2026年开年以来 国际现货白银价格开启"狂飙"模式 国际银价23日再创历史新高 纽约商品交易所白银期货价格 伦敦白银现货价格 双双突破每盎司100美元的历史性关口 1月23日白银销售价达24.03元/克 累计涨幅超37% 2023年，王女士在简阳市本地珠宝店选购钻戒时，恰逢商家推出"消费满额赠足银保温杯"活动，她花费6200元购入一枚钻戒后，免费获赠了一款足银制保 温杯。"当时觉得就是个普通赠品，回家后一直放在储物间，连包装都没拆过。"王女士回忆道。 近期银价暴涨的新闻让王女士想起了这只闲置的保温杯，她翻出杯子后特意到本地五金店称重，结果显示杯身总重380克，去掉非银质的盖子和滤网后重 256克，结合杯身标注的"足银999"标识，她估算纯银内胆重量约70—80克。按照2026年1月23日足银22.5元/克的回收价计算，这只保温杯的纯银回收价值 已接近2000元。 更是带动各类银制品回收价值大幅飙升 资料图 这波行情让成都市简阳市的王女士收获意外经历：2023年她花费6000余元购入的钻戒，如今回收价仅数百元，而当时商家附赠的足银保温杯，经测算回收 价值已近2000元，上演了一出"赠品反超主商品"的奇幻价值反 ...

受持续避险需求及技术性买盘推动，美国纽约商品交易所白银期货价格、伦敦白银现货价格23日双双突 破每盎司100美元，再创历史新高，2026年上涨幅度均已超过40%。 金属行业媒体金拓新闻网站报道，在全球面临极端地缘政治和经济不确定性的背景下，白银价格目前处 于高位。由于黄金价格高昂，白银成为投资者抓住贵金属繁荣机遇的便捷方式。此外，工业领域需求增 加、散户投资者的"害怕错过"情绪、避险吸引力以及结构性供应缺口仍将推动白银价格上涨。展望未 来，2026年白银价格可能达到每盎司120美元的目标价位。 分析人士同时警告，鉴于白银价格的波动性，这波上涨行情伴随一定风险。 纽约商品交易所黄金期货市场交投最活跃的2月黄金期货价格隔夜也创历史新高，一度突破每盎司4990 美元，距离每盎司5000美元历史性关口仅几步之遥。美国银行已将近期黄金目标价上调至每盎司6000美 元，在主要机构中，其对黄金价格的预测最为激进。 ※ 编辑：周详 ※ 校对：张铭革 ※ 审核：郑舒平 蔡伊琳 ...

据新华社消息，受持续避险需求及技术性买盘推动，美国纽约商品交易所白银期货价格、伦敦白银现货 价格23日双双突破每盎司100美元，再创历史新高，2026年上涨幅度均已超过40%。 金属行业媒体金拓新闻网站报道，在全球面临极端地缘政治和经济不确定性的背景下，白银价格目前处 于高位。由于黄金价格高昂，白银成为投资者抓住贵金属繁荣机遇的便捷方式。此外，工业领域需求增 加、散户投资者的"害怕错过"情绪、避险吸引力以及结构性供应缺口仍将推动白银价格上涨。展望未 来，2026年白银价格可能达到每盎司120美元的目标价位。 来源：新华社 原标题：《国际银价突破100美元历史性关口》 编辑：王伊萌 责编：张曦 分析人士同时警告，鉴于白银价格的波动性，这波上涨行情伴随一定风险。 纽约商品交易所黄金期货市场交投最活跃的2月黄金期货价格隔夜也创历史新高，一度突破每盎司4990 美元，距离每盎司5000美元历史性关口仅几步之遥。美国银行已将近期黄金目标价上调至每盎司6000美 元，在主要机构中，其对黄金价格的预测最为激进。 ...

