今日必读🍟特朗普拟对芯片征收100%关税🧪广东实施卫生管控以防基孔肯雅热🎲美国对印度关税翻倍以示惩罚获取免费中文电子报《彭博财经早茶》，洞悉全球市场动态。Catch up on what's moving China's markets in our free Chinese language newsletter. https://t.co/sWxYxNftBo ...

Trade Policy & Tariffs - The US government announced a 100% tariff on all imported products containing semiconductors, with exemptions for companies that have already or explicitly committed to transferring production to the US [1] - Companies building or in the process of building factories in the US will be exempt from the semiconductor tariff [1] - Apple is expected to be largely unaffected by tariffs imposed on India [1] Investment & Production - Apple CEO confirmed an additional $100 billion investment in the US, increasing the total investment to $600 billion over the next four years [1] - Apple will significantly increase spending on its US iPhone supply chain [1] - Apple plans to build the world's largest and most advanced [1] Supply Chain Strategy - Apple is committed to optimizing its supply chain and will "do more in the US" [1]

特朗普签署对印度加征关税的行政令后，媒体援引白宫官员的话说，苹果基本不会受到针对印度的关税影响。苹果CEO库克在白宫的总统办公室确认，追加在美投资1000亿美元，即未来四年在美国的总投资额将增至6000亿美元。特朗普表示，苹果将大幅增加对iPhone美国供应链的支出，并将建造全球规模最大、最先进的智能玻璃生产线。苹果股价最终收涨近5.1%，创5月12日以来最大日涨幅。外汇交易员 (@myfxtrader):白宫宣布，美国总统特朗普因印度购买俄罗斯能源而对该国商品额外征收25%的关税，此举发生在华盛顿与莫斯科就乌克兰问题举行的会谈未能取得突破的几小时后。根据特朗普签署的行政命令，这项新的征税将叠加在即将于一夜之间实施的25%国别关税之上，并在21天内生效，即印度的关税税率升至50%。 https://t.co/f8NTSu0g5A ...

白宫宣布，美国总统特朗普因印度购买俄罗斯能源而对该国商品额外征收25%的关税，此举发生在华盛顿与莫斯科就乌克兰问题举行的会谈未能取得突破的几小时后。根据特朗普签署的行政命令，这项新的征税将叠加在即将于一夜之间实施的25%国别关税之上，并在21天内生效，即印度的关税税率升至50%。 https://t.co/f8NTSu0g5A外汇交易员 (@myfxtrader):特朗普：因为印度购买俄罗斯石油，将提高对印度的关税。 ...

凤凰网财经讯 8月6日，美股三大指数震荡整理，截至发稿，道指跌0.18%，纳指涨0.18%，标普500指数 涨0.05%。 中概股方面，霸王茶姬、亚朵集团涨超3%，搜狐、爱奇艺涨超2%，哔哩哔哩、水滴、蔚来、阿里巴巴 涨超1%；国泰航空跌超10%，美团（ADR）跌超1%。 全球要闻 尽管推出了升级版Model Y，特斯拉在欧洲主要市场的销量仍在加速恶化。据德国联邦机动车管理局 KBA数据，特斯拉7月在德国仅售出1110辆汽车，同比下降55.1%。今年前7个月累计销量为1万辆，较 去年同期暴跌57.8%。 特朗普突然发出威胁。8月5日晚间，美国总统特朗普在接受采访时表示，美国将首先对进口药品征 收"小额关税"，并在一年左右的时间内提高税率（最高250%）。特朗普称，他还将在"下周左右"宣布 对半导体和芯片征收关税，但未详细说明。 苹果(AAPL.US)涨近3% 将再投资1000亿美元用于美国制造业 特朗普称"很快宣布美联储新任主席"，机构首次定价50基点降息情景 周三，苹果(AAPL.US)涨近3%，报208.81美元。消息面上，当地时间周三，美国总统特朗普将宣布，苹 果承诺再投资1000亿美元用于美国国内制造 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - In the macro - aspect, copper prices declined from a high level this week, with COMEX copper plummeting 24% in a single week, fully closing the nearly $3000 price gap with LME copper in the past six months. Overseas non - farm data was worse than expected, and previous data was significantly revised down, increasing market expectations of US economic pressure. The Fed maintained the interest rate, and Powell's slightly hawkish stance responded to Trump's administration's pressure for rate cuts. Tariffs are gradually affecting demand. In China, the "anti - involution" movement - driven price increase has ended, but policy continuity will continue, and more implemented policies need attention. - In terms of industrial fundamentals, COMEX copper's pricing of a 50% tariff in its price is unsustainable. The US domestic and export copper trade attractiveness has decreased, affecting COMEX copper positions. After the 50% tariff on downstream primary copper products and exemption for refined copper, the $3000 price gap between US and international copper prices has rapidly converged. The flow of the US's 20 - year high copper inventory and the resulting demand shock will put pressure on international copper prices, and weak demand will be reflected in LME inventory accumulation [5][89]. Summary by Directory Macro - aspect - **PMI**: In