以下文章来源于申万宏源策略 ，作者申万宏源策略 申万宏源策略 . 我们强调体系性、实战性 一、美伊冲突僵局，风险偏好持续承压，关注支持"第一阶段上涨"的资金短期集中退坡(行业ETF规模收缩，年金减仓避免净值损失，"固收+"减 仓和赎回)，这使得，眼前可能已经是压力最大阶段。行稳致远政策发力在情理之中，需注意行稳致远结构与绝对收益减仓结构可能存在差异， 构成尾部风险。 我们依然提示，中期变数被低估：1. 对中美而言，货币紧缩应对输入性通胀都是下策。提升通胀容忍度是大概率。2. 美国经济有韧性，中国经济 有腾挪空间，衰退不是基准假设。3. 地缘政治僵局，中国能源安全、供应链安全可能是全球Alpha。即便，美伊冲突中期仍有反复，对A股的冲 击逐步减弱是大概率。 美伊冲突陷入僵局，各界对中东新秩序的准备均不足。但新平衡的形成，仍需要长时间的博弈。这体现为，短期事件性扰动仍在反复，资本市场 风险偏好直接承压。短期市场推演美伊冲突影响，主要类比两次石油危机的经验：油价上涨，运费提升 → 通胀升温 → 货币紧缩 → 经济衰退， 确认滞胀周期 → 股市基本面和估值共振回落。这样的逻辑链条，短期无法证伪。同时，我们关注，支持" ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided regarding the report industry investment rating. 2. Core Views of the Report - The report systematically sorts out the 2026 government work reports of 27 provinces, 4 municipalities directly under the Central Government, and 5 planned -单列 cities, aiming to understand the industrial development plans and key points in 2026 [5][16]. - New quality productivity is an important consensus for local industrial development, with artificial intelligence and new energy being the two most penetrative main lines. Each province is accelerating the formation of distinctive industries [8][37]. - In 2026, artificial intelligence has relatively greater development potential as it is the most frequently mentioned keyword in the 36 provincial government work reports [8][20]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Focus on the Government Work Report to Anchor the Investment Direction in 2026 3.1.1 How to View the Industrial Development Plan in the Government Work Report? - In 2026, as the starting year of the 15th Five - Year Plan, a series of policies will be accelerated to promote high - quality economic development. The report further sorts out the specific development plans of key industries in the 2026 government work reports of various provinces [15]. - The government work report reflects the annual development strategies of each region based on its resource endowment and industrial foundation, and provides an objective basis for market players to understand policy capital flows and judge industrial pattern changes [16]. 3.1.2 View the Industrial Development Direction in the Government Work Report from Multiple Perspectives 3.1.2.1 Industry Perspective: Which Industries are Frequently Mentioned in the 2026 Government Work Reports of Various Provinces? - In the 2026 government work reports of 36 provinces and important cities, popular keywords such as artificial intelligence, automobile, computing power, chemical industry, new materials, digital economy, modern service, equipment manufacturing, and low - altitude economy are frequently mentioned. Among them, artificial intelligence is mentioned 160 times, ranking first [20]. - The report clarifies the concepts of advanced manufacturing, strategic emerging industries, and future industries. Advanced manufacturing includes strategic emerging industries, strategic emerging industries are part of emerging industries that can grow into leading or pillar industries, and future industries are the "tomorrow" of strategic emerging industries [21][26]. 3.1.2.2 Regional Perspective: What are the Top Three Key Industries to be Developed in the 2026 Government Work Reports of Various Provinces? - From a common trend perspective, new quality productivity is an important consensus for local industrial development, with artificial intelligence and new energy being the two most penetrative main lines. Regionally, each province is forming distinctive industries [37]. - Resource - based provinces such as Shanxi, Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, and Xinjiang extend to downstream high - value - added links and cultivate new growth points in culture and tourism and logistics [7][37]. - Economically developed provinces and coastal cities such as Guangdong, Jiangsu, Shanghai, Zhejiang, and Shandong focus on high - end and globalization, and seize the top of the global value chain in frontier fields [7][38]. - Ecological and agricultural provinces such as Yunnan, Heilongjiang, Jilin, and Henan upgrade characteristic industries and efficiently transform production capacity on the basis of ensuring food security [7][38]. - Hub - economic provinces such as Chongqing, Sichuan, Shaanxi, and Guangxi reshape hub functions and improve two - way opening - up levels through digital means [7][38]. - The five planned -单列 cities of Shenzhen, Ningbo, Qingdao, Dalian, and Xiamen focus on common tracks of artificial intelligence and marine economy and explore new industrial paths according to local conditions [7][38]. 3.1.2.3 Regional Perspective: How to Compare the Specific Work Arrangements of 36 Provinces and Municipalities for Strategic Emerging Industries and Future Industries in the 2026 Government Work Reports? - Regions with strong economic and scientific research capabilities such as Shenzhen and Ningbo have put forward clear quantitative development goals for strategic emerging industries [41]. - Digital economy is a popular layout track in 2026. Many provinces have put forward more specific plans for the relevant industrial revenues of the digital economy [41][42]. - Artificial intelligence is also a popular layout track in 2026. Some provinces such as Shenzhen, Qingdao, and Zhejiang have put forward more specific plans for the relevant industrial revenues of artificial intelligence [44]. - For future industries, economically more active regions show relatively stronger layout power in frontier fields [44]. 