Workflow
市场波动性
icon
Search documents
市场中枢有望缓步抬升 做好均衡配置把握结构性机会
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-04 18:09
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the macroeconomic environment in China is expected to remain stable in 2026, but market volatility may increase, making it difficult to replicate the "steady happiness" market of 2025 [1] - The investment strategy suggested includes balancing asset allocation based on individual risk preferences, with a focus on dividend assets, technology, and domestic demand sectors for structural opportunities [1] - The overall economic growth is anticipated to have limited support for corporate earnings, leading to a judgment of a fluctuating market with a gradually rising central tendency [2] Group 2 - The A-share and Hong Kong stock markets are expected to exhibit a pattern of oscillation with a gradual upward trend, as market valuations are currently neutral and not in a bubble [2] - The support logic for market reversal since September 2024 remains solid, with the capital market playing a more crucial role in social financing and long-term funds providing stability against market downturns [2] - Three key investment directions for 2026 are highlighted: dividend assets for higher certainty in returns, AI-focused technology sectors with rapid penetration despite valuation debates, and the undervalued domestic demand sector which may take time to realize its potential [2]
Over $2.2 Billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum Options Expire as 2026 Begins
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-02 05:26
crypto 2026, crypto twitter, crypto twitter, bitcoin rally, rwa, defi token, altcoin season, tokenization, ethereum rwa,. Photo by BeInCrypto More than $2.2 billion worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum options are set to conclude today, marking the first broad-based derivatives settlement of 2026. With both assets trading near key strike levels, the event is drawing close attention from traders watching for post-settlement volatility and early signals for the year ahead. Over $2.2 Billion in Bitcoin and Ethere ...
【白银期货收评】沪银日内下跌4.27% 国内情绪依旧高涨
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-31 08:28
【白银期货最新行情】 数据显示,12月31日上海白银现货价格报价18430元/千克,相较于期货主力价格(17074元/千克)升水 1356元/千克。 美联储会议纪要:官员分歧严重,多数人认为利率可随通胀下降而下降。 伊朗外交部:伊朗将加拿大皇家海军列为"恐怖组织"。 泰国外交部:暂不具备举行泰柬联合边界委员会特别会议条件。 也门总统领导委员会主席宣布全国进入紧急状态,遭南方过渡委员会(STC)领导人在内的总统领导委 员会成员的反对。 沙特主导的联军对也门穆卡拉港实施空袭,称来自阿联酋的载有武器的船只在未取许可的情况下入港, 指责阿联酋此举是为了支持STC,阿联酋否认该指控。 芝商所表示,将在周三收市后,在一周内第二次上调贵金属期货保证金。此前,贵金属经历了一段剧烈 波动的交易期。该集团在声明中表示,黄金、白银、铂金和钯金合约的保证金将会增加。声明称,这一 决定是基于对"市场波动性以确保充足的抵押品覆盖"的审查做出的。 【机构观点】 | 12月31日 | 收盘价(元/千克) | 当日涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 持仓量(手) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪银主力 | ...
现货白银再次大跌,芝商所在一周内第二次提高贵金属期货的保证金
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-12-31 03:06
现货白银跌破73美元,日内跌逾4%。芝商所集团在日期12月30日的公告中表示,周三收盘后,黄金、 白银、铂金和钯金合约的保证金将提高,这一决定是基于评估"市场波动性以确保足够的抵押品覆盖 率"而做出的。 风险提示及免责条款 市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议,也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何 意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责任自负。 ...
It's a Wonderful Market—if You Know How to Play It
Barrons· 2025-12-24 12:10
The Cboe Volatility Index's long-term average is around 19, so the present level of 14 suggests peace in markets and goodwill toward investors. At least for a month. ...
中国股票策略:A 股情绪小幅回升,但或难持续-China Equity Strategy-A-Share Sentiment Marginally Up But May Not Sustain
2025-12-19 03:13
December 18, 2025 09:00 PM GMT China Equity Strategy | Asia Pacific A-Share Sentiment Marginally Up But May Not Sustain Market sentiment rose marginally on higher turnover. However, global market volatility and lackluster domestic macro could curb it. A more forceful fiscal pivot and further China technology breakthrough could lead to more sustainable sentiment pickup. A-share investor sentiment increased vs. previous cycle: Weighted MSASI increased 4ppt to 51% vs. the prior cutoff date (December 10), while ...
