AI基金汇添富红利增长混合A（006259）披露2025年一季报，第一季度基金利润2156.16万元，加权平均基金份额本期利润0.0396元。报告期内，基金净值增 长率为2.35%，截至一季度末，基金规模为8.7亿元。 该基金属于偏股混合型基金。截至4月24日，单位净值为1.514元。基金经理是劳杰男和黄耀锋，目前共同管理2只基金近一年均为正收益。其中，截至4月24 日，汇添富红利增长混合A近一年复权单位净值增长率最高，达5.86%；汇添富研究优选灵活配置混合最低，为4.16%。 基金管理人在一季报中表示，从基本面来看，一季度全 A 盈利预期开始改善，但盈利明显修复仍要等到通胀等价格指标修复，且在关税影响出口的情况 下，盈利预期或有波动。风格方面，关税压制短期风险偏好，波动率抬升、资金倾向于防御，红利风格或相对跑赢。后续随着内需的修复，其顺周期属性有 望跟随经济修复获得估值上升。本基金依然秉持行业配置相对均衡，在红利组合中优选成长估值匹配度较高、具有长期价值的优质企业。 截至4月24日，汇添富红利增长混合A近三个月复权单位净值增长率为3.04%，位于同类可比基金61/256；近半年复权单位净值增长率为-0.5 ...

Core Insights - The market has shown fluctuations since February 2025, influenced by macroeconomic fundamentals and expectations of loose fiscal and monetary policies, leading to a defensive and growth sector rotation strategy [3] - The Hongli Low Volatility 100 ETF closely tracks the CSI Hongli Low Volatility 100 Index, which selects 100 stocks with good liquidity, continuous dividends, high dividend yields, and low volatility [3][4] - The Hongli Low Volatility 100 ETF has seen significant growth in both scale and shares, ranking second among comparable funds in terms of new scale and shares added [3] Market Performance - As of May 7, 2025, the CSI Hongli Low Volatility 100 Index rose by 0.56%, with notable increases in stocks such as Xi'an Bank (3.48%) and China Bank (1.82%) [2] - The Hongli Low Volatility 100 ETF's latest price is reported at 1.03 yuan, with a trading volume of 662.70 million yuan and a turnover rate of 0.74% [2] Fund Flow and Returns - The Hongli Low Volatility 100 ETF experienced a net inflow of 408.05 million yuan recently, accumulating a total of 4,922.78 million yuan over the past 19 trading days [4] - The ETF's net value increased by 5.63% over the past year, ranking first among comparable funds, with a maximum monthly return of 15.11% since inception [4] Risk and Fee Structure - The Hongli Low Volatility 100 ETF has the lowest management fee rate of 0.15% and a custody fee of 0.05% among comparable funds [4] - The maximum drawdown for the ETF this year is 6.18%, which is the smallest among comparable funds [4] Top Holdings - As of April 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Hongli Low Volatility 100 Index account for 19.66% of the index, including companies like Jizhong Energy and Daqin Railway [5]

未经许可，不得转载或者引用。 投资要点 本周复盘总结： 四月第4周交强险44.2万辆，环比上周/上月周度+16.9%/-6.4%。 本周SW汽车指数+0.5%，细分 板块涨跌幅排序: SW汽车零部件(+2.3%) >SW摩托车及其他(+1.8%) >SＷ商用载货车(+1.2%) >SW汽车(+0.5%)>重卡指数(+0.2%) > SW乘用车(-2.6%)> SW商用载客车(-3.5%) 。本周已覆盖 标的零跑汽车、耐世特、明阳科技、理想汽车-W、中鼎股份涨幅较好。 本周团队研究成果： 外发比亚迪、长安汽车、广汽集团、宇通客车、均胜电子、江淮汽车、沪 光股份、金龙汽车、华阳集团、中国汽研、长华集团、拓普集团、赛力斯、上汽集团、北汽蓝 谷、瑞玛精密、经纬恒润、中鼎股份、华域汽车、中国重汽、爱柯迪、一汽解放、福田汽车 2025一季报点评，德赛西威简报。 本周行业核心变化： 1） 4月小鹏共交付新车35045台车，同比增长273%； 2） 上汽集团2025Q1公司实现营业总收 入1,408.6亿元，同环比分别-2%/-29%；归母净利润30.2亿元，同比+11%；扣非后归母净利润 28.5亿元，同比+34%； 3） ...