3.2 Explore New Opportunities in High - Quality Development and Explain the Industrial Development Context in the 2026 Government Work Reports of Various Provinces and Municipalities 3.2.1 North China Region (Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei, Shanxi, Inner Mongolia) - Beijing focuses on promoting the development of new quality productivity, strengthening the real economy, and developing advanced manufacturing, modern service industries, and future industries [49]. - Tianjin focuses on "three new" and "three quantities", promotes the transformation of the manufacturing industry, and builds a modern industrial system [49]. - Hebei aims to build a strong manufacturing province, promotes the development of county - level characteristic industrial clusters, and implements the "artificial intelligence +" action [49]. - Shanxi promotes energy transformation and industrial upgrading, stabilizes coal production, and develops new energy and digital economy [51]. - Inner Mongolia focuses on the real economy, promotes the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries, and develops emerging industries such as green computing power and new energy equipment [51]. 3.2.2 Northeast Region (Liaoning, Jilin, Heilongjiang) - Liaoning aims at new - type industrialization, promotes the upgrading of four trillion - level industrial bases, and develops emerging industries such as low - altitude economy and artificial intelligence [62]. - Jilin builds a characteristic modern industrial system, focuses on the development of new energy and equipment manufacturing industries, and cultivates emerging industries [62]. - Heilongjiang ensures food security and accelerates the cultivation of new quality productivity, with the strategic emerging industries' revenue expected to grow by about 15% [62]. 3.2.3 East China Region (Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Anhui, Fujian, Jiangxi, Shandong) - Shanghai strengthens the core function of the international economic center, focuses on new energy storage, construction, and the integration of culture, tourism, and business [69]. - Jiangsu takes the marine economy, energy, and digital economy as growth poles, and promotes the construction of zero - carbon parks and the "artificial intelligence +" action [70]. - Zhejiang is driven by the digital economy and artificial intelligence, with clear growth targets for the core industries of artificial intelligence and the digital economy [70]. - Anhui relies on new energy, advanced equipment manufacturing, and biomedicine, and extends to artificial intelligence and the elderly care service industry [70]. - Fujian focuses on new energy, new materials, and advanced equipment manufacturing, and develops the marine economy and modern agriculture [70]. - Jiangxi focuses on the transformation of electronic information, non - ferrous metals, and advanced equipment manufacturing, and develops emerging industries such as lithium - battery new energy and low - altitude economy [70]. - Shandong focuses on artificial intelligence, steel, and advanced equipment manufacturing, and promotes the development of the digital economy [70]. 3.2.4 Central - South Region (Henan, Hubei, Hunan, Guangdong, Guangxi, Hainan) - Henan focuses on major project investment and digital economy expansion, and consolidates the agricultural foundation [91]. - Hubei focuses on large - scale project construction and agricultural revitalization [91]. - Hunan focuses on major investment and the expansion of industrial enterprises [91]. - Guangdong promotes infrastructure upgrading and an open - type economy, and ensures agricultural supply [91]. - Guangxi takes artificial intelligence and intelligent manufacturing as the core of new quality productivity, and promotes major projects and agricultural construction [93]. - Hainan strengthens open - type economic indicators around the construction of a free trade port, and develops emerging industries and agriculture [93]. 3.2.5 Southwest Region (Sichuan, Guizhou, Yunnan, Tibet, Chongqing) - Sichuan promotes the "intelligent transformation and digital transformation" of the manufacturing industry and the empowerment of artificial intelligence, and enhances the development level of the Chengdu - Chongqing economic circle [108]. - Guizhou focuses on the development of digital industries, and also develops mountain agriculture and tourism [108]. - Yunnan strengthens resource - based industries, focuses on plateau - characteristic agriculture, and promotes innovation - driven development [108]. - Tibet builds a national clean energy base and develops Tibetan medicine [108]. - Chongqing focuses on building the Chengdu - Chongqing economic circle and a scientific and technological innovation center [108]. 3.2.6 Northwest Region (Shaanxi, Gansu, Qinghai, Ningxia, Xinjiang) - Shaanxi promotes the development of photonics, new energy, and cultural tourism industries [40]. - Gansu develops service industries, transportation, and computing power, and focuses on new energy and coal industries [40]. - Qinghai develops green - low - carbon industries, artificial intelligence, and cultural tourism, and focuses on new energy and salt - lake chemical industries [40]. - Ningxia develops tourism, modern chemical industry, and characteristic agriculture, and focuses on new energy and coal industries [40]. - Xinjiang develops modern agriculture, low - altitude economy, and cross - border e - commerce [40]. 3.2.7 Important Cities (Shenzhen, Ningbo, Qingdao, Dalian, Xiamen) - Shenzhen aims to develop strategic emerging industries and artificial intelligence, and builds a future industrial pilot zone [40][44]. - Ningbo promotes the development of strategic emerging industries, artificial intelligence, and the marine economy [40][44]. - Qingdao focuses on artificial intelligence, the marine economy, and low - altitude economy [40]. - Dalian develops software and information technology services, electronic information manufacturing, and the new energy industry [40]. - Xiamen focuses on electronic information, high - end equipment manufacturing, and new energy, and develops the marine economy [40].

