本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 事件： 绿城服务2025年上半年核心经营利润同比增长25% 绿城服务发布2025年中期业绩报告，期内实现营收93亿元，同比增长6.1%（公司在2024年出售MAG，计算同 比时，对2024年上半年的收入数据进行重列，使之不包含终止经营的业务，下同），实现毛利18亿元，同比增 长8.9%，毛利率19.5%，同比提升0.5pct；核心经营利润（毛利-行政开支-营销开支）10.7亿元，同比增长 25.3%；归母净利润6.1亿元，同比增长22.6%。 查看完整报告 点击注册小程序 特别申明： 2) 外拓聚焦核心区域，新拓项目质量较高。2025年上半年，公司物业管理新拓项目年饱和营收15.2亿元，其中 非住宅占比52.5%，新拓展项目平均物管单价为3.7元/月/㎡，项目整体质量 ...

牛市来了还没上车？上天天基金APP搜索777注册即可领500元券包，优选基金10元起投！限量发放！先到先得！ 中信证券：并不是散户市 从各类资金情况来看，此轮行情持续到现在主要的发起者和推动者并非散户。事实上本轮行情从起步到加速，核心线索都是围绕产业趋势和业绩。既然都是 聪明的钱入场占主导地位，就不能执迷于类比过往行情走势。目前全市场结算资金占流通市值的比例尚在合理区间，赚钱效应仍在持续积累。随着2020年至 2021年发行的产品整体步入盈亏平衡区域，市场会有个新旧资金接力的过程。未来行情的延续需要的是新的配置线索，而不是拘泥于"钱多"和流动性。 配置上，依然建议聚焦在有真实利润兑现或者强产业趋势的行业，如资源、创新药、游戏和军工；从短期的利润兑现度的角度来看，开始关注化工，逐步增 配一些"反内卷+出海"品种；9月消费电子板块也值得关注。 华泰证券：新高后市场如何演绎？ 上周市场创新高，充裕流动性仍是行情的主要基底。近期居民存款搬家的叙事构成了国内流动性改善的积极信号，后续或仍有空间。短期来看，判断市场顶 部的意义和胜率都不算高，配置上应保持仓位、顺势择线、适度内部高低切换。节奏上后续即便出现调整，幅度也不会 ...

变化正在出现：站在指数新高看行情未来驱动 受制于低景气度的大部分权重资产仍在估值低位，因此，盈利改善预期的兑现显然是下个阶段市场的主 要驱动。而在经过今年以来的"反内卷"后，企业净利率的下限已经确认(2025年2月)，宏观层面上PPI- PPIRM所代表的企业利润空间也在修复，同时，截至7月份，二产用电量已经连续5个月修复，换言 之，"量"、"利"的修复已经持续了整个二季度，目前公布的中报能够一定程度上佐证盈利改善的扩散。 往后看，降息周期开启或将使上述改善加速，8月在降息预期大幅升温的背景下，欧美制造业PMI均超 预期，而金融条件的宽松从历史上来看将加强制造业强于服务业的特征，在这一特征下，单位GDP的实 物消耗会明显上升，实物资产需求迎来顺风；其次，欧美"供应链安全"诉求下的制造业投资或成为下一 个阶段的主线，替代已经持续2年高增且与科技巨头经营性现金流净额增速走势相背离的AI投资。全球 的定价分水岭出现：从巨头经营现金流驱动的AI投资走向利率下行带来的更广义的制造业投资。 下一站：制造业顺周期 智通财经APP获悉，国金证券发布研究报告称，在市场创10年新高之际，投资者不应该陷入"存款搬 家"的自我循环论 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong performance in the first half of 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit, indicating a positive outlook for both domestic and international markets [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 7.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.1% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 800 million yuan, up 15.7% year-on-year [1] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 740 million yuan, reflecting a 24.5% year-on-year growth [1] - In Q2 2025, the company generated operating revenue of 2.98 billion yuan from yeast and deep processing products, representing an 11.7% increase [1] - The gross profit margin for H1 2025 was 26.1%, an increase of 1.8 percentage points year-on-year, with Q2 2025 gross profit margin at 26.2%, up 2.3 percentage points year-on-year [1] Market Dynamics - Domestic demand is expected to continue improving, while the overseas market is showing strong expansion [1] - The company is the largest YE supplier globally and the second-largest yeast supplier, with total yeast production capacity exceeding 450,000 tons and production bases in 16 cities worldwide [1] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendation - The company forecasts EPS of 1.78 yuan, 2.07 yuan, and 2.39 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to dynamic PE ratios of 21x, 18x, and 16x [1] - The investment recommendation is to maintain a "buy" rating [1]

