Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant turmoil in global financial markets, driven by political statements, Federal Reserve dynamics, and economic data, indicating a potential shift away from the dollar's dominance and the challenges faced by the Federal Reserve in managing interest rates and inflation. Group 1: Federal Reserve Dynamics - The Federal Reserve is facing a critical moment with a 96.9% probability of maintaining interest rates in July and a 62.6% expectation of a rate cut in September [1] - Internal divisions within the Federal Reserve have intensified, with members split into three camps regarding interest rate policy, reflecting differing views on inflation and economic conditions [4] - The Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates unchanged with a 9:2 vote, marking the first time in over 30 years that two members opposed the mainstream decision [7] Group 2: Market Reactions - Trump's call for an immediate 300 basis point rate cut led to panic in the markets, with gold prices surging by $20 and the dollar index dropping by 25 points [3] - Following Trump's retraction of his dismissal threat against Powell, market volatility persisted, indicating a fragile confidence in the Federal Reserve's independence [3] - The bond market reacted sharply, with the 30-year Treasury yield surpassing 5%, signaling the onset of a "long-term high interest rate era" [6] Group 3: Economic Indicators - The U.S. GDP growth rate for Q2 was reported at 3.0%, exceeding expectations, but analysts pointed out that the actual growth rate, after adjusting for imports and inventory changes, was only 1.14% [8] - Inflation remains a concern, with the core CPI rising 2.9% year-on-year, significantly above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, driven in part by tariffs [4] Group 4: Commodity Market Movements - Gold futures prices reached a historic peak of $3444 per ounce, while silver prices also surged, reflecting heightened demand for safe-haven assets amid market uncertainty [7] - Contrastingly, the Chinese gold market experienced a decline, with significant drops in retail gold prices, indicating divergent market behaviors between East and West [7]

Group 1 - The establishment of China Fusion Energy Co., Ltd. in Shanghai marks a significant step in the commercialization of China's "artificial sun" project, with a total investment of 11.492 billion yuan from seven state-owned enterprises [1] - The global competition in the controllable nuclear fusion industry is accelerating, with countries like Germany, Japan, and the UK making substantial investments in fusion energy research [3][4] - Nuclear fusion is considered a potential ultimate energy source, with the energy released from fusion of deuterium in seawater being equivalent to the total energy of all oil on Earth [4][6] Group 2 - The fuel for fusion energy, such as deuterium from seawater, is abundant and poses minimal radioactive hazards, making it a promising energy source for the future [7] - The potential of fusion energy could reshape various sectors, including industry, agriculture, and even address freshwater scarcity through cost-effective desalination [9][11] - The global race for fusion energy has seen significant advancements, with countries like the US and China making notable progress in their respective fusion projects [17][20] Group 3 - The formation of China Fusion Energy Co. is a strategic move in the national energy strategy, transitioning from a laboratory-based approach to a market-oriented model [23] - The company has a registered capital of 15 billion yuan, with investments from major state-owned enterprises, indicating a comprehensive support system for the commercialization of fusion energy [23][29] - Shanghai's role as a financial and trade center, along with its existing industrial ecosystem, positions it as a crucial hub for the development of fusion energy technologies [25][26]

