专题：2025基金年中大盘点：最高涨超88% 超120只基金清盘 近期A股市场震荡上行，赚钱效应显著。数据显示，截至2025年6月30日，华商润丰灵活配置混合C （007509）近3年、近5年均以不俗表现在同类基金中排名第1位。 值得一提的是，该基金自基金经理胡中原2019年3月接手以来，已于2019-2024年连续6个完整年度均取 得正收益，在周期转换的市场中展现出了惊人的风险收益特征。 据了解，现任华商基金多资产投资部副总经理的胡中原拥有扎实的金融学背景，2014年北大硕士毕业后 即加入华商基金，至今已拥有11年证券从业经历。华商润丰灵活配置混合基金是他执掌的第一只产品。 经过多年一线投研的淬炼，他形成了以"风险收益比"为第一要义的投资哲学。 在权益投资中，他以中观行业比较为核心，对于行业选择，并无明确偏好，主观性价比和行业趋势是主 要判断标准，个股选择则淡化阿尔法，侧重产业链各环节龙头均衡配置，以广阔能力圈驱动行业轮动的 投资。面对市场极端行情时，胡中原也主要通过持仓行业的低相关性来分散风险，依靠产业趋势验证和 控制仓位风险暴露来度过波动期。 数据说明：文中基金经理关注的投资方向，仅为结合当前市场情况作 ...

证券代码：000811 证券简称：冰轮环境 冰轮环境技术股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 编号：【2025】第 038 号 | | √特定对象调研 | □分析师会议 | | --- | --- | --- | | 投资者关系 | □媒体采访 | □业绩说明会 | | 活动类别 | □新闻发布会 | □路演活动 | | | □现场参观 | □其他 | | 参与单位名称 及人员姓名 | 彤源投资潘贻立 | | | 时间 | 2025 年 7 月 11 日 | | | 地点 | 腾讯会议 | | | 上市公司接 待人员姓名 | 董事会秘书孙秀欣 | | | 活动期间谈论的主要内容如下： | | | --- | --- | | 一、讨论了公司业务情况和产业板块 | | | 公司致力于在能源和动力领域提供先进的系统解决方案和 | | | 全生命周期服务，主要产品形式为压缩机和换热装置，实施温控、 | | | 增压等冷热能管理功能，覆盖-271℃-200℃温度区间。具体有螺 | | | 杆式压缩机、离心式压缩机、吸收式压缩机、活塞式压缩机、涡 | | | 旋式压缩机、各类工业热泵、储能蓄能装置、真空冻干设备、速 | | ...

| | □特定对象调研 | □分析师会议 | | --- | --- | --- | | 投资者关系 | □媒体采访 | □业绩说明会 | | 活动类别 | □新闻发布会 | √路演活动 | | | □现场参观 | □其他 | | 参与单位名称 | 长江证券 | 贾少波，富国基金罗松、胡怀瑾、顾飞飞、刘莉莉、 | | 及人员姓名 | 汤启、徐颖真、张弘、毕天宇、杨冬 | | | 时间 | 2025 年 7 月 11 日 | | | 地点 | 腾讯会议 | | | 上市公司接 | 董事会秘书孙秀欣 | | | 待人员姓名 | | | | 活动期间谈论的主要内容如下： | | | --- | --- | | 一、讨论了公司业务情况和产业板块 | | | 公司致力于在能源和动力领域提供先进的系统解决方案和 | | | 全生命周期服务，主要产品形式为压缩机和换热装置，实施温控、 | | | 增压等冷热能管理功能，覆盖-271℃-200℃温度区间。具体有螺 | | | 杆式压缩机、离心式压缩机、吸收式压缩机、活塞式压缩机、涡 | | | 旋式压缩机、各类工业热泵、储能蓄能装置、真空冻干设备、速 | | | 冻装置、换热 ...

