十五五规划
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盛阅春主持召开区委书记和基层、相关领域代表座谈会:高质量编制好“十五五”规划,确保贴合市情体现民意引领发展
Chang Jiang Ri Bao· 2025-11-26 10:51
Core Points - The meeting focused on gathering opinions and suggestions for the "15th Five-Year Plan" to ensure it aligns with local conditions and reflects public sentiment [1][2] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period has seen significant achievements in Wuhan, attributed to strong leadership and the dedication of local officials and citizens [2][3] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is viewed as a critical period for achieving modernization and enhancing regional development, with an emphasis on adapting to changing environments and maintaining strategic focus [3][4] Summary by Sections - **Meeting Overview** - The meeting was chaired by the Secretary of the Municipal Party Committee, focusing on the "15th Five-Year Plan" [1][2] - Various representatives from different sectors provided input on the plan [2] - **Achievements and Leadership** - The accomplishments during the "14th Five-Year Plan" are credited to the leadership of the central government and the efforts of local officials and citizens [2][3] - **Strategic Importance of the "15th Five-Year Plan"** - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is seen as a key period for foundational work towards modernization and regional development [3] - Wuhan is positioned to leverage its opportunities during this transformative phase [3] - **Action Items and Future Planning** - Local districts are urged to finalize their contributions to the "15th Five-Year Plan" and ensure the successful completion of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [3] - Emphasis on maintaining social stability and addressing public concerns is highlighted as essential for future development [3][4]
2026年上半年期A股投资策略报告:方兴未艾,逐光而行-20251126
Dongguan Securities· 2025-11-26 09:14
Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a strong upward trend in 2025, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching 4000 points, driven by domestic policies and a rebound in the technology sector [6][15]. - The market is expected to continue its recovery in the first half of 2026, supported by improved economic fundamentals and favorable policies, despite potential short-term volatility [6][22]. - The report emphasizes the importance of strategic optimism and suggests investors focus on structural opportunities aligned with policy guidance and performance trends [6][6]. Group 2 - The report outlines three main investment themes for 2026: 1) High dividend assets with low valuations and stable earnings, particularly in sectors like finance, non-ferrous metals, public utilities, and transportation [6]. 2) Technology-driven sectors that align with the "14th Five-Year Plan," focusing on domestic substitution and innovation in areas such as semiconductors and AI [6]. 3) Domestic demand expansion, highlighting sectors like food and beverage, automotive, home appliances, and pharmaceuticals that benefit from strong domestic market strategies [6][6]. Group 3 - The report recommends overweighting sectors such as non-ferrous metals, TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), finance, power equipment, food and beverage, and machinery [6][6]. - It suggests a benchmark allocation for sectors like agriculture, automotive, transportation, public utilities, and defense [6][6].
谋篇布局“十五五”?热点问答|煤炭、石油消费何时达峰?
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-11-26 06:09
谋篇布局"十五五"·热点问答 煤炭、石油消费 何时达峰? 策划:张翀 监制:张益勇 文案/制作:石兰 "十五五"规划建议提出 推动煤炭和石油消费达峰 "十五五"时期是实现碳达峰的收官 期,作为能源供应的主体,煤炭、石油 等化石能源仍是推进碳达峰的重点领 域。 综合研判,结合我国新能源快速发展态 t ムレートリナー レーリー (责任编辑:张晓波 ) 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点,与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立,不对所包含内容的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请 读者仅作参考,并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱:news_center@staff.hexun.com ...