Core Dynamics and Data - Historical Breakthrough: On December 23, 2025, COMEX gold futures first broke $4500/oz, reaching a peak of $4555.1; London spot gold also surged to $4525.83/oz, with a year-to-date increase exceeding 70%, marking the largest annual gain since 1979 [2] - Consumer Transmission: Major brands like Chow Tai Fook and Chow Sang Sang saw a daily increase of 36 yuan in gold jewelry prices, with a reported price of 1411 yuan/gram on December 24, totaling a two-day increase of 44 yuan. The cost of 60 grams of wedding "three golds" skyrocketed from under 40,000 yuan at the beginning of the year to over 80,000 yuan, leading some couples to consider rentals or "gold-plated silver" alternatives [2] Driving Forces Behind the Surge - Monetary Easing Expectations: The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates by 75 basis points cumulatively in 2025, with the market betting on further cuts in 2026. The decline in U.S. Treasury yields diminishes the dollar's attractiveness, while lower real interest rates reduce the cost of holding gold [3] - Surge in Safe-Haven Demand: - Geopolitical Risks: U.S. sanctions on Venezuelan oil tankers and tensions in the Middle East have heightened risk aversion [4] - De-dollarization: Central banks globally purchased a net 634 tons of gold in the first three quarters, with China increasing its gold reserves for 13 consecutive months, leading to a decrease in the dollar's share of foreign exchange reserves to 56.32% [4] - Technical Buying Pressure: The gold price broke through the resistance level of $4380 set in October, triggering algorithmic trading, with gold ETFs experiencing net inflows for five consecutive weeks [4] Market Divergence and Risk Alerts - Bullish Camp: Central bank gold purchases and an ongoing rate-cut cycle support a bullish outlook, with Goldman Sachs predicting $4900 and JPMorgan forecasting $5055 [5] - Cautious Camp: Concerns over short-term overbought conditions and policy fluctuations, with Citigroup warning of a pullback to $4280-$4300 and economist Guan Qingyou cautioning that rapid price increases may not be beneficial [5] - Historical Lessons: In October, gold prices twice touched $4380 before experiencing a single-day drop of nearly $200 (a 6.3% decline), with the current RSI indicating overbought conditions in the 74-80 range [5] Practical Advice for Ordinary Users - Consumer Pitfalls: - Wedding essentials should prioritize gold jewelry priced by weight in markets like Shenzhen's Shui Bei, avoiding brand premiums of around 30% [6] - Consider refurbishing old gold or opting for "gold-plated silver" alternatives, which are priced at only one-fifth of solid gold [6] - Investment Allocation: - Tools: Gold ETFs (with fees <0.5%) and bank gold savings should be preferred, avoiding high-leverage futures due to frequent liquidations at 80x leverage in October [7] - Strategy: Maintain positions at ≤10% of liquid assets, employing dollar-cost averaging to mitigate high-price risks and avoid chasing prices [7] Future Trend Core Contradictions - Upward Momentum: The erosion of the dollar's credit system is transforming gold from an "anti-inflation tool" to the "ultimate asset against sovereign credit risk," with Morgan Stanley predicting gold prices could challenge $7000-$8000 by 2030 [8] - Downward Risks: If the Federal Reserve's independence is restored or if global economic recovery exceeds expectations, a prolonged bear market for gold similar to the 1980-2000 period could re-emerge [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant increase in precious metal prices, particularly silver, which has risen approximately 130% this year, double the increase of gold prices [2] - Gold futures for February 2026 rose by 0.90% to $4,371.40 per ounce, while silver futures for March delivery increased by 4.92% to $66.44 per ounce, with silver reaching an intraday high of $67.18 [1] - The rise in precious metal prices is attributed to heightened demand for safe-haven assets due to geopolitical tensions, particularly the U.S. threats against Venezuela, and strong retail and industrial demand for silver driven by sectors like solar energy and electric vehicles [2] Group 2 - The tightening of silver inventories and robust demand from various industries have contributed to the surge in silver prices [2] - The price of crude oil also saw an increase, rising by 2.92% to $56.74 per barrel, following the U.S. blockade of oil tankers entering Venezuela [2] - Both gold and silver have shown remarkable performance this year, with increases exceeding 65% and 100% respectively, and there is an expectation for further price increases in precious metals through 2026 according to the Bank of Montreal [2]

