每日经济新闻 招商证券指出，全固态电池产业化加速，主流电池厂商纷纷加大投入，预计2027年实现小批量生 产，2030年前后大规模量产。目前硫化物电解质路线逐渐成为主流，其离子电导率已接近液态锂电池水 平。硫化锂作为关键原材料，当前成本较高，量产壁垒显著，未来液相法若纯度提升有望成为主流制备 工艺。行业同时关注多种电解质混用方案，如卤化物包覆正极以提升性能。全固态电池研发已从中试线 向装车阶段推进，预计2026年起车企将逐步实现装车应用，新兴市场如eVTOL和机器人也带来增量需 求。 创业板新能源ETF国泰（159387）跟踪的是创新能源指数（399266），单日涨跌幅可达20%。该指 数聚焦于新能源及相关产业链，从市场中选取涉及清洁能源、节能环保、新能源汽车等业务的上市公司 证券作为指数样本，以反映新能源行业相关上市公司证券的整体表现。创新能源指数具有高成长性和技 术创新特征，行业配置侧重于可再生能源开发与利用、新能源技术进步等领域。 注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不 预示未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参 ...

8月11日，沪深两市震荡上行，新能源板块涨幅靠前。截至14点05分，新能源ETF(516160.SH)涨2.62%，亿纬锂能涨6.29%。 华福证券展望来看，新能源金属及工业金属的供需格局及政策驱动为新能源版块提供核心支撑。锂方面，短期供应扰动叠加新能源汽车需求韧性，价格有望 偏强运行；中长期电动车产业链对锂的战略性需求明确，锂矿资源弹性凸显。镍湿法冶炼项目受益于成本优势，利润稳定性强化其在电池材料中的长期逻 辑。铜铝作为关键工业金属，铜在新能源基建及电网投资拉动下供需紧平衡格局延续，美联储降息预期打开价格上行空间；铝受产能天花板及能源约束，新 能源需求驱动下紧平衡支撑价格中枢。此外，稀土在永磁材料中的不可替代性使其短期结构性缺口对价格形成支撑。全球流动性拐点将至，叠加国内政策发 力及海外能源转型加速，新能源产业链上下游金属品种景气度共振，板块配置价值显著提升。 a 4 - 1 - 1 - 1 18 1111111 r the for r referently f 117 t t research of the read of the see of the see and the see and the se ...

Core Viewpoint - Lichung Group has secured significant orders for aluminum alloy wheel projects, indicating its strong position in the global automotive supply chain and expected sales of approximately 1.643 billion yuan over the project lifecycle [1][2][3] Group 1: Recent Orders and Financial Impact - The company announced that its subsidiaries, New Thai Wheel and Lizhong Mexico, received project confirmations from international clients, with expected sales of about 833 million yuan and 810 million yuan respectively [2] - Cumulatively, the company has secured project confirmations worth 1.83 billion yuan in 2025, showcasing its competitive edge in the aluminum alloy wheel sector [4] - The new orders are anticipated to positively impact the company's future operating performance and enhance overall profitability and market share [3] Group 2: Company Performance and Growth - Lichung Group has experienced substantial growth over the past decade, with revenue increasing from 746 million yuan in 2015 to 27.25 billion yuan in 2024, and net profit rising from 62.13 million yuan to 707 million yuan [6][7] - The company has maintained a robust growth trajectory, with a revenue increase of over 16% in 2024, driven by its core businesses in functional intermediate alloys, recycled casting aluminum alloys, and aluminum alloy wheels [6][7] - The recycled casting aluminum alloy business has seen explosive growth, contributing 57.6% of total revenue in 2024, with sales reaching 15.696 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.84% [7] Group 3: Research and Development - The company has consistently increased its R&D investment, totaling 3.233 billion yuan from 2020 to 2024, with a focus on enhancing technological innovation capabilities [7] - As of the end of 2024, Lichung Group holds a total of 964 patents, including 170 invention patents, which supports its industry-leading position [7] - The company has achieved a global first with the mass production of integrated die-casting heat treatment-free alloys, reinforcing its technological foundation for business development [7]

