6月16日，拓普集团（SH601689，股价46.31元，市值804.8亿元）发布公告称，上市公司实控人、董事 长邬建树拟减持公司股份。同时，公司副董事长邬好年也计划减持公司股份，两人合计减持约350万 股。 公开信息显示，邬建树、邬好年两人系父子关系。 事实上，拓普集团在经历了多年净利润增长后，2025年一季度出现下滑。对此，东方证券研报指出，系 拓普集团主要客户车型调整所致。该季度，拓普集团毛利率19.9%，按最新会计准则同比减少2.5个百分 点，预计主要系公司核心客户中Model Y、问界M9等车型改款以及产能扩张折旧影响。第一季度，特斯 拉全球产量36.26万辆，同比减少16.3%；赛力斯汽车产量4.72万辆，同比减少45.7%。 今年一季度净利润下滑 公司财报显示，2025年第一季度，拓普集团实现营业收入57.68亿元，同比增长1.40%。相比之下，2021 年第一季度、2022年第一季度、2023年第一季度和2024年第一季度，拓普集团营收分别同比增长 100.80%、54.34%、19.32%和27.29%。 净利方面，2025年第一季度，拓普集团实现归母净利润5.65亿元，同比下降12.39% ...

2024 年业绩高速增长，25Q1 业绩承压。 ①2024 年公司实现营业收入 266.00 亿元，同比+35.02%；归母净利润 30.01 亿，同比+39.52%；扣非归母净利润 27.28 亿，同比+35%。②2025Q1 公司 实现营业收入 57.7 亿元，同比+1.4%；归母净利润 5.65 亿元，同比-12.39%； 扣非归母净利润 4.87 亿元，同比-18.36%。③公司 2024 年主营业务毛利率 19.42%，同比-2.40pct；24 年净利率 11.29%，同比+0.38pct。2025Q1 公司 综合毛利率为 19.89%，同比-2.54pct。④2025Q1 利润下滑主要系毛利率下 降及研发费用增长。2025Q1 期间费用率为 10.52%（YOY+1.19pct）。其中销 售费用率为 1.19%（YOY-0.19pct），管理费用率为 3.30%（YOY+0.55pct），研 发费用率为 5.93%（YOY+1.44pct），财务费用率为 0.10%（YOY-0.61pct）。 分业务看，2024 年营收增加，产品线具备扩大空间。 ①减震系统：收入 44.02 亿元（YOY+2. ...

主要客户车型调整影响业绩，机器人业务 全面推进 核心观点 ⚫ 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 预测 2025-2027 年归母净利润为 35.38、42.86、51.17 亿元，可比公司 2025 年 PE 平均估值 35 倍，目标价 71.40 元，维持买入评级。 风险提示 机器人业务进展不及预期、乘用车行业销量低于预期、NVH 产品、内饰功能件产品、轻 量化底盘产品、热管理产品配套量低于预期、产品价格下降幅度超预期。 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 19,701 | 26,600 | 33,461 | 41,551 | 49,344 | | 同比增长 (%) | 23.2% | 35.0% | 25.8% | 24.2% | 18.8% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 2,476 | 3,420 | 4,005 | 4,853 | 5,795 | | 同比增长 (%) | 25.2% | 38.1% | 17.1% | 21.2% | 1 ...

证券研究报告 拓普集团 (601689 CH) Q1 客户产销承压，机器人成长势能强 | 华泰研究 | | | 调研报告 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 5 月 | 08 日│中国内地 | 汽车零部件 | 拓普集团公布一季报业绩，公司 Q1 实现营收 57.68 亿元（yoy+1.40%， qoq-20.43%），归母净利 5.65 亿元（yoy-12.39%，qoq-26.23%），环比下 滑系核心大客户产量较弱。公司坚定"大客户"战略，25 年下游新势力客 户新车催化仍足，公司作为重要供应商有望受益，维持"买入"评级。 Q1 核心客户产量波动影响收入及毛利率表现 25Q1 公司营收同比微增，毛利率同环比-2.5/+0.1pct 至 19.9%，或受核心 客户产量波动影响，25Q1 核心客户问界产量同环比-46%/-49%，特斯拉中 国同环比-22%/-30%。期 间费用方面，25Q1 销售/管理费率分别为 1.2%/3.3% ，同比 -0.2/+0.6 ，环比 +0.55/+1.2pct ； 研 发 费 率 同 环 比 +1.4pct/+0.9pct 至 5. ...