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2) Core View of the Report - CBOT soybean futures rose for the second consecutive trading day on December 11, 2025, mainly due to active technical buying, U.S. soybean sales to China, and price support from neighboring corn and wheat futures [1][3]. - As of the week ending November 13, 2025, the net sales volume of U.S. soybeans for the 2025/26 marketing year was 695,598 tons, close to the lower limit of market expectations. Traders continued to focus on China's purchasing situation [3]. - The trend strength of soybean meal is +1, indicating a relatively strong trend, while the trend strength of soybean No. 1 is 0, indicating a neutral trend [3]. 3) Summary by Related Catalogs [Fundamental Tracking] - **Futures Prices**: DCE soybean meal 2605 closed at 2750 yuan/ton during the day session and 2770 yuan/ton during the night session, with a daily increase of 0 (+0.00%) and a night - session increase of 16 (+0.58%); DCE soybean No. 1 2601 closed at 4173 yuan/ton during the day session and 4148 yuan/ton during the night session, with a decrease of 19 (-0.46%). CBOT soybean 01 closed at 1093.75 cents per bushel, up 1.75 (+0.16%); CBOT soybean meal 01 closed at 302.2 dollars per short ton, up 1.3 (+0.43%) [1]. - **Spot Basis**: The spot basis of soybean meal in different regions varied. For example, in Shandong, the basis for 12 - January was M2601 + 30/+60, up 20 to 50 compared to the previous day; in Zhangjiagang Dafu, the price was 3040 - 3090 yuan/ton [1]. - **Industrial Data**: The trading volume of soybean meal was 12.85 million tons per day, compared with 14.67 million tons per day in the previous trading day. The inventory was 104.55 million tons per week, compared with 107.34 million tons per week in the previous week [1]. [Macroeconomic and Industry News] - According to Beijing Derunlin on December 12, 2025, CBOT soybean futures rose on December 11 due to active technical buying, U.S. soybean sales to China, and price support from neighboring corn and wheat futures [1][3]. - As of the week ending November 13, 2025, the net sales volume of U.S. soybeans for the 2025/26 marketing year was 695,598 tons, compared with 510,554 tons in the previous week. The U.S. Department of Agriculture confirmed that private exporters reported sales of 26.4 million tons of U.S. soybeans to China and 22.6 million tons to unknown destinations for delivery in the 2025/26 marketing year [3]. [Trend Strength] - The trend strength of soybean meal is +1, and the trend strength of soybean No. 1 is 0, mainly referring to the price fluctuations of the main - contract futures during the day session on the reporting day [3].

Group 1: Futures Market - On December 10, ICE cotton futures rose, supported by technical buying, with the most active March cotton futures contract increasing by 0.26 cents or 0.41%, settling at 64.12 cents per pound [1] - The USDA's December supply and demand report indicated a 1% increase in U.S. cotton production to 14.3 million bales, due to upward adjustments in production estimates for the southeastern U.S. and Delta regions [1] - Global cotton production for the 2025/26 season is estimated at 119.79 million bales, slightly down from the previous estimate of 120.08 million bales [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - The ICE deliverable 2 cotton contract inventory remained stable at 13,971 bales as of December 9 [3] - The Cotlook A Index on December 10 was reported at 73.95 cents per pound, an increase of 25 points [4] - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut is expected to support consumer spending, which may boost demand for cotton and textile products [2]

Core Viewpoint - The intensification of geopolitical risks has heightened market risk aversion, leading to a technical rebound in gold prices after a significant decline of approximately 6.7% over the previous two trading days [1] Group 1 - As of the close on Thursday (23rd), the December gold futures price on the New York Mercantile Exchange settled at $4145.6 per ounce, reflecting an increase of 1.97% [1]

Group 1 - The price of December gold futures reached a historical high of $4263.40 per ounce, driven by ongoing safe-haven demand and technical buying [1] - Short-sellers in the gold market are choosing to remain on the sidelines, avoiding aggressive positions [1] Group 2 - U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen indicated that if China suspends its strict new export controls on rare earth elements, the U.S. may extend the pause on tariffs on Chinese goods for more than three months [2] - The latest Federal Reserve Beige Book reported that U.S. economic activity has remained stable, with employment levels generally steady, but consumer spending has slightly declined amid rising prices [2] - There are mixed views on economic growth prospects, with some respondents expecting demand to rebound in the next 6 to 12 months, while others cite risks such as prolonged government shutdowns [2] Group 3 - The bullish sentiment in December gold futures is currently strong, with the next target for bulls being to push prices above the key resistance level of $4300.00 [3] - The first resistance level is at $4275.00, with further resistance at $4300.00; the first support level is at the overnight low of $4214.50, with additional support at $4200.00 [3]

Core Viewpoint - Stable demand for safe-haven assets and technical buying continue to drive gold prices higher, with commodity gold ETFs rising over 2% in early trading [1]. Group 1: Gold Price Movement - Gold ETFs experienced a broad increase of over 2% in early trading due to market influences [1]. - Specific gold ETF prices and their respective changes include: - Gold Fund ETF T+0: 9.451, up 0.255 (2.77%) [2] - Shanghai Gold ETF T+0: 9.878, up 0.263 (2.74%) [2] - Other notable ETFs also showed similar increases, with most around 2.6% to 2.7% [2]. Group 2: Market Influences - Analysts suggest that the ongoing U.S. government "shutdown" and political instability in France are contributing to increased safe-haven buying [2]. - The Federal Reserve's "Beige Book" indicates that U.S. economic activity has remained stable, with slight declines in consumer spending and rising prices, reinforcing expectations for at least two more rate cuts in the coming months [3].