Group 1: Macro Policy Insights - The core policy proposition of Walsh is "rate cuts + balance sheet reduction," emphasizing the need for the Federal Reserve to take responsibility for inflation, attributing it to prolonged quantitative easing (QE) post-crisis, and advocating for quantitative tightening (QT) to control inflation [6] - Walsh criticizes the Federal Reserve's large balance sheet, arguing that QE distorts market incentives and leads to a decline in banks' willingness to lend to the real economy, thus promoting a transition from a "sufficient reserves" mechanism to a "scarce reserves" mechanism [6] - The policy approach aims to balance the independence of the Federal Reserve with the administration's desire for rate cuts, reflecting a commitment to controlling inflation while addressing the administration's economic goals [6] Group 2: Economic Implications - QT is viewed as "responsible balance sheet management," correcting the idea of unlimited support for demand, while rate cuts are intended to enhance supply capacity from an industrial policy perspective [6] - The implementation of QT has shown effectiveness in controlling inflation, as evidenced by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) dropping from 9% to around 3% following the announcement of passive balance sheet reduction in 2022 [6] - However, the use of QT has limitations, as recent liquidity tensions in the repurchase market have led to a halt in QT, necessitating the initiation of Reserve Management Purchases (RMP) [6] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The transition to a "scarce reserves" mechanism is expected to be challenging, with liquidity issues remaining a constraint on QT implementation until bank reserves return to a relatively sufficient level [6] - Policies aimed at revitalizing manufacturing and the real estate sector under the Trump administration require credit expansion from banks, which is dependent on adequate reserve levels [6] - The shift in policy focus from Wall Street to Main Street is seen as beneficial for addressing the "K"-shaped economic divergence in the U.S., but balancing the conflicts between the upper end (stock market) and lower end (inflation) remains a challenge for Walsh [6]

风险提示 证券板块 超 20 家上市券商发布业绩预告或业绩快报，经纪、自营业务是主要驱动力。25Q4 利润增速以环比下降为主，主要是 因为 Q4 投资收益率下降，但多数公司实现同比高速增长，整体符合预期，券商板块高业绩增速有望支撑补涨。 证监会发布《关于修改〈《上市公司证券发行注册管理办法》第九条、第十条、第十一条、第十三条、第四十条、第五 十七条、第六十条有关规定的适用意见——证券期货法律适用意见第 18 号〉的决定（征求意见稿）》，并公开征求意 见。战略投资者类型扩围，修订稿明确全国社保基金、基本养老保险基金、企业（职业）年金基金、商业保险资金、 公募基金、银行理财等机构投资者可以作为战略投资者；明确持股比例与锁定约束，修订稿强调战略投资者本次认购 上市公司股份原则上不低于 5%；在长期、较大比例持股和提名董事参与公司治理基础上，明确其需导入战略资源、 改善治理或资源整合，同时强化锁定与合规，不得通过代持、绕道减持等方式规避最低持股比例与锁定期要求。核心 在于引导"耐心资本"从财务投资转向积极股东，是构建"长钱长投"市场生态的关键一环。 投资建议：建议关注三条主线：（1）强烈推荐估值及业绩错配程度较大的优 ...