海外交易员涌入日本债市,掀起全球波动新风暴
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-12-09 02:05
SHMET 网讯:海外投资者正在涌入日本一度平静的国债市场,使得这个全球第二大主权债务池暴 露于数千里之外交易员引发的波动之中。 日本证券业协会数据显示,海外投资者目前约占月度日本国债现金交易的65%,远高于2009年的 12%。根据财务省数据,尽管他们今年有望买入的日本国债规模将创下自2005年有记录以来的最高水 平,但并非所有人都是买家,且外资参与度的增加也带来了资本快速或无序撤离的风险。 这一转变发生在日本政策制定者的敏感时期。就在日本央行缩减自身购债规模之际,首相高市早苗 推出了自疫情限制放松以来该国最大规模的一揽子支出计划。日本国债收益率目前已处于数十年来的高 位。从对冲基金到全球资产管理公司,这些新入场的投资者既代表着一股需求力量,也构成了一层波动 性风险,这种波动可能从东京7.4万亿美元的债券市场蔓延至美国国债、英国金边债券和德国国债。 日本国债的外资净流入 简而言之,日本越来越容易受到那种曾让英国在利兹·特拉斯短暂而混乱的首相任期内受挫的剧烈 市场波动的影响,当时信心突然丧失导致英国金边债券收益率螺旋式上升。随着日本公共债务预计今年 将达到约9.3万亿美元,约占GDP的230%,信心冲击的风险 ...
11月29日外盘头条:英特尔股价大涨 空客召回大量飞机 银铜齐创纪录新高 卷入腐败案的泽连斯基...
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-28 21:40
Group 1: Metal Prices Surge - Silver and copper prices reached record highs, with silver jumping 5.7% to $56.46 per ounce, surpassing previous peaks during October's market tightness [4][6] - Factors supporting silver prices include rising expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, inflows into physical asset-backed ETFs, and ongoing supply constraints [4] - Copper prices also surged due to supply shortages and bullish forecasts [4] Group 2: Corporate Developments - Intel's stock rose by 10% after analysts indicated that the company might start supplying Apple with its entry-level M-series processors, potentially beginning in 2027 [9] - Airbus announced an urgent software upgrade for over 6,000 A320 aircraft, which represents more than half of the global fleet of this model, due to concerns over solar radiation affecting flight control systems [11] Group 3: Market Insights - Goldman Sachs noted that the U.S. stock market's landscape for December has become clearer, despite the S&P 500 index potentially finishing November flat [13] - Indicators show that market stability is improving, with a significant rebound in market breadth and a decrease in volatility, suggesting a release of pressure in the market [14]
芝商所(CME):交易中断后恢复,后续波动或大增
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-28 15:17
Core Insights - The CME Group experienced its longest outage in years, causing a halt in trading across stocks, bonds, commodities, and foreign exchange, leading to several hours of chaos in the global futures market [1][2] - The outage was attributed to a cooling failure at a data center operated by CyrusOne, and all markets have since reopened [1][2] - Market participants noted that trading volume was reduced due to the Thanksgiving holiday in the U.S., and there is an expectation of increased volatility as traders look to settle positions by the end of the month [1][2] - The incident serves as a significant reminder of the importance of market structure and the interconnectivity of various factors within the trading ecosystem, according to Bradesco BBI's equity strategy head [1][2]
特朗普时代“投机热”升温,“美国网红券商”Robinhood 股价一年暴涨450%
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-11-05 14:59
Group 1 - Robinhood Markets' stock price has surged approximately 450% since Trump's election victory in November, making it the largest gainer among companies with a market cap of over $10 billion ahead of the 2024 election [1] - In contrast, the S&P 500 index has only increased by 17% during the same period [1] Group 2 - Robinhood's current valuation stands at 62 times its future earnings, significantly higher than the average of 22 times for similar platforms, raising concerns about potential stock price corrections if performance falls short of expectations [3] - Analysts believe that Robinhood must deliver results that exceed expectations to sustain its current stock price level [3] Group 3 - The Trump administration's policies have positively impacted Robinhood, particularly through an executive order supporting the cryptocurrency industry, which has boosted trading volumes on the platform [4] - In April, Robinhood's stock trading volume surged by 123% year-over-year, driven by increased market volatility and retail traders pursuing emerging popular stocks [4] - The company is transitioning from a stock trading platform to a comprehensive financial services provider, with recent expansions into global prediction markets [4][5] Group 4 - The prediction market activities are expected to increase significantly during the 2024 presidential election, with platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket facilitating billions in bets on election outcomes, which Robinhood views as a growth opportunity [5] - Despite its strong performance, Robinhood faces scrutiny over its high valuation, with market executives expressing renewed caution regarding risk assets [6] Group 5 - Concerns have been raised about whether Robinhood's fundamentals reflect a cyclical strength, while its valuation suggests unproven cross-cycle durability [7] - Key questions remain about how much of the future performance is already priced into the stock, with analysts indicating that substantial outperformance is necessary for the next round of stock price increases [7]