寒武纪-U（688256.SH）2025 年业绩预告点评 国产算力龙头迎来重要业绩拐点 glmszqdatemark 2026 年 02 月 01 日 分析师：吕伟 分析师：方竞 执业证书：S0590525110033 执业证书：S0590525120003 推荐 维持评级 当前价格： 1,258.89 元 相对走势 -10% 57% 123% 190% 2025/2 2025/8 2026/1 寒武纪-U 沪深300 相关研究 本公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格，请务必阅读最后一页免责声明 证券研究报告 1 [Table_Author] 分析师：郭新宇 执业证书：S0590525110034 邮箱：guoxinyu@glms.com.cn 邮箱：lvwei_yj@glms.com.cn 邮箱：fangjing@glms.com.cn 事件概述：2026 年 1 月 30 日，公司发布 2025 年度业绩预告，预计营收 60 亿 元-70 亿元，同比增 410.87%-496.02%；归母净利润 18.5 亿元-21.5 亿元，实 现扭亏为盈；扣非归母净利润 16 亿元-19 亿元。 业绩大幅增长，收入有望达到预 ...

寒武纪-U（688256.SH）2025 年业绩预告点评 国产算力龙头迎来重要业绩拐点 glmszqdatemark 2026 年 02 月 01 日 分析师：吕伟 分析师：方竞 执业证书：S0590525110033 执业证书：S0590525120003 推荐 维持评级 当前价格： 1,258.89 元 相对走势 -10% 57% 123% 190% 2025/2 2025/8 2026/1 寒武纪-U 沪深300 相关研究 本公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格，请务必阅读最后一页免责声明 证券研究报告 1 [Table_Author] 分析师：郭新宇 执业证书：S0590525110034 邮箱：guoxinyu@glms.com.cn 邮箱：lvwei_yj@glms.com.cn 邮箱：fangjing@glms.com.cn 事件概述：2026 年 1 月 30 日，公司发布 2025 年度业绩预告，预计营收 60 亿 元-70 亿元，同比增 410.87%-496.02%；归母净利润 18.5 亿元-21.5 亿元，实 现扭亏为盈；扣非归母净利润 16 亿元-19 亿元。 业绩大幅增长，收入有望达到预 ...

Suspension and Resumption of Trading - Fenglong Co., Ltd. has completed the suspension review and resumed trading, with UBTECH committing not to inject assets within 36 months [1] - Jiamei Packaging has also completed the suspension review and resumed trading [1] - Jihua Group's controlling shareholder is planning a change in control, leading to stock suspension [2] - Minexplosion Optoelectronics intends to acquire 51% of Xiamen Xizhi Precision Technology Co., Ltd. in cash, and has resumed trading. Xizhi focuses on the R&D, production, and sales of micro-drilling needles, deepening its core consumables in PCB manufacturing [2] External Investments and Daily Operations - Jerry Holdings has signed a sales contract for gas turbine generator sets for a U.S. data center worth 1.265 billion yuan [3] - Liyang Chip plans to raise no more than 970 million yuan through a private placement for integrated circuit testing projects [4] - Aoshikang intends to invest 1.82 billion yuan in a high-end printed circuit board project, which will achieve an annual production capacity of 840,000 square meters of high multilayer boards and HDI boards upon completion [4] - Huayou Cobalt plans to collaborate on building an integrated battery industry chain project in Indonesia [5] - Parker New Materials aims to raise no more than 1.58 billion yuan for key components of high-end energy equipment and integrated intelligent manufacturing projects [6] - Seres reported January automobile sales of 45,900 units, a year-on-year increase of 104.85% [7] Performance Changes - Zhongji Xuchuang expects a net profit of 9.8 billion to 11.8 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 89.50% to 128.17%, with a continuous increase in the proportion of high-speed optical modules [8] - Xinyi Sheng anticipates a net profit of 9.4 billion to 9.9 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 231.24% to 248.86%, benefiting from sustained growth in computing power investment and rapid demand for high-speed products [8] - Cambrian expects a net profit of 1.85 billion to 2.15 billion yuan in 2025, turning profitable year-on-year [9] - Guoxuan High-Tech forecasts a net profit of 2.5 billion to 3 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 107.16% to 148.59%, driven by rapid growth in demand for new energy vehicles and energy storage [9] - Lio Co., Ltd. expects a net profit of 190 million to 250 million yuan in 2025, turning profitable year-on-year [10] - HNA Holding anticipates a net profit of 1.8 billion to 2.2 billion yuan in 2025, turning profitable year-on-year [11] - *ST Songfa expects a net profit of 2.4 billion to 2.7 billion yuan in 2025, turning profitable year-on-year [12] - China International Capital Corporation forecasts a net profit of 8.542 billion to 10.535 billion yuan in 2025, an increase of 50% to 85% year-on-year, driven by steady growth in core business segments [12] - Shandong Gold expects a net profit of 4.6 billion to 4.9 billion yuan in 2025, an increase of 56% to 66% year-on-year, mainly due to optimized production layout and rising gold prices [12] - Obsidian expects a net profit of 123 million yuan in 2025, turning profitable year-on-year, focusing on niche industry demands and product development [12][13]