Group 1 - The core focus of the Sichuan Provincial Two Sessions is on expanding domestic demand and promoting consumption and investment to achieve a good start for the 14th Five-Year Plan [2] - The government report emphasizes the importance of effective investment in stabilizing economic operations, with a call for increased investment in key areas such as the "China Dental Valley" project [2] - The integration of culture and tourism is highlighted as a key area for development, with proposals to enhance the sports event economy to drive consumption [2] Group 2 - The report outlines the need for innovation in consumer scenarios and the release of potential in county-level consumption as part of strategies to stimulate sustained consumption growth [2] - The importance of technology innovation and the integration of artificial intelligence with chip technology is emphasized as a means to overcome industrial bottlenecks [2] - The proposals include enhancing the planning and collaboration of the hydrogen energy industry to support regional economic development [3] Group 3 - The report addresses the need for a robust framework to support the development of the private economy, including optimizing the business environment and enhancing investment [3] - There is a focus on deepening reform and opening up to enhance development dynamics, with suggestions for improving cooperation between large state-owned enterprises and small private firms [3] - The report also discusses the importance of regional coordination and the development of the Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle, with proposals for enhancing collaborative mechanisms [3] Group 4 - The report highlights the need for a multi-level elderly care service network to address the challenges posed by an aging population [3] - Suggestions include improving the social burden-sharing mechanism for marriage and childbirth costs to create a more supportive environment for families [3] - The optimization of the spring and autumn holiday system for students is proposed to alleviate parental concerns and ensure effective implementation [3]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Views of the Report - Short - term pre - holiday stock index is expected to be in a strong sideways trend, accumulating strength for further upward movement. Long - term long positions in stock index futures should be held [1] - Asset shortage and weak economy are beneficial for bond futures, but the central bank has recently warned about interest rate risks. Attention should be paid to the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision [1] - Copper prices may be in a sideways and slightly upward trend; aluminum prices are likely to maintain a sideways movement; there are low - buying opportunities for alumina; zinc prices are expected to move sideways, and it is advisable to wait and see; nickel prices are in a strong sideways trend in the short - term, and long - term high global nickel inventory may still have a suppressing effect. Stainless steel futures are in a strong movement, and short - term low - buying is recommended [1] - Precious metal prices are expected to stabilize and move in a sideways range in the short - term. Platinum and palladium are expected to continue wide - range fluctuations [1] - For industrial silicon, the northwest is increasing production while the southwest is reducing it. For polysilicon, it is recommended to wait and see. For lithium carbonate, there is a need for a correction [1] - For steel products such as rebar and hot - rolled coil, it is not recommended to hold unilateral speculative positions during the holiday. For iron ore, it is not advisable to chase long at the current position. For black metals like manganese silicon and ferrosilicon, the situation is a combination of weak reality and strong expectations. For soda ash, the price is under pressure in the medium - term. For coking coal and coke, it is advisable to seize the opportunity of the price increase on the futures market to cash out the physical goods or establish a cash - and - carry arbitrage position [1] - For palm oil, it is recommended to wait and see before the holiday. For soybean oil, it is expected to move sideways in the short - term. For rapeseed oil, the subsequent supply contradiction is expected to ease. For cotton, the market is currently in a situation of "having support but no driving force". For sugar, the short - term fundamentals lack continuous driving force. For corn, it is recommended to wait and see in the short - term, and the market is expected to maintain a range - bound movement. For soybeans, it is recommended to pay attention to the low - buying opportunity of M2609 [1] - For pulp, it is advisable to wait and see. For logs, the futures price has an upward driving force [1] - For fuel oil and asphalt, the short - term supply - demand contradiction is not prominent and they follow crude oil. For rubber products such as natural rubber and BR rubber, the short - term is in a wide - range fluctuation, and BR rubber has an upward expectation in the long - term. For PTA and short - fiber, the downstream PTA industry is strong. For ethylene and glycol, the ethylene producers plan to maintain the operating rate of cracking units, and the glycol price is waiting at a low level. For pure benzene, the import demand is weak. For styrene, the spot price is supported. For water hyacinth, the upside space is limited. For methanol, it is a situation of long - short entanglement. For PP, the supply pressure is relatively large. For PVC, the future expectation is relatively optimistic. For LPG, the demand side is short - term bearish, suppressing the upward movement