香港政务司:积极培育和发展新质生产力 把握大湾区机遇
智通财经网· 2025-11-26 05:51
Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong government aims to cultivate and develop local new productivity through innovative technology, promoting a new pattern of high-quality development, particularly in collaboration with Shenzhen to create a world-class technology innovation platform [1] Group 1: Government Initiatives - The government will leverage its advantages under the "one country, two systems" framework to align with the national development blueprint and seize opportunities in the Greater Bay Area [1] - The 14th Five-Year Plan's recommendations on regional development, especially regarding the Greater Bay Area, will guide the government's future work direction [1] Group 2: Economic and Technological Development - Hong Kong will enhance its role as a super connector and value enhancer between the mainland and international markets, strengthening the dual-platform function of "bringing in" and "going out" [1] - The Northern Metropolis will serve as a key engine for economic growth and technological innovation, facilitating the integration of Hong Kong with other cities in the Greater Bay Area [1]
熊园:年度策略——2026年政策展望
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-26 05:41
Core Viewpoint - The report outlines an optimistic economic outlook for 2026, emphasizing a proactive and expansionary policy stance to ensure a strong start to the "15th Five-Year Plan" with a GDP growth target around 5% [1][4][41] Policy Perspective - The main policy tone for 2026 is set to be positive and expansionary, with a focus on ensuring a good start to the "15th Five-Year Plan" [1][4] - Key strategies include promoting domestic demand, stabilizing real estate, and planning new major infrastructure projects [1][5] Monetary Policy - Monetary policy is expected to remain accommodative, with potential interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions anticipated in 2026 [2][12] - It is projected that there may be 1-2 reserve requirement ratio cuts of 50-100 basis points and 1-2 interest rate cuts of 10-20 basis points [12][15] Fiscal Policy - Fiscal policy is anticipated to be proactive and expansionary, with a projected fiscal deficit rate around 4% and special bonds reaching approximately 5 trillion [2][30] - The total fiscal expenditure is expected to reach 43 trillion, reflecting an increase of 1.13 trillion year-on-year [30][29] Economic Growth Targets - The GDP growth target for 2026 is likely to remain around 5%, with quarterly growth rates projected at 5.2%, 5.0%, 5.1%, and 4.9% respectively [4][41] - Inflation is expected to remain low, with a projected annual deflation index of around 0.1% [4] Investment Focus - The focus will be on expanding domestic demand, particularly through consumer spending, real estate stabilization, and infrastructure investment [5][29] - Specific measures to boost consumption include extending the "old-for-new" policy and enhancing service consumption [5][29] Structural Reforms - Structural reforms will continue to be emphasized, particularly in enhancing the quality of life and addressing demographic challenges [8][41] - The government aims to optimize the allocation of resources towards human investment and social welfare [8][29] Key Events Timeline - A series of important economic meetings and reports are scheduled throughout 2026, including the Central Economic Work Conference and the National People's Congress [3][4]
学习贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神丨中央宣讲团在香港宣讲
Yang Guang Wang· 2025-11-26 05:34
央广网北京11月26日消息 据中央广播电视总台中国之声《新闻和报纸摘要》报道,24日至25日, 学习贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神中央宣讲团在香港特别行政区为中央驻港机构和中资企业代表、香港 特区管治团队、社会各界人士进行了三场宣讲,并现场交流互动。 中央宣讲团围绕学习贯彻习近平总书记在党的二十届四中全会上的重要讲话精神和全会《建议》, 结合香港实际,对全会的重大意义、"十四五"时期我国发展取得的重大成就和"十五五"时期经济社会发 展的指导思想、重大原则、主要目标、战略任务和重大举措进行了全面宣讲和系统解读。 与会的香港各界人士表示,将学习好贯彻好全会精神,抢抓国家"十五五"规划带来的重大机遇,发 挥香港"背靠祖国、联通世界"独特优势和重要作用,更好融入和服务国家发展大局,开创香港长期繁荣 稳定的美好未来。 24日下午,中央宣讲团到北部都会区调研,并与园区工作人员、企业代表等进行了交流。 ...
谋篇布局“十五五”•热点问答|煤炭、石油消费何时达峰?
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-11-26 04:35
"十五五"规划建议提出 推动煤炭和石油消费达峰 "十五五"时期是实现碳达峰的收官 期,作为能源供应的主体,煤炭、石油 等化石能源仍是推进碳达峰的重点领 域。 谋篇布局"十五五"·热点问答 煤炭、石油消费 何时达峰? 文案/制作:石兰策划:张翀监制:张益勇 来源:中国经济网 综合研判,结合我国新能源快速发展态 势,化石能源消费占比将不断下降,预 计"十五五"时期煤炭、石油消费将陆 续达峰,2030年化石能源消费占比将低 于75%。 ...
