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“双降息”影响存款利率——多元化资产配置平衡风险和收益
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-05-29 22:24
近日,1年期和5年期以上贷款市场报价利率(LPR)同步下降10个基点,分别降至3.0%和3.5%。多家商 业银行纷纷开启新一轮存款利率下调,主要涉及活期存款、定期存款和通知存款等多种产品类型。这 场"双降息",一头牵动购房者和贷款者,另一头则直接影响广大储户的钱袋子。 "当前的低利率环境也对理财公司的投研能力提出了更高的要求。"崔盛悦建议,理财公司需要保持自身 在固收类资产上的投研优势,同时加强建设多资产、多策略的投研体系,可采用多元化大类资产配置思 维,根据不同的市场环境灵活选择资产,通过各类资产的低相关性分散风险,也能获得多市场收益机 会。也可引入具有全视野、多资产配置经验的投研人才,针对不同类型的资产设立专职团队,以提升工 作效率。 记者注意到,在当前存款利率下行、理财产品业绩比较基准下调、大额存单难寻的背景下,"风险较 低""收益高于银行定期"成为许多投资者挑选产品的核心标准。于是,不少年轻人开始攒起了"新三 金",即货币基金、债券基金、黄金基金。娄飞鹏表示,这是由于它们在提供相对较高收益的同时,也 能实现资产多元化配置以及流动性需求。但也要注意,投资者应根据风险承受能力理性配置"新三金", 不要盲目 ...
【银行理财】低利率运行周期加速深化下的银行理财变局
华宝财富魔方· 2025-05-29 09:40
Core Viewpoint - The low interest rate environment in China is deepening, leading to a structural asset shortage and forcing banks to adjust their liability rate mechanisms, impacting the wealth management market significantly [1]. Group 1: Deposit Migration Effect - The continuous decline in deposit rates has strengthened the "deposit migration" effect, with the scale of wealth management products returning to 30 trillion yuan [2][3]. Group 2: Performance Pressure and Asset Allocation Transformation - Wealth management companies are continuously lowering the performance benchmarks of newly issued products, reflecting increased pressure on investment returns across the industry [5][6]. - Companies are accelerating the transition to multi-asset and multi-strategy allocations, introducing strategies like dividend+, gold+, and quantitative+ to address the "yield drought" [8][9]. - Investors are shifting preferences towards daily opening and minimum holding period fixed-income products, balancing liquidity and yield amid narrowing advantages of cash management products [11]. Group 3: Regulatory Framework Upgrade - Strict implementation of net value management and control over net value smoothing techniques is being enforced, with regulatory bodies addressing practices that deviate from the original intent of net value transformation [13][14]. - The information disclosure framework is being improved to enhance product transparency, addressing the complexities of multi-asset allocations and increasing volatility [13][14]. - The pace of license approvals for wealth management companies is slowing, leading to a differentiated competitive landscape where established firms focus on specialized product systems based on customer profiles [15].
超百款理财产品业绩比较基准“缩水”
Core Viewpoint - The recent adjustments in the Chinese banking wealth management market are primarily driven by the People's Bank of China's interest rate cuts, leading to a decline in market interest rates and subsequently affecting the performance benchmarks of various wealth management products [1][4]. Group 1: Market Impact - Since May, over a hundred wealth management products have announced reductions in their performance benchmarks, with some products' yield limits dropping below 2%, nearing the rates of fixed-term deposits [1][6]. - The decline in expected returns has prompted investors to reconsider their asset allocations, with conservative investors likely shifting towards cash management products or fixed-term deposits, while those with a higher risk appetite may focus more on "fixed income plus" products [2][4]. Group 2: Product Adjustments - Major wealth management firms, including Ping An Wealth Management and Bank of China Wealth Management, have adjusted their performance benchmarks in response to the declining policy interest rates, which have led to lower yields on underlying assets [3][5]. - The average performance benchmark for newly issued wealth management products in April 2025 was reported at 2.12%, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 0.02 percentage points [7]. Group 3: Regulatory Environment - Regulatory bodies have been reinforcing the disclosure requirements for performance benchmarks of wealth management products, ensuring they accurately reflect market conditions and the risk-return characteristics of the products [4][5]. - The adjustments in performance benchmarks are aligned with regulatory expectations, aiming to provide a more transparent reference for investors regarding the expected returns of wealth management products [4][5]. Group 4: Future Trends - The low interest rate environment may lead to a reallocation of funds back to the deposit market, as many wealth management products' yields approach those of fixed-term deposits [6][10]. - Wealth management firms are encouraged to enhance their product offerings, particularly in "fixed income plus" products, to balance risk and return while adapting to the changing market landscape [11][12].