未经许可，不得转载或者引用。 投资要点 本周复盘总结 ： 四月第三周交强险37.8万辆，环比上周/上月周度+10.8%/-19.9%。 本周SW汽车指数+4.9%，细 分板块涨跌幅排序: SW商用载客车(+6.6%)＞ SW汽车零部件(+5.7%)> SW汽车(+4.9%)>SW乘用 车(+3.9%)>SＷ商用载货车(+3.85%)> 重卡指数(+3.79%)>SW摩托车及其他(+2.6%)。本周已覆盖 标的 蔚来-SW、耐世特、春风动力、长华集团、爱柯迪涨幅较好。 本周团队研究成果： 外发深度报告《看好Robotaxi商业化落地拐点已至》；银轮股份、拓普集 团、松原安全、伯特利2024年报点评；瑞鹄模具、旭升集团2025年一季报点评。 本周行业核心变化： 1） 特斯拉2025Q1实现营收193.35亿美元，同环比-9.2%/-24.8%，实现归母净利润4.09亿美元， 同环比-70.6%/-80.8%； 2） 长城汽车2025Q1实现营收400.19亿元，同环比-6.6%/-33.2%，实现 归母净利润17.51亿元，同环比-45.7%/-22.7%； 3） 问界M8上市四天大定突破5万台； 4） 比亚 迪 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the automotive sector, indicating a continued bullish sentiment towards the industry [3][46]. Core Insights - The automotive sector is experiencing a rebound, with a week-on-week increase of 10.8% in passenger car insurance registrations, signaling a recovery in demand [2][46]. - The report highlights the importance of AI integration and the dual focus on innovation and traditional growth strategies within the automotive industry [3]. - Key automotive companies such as Tesla, BYD, and Great Wall Motors have shown varying performance in Q1 2025, with Tesla reporting a revenue of $19.335 billion, a decrease of 9.2% quarter-on-quarter [2][3]. Summary by Sections Weekly Review - The SW automotive index increased by 4.9% this week, with commercial passenger vehicles leading the gains at +6.6% [2]. - Notable stock performances include NIO, Nastec, and Chuanfeng Power, which have shown significant price increases [2][24]. Industry Changes - Tesla's Q1 2025 revenue was $19.335 billion, down 9.2% quarter-on-quarter, while BYD reported a revenue of 170.4 billion yuan, up 36% quarter-on-quarter [2][3]. - The report anticipates a strong demand for passenger vehicles due to new scrappage policies, projecting a retail sales volume of 23.83 million units in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4.7% [47][48]. Market Trends - The report emphasizes the ongoing competition in smart driving technology, predicting that L3 automation will see significant adoption among mainstream automakers by 2025 [50]. - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles is expected to reach 62% by 2025, reflecting a growing trend towards electrification in the automotive market [48][51]. Stock Recommendations - The report suggests a focus on companies that are leading in AI and electrification, recommending stocks such as Xpeng, Li Auto, and BYD for A-shares, and NIO for Hong Kong shares [3][46].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the automotive sector, indicating a continued bullish sentiment towards the industry [3][46]. Core Insights - The automotive sector is experiencing a rebound, with a week-on-week increase of 10.8% in passenger car insurance registrations, signaling a recovery in demand [2][46]. - The report highlights the importance of AI integration and the coexistence of growth styles within the automotive industry, suggesting that these factors will drive future performance [3][52]. - Key automotive companies such as Tesla, BYD, and Great Wall Motors have shown varying revenue and profit trends, with BYD reporting a significant year-on-year revenue increase of 36% [2][47]. Summary by Sections Weekly Review - The automotive index increased by 4.9% this week, with commercial passenger vehicles leading the gains at 6.6% [2][3]. - Notable stock performances include NIO, Nanchang, and Chuanfeng Power, which have shown strong price increases [2][24]. Industry Changes - Tesla's Q1 2025 revenue was reported at $19.335 billion, reflecting a decline of 9.2% quarter-on-quarter and 24.8% year-on-year, with a net profit drop of 70.6% [2][3]. - BYD's Q1 2025 revenue reached 170.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36%, with net profit doubling compared to the previous year [2][47]. - The report anticipates a total retail sales volume of 23.83 million vehicles in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.7% [47][48]. Market Trends - The report emphasizes the ongoing shift towards electric vehicles, with a penetration rate of 53.3% for new energy vehicles in the latest week [46]. - The expected growth in the commercial vehicle segment is supported by domestic demand and potential policy incentives, projecting a 16.3% increase in heavy truck registrations in 2025 [52][57]. Company Performance - Top-performing stocks in the automotive sector include NIO, which has seen a significant increase in orders for its new model, the Wanjie M8, surpassing 50,000 units within four days of launch [2][3]. - The report suggests a focus on companies that are leading in AI and electric vehicle technology, such as Xpeng, Li Auto, and BYD, as key investment opportunities [3][52].