Core Viewpoint - The introduction of the "Stablecoin Ordinance" in Hong Kong marks a significant shift towards the regulation and legitimization of stablecoins, establishing high entry barriers for participants and aiming to enhance Hong Kong's role in the global monetary system [2][7]. Group 1: Purpose of Stablecoins - The push for stablecoins in Hong Kong serves two main purposes: to defend against the dominance of the US dollar and to seek greater influence in the future global monetary system [3]. - Stablecoins are essentially digital currencies that maintain price stability, often pegged to fiat currencies like the US dollar, providing a means for individuals to hedge against local currency depreciation [4][5]. Group 2: Mechanism and Impact - Stablecoins are seen as tools for collecting seigniorage, with over 95% of mainstream stablecoins pegged to the US dollar, allowing capital to bypass local capital controls and traditional banking processes [6]. - The issuance of stablecoins tied to local currencies is a strategy employed by various economies to reduce reliance on the US dollar and promote a multipolar currency system [6][7]. Group 3: Regulatory Framework - The "Stablecoin Ordinance" aims to establish a regulatory framework that ensures compliance and protects investors, addressing risks exposed by previous industry failures [8]. - The ordinance requires stablecoin issuers to have a physical presence in Hong Kong, maintain sufficient reserves, and undergo annual audits, thereby enhancing market order and reducing risks for investors [8][9]. Group 4: Future Considerations - The success of Real World Assets (RWA) tokenization relies on the quality of underlying assets, emphasizing that RWA should not be viewed as a solution for illiquid or low-quality assets [9]. - The initiative represents a strategic move by Hong Kong to assert its influence in the global financial landscape while ensuring a secure environment for digital finance [9].

Group 1 - The article discusses the failure of the U.S. strategy under Trump to resolve the $36 trillion national debt through a trade war with China, highlighting that China is not yielding to U.S. pressure [1][9][16] - In response to U.S. tariffs, China has become more assertive, imposing tariffs on U.S. agricultural and industrial products, and shifting parts of its supply chain to Southeast Asia to reduce reliance on the U.S. market [3][5][11] - China is also focusing on technological advancements, increasing investments in core technologies like chips and artificial intelligence to achieve self-sufficiency and mitigate risks from U.S. actions [7][11] Group 2 - Trump's approach to reduce trade deficits through tariffs has backfired, leading to increased pressure on U.S. exporters and farmers, resulting in inventory buildup and domestic unrest [13][16] - Despite attempts to negotiate and cancel some tariffs, the trade deficit remains unchanged, and the global supply chain has been disrupted, leading to a stalemate in the trade war [16][19] - Trump has also targeted the Federal Reserve, blaming it for the economic slowdown due to high interest rates, and has attempted to exert political pressure on the Fed, which operates independently [19][21] Group 3 - The article emphasizes that the root cause of the U.S. debt issue is not merely excessive spending but a structural imbalance in the economy, with military and welfare expenditures being politically untouchable [27][29] - Trump's tax cuts and deregulation may provide short-term economic boosts but exacerbate long-term debt issues, with projections indicating that debt will continue to rise significantly [29][31] - The increasing U.S. debt could undermine global confidence in the dollar, leading to higher borrowing costs and a potential economic crisis, as countries seek alternatives to U.S. debt [31][33]

特朗普上周靠关税大棒抢了全球近万亿美元，转头就惦记着让中国掏2亿美元给他装修白宫——可惜，这套算盘彻底打空了。 台湾地区也没逃过，特朗普张口就是20%的关税，赖清德伪政权居然还感恩戴德，以为这是美国给的"国际地位认证"，殊不知在特朗普眼里， 台湾不过是一块"苍蝇腿也是肉"的提款机。 再加上和巴基斯坦"合作"石油开采的进账，短短七天，美国国库硬是塞进了近万亿美元。 这种全球无差别抢劫，特朗普干得理直气壮，仿佛全世界都欠美国的。 钱一到手，特朗普立马惦记起他的"面子工程"。 他高调宣布要拨2亿美元翻修白宫，计划包括换瓷砖、修草坪、定制新家具，最扎眼的是要在花园里立一座金光闪闪的雕塑，用来纪念他自 己"伟大的总统岁月"。 按他的说法，白宫是"国家象征"，必须配得上他的"雄心壮志"。 他以为挥舞关税大棒就能让中国低头买单，却忘了今天的中国早就看透了他那套"极限施压"的戏码，不仅一分钱不会出，更用实际行动让美国 明白：想靠霸权勒索中国，门儿都没有。 先看看特朗普上周干了什么"好事"。 韩国总统李在明跑去美国想谈合作，结果连个像样的美国高官都没见着，临走还莫名其妙挨了一记闷棍：特朗普转头宣布对韩国加征15%关 税，逼着韩 ...

