Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of efficiently navigating through a large volume of announcements each night, highlighting the role of "Announcement Selection" in providing key insights and investment opportunities [1] - The company has successfully delivered complex functional components made of metamaterials, which are now being applied in various new-generation aerospace equipment in China [1] - The company has achieved mass production and sales of new energy carbon materials, including supercapacitor carbon and porous carbon, which are relevant for air treatment and energy storage [1] - The company plans to acquire a robotics technology development firm specializing in embodied intelligent robots, aligning with trends in smart cities and artificial intelligence [1]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report highlights three main directions: overseas expansion, AI new materials, and domestic demand in the real estate chain, characterized by "rationality and restraint" with short-term fluctuations rather than trend changes [12][13] - In the AI materials sector, domestic and international manufacturers are rapidly entering the market, leading to high-frequency positive and negative feedback. A "steady response" approach is recommended, with a focus on diversified product offerings [13] - The lithium battery sector is identified as a potential area for improvement, with notable advancements in the lithium copper foil business of Copper Crown Copper Foil and the lithium diaphragm business of China Materials Technology [3][13] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Discussion - The AI new materials sector is experiencing rational market behavior, with no significant upward adjustments in valuations or profit expectations for ongoing testing and development projects [12] - The report suggests that a "material supermarket" approach is safer than a "specialty store" model due to rapid changes in downstream industries [13] 2. Cyclical Linkage - Cement: The national average price is 355 RMB/t, down 70 RMB/t year-on-year, with a slight increase of 5 RMB/t month-on-month. The average shipment rate is 44.6% [15] - Glass: The average price of float glass is 1163.86 RMB/ton, up 16.02 RMB/ton, with a 1.40% increase. Inventory levels have increased slightly [15] - Concrete: The capacity utilization rate for concrete mixing stations is 8.15%, up 0.46 percentage points [15] 3. Market Performance (1201-1205) - The construction materials index increased by 2.61%, with notable performances in glass manufacturing (2.10%) and fiberglass (5.22%) [19] - The report indicates that the market is experiencing a mix of price increases and stability across various segments, with specific attention to the performance of leading companies in overseas markets [14][19] 4. Price Changes in Construction Materials - Cement prices have increased by 1.3% this week, particularly in East and Southwest regions, driven by rising production costs and limited time for price adjustments [29] - The float glass market is experiencing mixed price movements, with regional variations and a focus on inventory management as year-end approaches [43][44] 5. Important Developments - Recent announcements include a capital increase plan by Zhongda An and a contract signed by China Materials International for a mining project worth 2.7 billion RMB [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several key stocks in the financial and manufacturing sectors, including Green City China, Jianfa International Group, New China Life Insurance, and Bank of Communications [12][42][44]. Core Views - The report highlights the increasing pressure on corporate earnings in the short term, with a focus on the potential for export recovery in the coming year [9][10]. - The real estate sector is facing downward pressure, but there are expectations for policy support to alleviate burdens on homebuyers [11]. - The non-bank financial sector is experiencing an optimized market structure, with high growth potential in the securities industry [15]. - The banking sector is expected to see accelerated valuation reassessment driven by strong allocation forces [17]. - The new energy sector is at a bottoming phase, with attention on marginal changes in new technologies [20]. - The machinery sector is approaching mass production of humanoid robots, focusing on core supply chain targets [25]. - The military industry is expected to improve, with a focus on military trade, internal installations, and military-to-civilian transitions [27]. - The light industry is emphasizing opportunities in overseas manufacturing and high-quality domestic consumption [30]. Summary by Sections Real Estate - The real estate sector is under increasing downward pressure, particularly in core cities, with expectations for policy measures to lower home purchase thresholds [11]. - Key companies like Green City China and Jianfa International Group are highlighted for their strong land acquisition and sales performance, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 [12][14]. Non-Bank Financial - The securities industry is expected to maintain high growth, with significant improvements in insurance companies' performance [15][16]. - New China Life Insurance is noted for its leading elasticity and potential for growth in the equity market [16]. Banking - The report emphasizes the ongoing valuation repair in the banking sector, particularly for large state-owned banks and city commercial banks [17][19]. - Bank of Communications is highlighted for its low PB valuation compared to peers, indicating potential for significant upside [19]. New Energy - The new energy sector is identified as having established a bottom, with a focus on solar, storage, and lithium battery technologies [20][21]. - Companies like Sunshine Power and Siling Co. are recommended for their growth potential in the energy storage market [22][23]. Machinery - The humanoid robot sector is approaching mass production, with companies like Hengli Hydraulic expected to benefit from this trend [25][26]. Military - The military sector is projected to see upward trends in military trade and civilian applications of military technology [27][28]. Light Industry - The report emphasizes the importance of overseas manufacturing and high-quality domestic consumption opportunities, with companies like Simor International and Aorijin highlighted for their growth potential [30][32][34]. Environmental - The environmental sector is expected to benefit from carbon reduction policies and overseas expansion opportunities, with companies like Huanlan Environment and Ice Wheel Environment noted for their growth prospects [35][40][41].

