以京东为例，在国补使用方式上，消费者只需三步便能轻松获取2026国补省钱体验。第一步，打开京东 APP，搜索"国家补贴"，即可抵达国补主会场；第二步，点击进入对应省市，按照页面提示领取国补资 格；第三步，消费者可在会场浏览选购，也可直接搜索国补商品完成下单，完成国补减免！ 此外，京东MALL、京东电器城市旗舰店、京东之家、京东家电专卖店等线下渠道等同步展开国补承 接。1月1日起，消费者可直接前往就近京东门店，咨询国补导购进行国补核销与下单。 在提升国补体验方面，京东可额外为消费者提供家电品类的旧机回收补贴，"送、装、拆、收"一体化服 务，以及"三免四不限"服务（即旧机免费上门、免费拆卸、免费搬运；不限旧机购买渠道、不限品牌、 不限年限、不限品相）。此外，京东可为3C数码品类送货上门的同时，完成现场签收、现场激活，让 消费者足不出户换新机。 12月30日，国家发展改革委、财政部印发的《关于2026年实施大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换新政策的 通知》正式发布，明确2026年"两新"政策的支持范围、补贴标准和工作要求。 针对家电品类，个人消费者购买冰箱、洗衣机、电视、空调、电脑、热水器等6类家电中1级能效或水效 标准 ...

Group 1: Policy Overview - The notice regarding the large-scale equipment update and consumer goods trade-in policy will be released on December 30, 2025, outlining the support scope, subsidy standards, and work requirements for the "Two New" policy in 2026 [1]. Group 2: Equipment Updates - The policy will enhance equipment updates in the livelihood sector, including the installation of elevators in old residential areas and the updating of equipment in elderly care institutions [3]. - In the safety sector, the policy will increase updates for firefighting and rescue equipment, as well as inspection and testing equipment [3]. - The policy will also focus on updating equipment in consumer infrastructure, such as commercial complexes, shopping centers, department stores, and large supermarkets [3]. - The subsidy for updating old residential elevators will be adjusted from a fixed amount to a tiered subsidy based on the number of elevator floors [7]. Group 3: Consumer Goods Trade-In - The trade-in policy for consumer goods will concentrate resources on key consumer products with a broad coverage and strong driving effect [5]. - The subsidy for scrapping old operational trucks will prioritize support for the replacement with electric trucks [8]. - The subsidy for trade-in of old cars will remain capped for automobiles, with a shift from fixed subsidies to a percentage of the vehicle price [10]. Group 4: Specific Subsidy Standards - For scrapped eligible old vehicles replaced with new energy passenger cars, a subsidy of 12% of the new car sales price (including tax) will be provided, with a maximum subsidy of 2 million [12]. - For scrapped eligible fuel passenger cars replaced with fuel passenger cars with an engine displacement of 2.0 liters or less, a subsidy of 10% of the new car sales price will be provided, with a maximum subsidy of 15,000 [13]. - For eligible trade-ins of new energy passenger cars, a subsidy of 8% of the new car sales price will be provided, with a maximum subsidy of 15,000 [15]. - The trade-in for eligible fuel passenger cars will receive a subsidy of 6% of the new car sales price, with a maximum subsidy of 13,000 [15]. Group 5: Home Appliances and Digital Products - The home appliance trade-in policy will be adjusted to provide a subsidy of 15% for products meeting the 1st-level energy efficiency or water efficiency standards, with a maximum subsidy of 1,500 per item [17][18]. - The eligible home appliances include refrigerators, washing machines, televisions, air conditioners, water heaters, and computers [18]. - The subsidy standards for digital and smart products will remain unchanged, providing a 15% subsidy for items priced under 6,000, with a maximum subsidy of 500 per item [20].