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong's Stablecoin Regulation, effective from August 1, 2025, marks a significant shift from a chaotic environment to a structured legal framework, allowing only robust and compliant companies to issue stablecoins, while excluding individuals and non-compliant entities [1][6] Group 1: Purpose of Stablecoin Regulation - The introduction of stablecoins in Hong Kong serves two main purposes: to defend against the dominance of the US dollar and to seek greater influence in the global monetary system [1][4] - Stablecoins are seen as tools to mitigate the risks of local currency depreciation, especially in countries with severe currency devaluation [2][4] Group 2: Advantages of Stablecoins - Stablecoins provide significant advantages in cross-border payments and real-time settlements compared to traditional banking systems, reducing costs and increasing transaction efficiency [3][4] - The dominance of US dollar-pegged stablecoins in global transactions allows the US to benefit from substantial "seigniorage" while challenging other nations' monetary sovereignty [4][5] Group 3: Regulatory Framework - The new regulation establishes a licensing mechanism with high entry barriers, ensuring that only well-capitalized and compliant entities can issue stablecoins, thereby enhancing market order and protecting investors [6][8] - The regulation mandates that all stablecoin issuers must have a physical presence in Hong Kong, maintain adequate reserves, and undergo annual audits to ensure redemption capabilities [6][8] Group 4: Future Implications - The regulation aims to position Hong Kong as a leader in digital asset regulation, enhancing its financial reputation while addressing past industry issues such as lack of transparency and risk management [6][8] - The successful implementation of the regulation could lead to the integration of real-world assets (RWA) into the digital finance ecosystem, provided that the underlying assets are of high quality and compliant [7][8]

Group 1 - The recent claim by American media that "China owes the U.S. over $1 trillion" is rooted in a historical debt from over a century ago, which is being used as a political tool rather than a realistic financial threat [1][3] - The original debt dates back to 1911 when the Qing government borrowed £6 million for railway construction, which became a contentious issue after the fall of the Qing dynasty [1][3] - The debt was briefly acknowledged by the Republic of China but was ultimately abandoned due to political instability and the establishment of the People's Republic of China, which rejected the debt as a product of unequal treaties [3][5] Group 2 - The current U.S.-China tensions have led to renewed discussions about this historical debt, with some suggesting that the U.S. could threaten to refuse payment on the $759 billion in U.S. Treasury bonds held by China [5][7] - China's holdings of U.S. debt have decreased significantly, down by $557.7 billion from their peak, indicating a reduced reliance on U.S. Treasury securities [5][7] - The potential refusal to pay China could destabilize the global financial system, as it would undermine trust in U.S. debt and could trigger a sell-off of U.S. bonds by other countries [5][7] Group 3 - The U.S. relies heavily on the trust of its allies in its financial credibility, and any breach of this trust could jeopardize the dollar's dominance and the U.S.'s military alliances [7] - In contrast, China has developed a stronger resilience to economic risks due to its experience with economic sanctions, positioning it better in a potential economic confrontation [7] - The political rhetoric surrounding the historical debt appears to be more about creating a narrative than a genuine financial strategy, as any drastic action could backfire on the U.S. itself [7]

