一、主要会计数据和财务指标 | 名称 | 持有数量(万股) | 占总股本比例 | 增减情况(万 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | (%) | 股) | | 浙江联翔智能家居股份有限公司回购专用证券账户 | 333.22 | 7.84 | 退出 | 三、分红送配方案情况 | 报告期指标 | 2024年年报 | 2023年年报 | 本年比上年增减(%) | 2022年年报 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 基本每股收益（元） | 0.1100 | -0.1300 | 184.62 | 0.3900 | | 每股净资产（元） | 5.47 | 6.01 | -8.99 | 6.28 | | 每股公积金(元) | 3.33 | 3.33 | 0 | 3.33 | | 每股未分配利润(元) | 1.28 | 1.33 | -3.76 | 1.61 | | 每股经营现金流(元) | - | - | - | - | | 营业收入(亿元) | 2.16 | 1.56 | 38.46 | 2 | | 净利润(亿元) | 0.11 | -0.13 | 184 ...

证券研究报告 工业/基础材料 Q1 境外工程高景气，加力城市更新 华泰研究 2025 年 4 月 27 日│中国内地 行业周报（第十七周） 本周观点：25Q1 海外工程订单景气，加力城市更新稳定消费建材需求 上周中共中央政治局会议提出"加强超常规逆周期调节"、"加力实施城市更 新行动"、"加强对企业'走出去'的服务"等，我们认为有利于内需基建投 资链、城市更新类建材、一带一路等细分板块。25Q1 我国对外承包工程新 签合同额/完成营业额 586.7/341.8 亿美元, 同比+26.0%/+5.5%，海外工程 保持较高景气。加大高品质住房供给，有利于稳定一线消费建材品牌龙头需 求；老旧小区改造和城中村改造有望从小 b 和大 b 不同渠道提供消费建材 增量需求。我们短期继续推荐内需逆周期及供给端约束较强的品种，重点推 荐四川路桥、中材国际、中国交建、中国核建、中国建筑国际、海螺水泥、 上峰水泥、中材科技、兔宝宝、中国联塑。 上周细分行业回顾 截至 4.25，上周全国水泥价格周环比-0.7%；水泥出货率 47.4%，周环比/ 同比-1.3%/-2.5pct；上周国内浮法玻璃均价 71 元/重量箱，周环比/同比持 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [5]. Core Views - The company is characterized by stable operations, high dividends, and low valuation. In 2024, it achieved operating revenue of 9.19 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 585 million, a decrease of 15.1% [2][3]. - The company’s main business growth remains evident, with the decorative materials segment generating revenue of 7.404 billion, up 7.99% year-on-year, while the custom home business saw a revenue decline of 18.73% [9]. - The company is expected to maintain a high dividend payout ratio, with a projected dividend of 493 million for 2024, corresponding to a dividend rate of 84.21% and a dividend yield of 5.3% [9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 9.189 billion and a gross profit of 1.663 billion, resulting in a gross margin of 18% [14]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.271 billion, a decrease of 14.3% year-on-year, but net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 14.2% to 101 million [2][3]. Business Segments - The decorative materials business showed resilience with a revenue increase, while the custom home segment faced challenges, particularly with a significant decline in revenue from the Yufeng Hantang brand [9]. - The company’s operational cash flow for 2024 was 1.152 billion, indicating strong cash generation capabilities [14]. Valuation and Future Outlook - The company is considered undervalued with a projected PE ratio of 11 and 10 for 2025 and 2026, respectively, suggesting potential for valuation expansion [9]. - Future profit forecasts indicate net profits of 810 million and 910 million for 2025 and 2026, respectively [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for several key stocks in the construction materials sector, including Puhua Co., China Jushi, Beixin Building Materials, and Yuhua Co. [8] Core Insights - The construction materials sector has shown a slight increase of 1.27% from April 21 to April 25, 2025, with specific segments like glass manufacturing and fiberglass manufacturing performing well [1][12] - The report emphasizes the impact of second-hand housing transactions on the demand for building materials, suggesting a positive correlation with consumption stimulus policies [2] - The report highlights the ongoing challenges in the cement industry, with prices fluctuating around break-even levels due to increased production cuts and a focus on cost advantages among leading firms [2][3] Summary by Sections Cement Industry Tracking - As of April 25, 2025, the national cement price index is 388.22 CNY/ton, showing a slight decrease of 0.17% week-on-week, while the cement output increased by 4.85% to 352.05 million tons [3][17] - The cement market is characterized by strong infrastructure demand but weak residential construction, leading to a challenging environment for cement producers [17][23] Glass Industry Tracking - The average price of float glass is 1331.75 CNY/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.24%, with inventory levels showing a slight decrease [28][31] - The report notes a seasonal improvement in glass demand, although supply-demand imbalances persist, particularly with expectations of declining demand post-2025 [2][28] Fiberglass Industry Tracking - The fiberglass market is showing signs of recovery, with prices stabilizing after a period of decline, and demand from the wind power sector is expected to increase significantly in 2025 [2][6] - The report recommends focusing on companies like China Jushi and Zhongcai Technology due to their growth potential in the fiberglass market [2][8] Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials segment is experiencing a weak recovery, with prices of upstream raw materials like asphalt remaining stable [7] - The report suggests that consumer building materials will benefit from favorable second-hand housing transactions and consumption stimulus policies [2][7] Carbon Fiber Market - The carbon fiber market is stabilizing, with production rates improving and a slight increase in demand expected from sectors like wind energy and hydrogen storage [2][6] - The report highlights the importance of monitoring price stabilization in the context of economic recovery [2][6]

Macro Perspective - The core point of the Central Political Bureau meeting is to implement more proactive macro policies and prioritize domestic demand, confirming the approach of early policy action to address economic pressures [1][2] - The meeting emphasized the need to enhance the income of low- and middle-income groups and promote service consumption to stimulate economic growth, indicating further policies targeting deflation expectations [1][2] Strategy Perspective - The meeting recognized the economic recovery since the beginning of the year, with GDP growth of 5.4% in Q1 2024, but highlighted the need for further stabilization due to external shocks [2] - Future policy directions include stabilizing employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations, with a focus on proactive fiscal policies and appropriate monetary easing [2] - The issuance of special bonds and long-term government bonds is expected to accelerate, with local special bond issuance reaching approximately 24% by mid-April 2024 [2] - Monetary policy remains flexible, with potential for interest rate cuts and the introduction of new structural monetary policy tools to support consumption and innovation [2] Industry Insights - The real estate sector is expected to benefit from increased urban renewal efforts and a new development model focusing on high-quality housing supply [7] - The meeting highlighted the importance of stabilizing the real estate market, with policies aimed at optimizing the acquisition of existing properties and supporting the construction of affordable housing [7] - The construction materials sector, particularly consumer building materials, is anticipated to benefit from the recovery in new and second-hand housing transactions, as well as ongoing urban renewal policies [7] - The cultural and entertainment sectors are expected to thrive due to rising domestic demand for experiential consumption, supported by advancements in technology such as AI and virtual reality [4][7]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [5] Core Views - The report emphasizes the need to focus on resilient companies with high dividends and those benefiting from domestic demand expansion, recommending companies such as Dongfang Yuhong, Sankeshu, Tubao, Weixing New Materials, and Beixin Building Materials [1] - The report highlights the expected commencement of major national projects, particularly the Yarlung project, and recommends companies involved in these projects, such as Zhongyan Dadi [1] - The report notes the high demand in the civil explosives sector, recommending