证券研究报告 | 宏观研究 gszqdatemark 2025 12 31 年 月 日 宏观点评 1、2026"两新"政策的 4 大关注点： >时点看，政策主动靠前发力，释放了抢开局、力争 2026 年经济"开 门红"的信号。2026 年"两新"通知于 2025 年 12 月 29 日提前下达， 较"2025 年 1 月 5 日下达 2025 年通知"提前了一周，清晰地释放了政策 主动靠前发力的信号，也释放了 2026 年经济"开门红"的信号。 >规模看，2026 年"以旧换新"力度可能有所退坡、总规模可能低于 2025 年的 3000 亿，节奏可能也会更平滑。2026 年首批"以旧换新" 资金为 625 亿元，低于 2025 年各季度单期规模（四个季度 810、810、 690、690 亿），再结合部分品类补贴标准的下调，指向 2026 年全年"以 旧换新"的补贴规模很可能会有所退坡、总额度可能会低于2025年的3000 亿元（（单单 4 次均为 625 亿元，对应 2026 年总补贴规模为 2500 亿元）。 此外，从节奏看，2025 年四次补贴是上半年高于下半年；而本轮首批规模 相对收敛，预示 2026 ...

投资信息如迷雾？市场节奏总踏空？那是你缺少利器！想精准捕捉研报价值？想抢占投资先机？《行研 精选》为你破局！覆盖每个交易日，从事件中发现机会，提炼研报精华，助力捕捉行业风口。 【 精选快读 】 12月30日，国家发展改革委、财政部发布《关于2026年实施大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换新政策 的通知》，其中提出：2026年将延续并优化汽车以旧换新政策，通过超长期特别国债资金支持汽车 报废更新与置换更新。 前言 一、 汽车行业再迎"国补"强心剂，春节前后板块行情或具持续性 汽车行业再迎利好政策。 12月30日，财政部 税务总局发布《关于个人销售住房增值税政策的公告》，明确2026年1月1日 起，个人（不含个体工商户中的一般纳税人，下同）将购买不足2年的住房对外销售的，按照3%的 征收率全额缴纳增值税；个人将购买2年以上（含2年）的住房对外销售的，免征增值税。 点击付费阅读，挖掘行业机会，把握投资风口！ 二、 个人销售住房增值税降了，地产链估值修复或加速 ...

瑞达期货研究院 「2025.12.31」 沪铜市场周报 假期临近库存积累，沪铜或将震荡运行 研究员:陈思嘉 期货从业资格号 F03118799 期货投资咨询 从业证书号 Z0022803 取 更 多 资 讯 关 注 我 们 获 目录 1、周度要点小结 2、期现市场 3、产业情况 「 周度要点小结」 行情回顾：沪铜主力合约周线冲高回落，周线涨跌幅为-0.49%，振幅6.74%。截止本周主力合约收盘报价98240元/吨。 后市展望：国际方面，美联储公布的12月会议纪要显示， FOMC在12月会议上同意降息，但官员们分歧严重。一些与会 者表示，根据他们的经济展望，在本次会议下调利率区间后，可能需要在一段时间内保持目标利率区间不变。国内方面， 2026年国补方案正式发布，国家发改委、财政部印发《关于2026年实施大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换新政策的通知》， 同时下达首批625亿元资金支持消费品以旧换新。基本面原料端，铜精矿TC加工指数现货小幅下行，矿紧预期持续，铜价 成本支撑逻辑坚固。供给端，在原料供给持续偏紧以及假期将至的影响下，铜冶炼产能或将逐步收敛，国内精铜供给量增 速逐渐放缓。需求端，铜价冲高回落后修复力度较 ...

