[Table_Page] 跟踪分析|传媒 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 传媒行业 Agent 商业化拐点加速，渗透空间可观 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： | [Table_Grade] 行业评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 前次评级 | 买入 | | 报告日期 | 2026-03-03 | [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 [分析师： Table_Author]旷实 SAC 执证号：S0260517030002 SFC CE No. BNV294 010-59136610 kuangshi@gf.com.cn 分析师： 廖志国 SAC 执证号：S0260525060001 021-38003665 liaozhiguo@gf.com.cn 分析师： 宾特丽亚 SAC 执证号：S0260526010003 021-38003624 binteliya@gf.com.cn 请注意，廖志国,宾特丽亚并非香港证券及期货事务监察委 员会的注册持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 -14% -1% 12% 24% 37% 50% 03/25 05/25 07/25 ...

把握更确定方向，再次推荐【完美世界】及游戏板块 20260302 摘要 AI 技术推动游戏行业发展，商业化提速，主要体现在广告、电商和社交 娱乐等领域的变现能力增强。游戏作为 AI 的重要应用方向，行业景气度 上升，部分公司估值回调后性价比提升。 在宏观环境不确定背景下，报告聚焦确定性强的方向，即具备爆款开发 能力或平台属性的游戏公司，重点关注完美世界及其潜在爆款游戏《异 环》，完美世界被列为 3 月金股。 复盘传媒与游戏投资历史，"买爆款"策略有效。例如，《哪吒 2》推 动光线传媒市值大幅上涨，《无尽冬日》助力世纪华通收入利润增长， 心动公司依靠《出发吧麦芬》等爆款产品市值大幅增长。 《异环》被视为 2026-2027 年最接近上限的潜在爆款，因其在都市题 材开放世界方向的创新性，玩法融合多种现实体验，商业模式兼顾公平 性与付费驱动，美术风格独特，且团队对玩家反馈响应迅速。 《异环》国服公测定档 4 月 23 日，早于市场预期，体现公司对三测结 果的信心。该时段新品竞争不激烈，与竞品周年庆错位，且紧邻五一假 期，有望与暑期旺季需求更好匹配。 Q&A "大 DAU 长青游戏"与平台型游戏公司的平台属性与渠道价 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a neutral investment rating to the media and internet industry, indicating a relative performance range of -10% to +10% compared to the benchmark index [35]. Core Insights - The media index experienced a decline of 5.1% from February 24 to February 27, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 7.1%. The total transaction volume was 336.7 billion yuan, which represents a decrease compared to the previous period [6][7]. - All sub-sectors within the media industry saw declines, with notable performances from individual stocks such as CITIC Publishing, which rose by 38%, and Bona Film Group, which fell by 29% [16]. - The report attributes the market movements to profit-taking ahead of the Spring Festival, AI applications, and high-frequency gaming data [16]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The media index's performance ranked last among 28 primary industry indices, with a transaction volume of 336.7 billion yuan, accounting for 3.4% of the total A-share market [7][16]. - Sub-sectors such as film and television, digital media, and advertising all experienced significant declines, while broadcasting and publishing showed some resilience [16]. AI Sector - The upcoming launch of Deepseek V4 is anticipated to enhance productivity in AI applications, particularly in the entertainment sector. The report highlights the potential for accelerated token consumption and international narratives [19]. - Key companies to watch in the AI space include Alibaba, Zhiyuan, Minimax, and Kunlun Wanwei, with application-focused firms like Zhejiang Shuju, Shanghai Film, and Aofei Entertainment also recommended [19]. Gaming Sector - The report expresses optimism regarding major gaming titles and a high level of activity in Q1. Recommended stocks include Perfect World, Kaiying Network, and Century Huatong for A-shares, and Tencent Holdings and Xindong Company for H-shares [19]. IP and Internet - The report forecasts a favorable commercial landscape for IP in the AI era, suggesting a focus on companies like Shanghai Film and Aofei Entertainment [19]. - The internet sector is influenced by geopolitical factors and a shift towards more stable hardware investments, with a focus on AI and consumer sectors. Companies like Tencent, Alibaba, and Meituan are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [19].

FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別： 股票 狀態： 新提交 公司名稱： 心动有限公司 呈交日期： 2026年3月2日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露，必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02400 | 說明 | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數 目 | 佔有關事件前的現有已發 行股份（不包括庫存股 份）數 ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The gaming industry is experiencing a marginal improvement in the policy environment, with an increase in the number of game approvals and a more relaxed approach to content and themes, laying a friendlier foundation for industry development [1][2][3] - The gaming sector's performance is showing a significant upward trend, particularly in 2025, which is expected to be the best year in the past decade, supported by a strong product cycle and sustainable growth into 2026 [1][3] Core Insights and Arguments - The user base for gaming in China has seen positive growth for three consecutive years, with a projected growth rate of 1.35% in 2025, indicating an upward trend [1][4] - Female-oriented games are one of the fastest-growing segments, with female players making up 48% of online gamers by mid-2025, contributing significantly to user growth [5] - The overseas gaming market remains robust, with actual growth rates of 13% in 2025 and over 20% in January 2026, indicating strong competitiveness of Chinese developers in the global market [1][6][7] Important but Overlooked Content - The application of AI in the gaming industry is evolving from a cost-reduction tool to enhancing the gaming experience, potentially reshaping valuation logic [2][9] - User-Generated Content (UGC) is fundamentally changing the gaming landscape, transforming games into dynamic platforms shaped by both players and developers, which could disrupt traditional business models [10] - The "Search, Shoot, Withdraw" gameplay has become a significant growth driver in the shooting genre, with shooting games becoming the second-largest category in the Chinese gaming market by 2025 [11] Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The gaming industry is expected to continue its growth trajectory, driven by user expansion, AI technology, and ongoing gameplay innovation [4][12] - The valuation of gaming companies is supported by a combination of technology, policy improvements, and sustained performance, with a focus on long-term product pipelines [13] - Recent adjustments in the gaming sector have seen valuations drop to around 15 times earnings, which is still below the perceived industry ceiling, suggesting continued investment opportunities [14]

传媒 2026 年 03 月 01 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 -17% 0% 17% 34% 50% 67% 2025-03 2025-07 2025-11 传媒 沪深300 数据来源：聚源 相关研究报告 《节后继续聚焦 AI 入口商业化、重磅 新游及长青游戏 — 行 业 周 报 》 -2026.2.23 《《异环》三测及字节 AI 视频模型惊 艳，继续布局游戏/多模态 AI 应用— 行业周报》-2026.2.8 《Moltbook、元宝、Genie3 出圈，继 续布局 AI 社交/游戏/营销—行业点评 报告》-2026.2.2 把握更确定方向，聚焦头部新游及核心 AI 应用 ——行业周报 方光照（分析师） fangguangzhao@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790520030004 《异环》定档 4.23 公测，或为潜在"爆款"，继续布局游戏，聚焦头部新游 完美世界旗下二次元超自然都市开放世界游戏《异环》已官宣将于 4 月 23 日开 启国服公测，届时同步上线 PC、安卓、iOS、Mac、鸿蒙、PS5 平台，海外公测 也将随后于 4 月 29 日开启。此前于 2.4-2.18 期间进行 ...