July 2025, the manufacturing PMI of the US and Europe declined. The euro - zone's July manufacturing PMI was 49.8%, with Germany at 49.2% and France at 48.4%. The US July S&P Global manufacturing PMI was 49.5%, down 3.4 percentage points month - on - month. China's July manufacturing PMI was 49.3%, down 0.4 percentage points month - on - month, below the boom - bust line for four consecutive months. New orders and new export orders both declined, and demand sub - indicators dropped faster [14]. - **Price Performance**: During the "anti - involution" movement in July, domestic commodities generally rose, but copper prices were subdued. If the 50% copper tariff is implemented, price pressure will increase. Domestic macro - policies are driving, but overseas expectations are still insufficient, with rate - cut expectations priced in for September. The Fed's independence has been repeatedly challenged, and the market is still tracking US economic data, with the latest manufacturing PMI significantly dropping below the boom - bust line [15]. Industrial Fundamentals - **Copper Concentrate Supply** - **Global Production**: In December 2024, global copper mine production was 2.096 million tons, up 4.96% year - on - year, and 22.835 million tons for the whole year, up 2.54%. In 2025 May, it was 2.006 million tons, up 6.14% year - on - year, and 9.524 million tons from January to May, up 3.27%. In May 2025, the global refined copper market had a surplus of 97,000 tons [23]. - **China's Imports**: In December 2024, China imported 2.522 million tons of copper concentrate, up 12.3% month - on - month and 1.7% year - on - year, and 28.114 million tons for the whole year, up 2.1%. In June 2025, imports continued to decline. In May, imports were about 2.3497 million tons, up only 1.77% year - on - year, and 14.7543 million tons from January to May, up 6.4% [27]. - **TC**: On August 1, the SMM imported copper concentrate index was - $42.09 per dry ton, up $0.54 from the previous period. The SMM nine - port copper concentrate inventory was 521,600 physical tons, down 39,300 physical tons from the previous period. The 2025 long - term copper concentrate processing fee benchmark was set at $21.25 per ton and 2.125 cents per pound [31]. - **Refined Copper Production**: In July 2025, China's electrolytic copper production increased by 39,400 tons month - on - month, up 3.47% and 14.21% year - on - year. From January to July, cumulative production increased by 820,800 tons, up 11.82%. In August, due to supply shortages, production is expected to decrease by 6,000 tons month - on - month, down 0.51%, but increase by 154,800 tons year - on - year, up 15.27% [37]. - **Refined Copper Imports and Exports**: In 2024, China imported 3.7388 million tons of refined copper, up 6.49% year - on - year, and exported 457,500 tons, up 63.86%. In 2025 from January to June, imports were 1.6461 million tons, down 8.6%, and exports were 307,900 tons, up 1.97% [43]. - **Scrap Copper Supply**: In December 2024, China imported 217,500 tons of copper scrap, up 25% month - on - month and 9% year - on - year, and 2.25 million tons for the whole year, up 13.26%. In June 2025, imports were 183,200 physical tons, down 1.06% month - on - month but up 8.06% year - on - year. From January to June, imports were 1.1454 million tons, down 0.5% [48]. - **Scrap - to - Refined Copper Price Spread**: The weekly operating rate of recycled copper rods was 29.96%, up 0.67 percentage points from last week and 11.52 percentage points year - on - year. The