Core Viewpoint - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) is optimizing policies to support more enterprises in equipment upgrades, addressing issues such as insufficient self-funding and investment thresholds that have previously limited participation [1] Group 1: Policy Optimization - The scope of equipment upgrades now covers 22 categories, encompassing most industries and fields [1] - The investment threshold for project applications has been significantly lowered, with most categories having no threshold, aimed at ensuring project quality and improving fund utilization efficiency [1] - The NDRC is enhancing supervision by collaborating with the Ministry of Finance to review equipment upgrade projects and funding expenditures, thereby accelerating project implementation and improving fund usage efficiency [1]

晨报 成材 原材料： 冯艳成 从业资格号：F3059529 投资咨询号：Z0018932 电话：010-62688516 有色金属：于梦雪 从业资格号：F03127144 投资咨询号：Z0020161 电话：021-20857653 成文时间： 2025 年 12 月 31 日 逻辑：2026 年国补方案正式发布，国家发改委、财政部印发《关于 2026 年实施大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换新政策的通知》，同时下达 首批 625 亿元资金支持消费品以旧换新。2026 年国补对象新增智能眼镜、 智能家居等智能产品，剔除家装、电动自行车两大类。购买新车按车价补 贴 12%或 10%，补贴上限仍延续 2025 年标准。财政部、税务总局发布公告， 自 2026 年起，个人将购买不足 2 年的住房对外销售的，增值税征收率从 此前的 5%下调至 3%，满两年及以上的免征增值税。 证监许可【2011】1452 号 成材：驱动不强 震荡运行 整理 投资咨询业务资格： 负责人：赵 毅 从业资格号：F3059924 投资咨询号：Z0002978 电话：010-62688526 成 材：武秋婷 从业资格号：F3078638 投资咨询号 ...