国家统计局：2026年1月份中国制造业采购经理指数为49.3% 比上月下降0.8个百分点 国家统计局、中国物流与采购联合会31日发布2026年1月份中国采购经理指数。数据显示，1 月我国制造业市场需求有所收紧，但企业生产保持扩张态势，产业结构继续优化；服务业运行 态势相对稳定，企业预期持续向好。2026年1月份中国制造业采购经理指数为49.3%，比上月 下降0.8个百分点。1月份装备制造业采购经理指数为50.1%，高技术制造业采购经理指数为 52%，装备制造业和高技术制造业稳中向好发展，制造业产业结构持续优化。 北京经济技术开发区：推进数模混合、存算一体等芯片架构研发创新 延伸场景定义芯片、行 业专用芯片、使能软件等产业链条 北京经济技术开发区管理委员会印发《关于进一步加快建设全域人工智能之城的实施方案 （2026—2027年）》。其中提到，夯实智能原生基础能力。发挥集成电路制造能力优势，推 动"设计-制造-封测-算力"一体化协同发展，牵引算力基础设施与高性能智算产业持续迭代。推 进数模混合、存算一体等芯片架构研发创新，延伸场景定义芯片、行业专用芯片、使能软件等 产业链条。推动通用与垂类模型协同发展，加快认知 ...

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the industry, indicating a potential increase in investment opportunities due to the expansion of the Agent ecosystem and the rising demand for CPU and storage solutions [4][6]. Core Insights - The Agent ecosystem is rapidly expanding, with companies like Anthropic significantly increasing their revenue forecasts, expecting sales to grow fourfold to $18 billion this year and $55 billion next year [11][12]. - The introduction of advanced models like K2.5 allows for the dynamic allocation of tasks among multiple agents, enhancing efficiency in handling complex tasks [12]. - The demand for CPU is expected to surge due to the operational requirements of Agent systems, which necessitate high-performance CPUs for logic orchestration and memory management [16]. - Storage needs are also increasing as Agents require substantial memory and context caching, leading to a growing market for SSDs and other storage solutions [31]. Summary by Sections 1. Expansion of the Agent Ecosystem - Recent advancements in the global Agent ecosystem highlight significant innovations, with Anthropic's revenue projections reflecting a strong market position and growth potential [11][12]. - The K2.5 model's ability to create a team of agents for task execution showcases the shift towards more sophisticated AI applications [12][14]. 2. Rigid Demand for CPUs Driven by Agents - The complexity of Agent workflows increases the operational burden on CPUs, necessitating enhanced processing capabilities to manage multiple tasks and context switching [16]. - The need for KV Cache Offloading to alleviate GPU memory constraints further emphasizes the critical role of CPUs in modern AI applications [16][20]. 3. Growing Storage Demand Driven by Agents - The execution of Agent tasks requires significant memory resources, leading to a heightened demand for storage solutions, particularly SSDs [31][40]. - Companies like Seagate and SanDisk are reporting substantial revenue growth, indicating a robust market for storage solutions driven by AI workloads [40][41]. 4. Related Companies - Key players in the overseas computing/storage sector include companies like Zhongji Xuchuang, New Yi Sheng, and Micron, while domestic players include Cambrian, Huafeng Technology, and China Longhua [4][42].

