[Table_Reportdate] 2026年03月03日 [table_invest] 超配 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 姚星辰 S0630523010001 yxc@longone.com.cn 证券分析师 吴康辉 S0630525060001 wkh@longone.com.cn -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 2025-02 2025-04 2025-06 2025-08 2025-10 2025-12 2026-02 [相关研究 table_product] 1.预制菜国标推出，行业规范化里程 碑——行业简评报告 2.旺季预期积极，关注春节备货行情 ——食品饮料行业周报（2026/1/26- 2026/2/1） 3.奶价持续磨底，餐饮边际改善—— 食 品 饮 料 行 业 周 报 （ 2026/1/19- 2026/1/25） [Table_NewTitle 餐饮消费回暖 ] ，需求韧性凸显 食 品 饮 料 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 行 业 周 报 食品饮料(申万) ...

证券研究报告 商贸零售 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 02 月 28 日 证券分析师 丁一 SAC：S1350524040003 dingyi@huayuanstock.com 板块表现： 老铺黄金官宣 2 月底调价；淘宝闪购加大投入力度 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——新消费行业周报（2026.2.23-2026.2.27） 投资要点： 风险提示：零售环境修复不及预期风险；国际局势变动风险；市场竞争加剧风险。 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 联系人 老铺黄金官宣 2 月底调价，多地出现买金热潮。2 月 18 日老铺黄金发布调价通知，将于 2026 年 2 月 28 日进行产品价格调整。2025 年，老铺黄金曾于 2 月、8 月、10 月三次上调售价。 此次调价将是 2026 年的首次调价。截至 2026 年 2 月 27 日，黄金价格延续上涨态势，根据 上海金交所黄金现货价格，年初以来累计涨幅 15%，老铺黄金调价有望转嫁金价上涨带来的 压力，并有望维持高毛利率水平。根据蓝鲸新闻报道，老铺黄金推出"满 1000-100"促销活 动。或因调价和活动刺激，国内多地出现买金热潮。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a downward trend despite a strong performance in the consumption sector during the Chinese New Year, indicating potential investment opportunities in consumer-related stocks as the economy shows signs of steady growth [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - On February 26, the three major Hong Kong stock indices opened high but closed lower, with the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer Theme Index declining by 1.87% [1]. - Individual stocks such as Qingdao Beer and Mixue Group saw gains of over 1% [1]. Group 2: Consumption Market Insights - The consumption market during the Chinese New Year showed significant growth, with offline travel and entertainment transactions increasing by over 20% year-on-year, and substantial order growth in categories like reunion dinner packages and intangible cultural heritage markets [1]. - The economic growth rate for Hong Kong is projected to reach 3.5% in 2025, marking three consecutive years of increase, with expectations of maintaining a growth rate between 2.5% and 3.5% in 2026, indicating a solid fundamental development for the local consumption market [1]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Analysts suggest that the Hong Kong consumer sector benefits from both the recovery of the consumption market and the asset allocation value of Hong Kong stocks, with the festive consumption peak likely to enhance industry prosperity [1]. - The CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer Theme Index includes a diverse range of assets, covering traditional service industry leaders as well as high-growth sectors like trendy toys, gold jewelry, sportswear, and high-dividend stocks [1]. - The E Fund Hong Kong Consumer ETF (513070) has a management fee rate of only 0.15% per year, making it the only low-fee ETF in the Hong Kong consumer category, facilitating low-cost investment in leading consumer stocks [1].

男生普通话版 下载mp3 女声普通话版 下载mp3 西南方言版 下载mp3 上海话版 下载mp3 东北话版 下载mp3 粤语版 下载mp3 今日优选 芝商所因"技术问题"一度暂停金属及天然气期货和期权交易； 英伟达Q4财报亮眼，公司称算力需求依然饥渴； 美国贸易代表格里尔：美国将对15%的关税发布公告； 消息人士称，若美国向伊朗发动打击，沙特短期内拟大幅增产石油； 特朗普：关税将继续实施；伊朗仍在追求核野心。 市场盘点 周三，随着市场情绪改善，美元失去强势。美元指数收跌0.01%，报97.67；随着风险偏好回暖、股市上涨削弱了避险资产的需求，美国国债收益率 延续涨势。基准的10年期美债收益率收报4.056%，对美联储政策利率敏感的2年期美债收益率收报3.475%。 美国贸易政策缺乏明确性，以及本周与伊朗下一轮核谈判之前美国军事集结的紧张局势，支撑了金银价格。同时，美国短期维持利率不变的前景可 能会给黄金带来阻力。周三国际现货黄金一度夺回5200美元关键关口但没能守住，最终收涨0.41%，报5164.96美元/盎司；现货白银一度站上90美元 关口，最终收涨2.32%，报89.2美元/盎司。 国际油价承压，欧佩克 ...