of the futures price [1] - For the container shipping European line, the pre - holiday freight rate has peaked and declined. The airlines are still cautious about trial resumption of flights and are expected to have a strong willingness to stop the price decline and raise prices after the off - season in March [1] 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs Macro - finance - Stock index futures: Short - term pre - holiday is expected to be in a strong sideways trend, and long - term long positions should be held [1] - Bond futures: Asset shortage and weak economy are beneficial, but the central bank has warned about interest rate risks, and attention should be paid to the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision [1] Non - ferrous metals - Copper: Pre - holiday downstream demand is weak, but copper prices may be in a sideways and slightly upward trend as market sentiment improves [1] - Aluminum: Industrial driving force is limited, and pre - holiday market risk - aversion sentiment has increased. Aluminum prices may maintain a sideways movement [1] - Alumina: Domestic operating capacity has decreased, and there are disruptions in the supply of a large - scale alumina enterprise in North China. Pay attention to low - buying opportunities [1] - Zinc: The cost center is stabilizing, and market sentiment has stabilized. Zinc prices are expected to move sideways, and it is advisable to wait and see [1] - Nickel: The US non - farm payrolls exceeded expectations, and market sentiment fluctuated. Indonesia's nickel ore quota policies have increased concerns about future supply. Short - term nickel prices are in a strong sideways trend, and there are high - inventory pressures in the long - term. It is recommended to pay attention to low - buying opportunities [1] - Stainless steel: Supply - side disturbances have emerged again, and macro sentiment is fluctuating. Stainless steel futures are in a strong movement. Short - term low - buying is recommended [1] - Tin: The short - term market sentiment has stabilized, but the price fluctuation is still large. In the short - term high - volatility situation, investors should pay attention to risk management and profit protection [1] Precious metals and new energy - Precious metals: The US non - farm payrolls in January were strong, and the interest - rate cut expectation was postponed. Due to high geopolitical uncertainties in the Middle East, precious metal prices are expected to stabilize and move in a sideways range in the short - term [1] - Platinum and palladium: The US non - farm payrolls in January were strong, and the US dollar index rebounded, suppressing the upward trend. However, fundamentals and key minerals support the prices, so they are expected to continue wide - range fluctuations in the short - term [1] - Industrial silicon: The northwest is increasing production, while the southwest is reducing it. The production schedules of polysilicon and organic silicon in December have decreased [1] - Polysilicon: It is recommended to wait and see [1] - Lithium carbonate: It is the off - season for new energy vehicles, but the energy - storage demand is strong. The price has increased significantly and needs a correction [1] Black metals - Rebar and hot - rolled coil: Spot trading is close to suspension, and futures prices are moving sideways. It is not recommended to hold unilateral speculative positions during the holiday. It is advisable to participate in the market by going long on the basis [1] - Iron ore: There is sector rotation, but there is obvious upward pressure. It is not advisable to chase long at the current position [1] - Manganese silicon and ferrosilicon: It is a combination of weak reality and strong expectations. Energy consumption dual - control and anti - involution may have an impact on supply [1] - Soda ash: It follows glass, and the medium - term supply - demand is more relaxed, so the price is under pressure [1] - Coking coal: It is the off - season for black metals, and the pre - holiday inventory replenishment is almost over. The futures market is more affected by capital sentiment. It is advisable to seize the opportunity of price increase on the futures market to cash out the physical goods or establish a cash - and - carry arbitrage position [1] - Coke: The logic is the same as that of coking coal [1] Agricultural products - Palm oil: The MPOB monthly report data has a bullish expectation difference, but the subsequent fundamentals still have pressure, which has little impact on the futures market. It is recommended to wait and see before the holiday [1] - Soybean oil: Supported by the strong movement of US soybeans, the South American weather is normal, and it is difficult to have weather - related speculation. More attention should be paid to the Sino - US soybean trade situation [1] - Rapeseed oil: The anti - dumping final ruling result of Canadian rapeseed has been released. After March, the tariff is expected to be adjusted to about 15%. Some oil mills have started purchasing, and the subsequent supply contradiction is expected to ease [1] - Cotton: The domestic new - crop harvest is expected to be good, and the purchase price of seed cotton supports the cost of lint cotton. The downstream operating rate is low, but the yarn mill inventory is not high, and there is a rigid demand for inventory replenishment. The cotton market is currently in a situation of "having support but no driving force" [1] - Sugar: There is a global surplus, and the domestic new - crop supply has increased. The short - term fundamentals lack continuous driving force, and attention should be paid to the change in the capital side [1] - Corn: Affected by the import restriction news, the futures market is strong. It is recommended