Report Summary 1. New Policies and Their Impacts - The 2026 national subsidy program for consumer goods replacement is released, with 62.5 billion yuan in initial funds. The subsidy scope for home appliances is narrowed to 6 categories, and new smart products are added while home decoration and electric bicycles are removed. New car purchase subsidies remain at previous limits with 12% or 10% of the car price [2]. - Starting from 2026, the VAT rate for selling homes bought less than 2 years ago is reduced from 5% to 3%, and those bought 2 years or more are tax - free. This policy is expected to boost second - hand housing transactions but may increase supply and put pressure on housing prices [2]. 2. Market Performance A - share Market - The Shanghai Composite Index closed flat, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.49%, and the total trading volume of the two markets was 21423.26 billion yuan, an increase of 29.88 billion yuan from the previous trading day. The ChiNext Index rose 0.63%, and the STAR 50 Index rose 1.01% [3]. - The total A - share market capitalization is 108.82 trillion yuan, an increase of 22.96 trillion yuan from the beginning of the year. The cumulative trading volume this year is 418.14 trillion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of 17278.49 billion yuan [17]. Global Markets - European stocks and Hong Kong stocks led the gains. The Hang Seng Tech Index rose 1.74%, the FTSE MIB in Italy rose 1.14%, and the Hang Seng Index rose 0.86%. US, Japanese, South Korean, and Saudi Arabian stock indices led the decline, with the Saudi All - Share Index falling 1.03% [3]. Interest Rates and Exchange Rates - The 10 - year Chinese Treasury bond yield is 1.8537%, a change of - 0.8 BP. The average daily prices of R001 and R007 in the inter - bank market are 1.3782% and 2.062% respectively [3]. - The US dollar index closed at 98.2181, up 0.23%. The US dollar to offshore RMB exchange rate is 6.9923, with the offshore RMB appreciating 57 basis points [3][4]. 3. Sector Performance - The top - performing sectors are petrochemicals, automobiles, non - ferrous metals, and machinery, with gains of 2.63%, 1.35%, 1.31%, and 1.29% respectively. The under - performing sectors are commerce and retail, real estate, public utilities, and social services, with losses of 1.56%, 1.22%, 1.14%, and 1.13% respectively [3]. - The top three sectors in terms of daily net inflow of funds are household appliances, automobiles, and machinery. The top three sectors with net inflow of funds at the end of the day are national defense and military industry, non - ferrous metals, and non - banking finance [25]. - The top - performing themes are Yushu Robotics, reducers, and humanoid robots [25].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No specific investment rating for the industry is provided in the report [1][2][3] 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The subsidy for the new-for-old replacement of lithium carbonate meets expectations, and the power demand still has support [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Finance issued a notice on implementing large-scale equipment updates and new-for-old replacement policies for consumer goods in 2026, with support for automobile scrapping and replacement updates, including different subsidy standards for purchasing new energy and fuel vehicles [3] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Data**: For the 2601 contract, the closing price is 119,540 yuan, the trading volume is 9,368 lots, and the open interest is 15,739 lots; for the 2605 contract, the closing price is 121,580 yuan, the trading volume is 459,530 lots, and the open interest is 511,309 lots [1] - **Warehouse Receipts**: The warehouse receipt volume is 19,491 lots, with an increase of 1,300 lots compared to the previous day [1] - **Basis**: The basis between the spot and the 2601 contract is -1,540 yuan, and the basis between the 2601 and 2605 contracts is -2,040 yuan [1] - **Raw Materials**: The price of spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) is 1,545 US dollars, and the price of lithium mica (2.0% - 2.5%) is 3,400 yuan [1] - **Lithium Salts**: The price of battery-grade lithium carbonate is 118,000 yuan, and the price of industrial-grade lithium carbonate is 115,000 yuan [1] - **Related Products in the Industrial Chain**: The price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) is 45,220 yuan, and the price of ternary material 523 (polycrystalline/consumer type) is 166,450 yuan [1] 3.2 Macro and Industry News - The SMM battery-grade lithium carbonate index price is 115,809 yuan/ton, a decrease of 1,204 yuan/ton compared to the previous working day; the average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate is 118,000 yuan/ton, and the average price of industrial-grade lithium carbonate is 115,000 yuan/ton, both remaining unchanged from the previous working day [2] 3.3 Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of lithium carbonate is 0, indicating a neutral stance [3]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The mid - term outlook for the black building materials industry is "Oscillation" [7] 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The policy tone of large - scale equipment renewal and consumer goods trade - in in 2026 is positive. The steel market is in the off - season with inventory reduction, and the fundamentals have limited contradictions. The iron ore has high inventory and potential storage fee pressure, and the coke and coal markets are affected by factors such as production resumption expectations and supply - demand changes. The glass and soda ash markets are facing supply - demand imbalances [1][2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Iron Element - Iron ore: The iron water output is basically stable, the port inventory is continuously accumulating, and the upstream - downstream game is strong. The short - term ore price is expected to oscillate. The spot price is weak, and the port trading volume has increased [2][9]. - Scrap steel: The supply and demand of scrap steel are both weak. The steel mills' inventory is high, and the restocking has slowed down. The spot price of scrap steel has limited upward momentum, and the spot market is expected to follow the price cut of leading steel enterprises in East China [2][11]. 3.2 Carbon Element - Coke: The cost of coke has shown signs of stabilization. After the four - round price cut is implemented, the spot price is expected to stabilize, and the futures price is expected to oscillate following coking coal. As the downstream winter storage replenishment starts, the supply - demand structure may gradually tighten [2][13]. - Coking coal: As the year - end approaches, the winter storage intensity increases, and the supply pressure will be alleviated. The fundamentals of coking coal will continue to improve marginally, and the futures and spot prices still have upward momentum [2][13]. 3.3 Alloys - Manganese silicon: With the expected new supply in Inner Mongolia, the supply - demand pattern of manganese silicon is expected to be further loosened. The cost still supports the price, and the futures price is expected to oscillate around the cost valuation in the medium term [3][18]. - Ferrosilicon: Low supply and low inventory support the price of ferrosilicon, but the price cut of coke restricts its upward space. The demand has not increased significantly, and the futures price is expected to oscillate around the cost valuation [3][19]. 3.4 Glass and Soda Ash - Glass: There are still expectations of supply disturbances, but the inventory of the mid - and downstream is moderately high, and the supply - demand is currently in excess. If there is no more cold - repair by the end of the year, the high inventory will suppress the price; otherwise, the price will rise [3][14]. - Soda ash: The overall supply - demand is in excess. In the short term, it is expected to oscillate, and in the long term, the supply - excess pattern will intensify, and the price center will continue to decline [3][17].