本文源自：市场资讯 作者：观察君 在个股方面，高盛持续看好即制饮品行业龙头古茗(01364)及蜜雪集团(02097)，将古茗目标价上调至34 港元，给予"确信买入"评级；将蜜雪集团目标价调整至493港元，给予"买入"评级。该行尤其看好古 茗，指出其过往在消费场景拓展及新产品推出方面表现强劲，门店仍具备较大扩张空间，同时上调古茗 2025至2027年核心盈利预测4%至6%。 市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成，仅供参考，不构成个人投资建议。 高盛发布研报称，预期2026年内地餐饮销售同比增长4.2%，增速较2025年的3.2%有所加快。该行观察 到，尽管当前整体消费尚未出现显著好转，但过去数月餐饮需求已趋于稳定。同时，餐饮行业出现加价 情况，该行认为此举是为应对营运及原材料成本上升、外卖订单占比增加，需求回稳也为此举提供了支 撑。 针对即制饮品企业，该行表示，2026年第二至第三季，行业将面临同店销售增长的高基数挑战。不过年 初至今外卖补贴水平较预期更高，叠加产品种类扩张、消费场景进一步丰富，将为同店销售增长提供支 撑。但外卖订单占比上升可能对企业盈利能力及门店运营产生负面影响，相关品牌或需提 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upward trend in the stock market driven by cyclical price increases and the spread of AI, suggesting a potential for market fluctuations to rise ahead of the Two Sessions [1]. Market Performance - The three major stock indices collectively rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4147.23 points, up 0.72%, the Shenzhen Component at 14475.87 points, up 1.29%, and the ChiNext Index at 3354.82 points, up 1.41% [3][13]. - Over 3700 stocks increased in value, indicating a predominance of gains in the market [3][13]. Sector Highlights - **Rare Earth Permanent Magnet Sector**: Stocks such as Baotou Steel and China Aluminum International saw significant gains, with prices for various rare earth products increasing post-holiday. For instance, the average price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide rose by 4.16 million yuan/ton [5][14]. - **Real Estate Sector**: Companies like I Love My Home and Hualian Holdings experienced stock price surges, supported by promotional activities from nearly 50 real estate firms in Guangzhou, offering over 140 properties with discounts [6][15]. Consumer Trends - **Restaurant Industry**: Goldman Sachs forecasts a 4.2% year-on-year growth in mainland China's restaurant sales, up from 3.2% last year. The report notes a stabilization in consumer demand and price increases due to rising operational and raw material costs [9][18]. - **Takeout Orders**: The increase in takeout orders is expected to impact profitability negatively, but ongoing high levels of subsidies and product variety expansion are anticipated to support same-store sales growth [9][18]. Institutional Insights - Zhongyuan Securities indicates that the inflow of funds into the market is expected to provide a solid foundation for upward market movements, with a likely scenario of wide fluctuations and structural differentiation in indices [10][19]. - Dongguan Securities highlights a general rise in global assets during the Spring Festival, with AI and resource products becoming market focal points, suggesting a high probability of index increases post-holiday [10][19].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Goldman Sachs expects a faster growth in mainland China's restaurant sales, projecting a year-on-year increase of 4.2% this year, surpassing last year's growth of 3.2% [1] - Despite the overall consumption not showing significant improvement, the restaurant demand has stabilized over the past few months, with price increases observed in the industry to cope with rising operational and raw material costs, as well as an increase in the proportion of takeout orders supported by recovering demand [1] - For ready-to-drink beverage companies, the second to third quarters of this year will face challenges due to high comparable same-store sales growth, but the current level of takeout subsidies remains higher than expected, along with product variety expansion and richer consumption scenarios supporting same-store sales growth [1] Group 2 - The increase in the proportion of takeout orders may negatively impact profitability and store performance, potentially leading brands to provide support or subsidies [1] - The company continues to be optimistic about leading players in the ready-to-drink beverage industry, including Gu Ming (01364) and Mixue Group (02097), with target prices raised to HKD 34 for Gu Ming and adjusted to HKD 493 for Mixue, maintaining "Confident Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively, with particular optimism for Gu Ming [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Goldman Sachs expects a faster growth in mainland China's restaurant sales, projecting a year-on-year increase of 4.2% this year, surpassing last year's growth of 3.2% [1] - Despite the overall consumer spending not showing significant improvement, the restaurant demand has stabilized over the past few months [1] - The industry is experiencing price increases, which are believed to be a response to rising operational and raw material costs, as well as an increase in the proportion of takeaway orders supported by recovering demand [1] Group 2 - For ready-to-drink beverage companies, the second to third quarters of this year will face challenges due to high comparable sales growth from the previous year [1] - However, the current level of takeaway subsidies is higher than expected, along with product variety expansion and richer consumption scenarios, which support same-store sales growth [1] - The rising proportion of takeaway orders may negatively impact profitability and store performance, potentially requiring brands to provide support or subsidies [1] Group 3 - The company continues to be optimistic about leading players in the ready-to-drink beverage industry, including Gu Ming (01364) and Mixue Group (02097) [1] - The target price for Gu Ming has been raised to 34 HKD, while the target price for Mixue has been adjusted to 493 HKD, with ratings of "Confident Buy" and "Buy" respectively, particularly favoring Gu Ming [1]