行业周报 | 非银金融 券商业绩预告亮眼，保险有望延续估值修复 金融行业周报（2026/02/01） 金融行业周涨跌幅跟踪：1）本周非银金融（申万）指数涨跌幅为+1.04%， 跑赢沪深 300 指数 0.95pct。本周证券Ⅱ（申万）、保险Ⅱ（申万）、多元金 融指数涨跌幅分别为-0.69%、+5.50%、-3.62%。2）本周银行（申万）涨跌 幅为+0.86%，跑赢沪深 300 指数 0.78pct。其中，国有行、股份行、城商行、 农商行本周涨跌幅分别为+0.35%、-0.26%、+3.11%、+2.06%。 投资观点：1）保险：本周保险Ⅱ(申万)涨跌幅为+5.50%，跑赢沪深 300 指 数 5.42pct。1 月保险股受"开门红"业绩高涨，后因监管降温进入震荡回 调。展望 2 月，保险股有望延续估值修复趋势：负债端，居民挪储趋势持续， 分红险凭借"保底+浮动"的收益优势成为承接居民资产迁徙的核心品种， 叠加 1 月"开门红"高增态势延续，头部险企保费增速有望持续领跑；资产 端，股市慢牛预期升温叠加利率中枢企稳，板块有望逐步从"流动性宽松驱 动"向"宏观政策加码+经济修复预期驱动"切换，投资收益提升路径明确 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨投资银行业与经纪业 [Table_Title] 业绩预告期仍为重点配置时期 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 本周非银板块整体表现较强，部分公司披露 2025 年业绩预告，整体延续高增态势。券商方面， 本周证监会召开资本市场"十五五"规划上市公司座谈会，另外市场交投有所回升，整体维持 历史高位；保险方面，中长期来看三季报以来印证了存款搬家、增配权益和新单成本改善逻辑， 中长期 ROE 改善确定性进一步提升，估值有望加速修复，健康慢牛下建议积极增配保险。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490519080007 SAC：S0490521020001 SFC：BUV596 吴一凡 谢宇尘 盛晓双 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% research.95579.com 1 投资银行业与经纪业 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 业绩预告期仍为重点配置时期 [Table_Summary2] 核心观点 1）本周非银板块整体表现较强，部分公司披露 2025 年业绩预告，整体延续高增态势。券商方 面，本周证监会召开资本市场"十 ...

Core Viewpoint - The collaboration between Botai Car Union and Ping An Property & Casualty Insurance aims to integrate technology, finance, automotive, and services to transform the insurance landscape in the smart mobility era [1]. Group 1: Strategic Cooperation Details - The companies will create a new service paradigm by integrating AI and data while ensuring data security, leveraging their technological and insurance expertise to enhance user value and satisfaction [2]. - They will build a leading safety ecosystem through the integration of driving behavior risk perception systems with Ping An's customer operation systems, aiming to establish a new "car-insurance linkage" model [2]. - The partnership will explore innovative embedded insurance solutions and provide comprehensive travel solutions by merging their ecological resources, focusing on diverse travel scenarios [2].

非银金融 2026 年 02 月 01 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 非银金融 沪深300 相关研究报告 《偏股基金新发同比明显增长，公募 强化基准约束—行业周报》-2026.1.25 《逆周期调节呵护"慢牛"，券商和 保险业务开门红 — 行 业 周 报 》 -2026.1.18 《衍生品监管透明化，规模限制有望 放松利好头部券商—衍生品监管政策 点评》-2026.1.18 （1）本周日均股基成交额 3.71 万亿，环比+7.7%，2026 年 1 月市场日均股基成 交额 3.65 万亿，同比+157%；2026 年 1 月新成立股票和混合类基金份额 812 亿， 环比+66%，同比+187%。开年首月基金新发和交易量均显著扩张。（2）1 月 30 日证监会召开资本市场"十五五"规划上市公司座谈会，证监会主席吴清强调：全 力巩固资本市场稳中向好势头，聚焦持续深化资本市场投融资综合改革、提高制 度包容性适应性，抓紧推出深化创业板改革，提高再融资制度便利性、灵活性和 吸引力。（3）截至 1 月末，已披 ...

Core Viewpoint - The collaboration between Botai Che Lian and Ping An Property & Casualty Insurance aims to integrate technology, finance, automotive, and services to transform the insurance landscape in the smart mobility era through AI and data-driven innovations [1][2]. Group 1: Strategic Cooperation - The framework agreement establishes a partnership to create a new service paradigm that combines AI and data, enhancing user value and satisfaction while ensuring data security [1]. - The collaboration will build a leading safety ecosystem that integrates driving behavior risk perception with Ping An's customer operation system, leveraging Botai's technology in multimodal interaction and cloud platforms [1]. Group 2: Market Opportunities - The partnership seeks to explore embedded insurance financial innovations and provide comprehensive travel solutions by deeply integrating both parties' ecological resources [2]. - The initiative aims to foster a new ecosystem characterized by technology empowerment, cross-industry integration, and collaborative development, seizing market opportunities for upgrading the smart transportation ecosystem [2].