我目前两手抓，一方面警惕蓝筹风格，另一方面不会轻易放弃前面走强的板块，如数字货币，虽可能深 度调整，但调整下来我会当机会看。每个人对板块偏好不同，就像工作选择，有人求安稳，有人要高收 入。我不会轻易放弃前期走强板块，像稀土虽凉了一阵，但我每天都在看。PCB负担着点燃算力行情的 任务，我对这个方向比较关心。 7月11日，和讯投顾都业华称，关于光伏板块，最近很多人询问，我稍作提醒。在很多人看来，光伏的 优点是位置低，做超跌反弹可能很带劲，毕竟跌了这么多，反弹力度或许不小。这是光伏设备板块指 数，从乐观角度看，若把去年924国庆后的关键点位标记，目前可设想一个乐观的中期目标三号点，这 样看似乎还有空间。但经验告诉我，对长期下跌趋势的品种处理要谨慎。若以三号点为中期目标，途中 可能出问题的地方在哪？这就像"事前验尸"，做项目前设想若失败，最可能失败在哪个环节。对光伏而 言，这里有个明显的下跌中枢，其上沿是关键阻力位，目前股价已接近，节奏处理需留意。虽然不能随 意猜测趋势反转，但光伏走到这里，技术走势上可能面临节奏转化，可能需要调整酝酿新行情。光伏范 围广，近期光伏玻璃、硅料等细分领域表现较好，可能与产业链关联，需仔细 ...

强军胜战——国防科技行业 2025 年度中期投资策略 20250709 摘要 十四五期间军工板块 EPS 增长是核心驱动力，白马公司业绩兑现推动股 价上涨，多轮主题投资提供参与机会。航空赛道关注新型号、后市场和 军转民等细分领域。 新装备领域，高超音速、低成本武器及火炸药是补短板重点。军贸方面， 央国企支持力度加大，新一代装备如运 20、直 20、歼 35A 等出口潜力 巨大，军贸是重要增长点。 主题投资如低空经济、商业航天、深海科技和可控核聚变等，具备中长 期高增长潜力。2024 年 9 月后，事件催化带来超额收益，板块进入新 增长阶段。 军工板块成长空间广阔，内需方面，中国军费占 GDP 比重低于欧美，增 长空间 20%-100%；外需方面，军贸占比提升空间超 60%；军转民方 面，大飞机产业链市场潜力巨大。 投资策略上，应以盈利驱动的价值投资为主，甄选优质白马股。航空赛 道关注新型号列装、后市场需求及军转民潜力，C919 国产替代空间广 阔。 如何看待十四五期间军工板块的表现？ 十四五期间，军工板块实现了绝对正收益，核心原因是 EPS 增长。许多白马公 司业绩兑现良好，推动股价上涨。此外，多轮主题投资机 ...

