证券代码：603596 证券简称：伯特利 公告编号：2025-031 投资者可于 2025 年 05 月 13 日 （星期二） 至 05 月 19 日 （星期一）16:00 前登录上证路演中心网站首页点击"提问预征集"栏目或通过公司邮箱 investor@btl-auto.com 进行提问。公司将在说明会上对投资者普遍关注的问题进行 回答。 芜湖伯特利汽车安全系统股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）已于 2025 年 4 月 23 日发布公司 2024 年度报告，为便于广大投资者更全面深入地了解公司 2024 年度经营成果、财务状况，公司计划于 2025 年 05 月 20 日 （星期二） 13:30-14:45 举行 2024 年度业绩暨现金分红说明会，就投资者关心的问题进行交流。 一、 说明会类型 关于召开 2024 年度业绩暨现金分红说明会的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 会议召开时间：2025 年 05 月 20 日 （星期二） 13:30-14:45 会议召开地点：上海证券交易所上证 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 67.50 CNY, based on a 27x PE valuation for comparable companies in 2025 [2][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant revenue increase of 41.8% year-on-year in Q1, with total revenue reaching 2.638 billion CNY and a net profit of 270 million CNY, reflecting a 28.8% increase [9]. - The company is expanding its customer base, having added eight new clients in North America, including Ford and Changan Mazda, which is expected to drive future growth [9]. - The company is focusing on new technology and product development, aiming to enhance its competitive edge and increase the value per vehicle through innovations in electric control systems and lightweight components [9]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 13.011 billion CNY, 15.962 billion CNY, and 19.698 billion CNY, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 30.9%, 22.7%, and 23.4% [4][11]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 1.518 billion CNY in 2025, 1.863 billion CNY in 2026, and 2.298 billion CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 25.6%, 22.8%, and 23.3% [4][11]. - The company's gross margin is expected to stabilize around 22.0% to 22.5% from 2025 to 2027, while the net margin is projected to remain at 11.7% [4][11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 67.50 CNY, based on a 27x PE valuation for comparable companies in 2025 [2][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant revenue increase of 41.8% year-on-year in Q1, with total revenue reaching 2.638 billion CNY and a net profit of 270 million CNY, reflecting a 28.8% increase [9]. - The company is expanding its customer base, having added eight new clients in North America, including Ford and Changan Mazda, which is expected to drive future growth [9]. - The company is focusing on new technology and product development, aiming to enhance its competitive edge and increase the value per vehicle through innovations in electric control systems and lightweight components [9]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 13.011 billion CNY, 15.962 billion CNY, and 19.698 billion CNY, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 30.9%, 22.7%, and 23.4% [4][11]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 1.518 billion CNY in 2025, 1.863 billion CNY in 2026, and 2.298 billion CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 25.6%, 22.8%, and 23.3% [4][11]. - The company's gross margin is expected to stabilize around 22.0% to 22.5% from 2025 to 2027, while the net margin is projected to remain at 11.7% [4][11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 69.42 RMB [8][9]. Core Insights - The company reported Q1 revenue of 5.768 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 1.40% but a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 20.43%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 565 million RMB, down 12.39% year-over-year and 26.23% quarter-over-quarter, primarily due to weak production from key customers [1][2]. - The company is focused on a "key customer" strategy, expecting to benefit from new vehicle launches from emerging customers in 2025 [1][3]. - The company is advancing its platform strategy, with successful product line and customer expansion, aiming for dual development in domestic and overseas markets [3][4]. Revenue and Profitability - The company's Q1 revenue growth was slightly positive, with a gross margin of 19.9%, affected by fluctuations in key customer production. The production of core customers, such as AITO and Tesla, saw significant declines [2]. - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 3.81 billion, 4.71 billion, and 5.92 billion RMB respectively, with a projected PE ratio of 31.7 for 2025 [5][19]. Strategic Developments - The company is actively expanding its overseas production capacity, including new factories in Poland and Thailand, which is expected to reduce tariff risks and enhance local supply capabilities [3][4]. - The company is also making progress in its robotics segment, with plans to establish a robotics industrial base, indicating a dual-engine growth strategy alongside its automotive business [4]. Financial Projections - The report provides a detailed financial forecast, projecting revenue growth rates of 23.18%, 35.02%, 28.85%, 25.08%, and 25.44% from 2023 to 2027 [19]. - Key financial metrics include an expected EPS of 2.19 RMB for 2025, with a projected ROE of 16.94% [19].