投资要点 本周复盘总结： 四月第二周交强险34.2万辆，环比上周/上月周度+3.8%/-17.8%。 本周SW汽车指数-5.5%，细 分板块涨跌幅排序: SW商用载客车(+2.2%)> SW摩托车及其他(+1.3%) ＞ SＷ商用载货车 (+0.2%) > 重卡指数(-0.4%) > SW汽车(-0.8%)> SW乘用车(-1.0%) ＞ SW汽车零部件(-1.2%) 。本 周已覆盖标的 亚太股份、明阳科技、苏轴股份、中国汽研和蔚来-W 涨幅较好。 本周团队研究成果：外发深度报告《小鹏汽车核心竞争力剖析》，客车、重卡月报，继峰股 份、长安汽车、福耀玻璃、春风动力Q1季报点评。 未经许可，不得转载或者引用。 除了大盘本身波动之外，市场对汽车近期担忧主要是三方面：1）小米事故引发对汽车智能化β 的降温；2）贸易战升级担心汽车尤其零部件出海业务的盈利性；3）担心头部车企降价引发新 一轮国内价格战。 本周行业核心变化： 1） 小鹏举行全球热爱之夜暨2025X9发布会，明确图灵芯片、增程、飞行汽车、机器人规划， 发布2025款小鹏X9； 2） 4月16日上汽集团与华为联合发布全新品牌"SAIC尚界"，双方在智能 汽车领 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the automotive sector, emphasizing continued optimism for the automotive industry [3][5]. Core Insights - The automotive sector is experiencing a rebound, with a week-on-week increase of 3.8% in passenger car insurance registrations, totaling 342,000 units [2][44]. - The report highlights significant developments in the industry, including the launch of new models and partnerships aimed at enhancing smart vehicle capabilities [2][3]. - The report anticipates a strong demand for passenger vehicles in 2025, projecting a retail sales volume of 23.83 million units, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.7% [45][46]. Summary by Sections Weekly Review - The automotive index decreased by 5.5% this week, with the best-performing segments being commercial passenger vehicles (+2.2%) and motorcycles (+1.3%) [2][15]. - Key companies such as Asia-Pacific Holdings, Mingyang Technology, and Suzhou Axle showed notable gains this week [2][23]. Industry Changes - Key events include the launch of the 2025 XPeng X9 and the establishment of a new brand "SAIC Shangjie" through a partnership between SAIC Group and Huawei [2][3]. - The report notes the introduction of new models like the Leapmotor B01 and the Enjoy S9 range extender, indicating a focus on innovation and market expansion [2][3]. Market Trends - The report identifies three main concerns affecting the automotive market: the impact of recent accidents on smart driving technology, trade tensions affecting profitability, and the potential for a new price war among leading manufacturers [3]. - Despite these concerns, the report argues that the smart driving regulations will improve industry health and that the price competition is a normal aspect of the automotive market [3]. Sales Forecast - The report forecasts a total of 2.383 million passenger vehicles sold in 2025, with a significant increase in the penetration rate of new energy vehicles expected to reach 62% [46][49]. - The report also predicts a strong performance in the heavy truck segment, with an expected increase in sales volume to 1.01 million units in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12% [50][55]. Company Tracking - The report tracks key companies in the sector, noting significant developments such as XPeng's new model launch and the establishment of strategic partnerships aimed at enhancing technological capabilities [2][57].