香港各界:把握“十五五”机遇,开拓新发展空间
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-11-26 04:17
香港各界:把握"十五五"机遇,开拓新发展空间 中新社香港11月26日电 (记者 戴梦岚)24日至25日,中共二十届四中全会精神中央宣讲团在香港特区进 行宣讲,广大市民收看相关直播。香港各界人士在接受中新社记者采访时表示,宣讲活动有助于香港社 会深入把握国家"十五五"时期的发展机遇,推动香港积极融入和服务国家发展大局。 11月25日,中共二十届四中全会精神宣讲会在香港特区政府总部举行。中央宣讲团成员,中国科学 院院长、党组书记侯建国(右),以及中央宣讲团成员,中央财经委员会办公室副主任、中央农村工作领 导小组办公室副主任祝卫东(左)分别作宣讲。 中新社记者 李志华 摄 港区全国政协委员、港区妇联代表联谊会副会长张佐姣表示,她将积极向香港各界别,特别是广大香港 妇女同胞,深入浅出地宣讲国家的大政方针和发展规划;努力提升香港妇女的综合素质和竞争能力,鼓 励和支持她们在国家发展的新征程中展现作为,为香港发展注入更多"她力量"和"她智慧"。 中国侨联委员、宁夏回族自治区政协港澳委员阎伟宁说,听完宣讲会受益良多,更清晰地理解全会精神 对香港长远发展的重要指导意义。当前,国家正推进粤港澳大湾区建设,香港可发挥金融优势助力人 ...
洞见 | 申万宏源杨成长:建设统一信用市场 筑牢信用经济基石
申万宏源证券上海北京西路营业部· 2025-11-26 03:24
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of establishing a unified credit market as a foundation for a credit economy, highlighting the need for improved credit systems and infrastructure to enhance market efficiency and support economic development [6][10]. Group 1: Importance of Credit Market - The construction of a unified credit market is crucial for the efficient operation of the socialist market economy and the improvement of financial market functions [7][10]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" suggests building a unified, open, competitive, and orderly market system, which underscores the growing significance of the credit market in economic reforms [6][10]. Group 2: Current Challenges in Credit Market - There are four main shortcomings in the current credit market: limited accessibility to credit services, low proportion of credit financing, inadequate credit infrastructure, and insufficient credit rating and pricing [11][12][14]. - Over 90% of small and micro enterprises have never received bank loans, indicating a significant gap in credit service availability [11]. - Credit loans account for less than 40% of total loans among major banks, with a slow development of the credit bond market, where corporate credit bonds only represent 18% of total bond issuance [12][14]. Group 3: Recommendations for Improvement - The article recommends enhancing the credit infrastructure by establishing a high-standard credit information platform to facilitate efficient data sharing and application [22][23]. - It suggests breaking down regional barriers to promote credit recognition and collaborative regulation across different areas [24]. - The need for a unified credit evaluation standard system is highlighted to ensure the marketization of credit value [25]. Group 4: Role of Enterprises and Intermediaries - Enterprises are encouraged to manage credit as a core asset, integrating credit management into their strategic operations [28][29]. - Intermediary institutions should enhance their credit assessment capabilities, transitioning from static evaluations to dynamic, real-time assessments [19][25]. - The establishment of a credit service and training support system is essential to help small and medium-sized enterprises improve their credit management skills [30].
“十五五”期间赛道机遇的展望(更正)
Guotou Securities· 2025-11-26 02:40
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market - A" [1] Core Insights - The year 2026 marks the first year of the "14th Five-Year Plan" implementation, characterized by frequent mergers and acquisitions among state-owned enterprises and stronger stock performance of private enterprises compared to state-owned ones [4][11] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" has a unique aspect with the 2027 centenary of the military, potentially leading to order front-loading and structural changes [4][24] - The overall industry is returning to a value investment focus, prioritizing orders and performance, with upstream sectors expected to outperform downstream [4][23] Summary by Sections Section 1: Characteristics of the First Year of the Industry Cycle and "14th Five-Year Plan" Outlook - The first year of the five-year plan typically sees strong industry development certainty but limited stock price surprises due to prior expectations [8] - Historical data shows significant fluctuations in index performance, with the first year often experiencing a decline in EPS growth [7][9] Section 2: Outlook for Subsequent Supply and Demand - Demand is expected to show marginal improvement, while supply-side capacity is significantly increasing, indicating potential marginal shocks in certain industry segments [22] - The industry is expected to experience a recovery in sectors that underperformed during the latter half of the "14th Five-Year Plan," such as aerospace and aviation engine sectors [4][24] Section 3: Key Tracks and Structural Focus - Recommended focus areas include intelligent grouping, aerospace industry (including both aviation and commercial aerospace), and carrier-based aircraft [4][23] - Structural focus should be on aviation engines and the demand expansion and industrialization of PEEK materials [4][35]