Group 1: Core Insights - The report suggests a positive outlook for the AI industry and gaming sectors, indicating that recent market corrections may present better investment opportunities [12] - E-commerce sector shows mixed results, with Alibaba leading in AI advancements but facing pessimistic revenue growth expectations, leading to stock price fluctuations [16] - Social entertainment media, particularly Tencent and Bilibili, are expected to maintain strong growth, with Bilibili's advertising growth likely to outperform the overall internet advertising market [16] Group 2: E-commerce Insights - Alibaba's AI developments are significant, with the launch of the Qwen 3.5-Plus model, which has shown competitive performance at a lower cost, enhancing its market position [13] - Meituan is expected to face challenges due to intense competition in the food delivery sector, impacting profitability in the short term [16] Group 3: Gaming Sector Insights - The gaming sector is anticipated to maintain a favorable outlook, with new product launches expected to drive growth in 2026 [14] - Companies like Century Huatong and Perfect World are highlighted for their strong product pipelines and potential for revenue growth [18] Group 4: AI Developments - The report notes a growing concern about AI's impact on traditional industries, with a shift in market focus towards model technology pricing and capabilities [20] - The upcoming second quarter of 2026 is expected to see a new wave of model iterations, with domestic models catching up rapidly [20] Group 5: Advertising and Marketing - The advertising sector is seeing increased activity, with companies like Focus Media ramping up ad placements, particularly in consumer goods ahead of major events like the World Cup [18] - AI marketing is gaining traction, with companies like Titanium Technology preparing for an IPO, indicating strong growth potential in this area [19] Group 6: Media and Entertainment - The long video sector is stabilizing, with companies exploring new business avenues, while short video platforms like Kuaishou are benefiting from technological advancements [17] - The report emphasizes the importance of content production capabilities and project pipelines for companies in the film and television industry [19]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is maintained as "Recommended" indicating a positive outlook for the industry fundamentals and an expectation that the industry index will outperform the benchmark index [2][7]. Core Insights - The gaming industry is expected to benefit significantly from the AI wave, with leading companies likely to thrive amidst concerns that AI may disrupt the gaming sector [5]. - The report suggests that while AI may lower the barriers to game development, creating large-scale games will still require substantial resources, making it unlikely for small teams to compete with established gaming giants [5]. - Historical trends show that leading gaming companies have consistently benefited from technological advancements, and they are well-positioned to adapt to new changes in the industry [5]. Industry Overview - The gaming sector consists of 160 companies with a total market capitalization of 2,270.9 billion and a circulating market value of 2,090.9 billion [2]. - The absolute performance of the industry over 1 month, 6 months, and 12 months is -0.9%, 22.7%, and 27.0% respectively, while the relative performance is 1.2%, 11.1%, and 7.7% [4]. Company Recommendations - The report continues to favor leading gaming companies such as Tencent, NetEase, Century Huatong, Giant Network, and others, indicating a strong belief in their potential to leverage AI advancements [5].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [7] Core Insights - The gaming market performed steadily during the Spring Festival, with several long-term DAU games showing outstanding performance. Tencent's multiple games maintained top positions, with "Peace Elite" achieving a new user high during the Spring Festival version [2][4] - The gaming market's actual sales revenue in January was 32.5 billion yuan, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 3.0% and a year-on-year increase of 4.5%. The PC gaming market exceeded 8.2 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 23.5% [6][10] - The upcoming release of new games is expected to catalyze continued growth in the industry, with several titles scheduled for launch in the coming months [10] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The gaming market showed stable performance during the Spring Festival, with long-term DAU games demonstrating significant advantages. Tencent's games, including "Peace Elite," "Delta Action," and "Valorant Mobile," consistently ranked in the top 10 bestsellers [10] - The overseas market for self-developed games saw a year-on-year revenue increase of 24% in January, driven by stable performance of mature products and successful launches of new titles [10] Future Outlook - The industry is expected to see a series of new game launches, with titles like "Douluo Dalu: Zhusha Legend" and "EVE" scheduled for release in the coming months. The gaming sector's product cycle and performance certainty remain strong, indicating potential investment opportunities [10]

中经记者 李哲 北京报道 春节档一直是游戏厂商的"必争之地"。2026年春节期间，各大厂商通过与文旅、春晚联动等方式展开竞 逐，让游戏走出屏幕，更加多元化、立体化与玩家见面。 不过，相比花样百出的联动方式，从收入方面来看，整体市场表现并不突出。根据Sensor Tower数据， 2026年春节档游戏iOS端收入约为4.4亿美元，与去年同期基本持平。 游戏产业时评人张书乐向《中国经营报》记者表示，春节档本身就有"休假"意味，玩家休假，大厂也在 休假，因此在1月新游集中发布后，大多数游戏都进入休假期，只是通过春节档活动来进行日常维护。 这和暑期档的高强度维护形成了差异性。 厂商花式联动 2月15日，腾讯旗下《王者荣耀》在春节假期第一天推出了马年"皮肤"，随后便迅速冲上iOS畅销榜总 榜，并且因服务器宕机登上了各大社交平台热搜。 此外，腾讯旗下另一款游戏大作《和平精英》则在春节版本推出了以敦煌文化为载体的新地图，并上线 了一系列符合新春氛围的活动，包括"月牙泉许愿打卡""年兽大作战"等。这一系列的联动让《和平精 英》在除夕夜的日活跃用户数突破9000万。 春节假期的"团圆"特性，成为了派对类游戏施展的舞台。网易旗下 ...