Group 1 - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of approximately 5.768 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of about 1.40% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of about 20.43%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was approximately 565 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of about 12.39% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of about 26.23% [1] - Customer demand experienced fluctuations, leading to short-term performance pressure. In Q1 2025, Tesla's production was approximately 373,200 units, a year-on-year decrease of about 20.45%. In contrast, BYD's production increased by approximately 73.54% year-on-year to about 1,062,600 units [2] - The company's gross margin was approximately 19.89%, a year-on-year decrease of about 2.54 percentage points, while the net profit margin was approximately 9.81%, a year-on-year decrease of about 1.58 percentage points. The total expense ratio for Q1 2025 was approximately 10.52%, a year-on-year increase of about 1.21 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter increase of about 2.16 percentage points [3] Group 2 - The company is expanding its customer base and product categories, with traditional businesses progressing steadily. The automotive electronics segment is accelerating, and the robotics business is opening new growth opportunities. Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are approximately 33.17 billion yuan, 40.30 billion yuan, and 50.61 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of approximately 24.7%, 21.5%, and 25.6% respectively [4] - The net profit projections for the same period are approximately 3.64 billion yuan, 4.49 billion yuan, and 5.62 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of approximately 21.2%, 23.4%, and 25.1% respectively. As of April 30, 2025, the stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of approximately 25.0 times, 20.2 times, and 16.2 times for 2025 to 2027 [4]

拓普集团系列 车中旭霞 | 公司深度报告： | | --- | | 《拓普集团（601689.SH）深度：平台型汽车零部件的业务复盘和展望》-2023-03-21 | | 相关研究报告： | | 《拓普集团（601689.SH）-三季度净利润同比增长55%，平台型供货矩阵持续放量》 ——2024-10-29 | | 《拓普集团（601689.SH）-二季度净利润同比增长26%，迎来多品类发力新周期》 ——2024-09-02 | | 《拓普集团系列四十二-业绩预增点评：平台型供货矩阵发力，净利润持续攀升》-2024-07-24 | | 《拓普集团系列四十一-一季报点评：盈利能力持续提升，一季度净利润同比增长43%》-2024-05-04 | | 《拓普集团系列四十-年报点评：2023年业绩稳定增长，2024年看好车端与执行器业务推进》-2024-01-20 | | 《拓普集团系列三十九-三季报点评：三季度营收逆势稳增，车与机器人带来确定性和成长性》-2023-09-02 | | 《拓普集团系列三十八-三季报点评：三季度营收逆势稳增，车与机器人带来确定性和成长性》-2023-09-02 | | 《拓普集团系列三 ...

Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 26.6 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 35.02% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 3.001 billion yuan, up 39.52% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 2.728 billion yuan, reflecting a 35.00% increase [1] - In Q1 of this year, the company achieved a revenue of 5.768 billion yuan, a slight increase of 1.4% year-on-year, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 12.39% [1] Revenue and Profit Growth - The automotive electronics business experienced rapid growth, with a tenfold increase exceeding 1.8 billion yuan, entering a phase of accelerated mass production [1][2] - In Q4, the company recorded a revenue of 7.248 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.63%, and a net profit of 767 million yuan, up 38.47% [1] Product Line Expansion - The company is focusing on developing nine product lines, including key products and core technologies in the robotics industry, alongside eight product lines for smart electric vehicles [2] - The thermal management module, featuring a self-developed high-precision electronic expansion valve, has established a benchmark in the industry [2] International Strategy and Production Capacity - The company has accelerated its international strategy, with factories in North America and Mexico fully operational, and plans for a second phase of projects underway [3] - The company is also planning and constructing a production base in Thailand to tap into the Southeast Asian market [3] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 34.128 billion yuan, 41.680 billion yuan, and 48.890 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 3.789 billion yuan, 4.710 billion yuan, and 5.589 billion yuan [4] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for the same period are 2.18 yuan, 2.71 yuan, and 3.22 yuan, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 24, 19, and 16 times [4]