向海外市场要空间、以技术革命拓成长——机械行业 2025 年度中期投资策略 20250709 摘要 通用设备领域内需企稳，若叠加外需增量，将构成较好的投资方向。中 长期来看，海外建厂将成为设备需求的重要驱动力，并带来需求结构的 边际变化，尤其关注注塑机、工业机器人等通用设备出口大幅增长。 新技术方向如固态电池、人形机器人、可控核聚变等领域，板块容量大 且边际变化不断推进，下半年仍存在投资机会。关注人形机器人核心零 部件及功能模组与应用场景的爆发机会。 借鉴日本经验，通过出口寻找业绩增量。中美关税及全球关税影响下， 产能地区发生显著变化，企业分散供应链成趋势，具备制造业基础、人 口资源充足、基建完善的地区或成产能聚集地。 石油开采行业设备开支未来三到五年或呈长期增长趋势，中东地区资本 开支上升，为纽威、杰瑞等中国企业带来海外收入机会，贸易政策和新 增需求也增加了中国企业进入海外市场的机会。 制造业延伸将带动流程行业设备需求增长，新兴市场向上游延伸，需要 自制原材料，推动钢铁、化工等流程行业设备需求。长期来看，这是一 个值得关注的发展方向。 Q&A 机械行业在下半年有哪些主要投资策略？ 下半年的机械行业投资策略主 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - US stock markets rose, with the Dow Jones up 0.43%, Nasdaq up 0.09%, and S&P 500 up 0.27%. Notable stock movements included Tesla rising 4.73% and Nvidia up 0.75% [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index reached a new high, boosting market confidence and potentially attracting more capital into the market, with expectations of a continued upward trend [3] Group 2: Industry Insights - The ice-making industry in Henan is experiencing a surge in demand due to high temperatures, with some factories producing nearly 300 tons of ice daily, leading to a doubling of sales. The market for ice products is projected to exceed 63 billion yuan by 2026 [4] - Coal futures saw a significant increase, with coking coal rising 3.98% and coking coal up 3.44%. The demand for coal is expected to rise due to seasonal factors and policy changes aimed at reducing excess production capacity [5] - JD.com is entering the short drama market, indicating a strategic focus on this growing sector, with competitive salaries offered to attract top talent [5][6] - The micro-short drama market in China is projected to reach 505 billion yuan by 2024, surpassing annual box office revenues for films, with a compound annual growth rate of 19.2% expected [6] Group 3: Company Announcements - Baosteel plans to adjust the price of rare earth concentrate for Q3 2025 to 19,109 yuan per ton [9] - Guosheng Financial Holdings expects a net profit of 150 million to 220 million yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 236.85% to 394.05% [9] - The expected net profit for Sailyus in the first half of the year is between 2.7 billion to 3.2 billion yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 66.20% to 96.98% [9] - WuXi AppTec anticipates an adjusted net profit of approximately 6.315 billion yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of about 44.43% [9] Group 4: Emerging Technologies - Chengdu Hanhai Fusion Energy is set to witness a milestone event on July 18, marking the completion of China's first linear fusion device, HHMAX-901, which signifies a major breakthrough in the commercialization of controlled nuclear fusion [8]

每经记者｜杨建 每经编辑｜彭水萍 （一）重要市场新闻 1、美股三大指数小幅收涨，纳指涨0.09%，标普500指数涨0.27%，道指涨0.43%，其中，纳指、标普 500指数均创历史新高；大型科技股涨跌互现，特斯拉涨4.7%，奈飞跌超2%；达美航空大涨12%引领旅 游股走高，比特币概念股走高，Coinbase涨超4%。中概股涨跌互现，纳斯达克中国金龙指数收涨 0.9%，阿里巴巴涨超2%，网易跌超2%，小鹏汽车、京东跌超1%。比特币盘中突破11.7万美元，继续刷 新历史新高，日内涨超5%。 2、国际贵金属期货普遍收涨，COMEX黄金期货涨0.36%，报3333.00美元/盎司；COMEX白银期货涨 2.72%，报37.63美元/盎司。国际油价走弱，美油主力合约收跌2.21%，报66.87美元/桶；布伦特原油主 力合约跌1.91%，报68.85美元/桶。欧洲三大股指收盘涨跌不一，德国DAX指数跌0.38%报24456.81点， 法国CAC40指数涨0.3%报7902.25点，英国富时100指数涨1.23%。 （二）行业掘金 1、上海市国资委党委7月10日召开中心组学习会，围绕加密货币与稳定币的发展趋势及应对策略开展 ...