投资咨询业务资格: 证监许可【2011】1292号 2025年8月20日 | | 不锈钢 | SS2510 | 盘面震荡走弱,成本支撑需求仍有拖累 | 主力参考12800-13500 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 原油 | SC2510 | 俄乌问题缓和预期进一步增加,远期供应宽松拖累油价偏弱运 行 | 建议偏空思路对待,跨月建议逢低做扩10-11/12 月差, WTI下方支撑给到[60,61],布伦特在 [63,64],SC在[470,480];期权端等待波动放 | | | | | | 大后做扩机会,仅供参考 | | | 尿素 | UR2601 | 消息面推升隐含波动率,后市需跟踪出口集港变化情况 | 盘面反弹后,短期看多需谨慎,若后续无更多实质 利好驱动则转向逢高空,短期上方阻力位给到 1850-1870 | | | PX | PX2511 | 供需压力整体不大且需求端预期好转,PX低位存支撑 | 短期在6600-6900震荡对待;PX-SC价差低位做 | | | | | | 扩为主 | | | PTA | TA2601 | 低加工费但成本端支撑有限,短期PT ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is currently "No Rating" [1] Core Views - The company has shown a revenue increase of 20.1% year-on-year in H1 2025, reaching 4.122 billion yuan, although the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 47.7% to 122 million yuan [2][3] - The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in demand and a bottoming out of pulp prices, leading to potential improvements in profitability in Q3 2025 [3] - The company is accelerating its capacity expansion, with a total designed capacity of 2.444 million tons as of H1 2025, which includes various product categories [5] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company's revenue from different product categories was as follows: food packaging paper at 1.308 billion yuan (down 18.2%), daily consumer series at 1.157 billion yuan (down 1.7%), cultural paper at 447 million yuan (down 12.7%), and industrial packaging paper at 1.079 billion yuan (new category) [4] - The gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 7.7%, a decrease of 3.6 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 2.7%, down 3.1 percentage points year-on-year [5] - The company’s operating cash flow for Q2 2025 was -17 million yuan, indicating short-term fluctuations, but the operational capability remains stable with inventory turnover days at 50.15 [6] Profit Forecast - The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is expected to be 321 million yuan, 520 million yuan, and 699 million yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 18.5X, 11.4X, and 8.5X [6][7]

