Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that China Hongqiao's profitability is expected to improve due to rising aluminum prices, leading to an upward revision of profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 [1] - The company achieved a record high net profit of 22.37 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 95.2%, driven by both volume and price increases of its products [1] - The sales volume of aluminum alloy products reached 5.837 million tons in 2024, up 1.5% year-on-year, with an average selling price of 17,550 yuan per ton, a 6.6% increase from 2023 [1] Group 2 - The report indicates that the domestic electrolytic aluminum supply-demand balance is expected to improve from 2024 to 2026, with a projected surplus of 490,000 tons in 2024, 240,000 tons in 2025, and a shortage of 350,000 tons in 2026 [2] - The average price of alumina is projected to rise, supported by a decrease in coal prices, which fell by 11.2% to 681 yuan per ton as of March 14, 2025 [2] - The company plans to distribute a final dividend of 1.02 HKD per share, resulting in a total dividend of 1.61 HKD per share for 2024, with a dividend yield of 10.7% based on the closing price on March 14, 2025 [3] Group 3 - The company has a total alumina production capacity of 19.5 million tons, with 17.5 million tons from domestic sources and 2 million tons from Indonesia, and an electrolytic aluminum production capacity of approximately 6.46 million tons [3] - The domestic electrolytic aluminum industry is moving closer to being included in the national carbon market, which may increase costs for producers using thermal power [4] - The carbon emissions from producing electrolytic aluminum using thermal power are significantly higher than those using hydropower, which may lead to a price premium for hydropower aluminum [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate-A" investment rating for the company [4][9]. Core Views - The company reported a slight decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, with operating income at 189.40 billion yuan, down 1.85% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 19.32 billion yuan, down 1.08% year-on-year [4]. - The coal business remains the primary revenue driver, accounting for 84.51% of total revenue, with both production and sales increasing despite a decrease in average selling prices [5][6]. - The company is focused on a full industry chain layout in coal, coal power, coal chemical, and new energy, which is expected to stabilize operational performance and enhance valuation [8]. Market Performance - As of March 25, 2025, the company's closing price was 10.49 yuan, with a market capitalization of 1390.83 billion yuan [2]. - The stock reached a yearly high of 15.92 yuan and a low of 9.77 yuan [2]. Financial Data - Basic earnings per share for 2024 were reported at 1.46 yuan, with a return on equity of 12.98% [3]. - The company’s total assets as of the end of 2024 were 3579.65 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.5% [4]. - The net cash flow from operating activities was 341.40 billion yuan, down 20.5% year-on-year [4]. Future Projections - Expected earnings per share for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 1.38 yuan, 1.55 yuan, and 1.77 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 7.6, 6.8, and 5.9 [9][11]. - Revenue is expected to grow gradually, with projections of 192.10 billion yuan in 2025, 199.45 billion yuan in 2026, and 211.90 billion yuan in 2027 [11][15].

以2023年交易总额计算， 老乡鸡在中国中式快餐市场排名行业第一。 本文为IPO早知道原创 作者｜Stone Jin 微信公众号｜ipozaozhidao 据IPO早知道消息，LXJ International Holdings Limited（以下简称"老乡鸡"）于2025年1月3日 正式向港交所递交招股说明书，拟主板挂牌上市，中金公司和海通国际担任联席保荐人。 2022年5月和2023年2月，老乡鸡曾两次向上交所递交A股上市申请，后于2023年8月23日自愿撤 回其A股上市申请。老乡鸡认为，在香港联交所上市可让其获得全球认可，并为其提供直接接触海外 投资者和外资的渠道。 2003年，首家"肥西老母鸡"快餐店于安徽合肥开业。自2020年起，老乡鸡开始探索加盟模式，并 逐步形成"直营+加盟"的门店网络。 从单店表现来看，2022年、2023年以及2024年前三季度，老乡鸡直营店的单店日均销售额分别为 1.27万元、1.54万元以及1.60万元；加盟店的单店日均销售额分别为1.08万元、1.21万元以及 1.25万元。 2022年、2023年以及2024年前三季度，老乡鸡直营店的翻台率分别为3.8次/日、4.7 ...