Group 1 - The stock price of Guoxuan High-Tech closed at 29.06 yuan on August 7, 2025, down by 0.19 yuan, a decrease of 0.65% from the previous trading day [1] - The trading volume on that day was 332,400 hands, with a total transaction amount of 964 million yuan [1] - Guoxuan High-Tech's main business includes the research, production, and sales of lithium-ion batteries and their materials, primarily used in new energy vehicle power batteries and energy storage batteries [1] Group 2 - The company's production capacity at its U.S. battery factory will be reduced due to the impact of the U.S. "Big and Beautiful" Act, which adjusts subsidy policies for new energy vehicles and imposes several restrictive clauses [1] - Industry insiders indicate that this policy change may significantly affect Chinese supply chain enterprises that heavily rely on the U.S. market [1] - On August 7, the net outflow of main funds for Guoxuan High-Tech was 85.01 million yuan, with a cumulative net outflow of 195 million yuan over the past five trading days [1]

Group 1 - The stock price of Jinshi Resources closed at 15.93 yuan on August 6, 2025, with an increase of 0.63% compared to the previous trading day, and the trading volume reached 146 million yuan [1] - Jinshi Resources is a significant player in the domestic fluorite industry, primarily engaged in the mining and deep processing of fluorite, with applications in metallurgy, chemicals, and building materials, while also actively expanding into the new energy industry chain [1] - The company reported that its project in Mongolia is progressing steadily, with the pre-treatment main project nearly completed and the construction of the beneficiation plant and supporting infrastructure ongoing, laying a foundation for future production [1] Group 2 - On August 6, the net outflow of main funds was 40.37 million yuan, with a cumulative net outflow of 89.76 million yuan over the past five days [1]