「Going Global 出海周报」 是创业邦推出的出海系列栏目，旨在为出海领域的创业者和投资人精选 出海大事件、海外大公司、投融资消息，本篇 为栏目第 311 篇报道。 整理丨 Lucas 本周（1 2 月1日至1 2 月 7 日）出海大事件包括： 速卖通"黑五"期间 二轮电动车 销量增长40倍 ； Shein在法国赢了！无需关站三个月 ； 追觅科技入选"最具影响力品牌"全球榜单 ； 比亚迪王传 福 称 未来有重磅技术，将大力开拓海外市场 ； "充电宝一哥" 安克创新 冲击港交所 ； 佳能 回应 中山工厂停产 ； "iPod之父"自荐接替库克掌舵苹果 ； Meta推迟Phoenix混合现实眼镜至2027年； 美国知名机器人公司iRobot爆雷；足球巨星C罗投资Perplexity Al；三星成立AI研究院； 孙正义称 他"哭着"清仓英伟达 。 出海四小龙 速卖通"黑五"期间 二轮电动车 销量增长40倍 12月4日消息， 海外大促"黑五"期间，速卖通 的 二轮电动车销量增长约40倍。 2025年，一批二轮电动车品牌在速卖通上"悄悄爆发"，销量持续上涨。 "看到友商在速卖通上越做 越大，我们决定不再观望。"二 ...

年内A股在科技板块的提振下开启了迈向4000点的征程，但亦有部分板块未能搭上车。 多只重仓消费股的基金净值迄今为止遗憾告负，在传统消费持续不景气的背景下，部分高位加仓新消费的基金 也在个股的回撤中折损净值。 多名基金经理认为，"旧消费"在经历了长达四年的回撤后，估值已回归合理区间；新消费面临的则是高景气度 与高估值并存的现状。此外，在个股遴选中，部分基金经理提及"出海"这一关键词，并认为国产消费品牌在国 际竞争中潜力巨大，海外营收若能放量，对应当前估值水平有不少增长空间。 多只消费主题基金"躲牛市" 年内的科技牛市中，五年前的"核心资产"多数缺席，白酒、家电以及银行等板块多数涨幅有限，其中消费类个 股更是表现平平。据Wind数据，年初至今"酒类指数"跌幅超过6%，"零售指数"跌超2%，成为为数不多的下跌 板块。 因此，在多只科技股催生的"翻倍基"榜单中，还有部分消费主题产品跌幅超过10%，占据跌幅靠前位置。 以 华东某公募旗下消费主题基金 为例，上半年的两个季度内，该基金重仓股中包括了贵州茅台、五粮液和美 的集团等传统消费股，上半年跌幅达17%，下半年虽转向了消费电子但依旧走势一般。 "旧消费"不景气的同时， ...

年内A股在科技板块的提振下开启了迈向4000点的征程，但亦有部分板块未能搭上车。 多只重仓消费股的基金净值迄今为止遗憾告负，在传统消费持续不景气的背景下，部分高位加仓新消费的基金 也在个股的回撤中折损净值。 多名基金经理认为，"旧消费"在经历了长达四年的回撤后，估值已回归合理区间；新消费面临的则是高景气 度与高估值并存的现状。此外，在个股遴选中，部分基金经理提及"出海"这一关键词，并认为国产消费品牌 在国际竞争中潜力巨大，海外营收若能放量，对应当前估值水平有不少增长空间。 多只消费主题基金"躲牛市" 年内的科技牛市中，五年前的"核心资产"多数缺席，白酒、家电以及银行等板块多数涨幅有限，其中消费类 个股更是表现平平。据Wind数据，年初至今"酒类指数"跌幅超过6%，"零售指数"跌超2%，成为为数不多的 下跌板块。 因此，在多只科技股催生的"翻倍基"榜单中，还有部分消费主题产品跌幅超过10%，占据跌幅靠前位置。 以 华东某公募旗下消费主题基金 为例，上半年的两个季度内，该基金重仓股中包括了贵州茅台、五粮液和美 的集团等传统消费股，上半年跌幅达17%，下半年虽转向了消费电子但依旧走势一般。 "旧消费"不景气的同时， ...