公募REITs屡创新高,科学“买房”新机遇?
华宝财富魔方· 2025-05-22 09:19
Core Viewpoint - REITs in China are a relatively new investment category, having started trials in 2021 and expected to normalize by 2024, with significant growth in issuance and market interest due to current economic conditions [1][13]. Group 1: Market Performance and Trends - As of February 20, 2025, there are 63 publicly offered REITs in China, raising a total of 168.374 billion yuan, covering various asset classes such as industrial parks and affordable housing [1]. - The China Securities REITs Total Return Index rose by 12.31% in 2024, with some products in the industrial park sector increasing by over 40% due to supportive policies and fundamentals [1][12]. - The issuance of REITs remains robust, with record subscription rates, such as 813 times for the Guotai Junan Jinan Energy Heating REIT and 1192 times for the Huatai-PineBridge Jiuzhoutong Pharmaceutical REIT [2]. Group 2: Investment Appeal of Public REITs - Public REITs serve as an effective tool for real estate investment, especially as traditional property investment becomes more challenging due to high entry barriers and stable housing prices [4]. - The "landlord" nature of public REITs meets the demand for stable cash flow among investors, allowing them to indirectly own underlying real estate assets and receive regular income based on rental performance [4][11]. Group 3: Investment Strategies for Public REITs - Investors can engage in public REITs through three main strategies: participating in initial offerings, trading during market cycles, and holding quality assets for long-term income [8]. - The initial offering process is competitive, with high subscription rates leading to potential under-allocation of shares, but successful offerings can yield significant first-day gains [9]. - Long-term holding of quality REITs is encouraged, as they are required to distribute at least 90% of their distributable income, providing a degree of income stability [11]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The development of public REITs is driven by both policy support and market demand, with expectations for continued growth and active market sentiment in 2025 [13]. - The potential for introducing REITs ETFs in the future could enhance liquidity and provide more investment options for retail investors [10].
【招银研究|固收产品月报】关注债市回调带来的配置机遇(2025年5月)
招商银行研究· 2025-05-20 08:50
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance and outlook of fixed income products and the bond market, highlighting the impact of macroeconomic factors and policy changes on investment strategies and opportunities [1][34]. Summary by Sections Fixed Income Products - Recent performance of fixed income products shows that rights-embedded bond funds outperformed short-term bond funds and high-grade interbank certificates of deposit index funds in the past month, with returns of 0.62%, 0.19%, and 0.18% respectively [3][8]. - Cash management products yielded a return of 0.11%, indicating a stable but declining trend in cash product yields, which may approach 1% in the long term [1][38]. Bond Market Review - The bond market experienced fluctuations, with short-term rates stabilizing and long-term rates rising. The 10-year government bond yield increased to 1.68%, while the 1-year government bond yield rose to 1.45% [10][16]. - The easing of US-China tariffs has improved market risk appetite, leading to a slight market correction [10][30]. Market Outlook - Short-term expectations indicate a weak fluctuation in the bond market, with a potential for small adjustments. However, the long-term downtrend in interest rates remains intact, suggesting opportunities for investors to capitalize on market corrections [29][36]. - The 1-year AAA interbank certificate of deposit rate is expected to stabilize between 1.6% and 1.8% [29][30]. Investment Strategies - For investors focused on liquidity management, maintaining cash products and considering low-volatility financial products or short-term bond funds is recommended [38]. - For conservative investors, holding pure bond products and gradually increasing duration exposure is advisable, especially as the 10-year government bond yield approaches 1.7%-1.8% [39]. - For more aggressive investors, fixed income plus products that include convertible bonds and equity assets may present opportunities, with a focus on defensive convertible bond products over aggressive ones [40]. Regulatory Developments - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has issued a plan to promote high-quality development in the public fund industry, emphasizing a shift from scale to return, and from short-term to long-term investment strategies [34].