average price spread between scrap and refined copper rods was $654 per ton this week, narrowing by $321. Due to weak terminal consumption, the inventory of recycled copper rod sample enterprises increased by 700 tons to 5,950 tons [51]. - **Consumption - end** - **Power and Grid Investment**: In 2024 from January to December, power investment was 1.168722 trillion yuan, up 12.14%, and grid investment was 608.258 billion yuan, up 15.26%. In 2025 from January to June, power investment was 363.5 billion yuan, up 5.9%, and grid investment was 291.1 billion yuan, up 14.6% [52]. - **Wire and Cable**: No specific data on wire and cable consumption was provided, only related charts. - **Air - conditioners**: In 2024 from January to December, air - conditioner production was 265.9844 million units, up 9.7%. In 2025 from January to June, production was 163.2961 million units, up 5.5%, with a decline in monthly production and a slowdown in year - on - year growth as the industry entered the off - season [57]. - **Automobiles**: In 2025 from January to June, automobile production and sales were 15.621 million and 15.653 million units, up 12.5% and 11.4% respectively. New energy vehicle production and sales were 6.968 million and 6.937 million units, up 41.4% and 40.3% respectively, accounting for 44.3% of total vehicle sales [62]. - **Real Estate**: In 2024 from January to December, real - estate completion area was 737 million square meters, down 27.7%, and new construction area was down 23%. In June 2025, the completion area was 226 million square meters, down 14.3%, and new construction area was down 20%, with the "guaranteeing housing delivery" policy showing initial results [65]. Other Elements - **Inventory**: As of August 1, the total inventory of the three major exchanges was 474,000 tons, an increase of 82,900 tons. LME copper inventory increased by 48,500 tons to 141,800 tons, SHFE inventory decreased by 12,000 tons to 72,500 tons, and COMEX copper inventory increased by 46,500 tons to 259,700 tons. As of July 31, the domestic bonded - area inventory was 81,100 tons, an increase of 8,200 tons [71]. - **CFTC Non - commercial Net Position**: As of July 29, the CFTC non - commercial long net position was 37,347 contracts, an increase of 3,657 contracts. Non - commercial long positions were 74,650 contracts, with only a 25 - contract increase, and non - commercial short positions were 37,303 contracts, a decrease of 3,632 contracts [73]. - **Premium and Discount**: As of August 1, LME copper was at a spot discount of - $49.25 per ton, returning to a large - discount pattern. The domestic spot maintained a premium, but the term structure flattened, indicating weak demand. The market was in a supply - and - demand double - weak pattern, with transactions mainly for rigid demand [83]. - **Basis**: As of August 1, 2025, the basis between the Shanghai Non - ferrous 1 copper average price and the continuous third - month contract was 310 yuan per ton [85]. Strategy - Domestic copper positions remain low, and after the sharp decline of COMEX copper, most positions have left. The multi - empty game at the current price level is not intense. More attention should be paid to LME copper variables. After taking profit on the near - month short call options, it is recommended to increase far - month put option positions at low prices. In the important time window of August - September, copper prices will face downward pressure, and attention should be paid to inventory and capital flow changes [6][90].