高盛预期今年内地餐饮销售增长加快至按年升4.2%，增速快于去年的3.2%。同时，行业出现加价情 况，该行认为是为了应对营运和原材料成本上升，以及外卖订单占比增加，亦受需求回稳所支持。对于 即制饮品企业，该行认为今年第二至第三季将面对同店销售增长的高基数挑战，但年初至今的外卖补贴 水平仍较预期高，加上产品种类扩张，以及更丰富的消费场景，均支持同店销售增长。 股份方面，该 行持续看好即制饮品行业龙头，包括古茗及蜜雪集团，古茗目标价升至34港元，蜜雪目标价493港元， 分别予"确信买入"及"买入"评级。该行尤其看好古茗，因其消费场景扩展及新产品推出往绩强劲，且门 店扩张空间仍然庞大，并上调2025至27年核心盈测介乎4%至6%。 本文源自：金融界AI电报 ...

Group 1: Solid-State Battery Industry - The global solid-state battery industry is expected to achieve GWh-level mass production by 2027, driven by collaborative innovation in materials, processes, and equipment [5][6][7] - The solid-state battery supply chain is evolving towards a "materials-equipment-manufacturing-application" collaborative innovation model, with key advancements in electrolyte film formation processes impacting ionic conductivity [6][7] - The global solid-state battery equipment market is projected to reach 120 billion yuan by 2026, with significant demand for new equipment such as dry electrode preparation and isostatic pressing [7][8] Group 2: AI Applications and Media Consumption - The 2026 Spring Festival has become a battleground for major AI companies to showcase their technological capabilities, integrating AI deeply into program production and real-time interactions [10][11] - The focus of domestic AI large models has shifted from general capabilities to native agent capabilities, emphasizing task planning and multi-modal technology breakthroughs [10][11] - The gaming sector during the Spring Festival saw a preference for high DAU games, particularly in the MOBA and FPS genres, with Tencent's games dominating the market [11][12] Group 3: Energy Sector and Coal Market - In 2025, the State Grid's total bidding amount reached 89.4 billion yuan, doubling that of 2022 and increasing by 27% compared to 2024, indicating strong growth in the energy sector [14][15] - The coal market experienced unexpected inventory reductions before the Spring Festival, leading to optimistic coal prices post-holiday, supported by favorable supply conditions [16] - The release of the national unified electricity market policy aims to establish a market-oriented mechanism centered on supply and demand, emphasizing sustainability [17][18] Group 4: New Consumption Trends - The 2026 Spring Festival saw a significant increase in travel and consumption, with cross-regional passenger flow expected to reach 9.5 billion, a 5.32% increase from 2025 [19][20] - The beauty sector showed signs of recovery during the off-peak season, with a notable increase in sales, particularly in the makeup category, driven by festive consumption [22][23] - The overall retail and catering sales during the Spring Festival increased by 8.6% compared to the previous year, reflecting a vibrant consumer market [21][22]