超百只银行理财产品下调业绩比较基准 专家表示,投资者需要调整投资收益预期,合理开展多元化投资
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-05-20 03:09
Core Viewpoint - The recent comprehensive interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions by the People's Bank of China have led to a significant adjustment in the performance benchmarks of bank wealth management products, with many products seeing reductions exceeding 150 basis points [1][2]. Group 1: Market Adjustments - Over 100 wealth management products have announced adjustments to their performance benchmarks since May, with some benchmarks dropping below 2%, even lower than current fixed-term deposit rates [1]. - For instance, Xinyin Wealth Management adjusted the performance benchmark of its product from an annualized rate of 2.10%-4.05% to 1.50%-2.50% [1]. Group 2: Investor Guidance - Experts suggest that investors should adapt to the declining interest rate environment by adjusting their return expectations and considering diversified investments [3][5]. - Wealth management companies are encouraged to optimize product portfolios and increase the proportion of medium to long-term products to achieve higher returns in a low-interest-rate environment [3]. Group 3: Fee Adjustments - In response to the lowered performance benchmarks, many wealth management institutions have initiated a "fee reduction wave" to retain investors, with several companies announcing temporary fee reductions on various products [3][4]. - For example, Jiaoyin Wealth Management announced a reduction in the sales commission rate for one of its products from 0.20% to 0.10% per year [4]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The long-term expectation is that as domestic asset prices recover, the performance benchmarks for wealth management products may shift from declining to rising [2]. - The continuous decline in performance benchmarks indicates a need for wealth management firms to enhance their research capabilities and asset allocation strategies to improve returns [5].
降存款利率的传闻
表舅是养基大户· 2025-05-19 13:35
Group 1: Deposit Rate Changes - The deposit rates have not uniformly decreased; large banks' fixed deposit rates remain unchanged at 1.1%, while smaller banks are reducing their rates, with some like WeBank lowering rates to 1.6% for terms of 1-5 years [3][5] - A significant reduction in deposit rates is expected, particularly for large banks, as indicated by the regulatory body's intention to guide banks to lower rates through a self-discipline mechanism [5][6] - If deposit rates decrease further, it is anticipated that the one-year fixed deposit rate may drop below 1%, which could lead to various market impacts, including lower returns on money market funds and increased investment in risk assets like stocks [7][8] Group 2: Market Reactions - The bond market reacted to the rumors of deposit rate cuts, with 10-year government bonds falling over 2 basis points and 30-year bonds down 3 basis points [1] - The stock market showed minimal volatility, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing nearly unchanged, indicating a lack of significant market movement despite the news [10] - Specific sectors, such as the high-end liquor market represented by Moutai, faced declines due to regulatory changes affecting consumption patterns, particularly in government-related events [12][13] Group 3: Company Insights - Moutai's chairman acknowledged ongoing supply-demand mismatches and expressed understanding of investor concerns regarding changing consumption scenarios [14][15] - In the tech sector, companies like Xiaomi experienced fluctuations in stock prices due to market sentiment and product announcements, highlighting the impact of external factors on individual stock performance [18] - The CEO of Midea, Fang Hongbo, emphasized the ineffectiveness of overtime work, suggesting a cultural shift within the company towards valuing productivity over mere presence [19][20]
多家保险资管公司人事调整
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-05-15 01:56
生命资产发布公告称,朱海马拟任公司董事长。公开信息显示,朱海马现任富德集团董事局秘书、副总 裁,前海富德能源总经理。曾任富德保险控股董事长办公室主任、富德生命人寿海南分公司总经理等 职。 来源:中国银行保险报 朱艳霞 近日,保险资管行业迎来新一轮人事调整。平安资管、新华资管、生命资产、民生通惠资管等公司相继 宣布高管变动,涉及董事长、总经理等职位。 民生通惠资管发布公告称,经董事会决议,并经金融监管部门核准,公司于4月6日正式任命吴志军担任 董事、董事长。这是该公司原董事长葛旋去年5月辞任后的首次核心管理层补位。吴志军2013年加入民 生人寿,历任民生人寿首席运营官、执行总裁、合规负责人、财务负责人、首席风险官、总经理等职。 值得关注的是,保险资管公司近期陆续披露2024年年报。根据34家公司披露的数据,行业整体呈现营收 利润双增态势,2024年合计营收416亿元、净利184亿元,比上年分别增长14.4%、18.1%。 相关业内人士认为,2025年,权益市场投资价值将进一步凸显,债券市场收益率下行趋势有望改善。保 险资管行业应积极应对低利率环境新动态,持续探索差异化定位,努力发展服务新质生产力的途径和手 段。 ...