| 黄细里 刘力宇 | GMT - 1 | | --- | --- | | 高路 | | | 郭雨蒙 | 1970 | | 孙仁昊 | | | 赖闊旭 | סוגים | 未经许可，不得转载或者引用。 | 投资要点 | | --- | 事件： 公司发布2025年一季报，2025Q1公司营收达57.68亿元，同比+1.40%/环比-20.43%；归母净利 润达5.65亿元，同比-12.39%/环比-26.23%。从盈利能力看，公司25Q1毛利率达19.89%，同 比-2.53pct/环比+0.08pct；25Q1净利率达9.80%，同比-1.54pct/环比-0.77pct。25Q1公司期间费用 率达10.51%，同比+1.18pct/环比+2.15pct。其中销售费用/管理费用/财务费用/研发费用率分别 达1.19%/3.30%/0.10%/5.93%，同比分别-0.19pct/+0.55pct/-0.61pct/+1.44pct。 2025Q1业绩下滑主要受下游部分大客户影响，预计25Q2将得到改善： 从主要下游客户2025Q1表现来看：1）特斯拉全球销量为33.7万辆，同比-13.0%；2）吉利销量 为7 ...

Group 1 - The company reported total revenue of 26.6 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 35.02%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.001 billion yuan, up 39.52% year-on-year [1] - Revenue growth was observed across all segments: shock absorption systems revenue reached 4.402 billion yuan (up 2.40%); interior functional components revenue was 8.434 billion yuan (up 28.24%); chassis systems revenue was 8.203 billion yuan (up 33.98%); automotive electronics revenue was 182 million yuan (up 907.63%); thermal management systems revenue was 2.14 billion yuan (up 38.24%); and electric drive systems revenue was 13.4273 million yuan (up 624.11%) [1] - The company reduced its sales expense ratio to 1.03% (down 0.28 percentage points), management expense ratio to 2.33% (down 0.43 percentage points), and R&D expense ratio to 4.60% (down 0.41 percentage points) [1] Group 2 - The robot electric drive actuator project is progressing smoothly, with batch supply initiated and multiple samples delivered to customers [2] - The company is actively expanding its product layout in robotics, including body structure components, sensors, foot shock absorbers, and electronic flexible skin [2] - The company has fully launched its North American factories for thermal management, chassis, shock absorption, and interior components, with the second phase of projects progressing in an orderly manner [2] Group 3 - The company forecasts net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 3.607 billion yuan, 4.564 billion yuan, and 5.855 billion yuan respectively [3] - Corresponding P/E ratios are projected to be 25.17, 19.89, and 15.51 times, maintaining a "buy" rating [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future returns exceeding the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [4]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a robust performance in 2024, with total revenue projected to increase by 35.0% year-on-year to 26.6 billion yuan and net profit expected to rise by 39.5% to 3.0 billion yuan [1][4]. - Short-term profitability may fluctuate due to a decline in sales from major clients and increased costs associated with new factories and business development, but the long-term growth potential in smart vehicles and robotics remains strong [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's gross margin is expected to decrease by 2.1 percentage points to 20.8%, while the selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expense ratio is projected to decline by 1.1 percentage points to 8.0% [2]. - For Q1 2025, revenue is anticipated to show a slight year-on-year increase of 1.4% but a significant quarter-on-quarter decline of 20.4%, amounting to 5.7 billion yuan in net profit, which reflects a year-on-year decrease of 12.4% [1][2]. Business Segments - The automotive electronics segment is experiencing high growth, with revenue expected to increase by 906% to 1.8 billion yuan. Other segments, including interior functional parts and chassis systems, are also showing steady growth [2]. - The robotics segment is beginning to contribute positively to profits, with the electric drive system achieving a gross margin of 50.9% in 2024 [2][3]. Global Expansion and Strategic Positioning - The company is accelerating its global footprint, with plans to add a third closed air suspension production line in 2025 and new factories in Mexico and Thailand set to commence operations in 2024 and 2026, respectively [3]. - The dual-platform strategy in smart vehicles and robotics is expected to enhance the company's competitive edge, with significant client partnerships established with major automotive brands [3]. Profitability and Valuation Metrics - The report projects a decline in net profit margin to 10.0% in 2025, with a gradual recovery expected in subsequent years [10]. - Key valuation metrics include a projected P/E ratio of 27 for 2025 and a P/B ratio of 4.1, indicating a favorable valuation relative to expected earnings growth [11].