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" [8] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 7.025 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.12%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 303 million RMB, down 20.14% year-on-year, primarily due to lower gross margins in the ADAS business [1][5] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.9 billion RMB, up 28.5% year-on-year, and a net profit of 100 million RMB, up 40.0% year-on-year, indicating strong growth momentum [1][2] - The company is expected to benefit from the expansion of its air suspension products and the growth of ADAS products, with a backlog of orders for ADAS reaching 7.5 billion RMB as of April 2025 [2][4] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company’s revenue for 2024 was 7.025 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 19.12%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 303 million RMB, reflecting a decline of 20.14% year-on-year [1][7] - The Q1 2025 revenue was 1.9 billion RMB, showing a year-on-year increase of 28.5%, while the net profit was 100 million RMB, up 40.0% year-on-year [1][2] Business Segments - The TPMS business maintained steady growth with a revenue increase of 12% to 2.15 billion RMB in 2024. The sensor segment saw a 25% increase in revenue to 670 million RMB, while the air suspension segment grew by 42% to 990 million RMB [2][3] - The company has 16 projects for air suspension products expected to go into mass production within the year, contributing to revenue growth [2] Cost Management and Margins - The overall gross margin decreased by 2.1 percentage points to 25.1% in 2024, attributed to a shift in business structure with a higher revenue contribution from lower-margin ADAS and sensor products [3] - The company successfully reduced sales and management expense ratios, with sales expense ratio down by 0.4 percentage points to 3.3% and management expense ratio down by 0.6 percentage points to 5.8% in 2024 [3] Global Expansion - The company has made significant progress in expanding its overseas business, with a 108% increase in overseas revenue from its subsidiary, reaching 1.03 billion RMB [4] - The company has secured strategic partnerships and is actively pursuing global supply opportunities, particularly in Europe [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted downwards by 17% and 8% to 500 million RMB and 700 million RMB, respectively, with an expected net profit of 850 million RMB in 2027 [5] - The target price for the company is set at 49.37 RMB, based on a 21.1x PE ratio for 2025 [5][9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 69.42 RMB [8][9]. Core Insights - The company's Q1 revenue reached 5.768 billion RMB, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.40% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 20.43%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 565 million RMB, down 12.39% year-on-year and 26.23% quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to weak production from key customers [1][2]. - The company is committed to its "key customer" strategy, expecting to benefit from new vehicle launches from emerging customers in 2025 [1][3]. - The company is advancing its platform strategy, with successful product line and customer expansion, aiming for dual development in domestic and overseas markets [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1, the company's revenue slightly increased year-on-year, while the gross margin decreased by 2.5% year-on-year to 19.9%, influenced by production fluctuations from core customers [2]. - The company forecasts net profits of 3.81 billion RMB, 4.71 billion RMB, and 5.92 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5][19]. Strategic Developments - The company is expanding its overseas production capacity, including new factories in Poland and Thailand, which is expected to reduce tariff risks and enhance local supply capabilities [3]. - The company is actively developing its robotics segment, with plans to establish a robotics industrial base covering approximately 150 acres, aiming to diversify its product offerings [4]. Valuation Metrics - The report assigns a PE ratio of 31.7 for 2025, reflecting the company's growth potential in the electric drive system business, with a target price of 69.42 RMB [5][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 2.638 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 41.8% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 270 million yuan, up 28.8% year-on-year [5] - The company is expanding its production capacity and actively developing new projects in the smart driving sector [5] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 12.989 billion yuan in 2025, 16.527 billion yuan in 2026, and 21.085 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 1.523 billion yuan, 1.925 billion yuan, and 2.520 billion yuan respectively [5][6] - The company's P/E ratios are projected to decrease from 23.2 in 2025 to 14.0 in 2027, indicating potential value appreciation [5][6] - The company reported a gross margin of 18.0% in Q1 2025, which is a decrease compared to previous periods, attributed to product mix adjustments [5]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in Q1 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit, driven by multiple