to wait and see in the short - term. After the holiday, attention should be paid to the selling pressure of on - the - ground grain in the production area. The overall market is expected to maintain a range - bound movement [1] - Soybeans: The expected increase in US soybean exports has boosted the US futures market, but the decline in Brazilian basis has partially offset the impact. The domestic futures market is weaker than the overseas market. It is recommended to pay attention to the low - buying opportunity of M2609 [1] Others - Pulp: There are disturbances on the supply side, but the demand side has weakened after inventory replenishment. It is advisable to wait and see when the commodity market sentiment fluctuates greatly [1] - Logs: The spot price of logs has increased, the arrival volume in February has decreased, and the overseas quotation is expected to rise, so the futures price has an upward driving force [1] Energy and chemical industry - Fuel oil: OPEC+ has suspended production increase until the end of 2026, the Middle East geopolitical situation is uncertain, and the commodity market sentiment has cooled. The short - term supply - demand contradiction is not prominent, and it follows crude oil [1] - Asphalt: The short - term supply - demand contradiction is not prominent, following crude oil. The 14th Five - Year Plan rush - work demand is likely to be falsified, the supply of Ma瑞 crude oil is sufficient, and the asphalt profit is high [1] - Natural rubber: The raw material cost has strong support, the commodity market sentiment fluctuates, the pre - holiday downstream demand has weakened, and the futures - spot price difference has expanded to the same - period high [1] - BR rubber: The cost - end butadiene has strong bottom support, the profit of private butadiene rubber plants is still in a loss, the expectation of maintenance and production reduction has increased, the butadiene inventory is decreasing, and the high inventory of butadiene rubber is a potential negative factor. The short - term futures market is expected to fluctuate widely, and there is an upward expectation in the long - term [1] - PTA: The PX - mixed xylene price difference has narrowed to $150, PX maintains fundamental resilience during the high - level correction, and the downstream PTA industry is strong. The domestic PTA production in January is expected to reach a new high, and there is no production - reduction plan for the Spring Festival, and there is no new PTA production capacity throughout the year [1] - Ethylene and glycol: The production profit rate of naphtha cracking has declined, several Korean ethylene producers plan to maintain the operating rate of cracking units in February, and the glycol price is waiting at a low level [1] - Pure benzene: The inventory is high, and the import demand is weak. The US - Asia price difference is $88, which is not enough to open the arbitrage window [1] - Styrene: The Asian styrene price and economic situation are recovering, supported by supply tightening, unexpected Middle East shutdowns, surging export demand, and rising cost - end prices [1] - Water hyacinth: The export sentiment has eased slightly, the domestic demand is insufficient, and the upside space is limited. There is support from anti - involution and the cost end [1] - Methanol: Affected by the Iranian situation, the future import is expected to decrease, but the downstream negative feedback is obvious. It is a situation of long - short entanglement [1] - PP: The supply pressure is relatively large due to high operating load, the downstream improvement is less than expected, the price has returned to a reasonable range, and crude oil is in a slightly upward trend [1] - PVC: The global production capacity put into operation in 2026 is small, and the differential electricity price in the northwest region is expected to be implemented, forcing the elimination of PVC production capacity. The future expectation is relatively optimistic, but the current fundamentals are poor, and the export rush has slowed down stage by stage [1] - LPG: The February CP price has risen, and the March purchase is still relatively tight. The Middle East geopolitical conflict has cooled down, the short - term risk premium has declined, and the overseas cold - wave driving logic has gradually slowed down. The domestic PDH operating rate has declined, and the demand side is short - term bearish, suppressing the upward movement of the futures price [1] Shipping - Container shipping European line: The pre - holiday freight rate has peaked and declined. Airlines are still cautious about trial resumption of flights and are expected to have a strong willingness to stop the price decline and raise prices after the off - season in March [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Views of the Report - Domestic commodity futures market closed with mixed results, with precious metals leading the gains and chemicals leading the losses. Platinum rose 10.58%, while styrene fell 2.87% [1]. - The US economy shows a weak - stable total and a differentiated structure. The US manufacturing PMI in January was favorable, but the non - manufacturing sector weakened and employment data was below expectations [1]. - In China, the impact of incremental policies in Q4 2025 on the fundamentals has not been significant, but policy expectations are increasing. The manufacturing PMI in January declined, but the expectation of policy support in Q1 is strengthening [1]. - Domestic equity markets are supported by policy expectations and additional liquidity. Treasury bonds are neutral, with better short - term opportunities. Gold in precious metals is a long - term standard allocation, while silver is on hold. Non - ferrous metals are still