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地缘阴云与宽松预期交织 黄金强势格局有望延续
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-09-24 02:18
摘要现货黄金周二(9月23日)日K收涨。现货黄金周二再度创下纪录新高至3790.97美元/盎司,最终收 于3763.93美元,涨幅达0.46%。一方面,美联储降息预期的持续发酵为金市注入强劲动力;另一方面, 地缘政治紧张局势的升级进一步激发了投资者的避险需求。 现货黄金周二(9月23日)日K收涨。现货黄金周二再度创下纪录新高至3790.97美元/盎司,最终收于 3763.93美元,涨幅达0.46%。一方面,美联储降息预期的持续发酵为金市注入强劲动力;另一方面,地 缘政治紧张局势的升级进一步激发了投资者的避险需求。 【要闻速递】 昨日黄金市场早盘开盘在3746.1的位置后行情先回落,日线最低给到了3736.5的位置后行情强势震荡拉 升,日线最高触及到了3791.4的历史新高位置后行情获利了结调整,日线最终收线在了3764.6的位置 后,日线以一根上影线很长的类倒锤头形态收线。 而这样的形态收尾后,今日的行情在日线上有一定的调整压力,今日2782空保守2785空止损2789,目标 看2760和2750,跌破看2740和2732。 当不确定性成为当下时代的主旋律时,投资者出于本能,纷纷探寻能够抵御风险的资产"避风港 ...
纽约金价23日历史性突破3800美元关口
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-24 00:56
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that gold prices have reached a historic high of over $3,800, driven by safe-haven demand and expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1] - On September 23, 2023, the most actively traded December 2025 gold futures closed at $3,796.9 per ounce, up $15.7 from the previous trading day, with a settlement price of $3,815.7 and an intraday high of $3,824.6 [1] - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's remarks did not provide a clear path for interest rate cuts, but the market interpreted them as supportive of further easing, which is expected to sustain the upward trend in gold prices [1] Group 2 - Christopher Wood, Jefferies' global equity strategy head, believes that despite strong gold performance year-to-date, there is still more upside potential in the coming months [2] - Independent analyst Ross Norman indicated that the dovish views of the new Federal Reserve governor, Milan, will likely intensify expectations for further rate cuts, which is a positive factor for gold prices [2] Group 3 - The strong rise in gold prices has also positively impacted the performance of other precious metals [3] - Although December silver futures closed slightly down at $44.265 per ounce, it reached a new high of $44.77, the highest since May 2011, during intraday trading [3] - Platinum and palladium prices in the London market also surged over 4% on the same day [3]
【环球财经】避险需求和宽松预期支撑 纽约金价23日历史性突破3800美元关口
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-24 00:09
Core Viewpoint - The New York gold price has reached a historic high of over $3,800, driven by safe-haven demand and expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2][3]. Group 1: Gold Market Dynamics - On September 23, the most actively traded December 2025 gold futures closed at $3,796.9 per ounce, up $15.7 from the previous trading day, marking a 0.42% increase [2]. - The settlement price was reported at $3,815.7, with an intraday high of $3,824.6 [2]. - Despite Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech not providing a clear interest rate cut path, the market interpreted his comments as supportive of further monetary easing, which is expected to sustain the upward trend in gold prices [2][3]. Group 2: Geopolitical Influences - Concerns over the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict have intensified, contributing to increased safe-haven buying of gold [2]. Group 3: Analyst Perspectives - Analysts remain optimistic about the short-term outlook for precious metals, with Jefferies' global equity strategy head, Christopher Wood, suggesting that there is still more room for gold prices to rise in the coming months [3]. - Independent analyst Ross Norman indicated that the dovish views of the new Federal Reserve governor, Milan, are likely to heighten expectations for further rate cuts, which would be favorable for gold prices [3]. Group 4: Performance of Other Precious Metals - The strong rise in gold prices has also positively impacted the performance of other precious metals [4]. - Although December silver futures closed slightly down by 5 cents at $44.265 per ounce, it reached a new high of $44.77, the highest since May 2011, during the trading session [4]. - Platinum and palladium prices in the London market also saw significant increases of over 4% on the same day [4].