product lines and a robust pipeline of new energy projects [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.638 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 41.83% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 270 million yuan, up 28.79% year-on-year [1] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 266 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 38.61% [1] - Main business revenue reached 2.595 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 42.78% [1] Product Line Growth - The company's smart electric control products saw a sales increase of 58.43% year-on-year, becoming the main driver of overall growth [1] - Disc brakes and lightweight braking components experienced year-on-year growth of 36.14% and 23.45%, respectively [1] - The synergy among multiple product lines supported the rapid increase in overall revenue [1] New Energy Project Pipeline - As of Q1 2025, the company had a total of 498 projects under research, new production, and new designated projects, marking a year-on-year increase of 6.41%, 11.76%, and 13.21% respectively [1] - Among these, 393 projects are related to new energy vehicles, aligning with trends in electrification and intelligence, providing ample reserves for future project releases [1] Customer Structure and Market Expansion - The company has served a total of 50 automotive manufacturer clients and is actively optimizing its customer structure [2] - New clients added in 2024 include Ford North America and GAC Toyota [2] - The company’s overseas business is progressing steadily, with exports to the U.S. reaching 339 million yuan, primarily through bases in China and Mexico [2] - The establishment of a stable supply capability from the Mexico factory marks a significant step in the company's international strategy [2] Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 12.7 billion yuan, 16.1 billion yuan, and 20.1 billion yuan in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [2] - The projected net profits attributable to shareholders for the same years are 1.56 billion yuan, 2.01 billion yuan, and 2.44 billion yuan [2] - The company is anticipated to experience rapid growth in revenue and net profit, particularly in the fields of online control chassis and robotics [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported lower-than-expected performance in Q1 2025, with revenue of 2.64 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.8% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 21.5% [2]. Revenue and Profitability - In Q1 2025, the company's revenue was 2.64 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 41.8% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 21.5%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 270 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 28.8% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 37.3% [2]. - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 17.8%, down 2.3 percentage points year-on-year and 2.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to the annual decline in downstream customer demand and the ongoing ramp-up phase of the Mexican factory [4]. Customer Demand and Product Performance - Key customer demand saw significant growth, with production from core clients Chery and Geely increasing by 29% and 43% year-on-year, respectively. The sales of Geely's Galaxy 3.0 platform models exceeded 170,000 units, contributing significantly to the growth in line control braking [3]. - In terms of product performance, sales of intelligent electronic control products (EPB + line control braking) increased by 58% year-on-year, while disc brake sales rose by 36% and lightweight products by 23% [3]. Cost Management and Efficiency - The company experienced a scale effect in its expense management, with the expense ratio for Q1 2025 at 7.40%, showing a year-on-year decrease of 1.5 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.3 percentage points. The breakdown of expense ratios included sales expense ratio at 0.41%, management expense ratio at 2.55%, R&D expense ratio at 4.87%, and financial expense ratio at -0.45% [4]. Order Acquisition and International Expansion - The company successfully acquired 416 new projects in 2024, with specific increases in projects for disc brakes, lightweight products, and mechanical steering columns [5][6]. - The expansion of the Mexican production capacity is progressing smoothly, with the first phase of the project, which has an annual capacity of 4 million lightweight components, having commenced production by the end of Q3 2023. The company is actively advancing plans for an annual capacity of 7.2 million lightweight components and 2 million brake calipers in Mexico, with expectations for volume and profit growth by 2025 [7]. Financial Forecast - The company maintains revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 at 12.92 billion, 15.50 billion, and 18.38 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 30%, 20%, and 19%, respectively. The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected at 1.55 billion, 1.88 billion, and 2.29 billion yuan for the same period, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 28%, 22%, and 21% [8].