companies like Guangdong Hongda and Xuefeng Technology [1] - The report discusses the impact of "reciprocal tariffs" on domestic investment expectations, recommending companies like China State Construction, China Communications Construction, and Sichuan Road and Bridge [1] - The report mentions the trend of domestic substitution in the paint industry, recommending companies like Maijia Xincai and Songjing Co., Ltd. [1] - The report anticipates a renewed catalyst for the "Belt and Road" strategy amid trade tensions, recommending international engineering companies such as China State Construction and China Metallurgical Group [1] Summary by Sections Market Overview - In the 17th week of April, new home sales in 30 major cities decreased by 21% year-on-year, while second-hand home transactions increased by 21% year-on-year [2][21] - The national cement market price fell by 0.5% this week, with price adjustments mainly in East, Central, and Southwest China [3][23] Cement Industry - The average operating load of cement mills nationwide is 49.04%, down 1.83 percentage points from last week [3][34] - The report indicates that the cement price is expected to continue its downward trend due to weak supply-demand dynamics [23] Recommendations - Companies with strong operational resilience and high dividends are recommended to benefit from domestic demand stimulation, including Dongfang Yuhong and Weixing New Materials [8] - Companies in the copper mining sector, such as Jinchengxin, are expected to see significant growth due to resource release and strong demand [8] - Companies involved in the Yarlung project and civil explosives are also highlighted for their growth potential [8] - The report suggests focusing on infrastructure investment, recommending companies like China State Construction and China Communications Construction [8] - The report identifies domestic paint companies as beneficiaries of the trend towards local substitution [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company, Rabbit Baby (002043) [2][8]. Core Views - The company achieved a slight revenue increase of 1.39% year-on-year, reaching 9.189 billion yuan, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 15.11% to 585 million yuan due to impairment provisions [5][6]. - The company's revenue from decorative materials, which constitutes 80.58% of total revenue, grew by 7.99%, while the custom home business saw a significant decline of 18.73% [5][6]. - Management and financial expenses decreased significantly, indicating improved cost control and operational efficiency [5][6]. Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 9.189 billion yuan, a 1.39% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 585 million yuan, down 15.11% [5][6]. - The fourth quarter saw a revenue drop of 18.21% year-on-year, with a net profit decrease of 55.75% [5][6]. - Basic earnings per share for 2024 were 0.71 yuan, with a proposed cash dividend of 3.2 yuan per 10 shares [5][6]. Business Segments - Decorative materials revenue was 7.404 billion yuan, up 7.99%, while custom home revenue fell to 1.720 billion yuan [5][6]. - The custom home segment's retail business grew by 18.49%, but the engineering business saw a decline of 46.81% [5][6]. Cost Management - Sales, management, and financial expenses were reported as 316 million, 204 million, and -34 million yuan respectively, with management expenses decreasing by 23.04% [5][6]. - The overall expense ratio was 5.99%, reflecting a decrease of 0.74 percentage points [5][6]. Profitability Metrics - The company's gross margin remained stable at 18.18%, with a slight decrease of 0.32 percentage points from the previous year [5][6]. - The asset-liability ratio at the end of 2024 was 46.59%, down 0.98 percentage points year-on-year [5][6]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve earnings per share of 0.94 yuan and 1.10 yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 11.7 and 10 [6][7].