Market Overview - In November, A-shares and Hong Kong stocks experienced a trend of high-low switching, with the ChiNext Index down 4.23% and the Hang Seng Tech Index down 5.23%[5] - The market's focus shifted towards defensive sectors as funds moved from high-valuation growth stocks to low-valuation cyclical stocks and dividend assets[5] Investment Strategy - December's market is expected to maintain an upward trend, with a short-term oscillating structure anticipated[5] - Key events include the Central Economic Work Conference and various industry conferences that may create investment opportunities[5] Key Investment Themes - Focus on "anti-involution" policies which are expected to improve industry performance, particularly in resource sectors benefiting from rising commodity prices[5] - Emphasis on overseas expansion themes, with Chinese high-end manufacturing expected to gain market share globally[5] Recommended Stocks - Zijin Mining (601899.SH) projected EPS growth from 1.21 in 2024 to 2.83 in 2027, with a PE ratio decreasing from 23.62 to 10.10[7] - Electric Power Investment (002128.SZ) expected to see EPS rise from 2.38 in 2024 to 2.75 in 2027, with a PE ratio decreasing from 10.9 to 9.45[27] Financial Performance - Zijin Mining's revenue is projected to grow from 303.64 billion yuan in 2024 to 381.84 billion yuan in 2027, with a net profit increase from 32.05 billion yuan to 75.22 billion yuan[18] - Electric Power Investment's revenue is expected to increase from 298.59 billion yuan in 2024 to 371.25 billion yuan in 2027, with net profit rising from 5.34 billion yuan to 6.17 billion yuan[27] Risk Factors - Risks include unexpected policy changes, underperformance in commercialization, and slower-than-expected product development[5]

26年仍然看好依靠"产品驱动"的相关公司 近些年，"产品驱动"的相关公司逐步走出集采的影响，企业通过加大研发投入，新产品不断落地;另一 方面，政策端也在逐步改善，"集采反内卷""鼓励创新"等政策频出，进一步引导医药产业向创新驱动转 型，更重要的是，企业伴随创新产品的不断落地，企业也逐步进入新的盈利周期，基于此，该行认为未 来"产品驱动"的相关公司的产业逻辑仍然持续。关于创新药，该行认为创新药的产业趋势仍在，25年创 新药BD出海是资本市场关注的焦点，创新药的BD不仅证明了中国创新药在全球范围内的竞争力，而且 逐步成为中国创新药出海，走向国际的重要途径，其仍然是未来创新药行业的重要方向。除此之外，创 新药相关公司的业绩兑现以及部分重点产品的临床进展，也是后续值得关注的重点。在医疗器械领域， 该行认为医疗器械产业趋势与创新药类似，仍处于底部位置，且由于医疗器械渠道壁垒等因素，未来医 疗器械的估值有望进一步扩张。 医疗服务具备韧性，26年有望逐步复苏 从今年医疗服务板块的表现看，医疗服务板块虽然表现并不亮眼，但从部分眼科公司诊疗量及手术量的 数据上看，该行认为行业已经开始逐步复苏，并且从长期来看，医疗服务板块仍然具 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that while 2025 may be challenging, 2026 is expected to be a pivotal year for China's economy, with potential growth of 6% and a new profit cycle beginning [5][9] - Major global financial institutions, such as Goldman Sachs, are recognizing China's resilience and the strength of its exports, prompting a reevaluation of global growth engines [7][8] - The article emphasizes that ordinary individuals will have significant opportunities in 2026, as economic growth often precedes public awareness [7][9] Group 2 - Three major trends are identified as driving China's economic growth: the second upgrade of manufacturing, the rise of the service industry, and the emergence of new urban growth areas [9][14][23] - The manufacturing sector is expected to see a second wave of upgrades, particularly in areas like renewable energy, electric vehicles, and robotics, making Chinese products more competitive globally [9][11] - The service industry is shifting from goods consumption to service consumption, with significant growth expected in healthcare, education, and entertainment sectors [14][20] Group 3 - The article highlights the importance of urban areas beyond first-tier cities, with emerging cities like Hefei, Qingdao, and Changsha expected to see significant growth [23][24] - Talent and industry migration towards these emerging urban areas will create new opportunities, as the value of cities will increasingly depend on industry and employment rather than real estate [25][24] - The article suggests that individuals should focus on sectors with the highest growth potential, such as new manufacturing and service industries, to capitalize on these trends [29][32] Group 4 - The article outlines actionable steps for individuals to take advantage of the upcoming opportunities in 2026, including selecting the right direction, investing in the right assets, and engaging in the right activities [28][39] - Key investment areas include sustainable growth assets, personal development, and joining growth-oriented industries, emphasizing that industry trends outweigh individual effort [40][43] - The final advice stresses