美联储降息、避险及投资需求 新一轮贵金属狂潮来临?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-23 16:36
金银比翼同飞之际,以大宗商品全球主管马克西米利安·莱顿(Maximilian Layton)为首的花旗策略师团 队预测:"在美联储新鸽派领导层在2026年5~6月上任的前景、美国实际利率下降及美元承压的推动下, 黄金和白银的牛市行情将进一步扩大,并最终在2026年延伸至铜和铝领域。" 金价再创新高,开启长牛模式 23日,金价涨至3790美元/盎司,此前两个交易日连续上涨。 本轮金价上涨最直接的引擎,无疑是市场对美联储将进一步降息的强烈预期。虽然美联储主席鲍威尔仍 强调未来降息路径将保持谨慎,但市场仍预计美联储未来将大幅降息。 瑞士宝盛新世纪思维研究主管曼克(Carsten Menke)在本次降息前后对一财记者表示,过去几周,货 币政策无疑是投资需求增加的主要推动力,短线交易员与市场跟风者担心自己会错过这一波上涨,进一 步推动了投资需求的增长。同时,美国经济正显示出明显的降温迹象,提高了市场对美国降息和美元走 软的预期。由于美国总统特朗普持续施加压力,市场担心美联储的独立性。此外,除了投资需求增加的 强劲支撑外,我们预计在当前的季节性疲软之后,央行将重新加强购买。因此,我们坚持对黄金持建设 性看法。 美联储上周 ...
全球视角 | 金银比翼同比飞!三大因素共振催化新一轮贵金属狂潮?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-23 09:03
Group 1: Gold Market Insights - Gold prices reached a historic high of $3749.27 per ounce, driven by strong expectations for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and increased investment demand [2][4] - The recent increase in gold prices is attributed to market concerns over the Fed's independence and signs of a cooling U.S. economy, which have heightened expectations for rate cuts and a weaker dollar [4][5] - Analysts predict that the gold bull market will continue, with potential prices reaching $3800 per ounce in the next three months and possibly exceeding $4000 per ounce under certain economic scenarios [6] Group 2: Silver Market Dynamics - Silver prices have also surged, nearing $44 per ounce, with a year-to-date increase of over 40%, supported by rising investment demand and favorable market conditions [7][8] - The silver market is experiencing a dual logic of financial and industrial demand, with its applications in electronics and renewable energy driving further interest [7][8] - Analysts note that the silver market is more volatile than gold, making it more susceptible to sharp price fluctuations, which could impact industrial demand [8] Group 3: Broader Precious Metals Outlook - Citigroup's strategists forecast that the bull market for gold and silver will extend to copper and aluminum by 2026, indicating a new cycle of precious metal price increases [9] - Factors driving this outlook include concerns over the U.S. labor market, trade policy uncertainties, and expectations of a weaker dollar, particularly with a potentially more dovish Fed leadership in 2026 [9][10] - UBS highlights that supply constraints and increased demand are expected to drive copper prices up, with a projected target price of $11,000 per ton by 2026 due to a significant supply-demand gap [10]
【利得基金】9月降息落地,金价还有支撑吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-23 08:26
2025年初买的黄金,赚疯了! 2025年无疑是黄金的大年,仅在前三个季度,国际黄金就已上演一场"史诗级"行情。根据Wind数据统计,伦敦现货黄金价格从2024年最后一个交易日的 2624.16美元/盎司,一路飙升至2025年9月16日盘中3702.93美元/盎司,涨幅超过40%。 如果有人在年初布局黄金并坚定持有,那轻松跑赢一些基金和理财产品则不成问题。 数据来源:Wind、统计截至:2025/9/17 这一轮黄金的强势上涨,可谓占尽"天时、地利、人和"。 年初特朗普就任美国总统后,市场对其政策不确定性的担忧迅速发酵,伦敦现货金价在1月突破2800美元/盎司、2月站上2900美元/盎司关口。随后,美国 债务问题与地缘政治风险轮番助推,黄金作为传统避险资产持续受到资金青睐。 然而,真正点燃金价行情的,是特朗普挑起的全球关税摩擦。进入4月,市场对贸易冲突的担忧达到高峰,国际金价单月实现"三级跳",连续突破3300美 元/盎司、3400美元/盎司和3500美元/盎司三大整数关口,强势尽显。 随后的四个月,尽管中东地缘冲突等事件不时扰动,但由于前期涨势过大,金价进入高位震荡整固阶段。 图片来源:利得研究院 "靴子" ...
金银比翼同比飞!美联储降息预期、避险加投资需求引发新一轮贵金属狂潮?
第一财经· 2025-09-23 04:50
2025.09. 23 本文字数:3022,阅读时长大约5分钟 作者 | 第一财经 后歆桐 封面图来源 | 新华社 美联储降息预期、避险需求叠加投资热情,推动金价在今日(23日)亚太交易时段再创3749.27美 元/盎司的历史新高。白银也连续上涨三日,逼近44美元/盎司的逾14年新高。市场正密切关注白银能 否突破1980年1月的历史收盘高点48.70美元/盎司。 金银比翼同飞之际,以大宗商品全球主管马克西米利安·莱顿(Maximilian Layton)为首的花旗策略 师团队预测,"在美联储新鸽派领导层在2026年5~6月上任的前景、美国实际利率下降及美元承压的 推动下,黄金和白银的牛市行情将进一步扩大,并最终在2026年延伸至铜和铝领域。" 美联储上周降息25个基点后,上周五黄金交易所交易基金(ETF)持有量以三年多来最快的速度增 长。美元指数周一下跌0.36%,回吐了上周五全部涨幅,结束三连涨。由于黄金以美元计价,美元的 疲软使得持有其他货币的投资者购买黄金的成本降低,从而扩大了全球范围内的需求。 金价又又又创新高,开启长牛模式 金价今日微涨至3749.27美元/盎司,此前两个交易日连续上涨。 本轮金价上 ...