promising, and investors can buy on dips. Black commodities are volatile, and crude oil may rise but with high uncertainty [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Performance - **Domestic Commodity Futures**: Precious metals led the gains (platinum +10.58%), basic metals all rose (Shanghai tin +6.61%), non - metallic building materials all rose (glass +0.56%), chemicals led the losses (styrene - 2.87%), most agricultural products fell (log - 1.90%), black series all fell (ferrosilicon - 1.44%), energy products all fell (low - sulfur fuel oil - 1.22%), most new energy materials fell (industrial silicon - 0.82%), shipping futures all fell (container shipping index (European line) - 0.39%), and most oilseeds fell (soybean meal - 0.33%) [1]. - **Financial Market**: On February 9, 2026, stock index futures generally rose, with CSI 1000 futures up 1.98%. Treasury bond futures also had small increases, and the US dollar index fell 0.36% [9]. - **Industry Index**: Most industries in the CITIC industry index rose on February 9, 2026. The communication industry led the gains with a daily increase of 5.07%, followed by the media industry with a 3.47% increase [10][11]. - **Overseas Commodities**: As of February 6, 2026, NYMEX WTI crude oil rose 0.33%, ICE Brent oil rose 0.81%, COMEX gold rose 2.03%, and LME copper rose 1.22% [12][13]. - **Domestic Main Commodities**: On February 9, 2026, gold rose 3.3%, silver rose 11.65%, and tin rose 7.67%. Some commodities such as styrene fell 2.24% [14][15]. 3.2 Asset Views - **Equity Market**: Policy expectations and additional liquidity provide upward support [2]. - **Treasury Bonds**: Neutral overall, with better short - term opportunities but limited odds [2]. - **Precious Metals**: Gold is a long - term standard allocation, and silver is on hold [2]. - **Non - ferrous Metals**: Promising, and investors can buy on dips after the market squeezes out the crowded trading bubble [2]. - **Black Commodities**: Volatile [2]. - **Crude Oil**: May rise due to geopolitical support, but with high uncertainty, so it is recommended to stay on the sidelines [2]. 3.3 Short - term Market Judgments - **Financial**: Stock index futures are expected to be oscillating and slightly stronger, stock index options are oscillating, and treasury bond futures are oscillating [6]. - **Precious Metals**: Gold and silver are both oscillating [6]. - **Shipping**: The container shipping European line is expected to be oscillating and slightly stronger [6]. - **Black Building Materials**: Most products such as steel, iron ore, and coke are oscillating [6]. - **Non - ferrous and New Materials**: Most non - ferrous metals are oscillating, with some showing a slightly stronger trend [6]. - **Energy and Chemicals**: Most products are oscillating [7]. - **Agriculture**: Most products are oscillating, with some showing a slightly weaker trend [7].

Group 1 - The core event is a unique job fair named "Talent Gathering in Copper City" held in Baiyin City, Gansu Province, combining job recruitment with a traditional night market to facilitate job seekers and address recruitment challenges for companies [1] - The event featured 25 companies from various industries offering over 600 job positions, including sectors such as education, transportation, and chemical industries, attracting numerous job seekers [1] - A policy consultation area was established at the event, where human resources department staff provided information on employment, entrepreneurship, and social insurance, along with distributing policy handbooks [1] Group 2 - A special "Spring Breeze Job Zone" was created to assist migrant workers, detailing cross-province employment subsidies and rights protection measures [2] - The "Future Vision Zone" showcased emerging industry projects like 3D printing and drone applications, stimulating interest among entrepreneurs [2] - The multi-layered services offered at the event aimed to meet the diverse needs of different job seeker groups, making employment assistance more precise and effective [2]

Core Insights - The naming sponsors for the 2026 Jiangsu Province Urban Football League ("Su Super") are Jiangsu Bank and Suhao Holding Group [1] - Suhao Holding Group owns five A-share listed companies, including Suhao Hongye, Suhao Fashion, Suhao Huihong, Hongye Futures, and General Shares [1] - Other sponsors for this season's "Su Super" include Hailan Home, China National Pharmaceutical Group Tai Chi, Gongchuang Lawn, and Longpan Technology [1] - The press conference also announced a selection plan for business cooperation with small and micro enterprises [1]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a collective decline on January 26, with major indices falling, while the Shanxi sector showed resilience with an overall increase [1] Market Performance - The three major indices of A-shares closed lower: Shanghai Composite Index down 0.09%, Shenzhen Component Index down 0.85%, and ChiNext Index down 0.91%; the North Star 50 fell by 1.45% [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was approximately 32,482.03 billion yuan, an increase of about 1,629.79 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Shanxi Sector Analysis - The Shanxi sector performed steadily, with an overall increase of 0.40%, and a trading volume of 18.21 billion yuan, achieving a rise against the backdrop of declining major indices [1] - Among the 41 stocks in the Shanxi sector, 24 stocks rose, 15 fell, and 2 remained flat [1] Top Gainers and Losers - Leading gainers included North Copper Industry with an increase of 8.33% and Blue Flame Holdings up 5.28%; other notable gainers included Jin Kong Coal Industry, Huayang Co., and Dongjie Intelligent, each rising over 2% [1] - The leading decliner was Huaxiang Co. with