Group 1: Market and Economic Indicators - The manufacturing PMI for January is reported at 49.3, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a decline in economic activity [4][58] - The Ministry of Finance announced that the securities transaction stamp duty is expected to reach 203.5 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth of 57.8% [3][57] - The national general public budget revenue for 2025 is projected to be 21.6 trillion yuan, a decrease of 1.7% compared to 2024, with tax revenue expected to grow by 0.8% [8][61] Group 2: Regulatory Developments - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is proposing to expand the types of strategic investors and clarify minimum shareholding requirements, aiming to enhance the stability of capital markets [15][54] - The CSRC is also focusing on improving the regulatory framework to support high-quality development in the capital market [14] Group 3: Commodity Market Movements - Silver prices experienced a historic drop of 36%, while gold prices fell over 12%, marking the largest single-day declines in 40 years [23][54] - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange has raised margin requirements for precious metal futures in response to the volatility in the market [54] Group 4: Energy Sector Developments - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued a notice to improve the pricing mechanism for power generation capacity, allowing for flexible pricing based on market supply and demand [5][59][10] - The notice encourages the signing of flexible pricing mechanisms in medium to long-term contracts to better reflect real-time supply and demand [11][59] Group 5: Corporate Earnings Forecasts - New Yi Sheng expects a net profit of 9.4 billion to 9.9 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 231.24% to 248.86% [27] - Zhongji Xuchuang forecasts a net profit of 9.8 billion to 11.8 billion yuan for 2025, with a growth rate of 89.50% to 128.17% [28] - Wan Ke A anticipates a net loss of approximately 82 billion yuan for 2025, primarily due to a significant decrease in project settlement scale [32][33]

2026年1月30日，证监会召开了一场关乎资本市场未来五年发展方向的座谈会。 证监会主席吴清亲自出席并明确表示要"全力巩固资本市场稳中向好势头"， 这相当于给市场的"慢牛"格局提供了官方背书。 座谈会还特别强调了创业板和科创板改革的重要性，明确指出"科技牛"将是未来发展的核心方向。 两融方面，尽管受监管层提高融资保证金比例影响，前半周出现一定融资资金撤出，但后半周融资资金再度增加。 全周总体小幅净卖出68.9亿元，融资余额 仍维持在2.7万亿元以上的高位。 就在同一天，国际贵金属市场出现了戏剧性下跌。 现货黄金价格一度暴跌近8%，从前期高点5600元快速回落至5000元下方。 现货白银跌幅更为惨烈，重挫 17%。 这种剧烈波动直接影响了A股有色板块的表现。 1月份A股市场交出了一份令人瞩目的成绩单。 上证指数走出了罕见的17连阳，刷新了A股历史纪录。 1月全市场总成交额突破60万亿元，创下月度成交的历 史新高。 然而，市场内部却呈现出明显的分化格局。 截至1月底，科创50指数上涨12.29%，中证500指数上涨12.12%，而代表权重股的沪深300指数仅上涨1.65%，上 证50指数涨幅更是只有1.17%。 ...