辉瑞公司正试图利用其与特朗普政府建立的直接沟通渠道，来应对潜在的高额关税和药品定价压力。该公司首席执行官Albert Bourla透露，正在进行的 谈判或为行业带来一定的缓冲空间。 周二，Bourla在电话会上透露，正与特朗普政府就药品关税和"最惠国"定价政策进行"富有成效"的对话。在随后接受媒体采访中，Bourla透露了与特朗 普就药品关税进行的讨论细节。他表示，根据最新沟通， 最初征收的关税"将非常小"，且总统已"为设立宽限期打开了窗口"。 特朗普在周二接受采访 威胁要对进口药品征收高达250%的关税。 除了关税问题，Bourla还证实辉瑞公司已收到白宫的信函，要求其根据"最惠国"（Most Favored Nations）原则，为联邦医保（Medicare）和医疗补助 （Medicaid）计划大幅降低药价。他表示， 公司正在为执行降价做准备，同时也努力寻求减轻负面影响的方案，并强调相关细节仍在与总统商议中。 然而，Bourla也多次强调，无论是关税还是定价新政， "魔鬼都在细节之中"， 最终的政策落地形式将决定其对行业的真实影响。 辉瑞CEO表示，正与特朗普政府就药品关税及"最惠国"定价政策进行"富有成 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The overall supply of Shanghai lead remained flat this week, while demand gradually weakened. Considering anti - involution speculation, it is recommended to place long orders on dips [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the Shanghai lead main contract was 16,855 yuan/ton, up 80 yuan; the LME 3 - month lead quote was 1,975.5 dollars/ton, up 12 dollars [2] - The spread between the 09 - 10 contracts of Shanghai lead was 5 yuan/ton, up 15 yuan; the trading volume of Shanghai lead was 105,235 lots, down 7,502 lots [2] - The net position of the top 20 in Shanghai lead was - 3,127 lots, down 1,591 lots; the Shanghai lead warehouse receipts were 58,656 tons, down 351 tons [2] - The inventory of the Shanghai Futures Exchange was 63,283 tons, up 29 tons; the LME lead inventory was 272,975 tons, down 1,250 tons [2] 3.2 Spot Market - The spot price of 1 lead on the Shanghai Non - ferrous Metals Network was 16,725 yuan/ton, up 125 yuan; the spot price of 1 lead in the Yangtze River Non - ferrous Metals Market was 16,940 yuan/ton, up 230 yuan [2] - The basis of the lead main contract was - 130 yuan/ton, up 45 yuan; the LME lead premium (0 - 3) was - 41.92 dollars/ton, up 5.94 dollars [2] - The price of lead concentrate (50% - 60%) in Jiyuan was 15,953 yuan, down 226 yuan; the price of domestic recycled lead (≥98.5%) was 16,770 yuan/ton, up 190 yuan [2] 3.3 Upstream Situation - The WBMS supply - demand balance of lead was - 18,700 tons, up 7,100 tons; the capacity utilization rate of recycled lead was 34.15%, down 0.8 percentage points [2] - The number of recycled lead production enterprises was 68, unchanged; the monthly output of recycled lead was 224,200 tons, down 67,500 tons [2] - The average operating rate of primary lead was 77.49%, up 3.68 percentage points; the weekly output of primary lead was 34,100 tons, up 600 tons [2] - The processing fee of 60% lead concentrate at major ports was - 60 dollars/kiloton, unchanged; the ILZSG lead supply - demand balance was 16,400 tons, up 48,800 tons [2] - The global lead ore output was 399,700 tons, down 3,700 tons; the monthly lead ore import volume was 119,700 tons, up 24,800 tons [2] 3.4 Industrial Situation - The monthly import volume of refined lead was 815.37 tons, down 1,021.76 tons; the average domestic processing fee of lead concentrate to the factory was 540 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] - The monthly export volume of refined lead was 2,109.62 tons, up 223.33 tons; the average price of waste batteries in the market was 10,107.14 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan [2] 3.5 Downstream Situation - The monthly export volume of lead - acid batteries was 41.45 million units, down 425,000 units; the average price of lead - antimony alloy (for batteries, containing 2% antimony) was 19,975 yuan/ton, up 150 yuan [2] - The Shenwan industry index of the tertiary industry of batteries was 1,771.53 points, up 38.86 points; the monthly automobile production was 2.8086 million vehicles, up 166,600 vehicles [2] - The monthly new - energy vehicle production was 1.647 million vehicles, up 73,000 vehicles [2] 3.6 Industry News - Trump will announce tariffs on drugs and chips in the next week, with a maximum drug tariff