Group 1 - Ningde Times is constructing two major bases in Xiamen and Dongying, with a focus on green energy and battery production. The Dongying project includes a 40GWh lithium battery manufacturing base, expected to be completed next year [3][4] - The Xiamen project aims to invest 5 billion yuan to build a fully automated production line with an annual capacity of 30GWh, projected to start trial production in Q2 2026 [3] - In total, Ningde Times has invested over 33 billion yuan in various projects in Xiamen, including energy storage and research initiatives [4] Group 2 - Hailray New Energy is preparing for an IPO on the Beijing Stock Exchange, having changed its advisory firm to Huatai United Securities due to strategic adjustments [5][6] - The company is undergoing targeted guidance to improve internal controls and personnel training as part of its IPO preparation [6] Group 3 - EVE Energy has established a new company in Jingmen, Hubei, focusing on energy storage technology and battery leasing, with a registered capital of 5 million yuan [7][8] Group 4 - Ningde Times' subsidiary, Ningde Times (Shanghai) Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd., completed a 2 billion yuan financing round, raising its post-investment valuation to over 10 billion yuan [9][10] - The company currently holds 80.01% of the subsidiary's shares, with a 9.9% stake held by a local investment firm [10] Group 5 - A new 20GWh lithium battery project has been approved in Anhui, with a total estimated investment of 1.7 billion yuan, and is currently in the bidding phase [11] Group 6 - 15 lithium battery companies are pursuing IPOs on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, including major players like Ningde Times and EVE Energy [12] Group 7 - Guoxuan High-Tech has completed a financing round, increasing its registered capital by approximately 21% with the addition of Chongqing International Trust as a shareholder [13][14] Group 8 - A new mandatory national standard for energy storage batteries has been implemented, enhancing safety requirements for lithium batteries used in energy storage systems [17] Group 9 - BASF has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Ningde Times to collaborate on advanced cathode materials, aiming to enhance supply chain localization and resource integration [19][20] Group 10 - In H1 2025, China's lithium battery electrolyte shipment reached 920,000 tons, a 57% increase year-on-year, driven by growth in power and energy storage batteries [21] - The shipment of ternary cathode materials increased by 4.2% to 321,000 tons, while lithium iron phosphate cathode materials surged by 68.5% to 1.606 million tons [22] Group 11 - Defu Technology has acquired a Luxembourg-based high-end copper foil company, marking a significant step in its global copper foil industry strategy [23] Group 12 - Huayou Cobalt is planning a 600,000-ton lithium iron phosphate project in Guizhou, focusing on the production of lithium battery cathode materials [24] Group 13 - Tesla's first lithium iron phosphate battery factory in the U.S. is expected to start production by the end of this year, with a planned capacity of 10GWh [25] Group 14 - LG Energy Solution has secured a contract worth 4.3 billion USD for lithium iron phosphate projects, potentially extending the contract period based on mutual satisfaction [26][27] Group 15 - Several lithium battery recycling projects are underway in Jiangxi, with significant investments aimed at establishing comprehensive recycling systems for retired batteries [41][42][43]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Views - **Carbonate Lithium**: The market's bullish sentiment has receded, but there is strong support below the 70,000 yuan mark. Downstream demand remains cautious, and there are concerns about weakening long - term demand. However, short - term inventory reduction and demand - side restocking may support prices [4][5]. - **Industrial Silicon**: Affected by the Politburo meeting and exchange announcements, the market is driven by news. With the recovery of production and uncertain inventory trends, the market may fluctuate, and the policy support effect is yet to be verified [6][7]. - **Polysilicon**: The short - term speculative sentiment is high, and the market is driven by news. There is a possibility of price regression to fundamentals, and short - term price correction risks should be watched out for [8][9]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 First Part: Spot Prices 3.1.1 Plate Strategy Recommendation | Variety | Market Logic | Support Level | Resistance Level | Market Judgment | Reference Strategy | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Carbonate Lithium 09 | News - driven market | 65,000 - 66,000 | 78,000 - 83,000 | Oscillate strongly | Seize selling hedging opportunities, downstream cathode material enterprises focus on low - level stocking or buying hedging [15] | | Industrial Silicon 09 | News - driven market | 8,500 - 8,600 | 9,900 - 10,000 | Bidirectional fluctuation | Consider selling put/call options at low/high levels [15] | | Polysilicon 09 | News - driven market | 45,000 - 46,000 | 55,000 - 56,000 | Bidirectional fluctuation | Consider selling put/call options at low/high levels [15] | 3.1.2 Futures and Spot Price Changes | Variety | Closing Price | Change Rate | Trading Volume | Open Interest | Open Interest Change | Warehouse Receipts | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Carbonate Lithium | 68,280 | - 3.29% | 521,849 | 229,368 | - 43,385 | 5,545 | | Industrial Silicon | 8,760 | - 5.65% | 410,371 | 212,932 | - 29,745 | 50,644 | | Polysilicon | 49,130 | - 7.81% | 565,838 | 126,989 | - 37,501 | 3,200 [16] | 3.2 Second Part: Fundamental Situation 3.2.1 Carbonate Lithium Fundamental Data - **Production and Inventory**: This week, the production of carbonate lithium was 17,268 tons, a decrease of 1,362 tons from the previous week. The total sample inventory decreased by 1,444 tons to 141,726 tons, the first decrease after eight consecutive weeks of inventory accumulation [4]. - **Downstream**: Downstream inquiry activity has increased, but actual transactions have not increased proportionally. Downstream buyers are still cautious, mainly making purchases for rigid demand [4]. 3.2.2 Industrial Silicon Fundamental Data - **Production and Inventory**: The resumption of production by manufacturers is accelerating, and production is expected to continue to rise. Short - term inventory has decreased due to improved transactions, but future inventory trends depend on transaction volume and production reduction implementation [6]. - **Downstream**: Not specifically mentioned in detail in the report. 3.2.3 Polysilicon Fundamental Data - **Production and Inventory**: Terminal demand is weak, and enterprise inventories are at a high level, which will form selling hedging pressure on the market. The full - cost "policy red line" provides strong support [8][9]. - **Downstream**: Not specifically mentioned in detail in the report.