Core Viewpoint - The collaboration between Botai Che Lian and Ping An Property & Casualty Insurance aims to integrate technology, finance, automotive, and services to enhance the insurance ecosystem for smart mobility, transitioning from basic services to personalized, all-scenario empowerment [1][2] Group 1: Strategic Cooperation - The companies will co-create a new service paradigm that integrates AI and data, ensuring data security while leveraging their technological and insurance expertise to enhance user value and satisfaction [1] - They will build a leading safety ecosystem that links vehicles and insurance, combining Botai's technology in multi-modal interaction and cloud platforms with Ping An's customer operation system to create a new model for vehicle-insurance interaction [1] Group 2: Expanding Smart Mobility Services - The partnership will deeply integrate their ecological resources to merge driving safety with insurance services, providing comprehensive travel solutions and exploring embedded insurance financial innovations [2] - This collaboration aims to foster a new ecosystem characterized by technology empowerment, cross-industry integration, and collaborative development, seizing market opportunities to upgrade the smart transportation ecosystem [2]

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不負責，對其準確 性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示概不就因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因 倚賴該等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任何責任。 PATEO CONNECT Technology (Shanghai) Corporation 博 泰 車 聯 網 科 技 ( 上 海 ) 股 份 有 限 公 司 （ 於 中 華 人 民 共 和 國 成 立 的 股 份 有 限 公 司 ） （股份代號：2889） 自願性公告 與中國平安財產保險股份有限公司訂立框架合作協議 – 1 – 該框架合作協議是雙方為加強合作而訂立的框架性協議，對雙方均不具有強 制約束力。在具體業務合作過程中，將以框架合作協議約定內容為指導，簽署 具體合作協議。截至本公告日期，本公司已在框架合作協議下與平安財險生態 夥伴公司訂立具體合作協議並開展業務。 有關平安財險的資料 平安財險是一家依中國法律合法成立並有效存續的股份有限公司，是一家以 從事保險業為主的企業。據董事作出一切合理查詢後所知、所悉及所信，平安 財險及其最終實益擁有人均為獨立於本公司及其關連人士的第三方。 訂立框架合作協 ...

本周（1月26日至30日），A股融资余额维持在2.7万亿元高位以上，最新为27222.32亿元（截至1月29日），为历史次高。本周A股融资净买入合计52.79亿 元。 分行业来看，有色金属遥遥领先，融资净买入额高达118.8亿元；基础化工、建筑装饰、医药生物、通信融资净买入额超过10亿元。电子遭到融资大额净 偿还，金额为78.5亿元；机械设备、国防军工紧随其后，融资净偿还额均在30亿元以上。 A股融资余额维持2.7万亿元高位。 这些个股融资客大幅买入 个股方面，本周31股融资净买入额在3亿元以上，紫金矿业、天孚通信、中国平安排名前三，融资净买入额依次为28.73亿元、25.59亿元、12.54亿元。 紫金矿业1月26日公告，公司控股的紫金黄金国际联合黄金签署《安排协议》，紫金黄金国际拟收购联合黄金全部已发行的普通股，其核心资产包括在产 的马里Sadiola金矿、科特迪瓦金矿综合体，及将于2026年下半年建成投产的埃塞俄比亚Kurmuk金矿。根据公开披露信息，截至2024年底，联合黄金拥有 金资源量533吨，平均品位1.48克/吨。 西部证券指出，从短期来看，标的均为在产或即将投产项目，并购当年即可贡献产量，叠 ...