a drop of 8.49%, followed by Keda Automation down 3.15%; other significant losers included Antai Group and Cross-Border Communication, each falling over 2% [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - With policies cooling the market's speculative sentiment, raising the proportion of margin trading funds, and Central Huijin selling a large amount of broad - based index ETFs, the stock index is in shock adjustment. The policy aims for a "slow - bull" market rather than suppressing it, and the short - term shock adjustment space is expected to be limited. Long - term bulls can choose the opportunity to layout [1]. - Asset shortage and weak economy are beneficial to bond futures, but the central bank has recently warned of interest - rate risks. Attention should be paid to the Bank of Japan's interest - rate decision [1]. - With the US postponing the tax on key minerals, the short - term concern about copper hoarding has eased, and the copper price is expected to fluctuate at a high level. The aluminum price has fallen from a high level due to limited industrial drivers and weakening macro sentiment. The domestic alumina market has strong supply and weak demand, and the price is under pressure but is expected to fluctuate around the cost line [1]. - The zinc price fluctuates in a range due to the stabilization of the cost center and the appearance of inventory pressure. The nickel supply is still tight despite the announced RKAB target in 2026, and the nickel price is expected to fluctuate at a high level in the short term, affected by the resonance of the non - ferrous metal sector. Stainless steel futures have risen significantly, and attention should be paid to the actual production of steel mills and the risk of short squeezes [1]. - The tin price has corrected due to the repeated macro sentiment, but there is still upward momentum due to the vulnerability of tin - ore supply. Precious metals are supported by geopolitical and trade uncertainties, but the silver price may be weaker than the gold price. Platinum and palladium are expected to fluctuate widely in the short term, and long - platinum and short - palladium arbitrage strategies can be considered in the medium - to - long term [1]. - For industrial silicon, there is an increase in production in the northwest and a decrease in the southwest, and the production schedules of polysilicon and organic silicon in December have declined. For new - energy vehicles, it is the off - season, while the energy - storage demand is strong, and there is a rush for exports. The rebar and iron - ore prices are under pressure, and the trading strategies are to leave the market for single - side long positions and participate in cash - and - carry arbitrage [1]. - The soda - ash price is under pressure as it follows the glass market and the medium - term supply - demand is more relaxed. The coking - coal and coke prices are bearish, and the previous low - long strategy may need to be changed [1]. - Palm oil is expected to fluctuate strongly, soybean oil is recommended to be over - allocated in the oil market, and rapeseed oil is recommended to be observed. The cotton market is currently in a situation of "having support but no driver", and attention should be paid to relevant policies and market conditions in the future. The sugar market is in a global surplus, and the short - term fundamentals lack continuous drivers [1]. - The corn price is expected to fluctuate in the short term, and the soybean price is expected to fluctuate weakly. The pulp price is recommended to be observed cautiously, and the log price is expected to fluctuate in the range of 760 - 790 yuan/m³. The live - pig market has stable spot prices, and the production capacity still needs to be further released [1]. - The fuel - oil and asphalt prices are affected by multiple factors such as OPEC+ policies and geopolitical situations. The BR rubber price is in a phased correction, and the PTA, MEG, short - fiber, and styrene prices are affected by supply - demand and cost factors [1]. - The urea price has limited upward space due to weak domestic demand but is supported by anti - involution and cost. The PF price is under supply pressure and affected by geopolitical factors. The PVC price is expected to trade based on fundamentals, and the LPG price is supported by import - gas costs and has a changing inventory situation [1]. - The container - shipping price on the European route is expected to peak in mid - January, and there is still pre - holiday replenishment demand [1]. 3. Summaries According to Related Catalogs Stock Index - Policy cools speculative sentiment, and the stock index is in shock adjustment. The short - term adjustment space is limited, and long - term bulls can layout [1]. Bond Futures - Asset shortage and weak economy are beneficial, but the central bank warns of interest - rate risks. Attention to the Bank of Japan's interest - rate decision [1]. Non - Ferrous Metals - Copper: The short - term concern about hoarding eases, and the price fluctuates at a high level [1]. - Aluminum: Falls from a high level due to limited industrial drivers and weakening macro sentiment [1]. - Alumina: Strong supply and weak demand, price under pressure, expected to fluctuate around the cost line [1]. - Zinc: Fluctuates in a range due to cost and inventory factors [1]. - Nickel: Supply remains tight, price fluctuates at a high level in the short term, affected by sector resonance [1]. - Stainless Steel: Futures rise significantly, attention to production and short - squeeze risks [1]. - Tin: Corrects due to macro sentiment, but has upward momentum due to supply vulnerability [1]. Precious Metals and New Energy - Precious Metals: Supported by geopolitical and trade uncertainties, silver may