浪指站稳4100点 基式在蔡主力资金青睐 34.34 25.95 11.97% 主要清污 16.23 6.33% 15.03% 3.76% 6.46 0.61 4.47% 创业板指 科创综指 北证50指数 上订品器 深证成指 天普股份 234.08% 志特新材 -44.16% 锋龙股份 荣科科技 -36.80% 213.97% 图 图计派制 湖南白银 森廣窗业 -34.59% 175.14% 图 婴计致电 普串股份 平潭发展 -32.79% 140.55% 四川黄金 海南发展 -30.45% 137.54% 东珠生态 -29.25% 133.68% 白银有色 华夏幸福 -28.77% 133.33% 通源石油 连城数控 130.47% 思林 态 -28.67% 恒合股份 122.33% 晓程科技 -28.18% 118.92% 可川科技 锦好医疗 -27.85% 34.35 25.45 24.02 21.36 21.15 20.86 18.19 17.56 16.21 14.94 E 37 16 漫 派 指 70 北 न्न bod 美 T දිණ 方 华 宿科 东方 的集 商银 造长 商 l 米 武 净流) ...

一图速览>> ( 指数 涨跌幅 深证成指 上证指数 234.08% 志特新 4 = 03 : 1 锋龙股 213.97% 累计涨幅 175.14% 湖南白 累计跌幅 普冉 股 140.55% 四川黄 137.54% 133.68% 白银有 133.33% 遛源石 连城数 130.47% 122.33% 膀程科 118.92% 可川科 一图速览>> E = 7 分分 浄流） (亿元) 净流出 (亿元) 34.35 25.45 24.02 21.36 . . . . . 兴 北 招 獸 商 小 方 华 武 银 银 纪 创 行 行 180.43 139.91 139.37121.42 立 胜 三花 金 坛 讯 风 矢 业生 手机 手 14 个十 自 个月 控 技 技 容 82.05 相关会会 54.34 33.61 31.81 净流入 (亿元) 彩 招 中 大 子 金 商 E न्त 遛 银 矿 安 业 信 行 国后 中际旭创 62 649.00 股价市值 源杰科技 最新收盘价 823.00 7 (元/股) 寒武纪 MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ 责任编辑：江钰涵 all and the see and t ...

Group 1: Macro News - The Ministry of Finance announced that the securities transaction stamp duty is expected to grow by 57.8% in 2025, reaching 203.5 billion yuan [1] - The number of qualified investors on the Beijing Stock Exchange has surpassed 10 million, marking a net increase of nearly 2 million compared to the same period last year [2] - The U.S. President Trump nominated former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Walsh to be the next Fed Chair, pending Senate approval [2] - The White House's Office of Management and Budget instructed affected agencies to prepare for a government shutdown due to funding expiration [3] Group 2: Commodity and Market Trends - JPMorgan predicts gold prices could rise to between $8,000 and $8,500 in the coming years, although short-term profit-taking risks exist [4] - The price of gold jewelry has dropped from 1,700 yuan to 1,500 yuan per gram following a recent spike [5] Group 3: Earnings Reports and Forecasts - Zhongji Xuchuang expects a net profit increase of 89.50% to 128.17% in 2025, driven by strong demand for computing infrastructure [6] - New Yisheng anticipates a net profit growth of 231% to 249% in 2025, benefiting from increased demand for high-speed products [6] - China International Capital Corporation forecasts a net profit increase of 50% to 85% in 2025, supported by its integrated business model [7] - Kunlun Wanwei expects a net loss of 1.35 billion to 1.95 billion yuan in 2025, despite a projected revenue growth of over 40% [7] - 360 Company predicts a net profit of 213 million to 318 million yuan in 2025, marking a return to profitability [8] - Cambrian Technology expects a net profit of 1.85 billion to 2.15 billion yuan in 2025, driven by AI demand [8] - Changchun Gaoxin anticipates a net profit decline of 91% to 94% in 2025 due to increased R&D costs [9] - Xibu Gold expects a net profit increase of 46.78% to 69.23% in 2025, attributed to higher sales and prices of gold products [10] Group 4: Corporate Actions - BlueFocus' major shareholder plans to reduce holdings by up to 20 million shares due to personal financial needs [12] - Air China expects a net loss of 1.3 billion to 1.9 billion yuan in 2025, despite efforts to improve operational efficiency [12] - Wentai Technology anticipates a significant net loss of 9 billion to 13.5 billion yuan in 2025 due to investment losses and asset impairments [13]