Core Viewpoint - BASF and CATL have signed a strategic cooperation agreement for cathode materials, aiming for resource integration and technological breakthroughs in the global new energy industry chain [1][2]. Group 1: Strategic Collaboration - CATL has chosen BASF as a core supplier, aligning with its overseas factory layout in Europe and Southeast Asia for deep strategic synergy [2]. - The partnership focuses on advanced cathode active materials (CAM) and battery recycling, enhancing CATL's localization efforts in Europe since its first overseas battery factory in Germany [2]. Group 2: Global Expansion - CATL has established multiple overseas battery factories in Germany, Hungary, Spain, and Indonesia, while BASF is also expanding its upstream factories in Europe, China, and Indonesia [2]. - The collaboration allows CATL to offer a range of battery products, including lithium iron phosphate batteries, high-nickel ternary batteries, sodium-ion batteries, and solid-state batteries, covering various energy density ranges [2]. Group 3: Technological Focus - BASF is focusing on lithium battery cathode materials and is actively exploring cutting-edge technologies such as sodium batteries and solid-state batteries [2].

Group 1 - The Anhui Province's non-ferrous metal industry optimization and upgrading plan (2025-2027) focuses on a "1+2+N" industrial layout, emphasizing the enhancement of copper, expansion of aluminum and magnesium, and improvement of molybdenum, lead, and zinc [1] - The plan aims to strengthen the supply chain, attract investments, and accelerate digital empowerment and structural optimization, promoting the industry's development towards high-end, intelligent, and green [1] - According to Minsheng Securities, copper prices have seen a short-term decline due to US tariffs affecting trade flows, but downstream demand is starting to support prices [1] Group 2 - In the aluminum sector, domestic electrolytic aluminum production capacity remains high, with downstream aluminum profile companies primarily engaging in essential procurement, maintaining stable operating rates [1] - Lithium prices are expected to continue rising due to improved production expectations in the new energy industry chain as of July, which has boosted market sentiment [1] - Cobalt raw material imports were significantly lower than expected in June, reflecting the impact of the Democratic Republic of Congo's export ban, leading to a bullish sentiment in cobalt intermediate products [1] - Nickel prices are anticipated to slightly rebound as some downstream nickel salt manufacturers have a demand for restocking, with strong price support due to low inventory levels and high raw material costs [1][2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the public utility and environmental sectors [1][10]. Core Views - The completion of the preliminary design for China's first 1 million kilowatt fourth-generation commercial fast reactor marks significant progress in the country's nuclear energy strategy [2][16]. - The public utility sector saw a 7.64% increase in the total market value of fund holdings, reaching 63.28 billion yuan in Q2 2025, with a focus on hydropower companies [3][17]. - The report emphasizes the importance of coal and electricity prices moving downward, which is expected to maintain reasonable profitability for thermal power companies [4][25]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.69%, while the public utility index fell by 0.27% and the environmental index increased by 1.66% [1][15]. - Within the power sector, thermal power decreased by 0.29%, hydropower by 1.31%, while new energy generation rose by 1.24% [1][28]. Important Events - The preliminary design of the CFR1000 fast reactor has been completed, which is crucial for energy security and sustainable development in China [2][16]. - In August 2025, the electricity trading price in Jiangsu was 393.8 yuan per megawatt-hour, with a total transaction volume of 12.353 billion kilowatt-hours [2][16]. Investment Strategy - Recommendations include major thermal power companies like Huadian International and Shanghai Electric, as well as leading new energy firms such as Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy [4][25]. - The report suggests focusing on high-dividend hydropower stocks like Yangtze Power for their defensive attributes [4][25]. Fund Holdings - In Q2 2025, the total market value of fund holdings in the public utility sector was 63.28 billion yuan, with a notable increase in hydropower and gas sectors, while thermal power saw a decrease [3][19]. - The environmental sector's fund holdings totaled 7.352 billion yuan, showing a slight decline from the previous quarter [21][22]. Key Company Recommendations - The report recommends several companies across different sectors, including: - Huadian International and Shanghai Electric in thermal power [4][25]. - Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy in new energy [4][25]. - Yangtze Power in hydropower [4][25]. - Guangxi Energy and Funiu Co. in offshore wind energy [4][25]. - Light Environmental and Zhongshan Public Utility in the environmental sector [26].