of 250%. He will significantly increase tariffs on India within 24 hours. If the EU fails to fulfill its investment obligations to the US, a 35% tariff will be imposed. The US trade deficit in June was - 60.2 billion dollars, the smallest since September 2023 [2] - The US non - manufacturing PMI in July dropped from 50.8 in June to 50.1, lower than the expected 51.5. The ISM new order index in July dropped from 51.3 in June to 50.3, and export orders contracted for the fourth time in five months [2] - Trump said Vance is most likely to be the next presidential candidate, and Secretary of State Rubio would be helpful if he works with Vance [2] - Trump may soon announce a new Fed chairman, with four candidates. Bessent hopes to stay in the Treasury [2] - Trump will decide whether to impose sanctions on countries that buy Russian energy after the meeting between the Middle East envoy and Russia on Wednesday [2] 3.7 Viewpoint Summary - Affected by the decline in lead prices, the operating rate of primary lead smelters increased, leading to an increase in production. Currently, the operating rate of primary lead remains strong compared to recycled lead, and its by - product revenue is stable. However, as lead prices continue to fluctuate, some primary lead smelters have adjusted their production decisions [2] - For recycled lead, due to the tight supply of waste battery raw materials, smelters lack confidence, and the overall supply is tight. From the actual resumption of production rhythm, the resumption progress is slow due to cost inversion [2] - Today, the price of 1 lead rebounded by 150 yuan/ton to 16,725 yuan/ton. The price of waste electric batteries remained stable, with prices in some enterprises in Jiangxi and Shanxi increasing by 50 yuan/ton. The tax - free price of waste electric batteries was reported at 9,900 - 9,950 yuan/ton, and the purchase price at the recycling end was reported at 9,820 - 9,880 yuan/ton, following the increase of manufacturers [2] - The lead - acid battery industry, the main consumer area of lead, is approaching the traditional peak consumption season. However, in the context of rising prices, spot transactions are dull, and downstream enterprises generally adopt a wait - and - see attitude. Although lead - acid batteries have seen price increases, the inventory clearance of dealers is slow, which greatly suppresses the enthusiasm of battery factories to start production. If the wait - and - see sentiment of downstream enterprises continues, the demand for lead in the lead - acid battery industry will hardly improve significantly, and the overall demand side will remain weak [2] - Recently, the inventory has shown a slight upward trend, and the number of warehouse receipts has also increased, indicating a slowdown in overall demand. Although the lead - acid battery industry is approaching the peak season, from the current inventory data, demand has not effectively driven inventory clearance. If the demand side still fails to pick up this week, domestic inventory may continue to accumulate, putting pressure on lead prices [2]

虽然本田季度业绩受到美国汽车进口关税冲击，本田仍然上调年度利润预期，从此前的5000亿日元上调至7000亿日元。本田解释称，最新的贸易协议避免“最坏情况”，目前预计损失4500亿日元，低于此前6500亿日元的预期。本田4至6月利润为2440亿日元，低于预期的3100亿日元，其中1250亿日元受到关税负面影响。 ...

FICC日报 | 2025-08-06 商品价格波动仍剧烈 市场分析 市场再回归基本面验证阶段。7月30日政治局会议明部署下半年经济工作：对于宏观政策基调，会议强调"宏观政 策要持续发力、适时加力。要落实落细更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策"，维持"稳中有进"的基调，关 于反内卷，会议强调"依法依规治理企业无序竞争。推进重点行业产能治理"，较前期中央财经委提法有所修正， 或指向后续"反内卷"政策将更温和。中国7月官方制造业PMI回落至49.3，新订单指数回落至49.4，非制造业保持扩 张，后续需要关注对等关税落地对经济事实的影响。8月5日，A股全天震荡走高，午后三大股指持续拉升，沪指涨 近1%，重回3600点上方，再创年内收盘新高。银行、保险、钢铁等权重股上涨，PEEK材料、高速铜连接等概念股 活跃。商品期货收盘，焦煤主力合约涨近7%，多晶硅、焦炭涨超3%。 关注"对等关税"的影响。7月31日，白宫发布行政令，对部分国家重新设定"对等关税"税率标准：行政令附件1中列 明国家将适用个别税率，未列明国家则统一适用10%的税率；如有国家或地区通过第三地转运方式规避关税，其商 品将被征收40%的转运税。据白宫公 ...