金银比翼同比飞!美联储降息预期、避险加投资需求引发新一轮贵金属狂潮?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-09-23 04:08
更多分析师加入看多更多贵金属行列。 美联储降息预期、避险需求叠加投资热情,推动金价在今日(23日)亚太交易时段再创3749.27美元/盎司的历史 新高。白银也连续上涨三日,逼近44美元/盎司的逾14年新高。市场正密切关注白银能否突破1980年1月的历史收 盘高点48.70美元/盎司。 金银比翼同飞之际,以大宗商品全球主管马克西米利安·莱顿(Maximilian Layton)为首德花旗策略师团队预 测,"在美联储新鸽派领导层在2026年5~6月上任的前景、美国实际利率下降及美元承压的推动下,黄金和白银的 牛市行情将进一步扩大,并最终在2026年延伸至铜和铝领域。" 金价又又又创新高,开启长牛模式 金价今日微涨至3749.27美元/盎司,此前两个交易日连续上涨。 本轮金价上涨最直接的引擎,无疑来自于市场对美联储将进一步降息的强烈预期。虽然美联储主席鲍威尔仍强调 未来降息路径将保持谨慎,但市场仍预计美联储未来将大幅降息。 瑞士宝盛新世纪思维研究主管曼克(Carsten Menke)在降息前后对一财记者表示,过去几周,货币政策无疑是投 资需求增加的主要推动力,短线交易员与市场跟风者担心自己会错过这一波上涨,进一步推 ...
帮主郑重财经解读:大宗商品分化!黄金创新高,油价微跌,铜价稳在哪?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-23 02:51
各位老铁,我是帮主郑重!跟大家盯了20年财经,专做中长线投资,今儿凌晨翻大宗商品数据,发现这市场还真有点"几家欢喜"的意思——黄金直接飙到 历史新高,油价却悄悄微跌,铜价倒是稳得很。这仨核心品种走势分化,背后藏着不少跟咱们投资相关的信号,咱今儿就用聊天的方式,把这事儿捋明 白。 先说说原油,周一算是小跌了一点,10月到期的WTI原油收在62.64美元每桶,11月更活跃的合约还低点儿,62.28美元;布伦特原油也跌了0.2%,收在 66.57美元。为啥跌?主要是投资者在"算账":一边是欧盟要对俄罗斯石油搞新制裁,据说重点盯着第三国的石油企业,连印度几家公司都可能波及;另 一边是乌克兰周六袭击了俄罗斯的能源设施,连干线输油管道的泵站都给破坏了,之前还打了两座炼油厂。 听着好像挺紧张,但业内人看得明白——就像瑞典北欧斯安银行那分析师说的,乌克兰这袭击能对冲点利空,但强度还不够,没到能让俄罗斯石油基础 设施出大问题、影响长期供应的地步。而且从8月初到现在,油价一直卡在5美元的波动区间里没动,BOK Financial的专家也说了,想打破这区间,美欧 得在制裁俄罗斯买家上达成一致,不然光靠对俄加制裁,效果有限。咱做中长 ...
希尔威金属矿业(SVM.US)收涨逾17% 黄金白银携手狂奔
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-23 02:39
希尔威金属矿业(SVM.US)周一收涨17.27%,报6.11美元,该股今年以来累计上涨104%。 消息面上,周一,纽约商品交易所12月交割的黄金期货价格上涨69.30美元,涨幅1.9%,收于每盎司 3775.10美元,创下最活跃合约有记录以来的最高收盘价。这是黄金今年以来第36次刷新历史收盘纪 录,年初至今累计涨幅已达到43%,远超1980年经通胀调整后的历史高点。 白银价格也在持续上涨,现货白银周一涨至43.8美元/盎司,创下逾14年新高。随着美联储放松政策、 各大央行增持储备以及持续的地缘政治紧张局势助推避险需求,黄金和白银在多重利好因素支撑下跻身 年内表现最佳的大宗商品之列。此外,白银还因光伏等绿色产业的强劲需求,面临持续的供应缺口。 值得一提的是,公开资料显示,公司El Domo项目目前正处于建设阶段,该项目富含铜、金、银等多种 金属,一方面该项目将帮助希尔威降低对白银、铅锌等原有主力金属价格的过度依赖,实现金属多元 化;其次,根据可行性研究,El Domo项目投产后,在10年矿山寿命期内,预计年均产量约2.1万吨铜当 量,有望成为强大的利润增长点。 ...