% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Notable gainers included: - CNOOC Services (601808) at 14.04, up 1.23% with a trading volume of 80,500 shares and a turnover of 112 million yuan [1] - Zhongman Petroleum (603619) at 19.32, up 1.20% with a trading volume of 81,000 shares and a turnover of 156 million yuan [1] - Huibo Yin (002554) at 2.91, up 1.04% with a trading volume of 280,000 shares and a turnover of 81.09 million yuan [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The oil service engineering sector experienced a net outflow of 58.64 million yuan from institutional investors and 28.80 million yuan from retail investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 87.44 million yuan [2] - Individual stock capital flows showed: - Zhongyou Engineering (600339) had a net inflow of 6.99 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Huibo Yin (002554) had a net inflow of 3.08 million yuan from retail investors [3] - CNOOC Services (601808) saw a net outflow of 6.14 million yuan from institutional investors [3]