Core Insights - The company,兔宝宝, achieved a revenue of 9.189 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 1.39%, with a net profit of 585 million yuan, demonstrating resilience amid industry challenges [1] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a net profit growth of 14.22%, indicating strong operational resilience [1] - The company aims to deepen its dual-driven strategy of decorative materials and custom home furnishings, focusing on channel expansion and product innovation to maintain its industry leadership [1] Business Performance - The core business segment, decorative materials, generated a revenue of 7.404 billion yuan in 2024, up 7.58%, accounting for 70.89% of total revenue [2] - Revenue from board products reached 4.770 billion yuan, a 7.57% increase, while brand usage fees amounted to 493 million yuan, growing by 14.18% [2] - The company has established a complete industrial chain from resource cultivation to production and sales of various products, with a focus on optimizing resource allocation across regions [2] Channel Expansion - By the end of 2024, the company had 2,152 township stores and 959 易装 stores, with over 20,000 cooperative furniture factory clients [3] - The "1+N" model enhances store efficiency, and the company has over 600 stores implementing a new retail model combining online and offline sales [3] - The company supports distributors in expanding business and seeks partnerships with large decoration companies to drive growth [3] Research and Development - The company has established various research platforms and has applied for 674 patents, including 352 invention patents [4] - It has participated in the formulation of numerous national and industry standards, enhancing its competitive edge through innovation [4] - The company focuses on high-quality, environmentally friendly products and aims to be a leading comprehensive service operator in the decorative materials sector [4] Shareholder Returns - Since its listing in 2005, the company has prioritized investor returns, repurchasing shares for a total of 100 million yuan in 2024 and introducing mid-term dividends [5] - The company plans to enhance its core competitiveness through technological innovation and business development, aiming for sustainable growth [5] - In 2025, the company will continue to focus on its main business, strengthen channel operations, and optimize product structures to increase market share [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [6] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 1.27 billion in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 14.3%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company increased by 14.22% to 101 million [1] - The company plans to distribute a total cash dividend of 493 million for the year, resulting in a dividend payout ratio of 84% and a dividend yield of 5.4% based on the closing price on April 24 [1] - The projected net profit for the company from 2025 to 2027 is estimated at 750 million, 870 million, and 1 billion respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 12.2, 10.6, and 9.1 [1] Revenue and Profit Analysis - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 9.189 billion, a slight increase of 1.39% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 15.11% to 585 million [5] - The Q4 2024 revenue was 2.725 billion, down 18.2% year-on-year, with a significant decline in net profit due to increased impairment losses [1][5] Business Segment Performance - The decorative materials and custom home business segments generated revenues of 7.4 billion and 1.7 billion respectively in 2024, with year-on-year growth of 8% and a decline of 18.7% [2] - The overall gross margin for the company in 2024 was 18.1%, a decrease of 0.32 percentage points year-on-year, but improved to 20.9% in Q1 2025, an increase of 2.99 percentage points [2] Distribution and Market Strategy - The company has accelerated its expansion into rural markets, with a total of 5,522 decorative materials stores, including 2,152 in rural areas as of 2024 [3] - The company has established partnerships with over 20,000 local custom furniture factories to enhance its distribution network [3] Cost Management and Financial Health - The company successfully reduced its expense ratio to 5.99% in 2024, down 0.79 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to improved cost control [4] - The net profit margin for 2024 was 6.48%, a decrease of 1.36 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin for Q1 2025 improved to 7.98% [4]

Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of CNY 9.189 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.39% [4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 585 million, a decline of 15.11% year-on-year; excluding goodwill impairment, net profit was CNY 716 million, an increase of 3.72% [4] - In Q1 2025, revenue was CNY 1.271 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 14.30%, while net profit was CNY 101 million, an increase of 14.22% [5] Business Segment Performance - In Q1 2025, the decorative materials segment generated revenue of CNY 1.068 billion, down 13.02% year-on-year; board materials revenue was CNY 588 million, down 22.53% [6] - The company’s main business, the Rabbit Baby division, achieved revenue of CNY 8.579 billion in 2024, an increase of 8.38% [4] Market Dynamics - Retail distribution channels accounted for 47% of sales in 2024, while furniture factories contributed 39%, and home decoration companies 10% [7] - The company established a rural channel operation center, resulting in a doubling of sales in rural areas in 2024 [7] Product Strategy - The company’s auxiliary materials business, including impregnated paper and edge banding strips, saw significant revenue and margin growth, stabilizing overall profit margins despite declining board business margins [8] - The company is focusing on a diversified product system to mitigate the impact of excess supply in the particle board market [9] Future Outlook - The Qingdao Yufeng Hantang company plans to stabilize its business in the real estate sector, which has been affected by declining sales and new construction starts [10] - The company aims to manage risks by ensuring new contracts have clear payment expectations and reasonable profit margins [10]