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report - In the stage of strong macro - uncertainty, the low - volatility attribute of convertible bonds is prominent. In the short term, market pricing is expected to shift from macro - driven to industry - driven, and the combination of technology and dividend is still the best strategy [2][17]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market Focus Last Week (April 28 - April 30, 2025) - **Stock Market**: The equity market fluctuated narrowly before the holiday. The robot and AI - related industrial chains performed well, driving up sectors such as TMT, automobile, and machinery. Defensive sectors like banks and coal adjusted significantly. Most Shenwan primary industries closed down, with real estate (-3.04%), comprehensive (-2.75%), social services (-2.63%), and coal (-2.50%) leading the decline, while media (+2.69%), computer (+2.47%), beauty care (+2.46%), machinery and equipment (+1.59%), and electronics (+1.34%) performed well [8][9]. - **Bond Market**: The bond market rose significantly last week. With the central bank's support across months, the capital market was loose. Coupled with the expectation of weakening PMI and the lack of substantial progress in Sino - US tariff negotiations, bond market sentiment was positive. The 10 - year Treasury bond yield closed at 1.62% on Wednesday, down 3.63bp from the previous week [9]. - **Convertible Bond Market**: Approximately half of the convertible bond issues closed higher. The CSI Convertible Bond Index decreased by 0.07% for the whole week, the median price increased by 0.12%, the arithmetic average parity increased by 1.21%, and the overall market conversion premium rate decreased by 0.84% compared with the previous week. The arithmetic average conversion premium rates of convertible bonds in the par value ranges of [90,100), [100,110), and [110,120) changed by -0.09%, -0.04%, and -0.51% respectively, at the 36%, 48%, and 33% quantiles since 2021 [1][9]. 3.2 Views and Strategies (May 6 - May 9, 2025) - **Macro Environment and Market Trends**: Although the US initiated a tariff war in April, the probability of a marginal easing of tariff conflicts is higher in the short term. After the disclosure of annual and first - quarter reports, the impact of performance on the market has cleared. In May, the proportion of macro factors in stock market pricing may decrease, and the market is expected to return to being driven by industry logic. The "new economy" sector may be more cost - effective [2][17]. - **Bond Market**: The monetary policy was hawkish in the first quarter. Considering the long - term trade - war risk and the expectation of reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts, the risk of a significant bond market adjustment is low. The low bond market interest rate means the opportunity cost of convertible bonds is extremely low, and the potential allocation power of convertible bonds is abundant [2][17]. - **Convertible Bond Market**: The average conversion premium rates in multiple par value ranges have returned to the levels in mid - January, significantly lower than during the spring market. The median price has returned to February 5, and the equal - weighted index of underlying stocks is around February 10. The low - volatility attribute of convertible bonds is prominent, which can reduce portfolio volatility while maintaining exposure to equity assets [2][17]. - **Investment Directions**: - **Dividend and Defensive Assets**: When the market tumbled on April 7, Hong Kong stock dividends were a direction for capital to increase positions. After the adjustment of the conversion price of some high - dividend convertible bonds, the par value increased by more than 5%. The power industry may see stock price increases from May to June [17]. - **Technology**: It includes opportunities in humanoid robots, semiconductor equipment localization, innovative drugs and related industrial chains, and the intelligent driving market [17]. 3.3 Valuation Overview - As of April 30, 2025, for equity - biased convertible bonds, the average conversion premium rates in different par value ranges are at different quantiles since 2010 and 2021. For debt - biased convertible bonds, the average YTM of those with a par value below 70 yuan is at the 31%/36% quantiles since 2010/2021. The average implied volatility of all convertible bonds is at the 52%/27% quantiles since 2010/2021 [18]. 3.4 Primary Market Tracking - **Last Week (April 28 - April 30, 2025)**: No convertible bond issuance was announced, and Weice Convertible Bond was listed. Weice Technology is a well - known third - party integrated circuit testing service enterprise. The issued convertible bond scale is 1.175 billion yuan, with a credit rating of AA [27]. - **Future Week (May 6 - May 9, 2025)**: No convertible bond issuance or listing is announced. As of April 30, there are 80 convertible bonds to be issued, with a total scale of 125.58 billion yuan, including 7 approved for registration with a total scale of 13.45 billion yuan and 6 approved by the listing committee with a total scale of 3.82 billion yuan [28].