【高端访谈·资管力量】把握低利率环境下的投资机会——访华安基金首席固收投资官邹维娜
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-05-14 09:56
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese capital market is demonstrating unique vitality and resilience, positioning itself as a key player in the global economic landscape, particularly through the asset management industry which is seen as a core engine for capital allocation and value discovery [1] Group 1: Investment Opportunities - The bond market is viewed as favorable due to a supportive macroeconomic environment and a clear direction of monetary policy easing, with low risk of significant adjustments [2][4] - The stock market is experiencing positive policy signals aimed at stabilizing the market, with central entities increasing their holdings in A-shares, which is expected to boost investor confidence [2] - Current stock market valuations are considered to be in a reasonable range, presenting structural opportunities particularly in sectors like technology innovation, military, machinery, and undervalued financials and cyclical stocks [2] Group 2: Asset Allocation Strategies - In an environment of increasing uncertainty, diversification across asset classes such as stocks and bonds is recommended to mitigate risks [3] - Maintaining flexible positions and emphasizing liquidity management is crucial, avoiding extreme risk exposure [3] - The "fixed income plus" strategy is suggested for achieving stable returns while considering the volatility of products and individual risk tolerance [6] Group 3: Changes in Investment Framework - The investment research framework has shifted from a macro and mid-level focus to a greater emphasis on micro-level research, recognizing the significant impact of microeconomic factors on macroeconomic trends [7] - Increased market volatility necessitates a focus on market sentiment, with a proactive approach to understanding and anticipating changes in investor behavior [7] - The approach to credit risk has evolved, with a focus on high-quality municipal bonds while maintaining strict credit standards, and a shift towards recognizing the trading value of credit bonds [8] Group 4: Balancing Risk and Return - Investment decisions require rationality, with an emphasis on recognizing and managing both foreseeable and unforeseeable risks [9] - The essence of investment is framed as creating returns while controlling drawdowns, ensuring long-term performance sustainability [9]
汇添富基金徐寅喆:低利率环境下的短债基金投资策略
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-05-09 12:33
许多个人投资者朋友最近抱怨,他们几年前存的定期存款到期了,想要再投资时却发现现在各类理财产 品的预期收益率已经大不如前。其实这一现象并不特殊。著名经济学家霍默和西勒在《利率史》中总结 的重要规律表明,尽管存在短期波动和突发事件的影响,利率的长期趋势是向下的,这一过程与经济发 展、制度完善和风险管理的进步密切相关。 随着我国经济发展水平的不断提高,利率水平也会表现出长期下降的趋势,短期理财产品的预期收益率 水平也会逐步降低。以我们熟悉的货币基金7日年化收益率为例,2018年之前,货币基金7日年化收益率 平均约4%,相当于存1万元,每天的收益有1元多钱。而到了2024年下半年,多数货币基金7日年化收益 率已降至1.5%以内。今年年初,部分货币基金7日年化收益率甚至跌破1%。相当于同样1万元的本金, 需要接近4天的时间才能赚1元钱。在这样的背景下,短债基金的投资运作也面临更多的机遇与挑战。 在机遇方面,低利率环境下短债基金有望承接货币基金外溢规模。当货币基金收益率下降到不能满足需 求时,投资者的一个自然选择就是寻找收益率更高的短债基金作为替代。从历史数据看来,伴随货币基 金收益率水平突破关键点位,其市场份额可能出现 ...