Core Viewpoint - Cemtrex, Inc. has shown operational improvements in its fiscal third quarter of 2025, with revenue growth and reduced operating losses, although it still reported a net loss attributable to shareholders. Group 1: Revenue and Earnings Performance - Cemtrex reported third-quarter fiscal 2025 revenues of $16.9 million, a 15.5% increase from $14.7 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Security revenues surged 22.4% to $7.6 million, while Industrial Services revenues rose 10.5% to $9.4 million [2] - Gross profit increased by 25.4% to $7.4 million, with margins improving to 43% from 40% [2] - The operating loss narrowed significantly to $0.6 million from $3.2 million in the prior year [2] Group 2: Net Loss and Shareholder Impact - Cemtrex reported a net loss attributable to shareholders of $4.5 million, compared to $8.9 million in the prior-year period, resulting in a loss per share of $1.78 against a much steeper $605.49 loss per share a year ago [3] Group 3: Nine-Month Performance Metrics - For the nine-month period, revenues advanced 18.9% to $57.9 million, driven by a 28% gain in Security revenues to $30 million [4] - Industrial Services revenues rose 10.5% to $27.9 million [4] - Gross profit jumped 26.8% to $25.2 million, with margins expanding to 44% from 41% [4] - The company swung to an operating income of $1.7 million from a prior-year operating loss of $4.9 million [4] Group 4: Liquidity and Financial Position - Cash and equivalents increased to $8.1 million as of June 30, 2025, up from $5.4 million at the end of fiscal 2024 [5] - Working capital was $4.9 million as of June 30, 2025, compared to $8.1 million as of September 30, 2024 [5] Group 5: Management Commentary - CEO Saagar Govil highlighted strengthened profitability, nearly 20% sales growth, margin gains, and improved operating income [6] - Both business segments are executing effectively, with Security benefiting from strong demand for Vicon solutions [6] Group 6: Factors Influencing Results - The quarter benefited from robust order flow in the Security segment, including a record-breaking Vicon order [7] - Operating expenses declined by 11.5% to $8 million from $9.1 million a year earlier [7] Group 7: Non-Operational Charges - Net losses widened due to non-operational charges, including a $3.6 million impact from changes in the fair value of warrant liabilities [8] Group 8: Future Guidance - Cemtrex did not provide specific forward guidance for revenues or earnings but expressed confidence in sustaining momentum into the next fiscal year [9] Group 9: Other Developments - Cemtrex invested $100,000 in MasterpieceVR during the nine months ended June 30, 2025 [11]

Core Viewpoint - Huazhong Securities issued a buy rating for Stone Technology (688169.SH) based on its Q2 2025 performance report, highlighting significant revenue growth despite a decline in net profit [2] Group 1: Financial Performance - Q2 revenue reached 4.475 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 73.8% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 410 million yuan, showing a year-on-year decrease of 43.2% [2] Group 2: Revenue Analysis - Revenue growth was driven by government subsidies, increased market share in Europe and Asia, and a doubling of floor cleaning machine sales [2] Group 3: Profit Analysis - The profitability of sweeping and floor cleaning machines improved on a quarter-on-quarter basis [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report indicates an improvement in net profit driven by domestic and international factors, leading to an upward revision of profit forecasts [2][6] - The company has shown resilience in its financial performance despite challenges such as tariff impacts and weak demand for raw materials [2][3] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.15 yuan per share, corresponding to a dividend payout ratio of 57.67% and an annualized dividend yield of 5.37% [2] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company's revenue, net profit attributable to the parent, and net profit excluding non-recurring items were 3.591 billion, 390 million, and 360 million yuan respectively, showing year-on-year growth of -9.99%, 67.53%, and 236.33% [2] - In the second quarter of 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.860 billion yuan, net profit of 217 million yuan, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 213 million yuan, with year-on-year growth of -13.70%, 42.03%, and 85.94% [2] - The company's gross margin and net profit margin for the first half of 2025 were 15.20% and 10.86%, respectively, reflecting year-on-year increases of 5.20 and 5.03 percentage points [4] Regional Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's revenue from international and domestic markets was 2.722 billion and 869 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year declines of 9.08% and 12.71% [3] - The net profit margin for the company's operations in Vietnam improved to 10.74%, a year-on-year increase of 3.67 percentage points, indicating a recovery in profitability since the second quarter of 2024 [3] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from a favorable tariff environment, with 77% of its production capacity located in Vietnam, which may lead to an increase in order share [6] - The revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 8.144 billion, 8.648 billion, and 9.158 billion yuan, respectively [6][7] - The net profit forecasts for the same period are revised to 732 million, 843 million, and 965 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS estimates of 0.49, 0.56, and 0.64 yuan [7][8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Huazhong Securities has given a "buy" rating to Aorijin (002701.SZ) based on its recent announcement regarding the investment in overseas production lines [2] - The company is actively expanding into international markets, which is expected to enhance its profitability [2] - The metal packaging industry is experiencing accelerated consolidation, and the trend against internal competition is likely to support profit recovery [2]