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the commercial vehicle industry, focusing on the performance and outlook of various companies within this sector, particularly regarding sales trends and policy impacts. Key Points and Arguments Market Cycle and Outlook - The current market cycle is viewed as being in a neutral position, with expectations of an upward trend lasting approximately 20 years, potentially extending to 2028 or beyond [1] - The overall sentiment in the commercial vehicle sector is cautiously optimistic, with a recommendation for stakeholders to remain actively engaged [1] Sales Data Analysis - The wholesale sales for January and February showed a year-on-year decline of about 2%, influenced by the timing of the Spring Festival, which affected comparability with previous years [2] - Inventory levels increased, with 25,000 units added in the current year compared to 47,000 units in the previous year, indicating a significant change in market dynamics [2] Export Performance - The export market has shown resilience despite challenges, with structural impacts from geopolitical events, particularly the conflict in Russia affecting supply chains [3] - The growth in the export of new energy vehicles was highlighted, with a notable increase of over 50% year-on-year in February [13] Policy Impact - The implementation of state-owned enterprise policies is expected to gradually take effect from mid-March, with potential sales boosts estimated between 400,000 to 700,000 units [6] - The current policy environment is described as a "policy window," with many provinces yet to fully implement new regulations [8] Company-Specific Insights - Yutong's sales in January and February were impacted by seasonal factors, but there are signs of recovery in March, with expectations of over 20% growth in exports [15] - Jinlong's sales performance was exceptionally strong, particularly in exports, with a threefold increase year-on-year in January and February due to backlog orders from the previous year [17] - The financial performance of companies like Zhongtong is projected to improve significantly, with expectations of turning profits in the coming months [19] Investment Recommendations - The conference emphasized the potential for investment in companies like Yutong and Jinlong, which are expected to benefit from domestic demand recovery and export growth [21] - The overall sentiment suggests a favorable outlook for the commercial vehicle sector, with specific companies identified as key investment opportunities based on their performance and market positioning [21] Additional Important Content - The discussion included insights into the cyclical nature of the market, with expectations of a return to mid-cycle levels before potentially breaking through to higher growth [9] - The importance of understanding structural and seasonal factors in sales data was reiterated, emphasizing the need for careful analysis when interpreting market trends [5] - The call concluded with an invitation for further engagement and inquiries regarding detailed company models and market analyses [21]

文 ｜ 祖国鹏 我们跟踪的样本煤炭上市公司，2 0 2 5Q1净利润平均同比降幅或在2 6%，动力煤龙头公司跌幅较 少。今年以来行业供给保持宽松，煤价虽然跌幅较大，但在初步的成本支撑下或逐步见底。目前板 块龙头公司的红利水平依然具备吸引力，随着对煤价的悲观预期消化，待红利风格强化，板块有望 启动新的行情。 ▍ 2 0 2 5年Q1各煤种均价同比、环比继续下移，同比降幅超过2 0%。 2 0 2 5年一季度，各煤种均价环比降幅平均约为1 5%，同比降幅约为2 1%。其中作为动力煤标杆煤 价的秦港5 5 0 0大卡动力煤市场价平均约在7 3 0元/吨，同比下降约1 9%；但相应的年度长协煤价同 比仅下降2 . 6%。焦煤价格降幅最大，一季度市场煤均价同比下降超过4 0%，而焦煤长协价格同比 下降2 5%。无烟煤均价跌幅最小，同比降幅平均约在4%，主要是同期基数较低。 ▍ 2 0 2 5年Q1我们跟踪的样本上市公司净利润同比下滑约2 6%，或低于行业平均降幅。 国家统计局数据显示，2 0 2 5年前2月，煤炭开采和洗选业规模以上企业实现利润总额5 0 6 . 6亿元， 同比下降4 7 . 3%。我们预计主要跟踪的煤 ...