be weaker than gold [1]. - Platinum and Palladium: Fluctuate widely in the short term, long - platinum and short - palladium strategies can be considered in the medium - to - long term [1]. Industrial Silicon and New - Energy Vehicles - Industrial Silicon: Production changes in different regions, polysilicon and organic silicon production schedules decline [1]. - New - Energy Vehicles: Off - season, strong energy - storage demand, rush for exports [1]. Black Metals - Rebar: Price under pressure, single - side long positions leave the market, participate in cash - and - carry arbitrage [1]. - Iron Ore: Upward pressure is obvious, not recommended to chase long [1]. - Soda Ash: Follows glass, medium - term supply - demand is more relaxed, price under pressure [1]. - Coking Coal and Coke: Bearish, previous low - long strategy may change [1]. Agricultural Products - Palm Oil: Expected to fluctuate strongly [1]. - Soybean Oil: Recommended to be over - allocated [1]. - Rapeseed Oil: Observe due to complex factors [1]. - Cotton: "Having support but no driver", attention to future policies and conditions [1]. - Sugar: Global surplus, short - term fundamentals lack continuous drivers [1]. - Corn: Expected to fluctuate in the short term [1]. - Soybean: Expected to fluctuate weakly [1]. - Pulp: Observe cautiously due to market fluctuations [1]. - Log: Expected to fluctuate in the range of 760 - 790 yuan/m³ [1]. - Live Pig: Spot prices are stable, production capacity needs further release [1]. Energy and Chemicals - Fuel Oil: Affected by OPEC+ policies and geopolitical factors [1]. - Asphalt: Affected by multiple factors such as supply - demand and profit [1]. - BR Rubber: In a phased correction, affected by supply - demand and cost [1]. - PTA: Market has a sharp rise, supported by fundamentals and demand [1]. - MEG: Rebounds due to supply - side news, demand exceeds expectations [1]. - Short - Fiber: Price follows cost closely [1]. - Styrene: Futures price rebounds due to improved fundamentals [1]. - Urea: Limited upward space, supported by anti - involution and cost [1]. - PF: Under supply pressure, affected by geopolitical factors [1]. - PVC: Expected to trade based on fundamentals, price under pressure [1]. - LPG: Supported by import - gas costs, inventory situation changes [1]. Container Shipping - European route price expected to peak in mid - January, pre - holiday replenishment demand exists [1].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant progress made by Jianyang over the past five years in transforming its development blueprint into tangible outcomes, focusing on high-quality urban-rural integration and economic growth [1]. Group 1: Development Achievements - Jianyang has risen to 79th place among the top 100 counties in China, achieving continuous improvement for five consecutive years, and has been designated as the "first county" in Sichuan Province [3]. - The city has been assigned key roles such as "international airport hub city" and "important node in the Chengdu-Chongqing development axis," reflecting its strategic importance in regional development [3]. - The urban brand image of "Tianfu Gateway, Airport Jianyang" has become increasingly prominent, enhancing the city's recognition and reputation [3]. Group 2: Economic Transformation - Jianyang is leveraging the Tianfu International Airport as a strategic resource to develop a new economic engine focused on the airport economy, aiming to convert the airport's passenger flow into urban development benefits [5][6]. - The expected revenue for enterprises in the Jianyang Airport Economic Industrial Park is projected to exceed 60 billion yuan, marking an increase of 15 billion yuan compared to the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan [6]. - The city is transitioning from a "city airport" to an "airport city," focusing on sectors such as high-end hotels, cultural tourism, and headquarters economy [6]. Group 3: Advanced Manufacturing - Jianyang is enhancing its industrial economy by focusing on advanced manufacturing, particularly in equipment manufacturing and new materials, positioning itself as a strategic growth area for Chengdu's manufacturing sector [7]. - The low-temperature equipment industry cluster in Jianyang has become a leading base for research and manufacturing in China, with a market share of 27.96% in the medical gas system sector [7][8]. - The number of industrial projects with investments exceeding 100 million yuan has significantly increased, with new projects rising to 2.5 times compared to the 13th Five-Year Plan period [8]. Group 4: Technological Innovation - Jianyang is prioritizing technological innovation to overcome development bottlenecks and enhance urban capabilities, with a focus on new industrialization and agricultural modernization [9]. - The Sichuan Air Separation Equipment Group has been recognized as a national enterprise technology center, contributing to over 200 patents and participating in the formulation of numerous national standards [9][10]. - The emergence of high-tech enterprises and innovative platforms has accelerated, with Jianyang achieving breakthroughs in various technological fields [10]. Group 5: Social Welfare and Quality of Life - Jianyang is committed to improving the quality of life for its residents through various social welfare projects, including education and healthcare initiatives [11]. - The establishment of the first Qian Xuesen class in Southwest China and the creation of over 6,000 new educational slots reflect the city's focus on enhancing educational opportunities [11]. - A comprehensive healthcare network has been developed, ensuring that residents can access medical services within a 15-minute walk, with a stable in-county treatment rate of over 90% [11].