Group 1: Nuclear Fusion - Chengdu Hanhai Fusion announced an event on July 18 to celebrate the completion of China's first linear fusion device HHMAX-901 and the achievement of plasma ignition, marking a significant breakthrough in controllable nuclear fusion commercialization [1] - The main technological paths for controllable nuclear fusion include magnetic confinement (Tokamak), inertial confinement (NIF), and magnetic inertial confinement (linear devices), with multiple facilities under construction globally [1] - Hanhai Fusion is the only commercial fusion company in China using the field-reversed configuration technology, which has a power density approximately 100-1000 times that of Tokamak devices [1] Group 2: Short Dramas - JD Group is recruiting for short drama operation positions, indicating its intention to enter the short drama market, which has seen explosive growth since 2023, with over 600 million users expected by 2024 [2] - The micro-short drama market in China is projected to reach 50.5 billion yuan in 2024, surpassing annual box office revenue for the first time, with an expected growth to 63.43 billion yuan by 2025 and 85.65 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 19.2% [2] Group 3: Quantum Computing - CSIRO researchers developed a groundbreaking semiconductor process technology that successfully applies Quantum Machine Learning (QML) to construct process models, enhancing manufacturing precision and efficiency while potentially lowering chip production costs [3] - Quantum computing is seen as a core driver of next-generation information technology, with a significant shift towards industrial applications expected between 2025 and 2030, potentially reaching a market size of hundreds of billions of dollars [3] - China's "14th Five-Year Plan" identifies quantum technology as a core strategy, with expectations for breakthroughs in quantum communication and optical quantum computing [3] Group 4: Domestic Services - The Ministry of Commerce plans to implement policies to promote domestic service brands and improve the credit system in the sector, as part of the "2025 Domestic Service Action Plan" [4] - The domestic service market in China surpassed 1.16 trillion yuan in 2023, growing approximately 7.3% from 2022, driven by increasing demand due to family size reduction and aging population [4] - The domestic service industry has a significant talent gap, with over 30 million workers currently employed, indicating a strong potential for job creation [4] Group 5: Autonomous Driving - An international standard for testing scenarios of autonomous driving systems was officially released, outlining evaluation processes and requirements for testing scenarios [5] - The diversity and coverage of testing scenarios are crucial for the effectiveness and reliability of autonomous driving system evaluations, which involve multiple industries including AI, IoT, and urban infrastructure [5] Group 6: Artificial Intelligence - The Shanghai government is preparing for the 2025 World Artificial Intelligence Conference, promoting global cooperation in AI and focusing on key sectors for innovation [6] - The competition in large model technology is intensifying, with significant differences in development paths between China and the US, as domestic companies work on core technology and industry applications [6] Group 7: Gaming Industry - Zhejiang Province has implemented a comprehensive policy to support the international development of gaming companies, aiming to strengthen local game enterprises and foster a gaming export industry cluster [7] - The gaming industry is expected to enter a new development phase characterized by content refinement, AI industrialization, and systematic internationalization by 2025 [7]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its future performance [6][12][13]. Core Insights - The company is positioned to benefit from stable growth in traditional businesses while also capitalizing on three key growth areas: special powders, amorphous materials, and controlled nuclear fusion [6][9][15]. - The company has shown continuous improvement in operational efficiency, with a notable decrease in the proportion of expenses relative to revenue, indicating effective cost management [7][40]. - The company has a comprehensive product portfolio, structured under a "2+3+4" business model, which includes two core industries, three key industries, and four incubating industries, allowing for diversified growth opportunities [9][27]. Summary by Sections 1. Business Structure and Market Position - The company operates as a core platform for metal new materials under China Steel Research, focusing on high-end applications in various strategic industries such as AI, new energy, and aerospace [21][24]. - The "2+3+4" structure includes two core industries (refractory tungsten and molybdenum, rare earth permanent magnets), three key industries (amorphous/nanocrystalline materials, high-alloy high-speed steel, superhard materials), and four incubating industries (special powders, injection molding, welding materials, controlled nuclear fusion) [27][28]. 2. Historical Performance and Financial Health - The company has experienced steady revenue and net profit growth from 2021 to 2023, with a two-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.26% and 20.53%, respectively [32][35]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.782 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.76%, while net profit increased by 4.95% to 83 million yuan, indicating resilience despite challenges [7][32]. 3. Growth Drivers - The special powders segment is expected to see sustained high growth due to increasing demand in the electric vehicle and AI sectors, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 10.5% in the global injection molding market from 2023 to 2030 [15][48]. - The amorphous materials segment is entering a high-growth cycle, with significant applications in energy-efficient transformers and electric motors, which are gaining traction in the market [61][74]. - The controlled nuclear fusion segment is accelerating towards commercialization, with the company positioned to benefit from advancements in this field [75]. 4. Profitability Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 330 million yuan, 422 million yuan, and 545 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with earnings per share (EPS) expected to be 0.31, 0.40, and 0.52 yuan [11][13]. - The report suggests a valuation premium for the company due to its multiple business segments entering growth phases, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio forecasted at 40.38 for 2025 [12][13].