北京的反击更令美联储措手不及。上千亿美元国债被果断抛售，全球市场黄金被批量买进，如今中国国库中堆积的黄金若做成城墙，足以将整个曼哈顿围得 水泄不通。更让美元霸权阵痛的是，从东南亚机械厂到非洲矿山，一句"可否用人民币结算"正成为新兴市场的交易惯用语。当硬资产替代美债，本币结算冲 击美元——收割计划遭遇的不仅是防御，更是釜底抽薪的绝地反攻！ 就在美联储对中国虎视眈眈之时，高息绞索却正深深勒进美国经济的脖颈。华盛顿国会山的幕僚看着36万亿美元债台手脚发凉——这庞然大物每年仅利息就 要榨取1.5万亿美元，远超五角大楼的全年军费。这相当于每个美国人身上被挂上三张刷爆的信用卡！ 当美联储加息大棒挥舞到第七个月，把联邦利率死死焊在历史高位时，华盛顿决策层眼睛一直紧紧盯着东方——他们要赌的，是中国经济会在西方利率机器 反复施压中率先倒下。然而如今赌盘已开，牌桌上的形势却让华尔街窒息：中国经济稳如泰山，反而是高举加息旗的美利坚，自身已被利刃反噬得满身伤 口。 赌局逻辑崩塌：中国为何成了美联储割不动的硬骨头？ 这场赌局的剧本原是华尔街拿手的"镰刀三部曲"：加息引全球美元回流→逼迫他国汇率崩盘→抄底廉价核心资产。1997年亚洲金融 ...

Group 1 - The core concept of RWA (Real World Assets) is the tokenization of tangible and intangible assets, allowing them to be fractionalized and traded on blockchain platforms, potentially reaching a market size of $16 trillion by 2030, which is about 10% of global GDP [1][2][3] - RWA aims to provide a financing channel for asset holders and lower investment barriers for investors, echoing the goals of P2P lending but with a more reliable and transparent mechanism [3][4] - RWA utilizes blockchain technology and smart contracts to enhance transparency and security, addressing issues that plagued P2P lending, such as credit risk and information opacity [5][6][7] Group 2 - Despite improvements, RWA still faces risks related to the authenticity of underlying assets, as blockchain cannot verify the existence of off-chain assets, leading to potential issues with "fake" or low-quality assets [8][9] - The global nature of RWA introduces new complexities in risk management, as assets can be tokenized and sold across borders, creating challenges in regulation and legal recourse for investors [10][11] - RWA is increasingly influenced by state-level actors, with significant participation from government-backed assets like U.S. Treasury bonds, indicating its role as a geopolitical tool in the digital finance landscape [12][13] Group 3 - The rise of RWA could lead to a structural shift in global finance, potentially undermining local currencies and monetary policies as capital flows towards dollar-denominated assets [14][15] - Some regions are exploring local stablecoins to mitigate risks associated with RWA, aiming to maintain financial sovereignty while adapting to the evolving digital finance ecosystem [15][16] - Ultimately, RWA represents a convergence of financial technology, geopolitical strategy, and the quest for monetary authority, posing both opportunities and challenges for individual investors [16]

Group 1 - The U.S. Treasury is facing a significant debt crisis, planning to borrow over $1 trillion in the next three months, which is more than double the amount borrowed in April [1][3] - The market's confidence in U.S. debt is wavering, as evidenced by the spike in 10-year Treasury yields to 4.5% and 30-year yields surpassing 5%, indicating investor skepticism [3] - The offshore RMB has appreciated by 3.5% from 7.4 to 7.1 against the dollar, reflecting a shift in currency dynamics amid U.S. debt issuance [5] Group 2 - China has reduced its holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds to $756.3 billion, the lowest since 2009, while simultaneously issuing its own dollar-denominated bonds [5] - The global share of the dollar in foreign exchange reserves has dropped from 72% to 58%, while the use of RMB for settlements in ASEAN countries has surged to 38% [8] - Chinese enterprises hold approximately 15 trillion RMB in overseas funds, with predictions that a stronger offshore RMB could trigger significant capital repatriation [8][10] Group 3 - The U.S. fiscal deficit is widening, raising concerns about the sustainability of its debt strategy, especially as the Federal Reserve maintains high interest rates [10][12] - China's fiscal strategy focuses on infrastructure and high-tech investments, with a fiscal deficit rate increase from 3% to 4%, leading to notable domestic market growth [12] - The ongoing capital movement and the potential for RMB appreciation could positively impact domestic stock and real estate markets [12][14] Group 4 - The global financial landscape is undergoing profound changes, with the dollar's dominance being challenged and the internationalization of the RMB accelerating [15]