the importance of aligning personal skills with emerging trends to achieve significant economic mobility [47][49]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **Liquor Industry**: Despite facing challenges, the liquor sector shows investment potential due to low inventory, low valuations, and high dividend yields. Some quality companies may have already passed their worst period, focusing on strong brands, stable demand, and refined operations [1][8]. - **Consumer Goods Sector**: The dining chain shows improvement, benefiting frozen food and seasoning companies. Rapid development in snack wholesale stores and new channels, along with new product categories like konjac, brings growth opportunities. Health products are gaining attention due to health trends [1][4]. - **Dairy Industry**: A turning point in the cost cycle is anticipated, with decreasing raw material costs like raw milk and molasses benefiting large dairy companies and alleviating price war pressures, thus restoring profits [1][6]. - **Home Appliance Industry**: The core strategy is "going overseas," with traditional categories like white and black appliances holding high market shares. Emerging categories like pool robots and lawn mowers have significant growth potential, especially in the context of the US interest rate cut cycle and markets in developing countries [1][13]. - **Textile and Apparel Industry**: The strategy is "export first, internal demand accumulation." The US interest rate cut cycle is expected to boost demand, while stable China-US tariffs favor exports. High-end markets and brands with strong aesthetic appeal are more attractive [1][18]. Investment Opportunities - **Consumer Sector**: In 2026, despite a poor performance in 2025, there are investment opportunities in both traditional and new consumption sectors. The liquor index remains low compared to the overall market, indicating potential for recovery [2]. - **Food and Beverage Sector**: Opportunities include the expansion of duty-free policies, which enhance sales potential by attracting more inbound travelers and encouraging domestic consumption [3]. - **Snacks and Health Products**: The snack industry benefits from new channels and low-calorie products, while health products are gaining traction due to increased consumer health awareness [4][5]. - **Cost Cycle Impact**: The decline in raw milk prices is expected to benefit large dairy companies, while the decrease in molasses costs will enhance profit elasticity [6][11]. Challenges and Market Dynamics - **Liquor Industry Challenges**: The liquor sector has seen a decline in demand post-Spring Festival, with some companies reporting revenue drops exceeding 50%. However, the low inventory and high dividend yields suggest that some quality companies may recover in the coming quarters [8]. - **Dining Industry Status**: The dining sector is currently in a marginal profit state, but recent data indicates a recovery trend. The overall environment is improving, providing opportunities for related companies [7]. - **Home Appliance Market**: The domestic market faces pressure, but overseas markets are expected to grow faster. Companies need to adapt to changes and seek transformation to capture growth [13][17]. Future Outlook - **Food and Beverage Investment Strategy**: Focus on quality liquor companies post-cleanup, alongside opportunities in snacks, beverages, and health products driven by new channels and cost cycle benefits [11]. - **Home Appliance Export Opportunities**: Traditional categories have high market shares, while emerging categories like pool robots present significant growth potential. The US market is expected to improve gradually [14][15]. - **Textile and Apparel Export Growth**: The US interest rate cut cycle is likely to boost demand, with companies in the textile sector showing resilience and growth potential [18][19]. Additional Insights - **Duty-Free Policy Impact**: Recent updates to the duty-free policy have expanded the customer base, significantly enhancing sales potential for duty-free products [27][29]. - **Cross-Border E-commerce Trends**: The sector is driven by new product logic, with emerging household necessities like 3D printers and AI applications expected to become significant growth drivers [34]. - **High-End Retail Trends**: The service industry is shifting towards high-quality offerings, with high-end retail and medical aesthetics showing strong performance [35].